Course in Probability Theory

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1 .1 MONOTONE FUNCTIONS 1 3Example 1 . Let x0 be an arbitrary real number, and define a function f as follows :f(x)=0 for x
4 1 DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONbe replaced by an arbitrary countable set without any change of the argument . Wenow show that the condition of countability is indispensable . By "countable" we meanalways "finite (possibly empty) or countably infinite" .(iv) The set of discontinuities of f is countable .We shall prove this by a topological argument of some general applicability. In Exercise 3 after this section another proof based on an equally usefulcounting argument will be indicated . For each point of jump x consider theopen interval IX = (f (x-), f (x+)) . If x' is another point of jump and x < x',say, then there is a point x such that x < x < x' . Hence by monotonicity wehavef (x+) < f (x) < f (x' - ) .It follows that the two intervals Ix and I x , are disjoint, though they mayabut on each other if f (x+) = f (x'-) . Thus we may associate with the set ofpoints of jump in the domain of f a certain collection of pairwise disjoint openintervals in the range of f . Now any such collection is necessarily a countableone, since each interval contains a rational number, so that the collection ofintervals is in one-to-one correspondence with a certain subset of the rationalnumbers and the latter is countable . Therefore the set of discontinuities is alsocountable, since it is in one-to-one correspondence with the set of intervalsassociated with it .(v) Let f 1 and f 2 be two increasing functions and D a set that is (everywhere)dense in (-oc, +oc) . Suppose thatVx E D :f 1(x) = f 2(X)-Then f 1 and f 2 have the same points of jump of the same size, and theycoincide except possibly at some of these points of jump .To see this, let x be an arbitrary point and let t o E D, t ;, E D, t, 'r x,t,' x . Such sequences exist since D is dense . It follows from (i) that(6)f 1(x-) = lim f 1 (t„) = lira f 2 (t„) = f 2 (x-),nf 1 (x+)=lnmf l (t;,)=limf2(t;,)= f2(x+) .nIn particularVx : f I (X+) - f 1(x- ) = f 2(X+) - f2(x - ) .The first assertion in (v) follows from this equation and (ii) . Furthermore iff 1 is continuous at x, then so is f 2 by what has just been proved, and we
Page 2 and 3: ACOURSE INPROBABILITYTHEORYTHIRD ED
Page 4 and 5: This book is printed on acid-free p
Page 6 and 7: vi I CONTENTS4 .3 Vague convergence
Page 8 and 9: Preface to the third editionIn this
Page 10 and 11: Preface to the second editionThis e
Page 12 and 13: Preface to the first editionA mathe
Page 14 and 15: PREFACE TO THE FIRST EDITION I xv(d
Page 16 and 17: Distribution function1 .1 Monotone
Page 20 and 21: 1 .1 MONOTONE FUNCTIONS 1 5havef I
Page 22 and 23: 8 1 DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONb ithe siz
Page 24 and 25: 10 1 DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONF2 - F ;
Page 26 and 27: 12 ( DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONThe next
Page 28 and 29: 14 1 DISTRIBUTION FUNCTIONbecomes o
Page 30: Measure theory2 .1 Classes of setsL
Page 33 and 34: 2 .1 CLASSES OF SETS 1 19and so = 6
Page 35 and 36: 2.2 PROBABILITY MEASURES AND THEIR
Page 37 and 38: 2 .2 PROBABILITY MEASURES AND THEIR
Page 47 and 48: 2.2 PROBABILITY MEASURES AND THEIR
Page 49 and 50: 3 .1 GENERAL DEFINITIONS 1 3 5of a
Page 51 and 52: 3 .1 GENERAL DEFINITIONS 1 37Specif
Page 53 and 54: 3 .1 GENERAL DEFINITIONS 1 39by (2)
Page 55 and 56: 3 .2 PROPERTIES OF MATHEMATICAL EXP
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Page 67 and 68: 3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 533.3 Independe
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 55PROOF . We gi
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 57Corollary . I
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 59Then we haven
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 61in which ther
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE 1 63We have thus
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE I 65EXERCISES1 .
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3 .3 INDEPENDENCE I 67If do : {E~n
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4 .1 VARIOUS MODES OF CONVERGENCE 1
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4 .1 VARIOUS MODES OF CONVERGENCE I
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4 .1 VARIOUS MODES OF CONVERGENCE 1
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4 .2 ALMOST SURE CONVERGENCE; BOREL
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4.2 ALMOST SURE CONVERGENCE; BOREL-
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4 .2 ALMOST SURE CONVERGENCE ; BORE
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4 .3 VAGUE CONVERGENCE 1 85In this
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4 .3 VAGUE CONVERGENCE 1 87PROOF .
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4 .3 VAGUE CONVERGENCE ( 89By Sec .
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4.4 CONTINUATION 1 918. If g„ and
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4 .4 CONTINUATION 1 93that is linea
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4.4 CONTINUATION 1 95A family of p
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4 .4 CONTINUATION 1 97if X„ -+ X
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4 .5 UNIFORM INTEGRABILITY ; CONVER
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4.5 UNIFORM INTEGRABILITY ; CONVERG
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5 .1 SIMPLE LIMIT THEOREMS 1 107eve
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5 .1 SIMPLE LIMIT THEOREMS 1 109and
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5 .1 SIMPLE LIMIT THEOREMS 1 1 1 1r
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5.2 WEAK LAW OF LARGENUMBERS 1 1 1
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5.2 WEAK LAW OF LARGENUMBERS 1 1 1
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5.2 WEAK LAW OF LARGENUMBERS I 1 1
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5 .2 WEAK LAW OF LARGENUMBERS I 1 1
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5 .3 CONVERGENCE OF SERIES 1 12112.
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5 .3 CONVERGENCE OF SERIES 1 123whe
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5 .3 CONVERGENCE OF SERIES 1 1 2 5W
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5 .3 CONVERGENCE OF SERIES 1 127Thi
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5 .4 STRONG LAW OF LARGENUMBERS 1 1
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5.4 STRONG LAW OF LARGENUMBERS 1 13
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5.4 STRONG LAW OF LARGENUMBERS 1 13
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is an r cv) as follows co) (o) is c
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5 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 1 4 1PROOF . Su
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5 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 1 43null set Z
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5 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 1 45PROOF.Since
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5 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 1 4 7One should
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5 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 149Smile Borel,
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6.1 GENERAL PROPERTIES; CONVOLUTION
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6.1 GENERAL PROPERTIES ; CONVOLUTIO
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6 .1 GENERAL PROPERTIES ; CONVOLUTI
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CS6 .1 GENERAL PROPERTIES; CONVOLUT
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6 .1 GENERAL PROPERTIES ; CONVOLUTI
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x[ J6 .2 UNIQUENESS AND INVERSION 1
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6 .2 UNIQUENESS AND INVERSION 1 163
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6 .2 UNIQUENESS AND INVERSION 1 165
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I6 .2 UNIQUENESS AND INVERSION 1 1
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6 .3 CONVERGENCE THEOREMS I 169For
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6 .3 CONVERGENCE THEOREMS 1 171ther
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6.3 CONVERGENCE THEOREMS 1 173metri
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS I 175b > a
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS I 177k-1 j
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS 1 179Theor
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS 1 181then
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS 1 183We en
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6 .4 SIMPLE APPLICATIONS 1 185limit
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6 .5 REPRESENTATIVE THEOREMS 1 187c
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l6 .5 REPRESENTATIVE THEOREMS 1 189
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6 .5 REPRESENTATIVE THEOREMS 1 191(
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6 .5 REPRESENTATIVE THEOREMS I 193w
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6 .5 REPRESENTATIVE THEOREMS I 195E
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6 .6 MULTIDIMENSIONAL CASE; LAPLACE
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6 .6 MULTIDIMENSIONAL CASE ; LAPLAC
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6 .6 MULTIDIMENSIONAL CASE ; LAPLAC
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6 .6 MULTIDIMENSIONAL CASE; LAPLACE
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7Central limit theorem andits ramif
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7.1 LIAPOUNOV'S THEOREM l 207are "n
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7.1 LIAPOUNOV'S THEOREM 1 209the sa
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(D7.1 LIAPOUNOV'S THEOREM 1 211If1,
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7 .1 LIAPOUNOV'S THEOREM I 213and p
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7 .2 LINDEBERG-FELLER THEOREM 1 215
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7.2 LINDEBERG-FELLER THEOREM 1 217W
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(D if Sn /s'n does7.3 RAMIFICATIONS
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7.3 RAMIFICATIONS OF THE CENTRAL LI
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7 .3 RAMIFICATIONS OF THE CENTRAL L
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7 .4 ERROR ESTIMATION 1 2 35as n -~
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22x2x27 .4 ERROR ESTIMATION 1 23 7b
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7 .4 ERROR ESTIMATION l 23 9for the
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7 .4 ERROR ESTIMATION 1 24 1PROOF .
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7.5 LAW OF THE ITERATED LOGARITHM 1
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7 .5 LAW OF THE ITERATED LOGARITHM
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7 .6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 251amo
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7.6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 253The
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7 .6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 255Sin
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7 .6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 257is
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7 .6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 259Let
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7 .6 INFINITE DIVISIBILITY 1 261ch
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8Random walk8 .1 Zero-or-one lawsIn
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8 .1 ZERO-OR-ONE LAWS 1 2 65Each S2
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8 .1 ZERO-OR-ONE LAWS 1 2 6 71 clea
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8.1 ZERO-OR-ONE LAWS 1 269Applying
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8 .2 BASIC NOTIONS 1 2 7 1have, how
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8 .2 BASIC NOTIONS 1 273Instead of
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8 .2 BASIC NOTIONS 1 275PROOF . The
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8.2 BASIC NOTIONS 1 27 7Theorem 8.2
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8.3 RECURRENCE I 2 7 9DEFINrrION .
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8.3 RECURRENCE 1 28 1by the previou
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8.3 RECURRENCE 1 2 831 A> U ( )Cm n
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8 .3 RECURRENCE 1 285< 2(1 - r) 2 +
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8 .3 RECURRENCE 1 2 8 7is a strictl
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8 .4 FINE STRUCTURE 1 289with the u
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8 .4 FINE STRUCTURE 1 29 1rearrange
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8.4 FINE STRUCTURE 1 293(D) If c,(,
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8.4 FINE STRUCTURE I 2 9 5PROOF . I
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8 .4 FINE STRUCTURE 1 2 9 7for 0 <
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 299(necessarily
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 30 1and consequ
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 3 0 3Lemma .For
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 3 0 5PROOF . Le
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 307implies JT(M
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8 .5 CONTINUATION 1 309The latter p
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9 .1 BASIC PROPERTIES OF CONDITIONA
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9.2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE ; MARK
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9 .2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE; MARK
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9 .2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE; MARK
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9.2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE ; MARK
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9 .2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE ; MAR
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9 .2 CONDITIONAL INDEPENDENCE ; MAR
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9 .3 BASIC PROPERTIES OF SMARTINGAL
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9.3 BASIC PROPERTIES OF SMARTINGALE
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9.3 BASIC PROPERTIES OF SMARTINGALE
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9 .4 INEQUALITIES AND CONVERGENCE 1
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9.5 APPLICATIONS 1 361PROOF. Let A
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9 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 363extension of
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9.5 APPLICATIONS 1 365(V)The strong
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9.5 APPLICATIONS 1 3 6 7But it is t
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9 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 369We have ther
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9 .5 APPLICATIONS ( 3712. Suppose t
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9 .5 APPLICATIONS 1 373is due to Mc
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Supplement : Measure andIntegralFor
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I CONSTRUCTION OF MEASURE 1 377The
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1 CONSTRUCTION OF MEASURE 1 379It f
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2 CHARACTERIZATION OF EXTENSIONS 1
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3 MEASURES IN R 1 387Now we use Def
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3 MEASURES IN R 1 389The right-cont
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3 MEASURES IN R 1 39 1Therefore the
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3 MEASURES IN R 1 393If we intersec
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4 INTEGRAL 1 395has cardinal 2C whi
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4 INTEGRAL 1 397The order of summat
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n4 INTEGRAL 1 399If W E A k , then
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4 INTEGRAL 1 401Theorem 9 . Let If,
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4 INTEGRAL I 403inThe three theorem
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4 INTEGRAL 1 405To prove this we ma
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5 APPLICATIONS 1 407Curiously, the
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5 APPLICATIONS 1 409When Uk is gene
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log ~ _ .d~ f~ - dx = log ,5 APPLIC
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General bibliography[The five divis
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IndexAbelian theorem, 292Absolutely
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INDEX 1 417GGambler's ruin, 343Gamb
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INDEX 1 419improper, infinite, 410p
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Course in Probability Theory

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