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In This Report - Banco Mercantil

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Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate at the close of the year rose to 9.4 percent,<br />

slightly above the 9.3 percent registered in December 2009. The average duration of<br />

unemployment also rose slightly to 34.2 weeks, but remained below its highest point in June<br />

of 34.8. Of those unemployed, 44.3 percent were out of work for 27 weeks or longer. The<br />

struggling job market caused the labor force participation rate to drop to 64.3 percent, the<br />

lowest since 1984. At the current pace of job creation, total employment would be back to its<br />

December 2007 peak by late 2018 and, even then, the unemployment rate would be higher<br />

than it was in December 2007 due to growth in the labor force. Perhaps the positive note in<br />

the labor market during 2010 was the increasing gains in the generation of jobs seen in the<br />

fourth quarter and the lower level of unemployment insurance claims. <strong>In</strong>deed, non-farm<br />

payrolls rose to 384,000 during the fourth quarter and the initial jobless claims fell to 391,000<br />

for the week of December 25 (compared to a peak during the week ended March 28, 2009 of<br />

651,000).<br />

Business Spending<br />

Business spending was stimulated by the improved economic climate, as firms faced higher<br />

demand for their products, moderate cost of capital, and better (though not extraordinary)<br />

access to credit. The December Composite <strong>In</strong>dex for the service and construction sectors,<br />

published by the <strong>In</strong>stitute for Supply Management, rose to 57.1 from 55.0 in November. <strong>This</strong><br />

was the highest level since May 2006 and was up from a low of 37.2 late in 2008. Year-overyear,<br />

U.S. industrial production growth was up to 5.9 percent, compared to the plunge of 9.3<br />

percent in 2009. Thus, the rebound in industrial production growth traced out a clear "V"<br />

shaped recovery. Capacity utilization improved throughout the year reaching 76.0 percent in<br />

December, the highest level since August 2008.<br />

The U.S. Real Estate Market<br />

The pace of deterioration in the U.S. real estate market has slowed sufficiently to entice<br />

investors and lenders to complete transactions. However, supply and demand dynamics<br />

remained far from healthy, particularly in South Florida where a large volume of distressed<br />

properties continued to place a heavy drag on price performance.<br />

<strong>In</strong> early 2010, home prices began to stabilize as efforts to revive the housing market through<br />

temporary home buyer tax incentives brought a significant amount of future demand to the<br />

present. After the tax incentives expired, price declines resumed although at significantly<br />

reduced levels compared to 2009. At the end of the year, home prices in 16 of the 20 major<br />

metropolitan markets, measured by the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price <strong>In</strong>dex, closed lower<br />

15<br />

<strong>Mercantil</strong> Commercebank

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