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Mixture Design Tutorials - Statease.info

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Response Prediction<br />

<strong>Design</strong>-Expert allows you to generate predicted response(s) for any composition. To see<br />

how this works, click on the Point Prediction node under optimization.<br />

Point Prediction Results<br />

You now see the predicted responses from this particular blend - the centroid. Be sure to<br />

look at the 95% prediction interval (“PI low” to “PI high”). This tells you what to<br />

expect for an individual confirmation test. You might be surprised at how much<br />

variability could affect the outcome.<br />

Although there’s no reason to do so now, you can print the results by using the File,<br />

Print command.<br />

The Factors Tool will open along with the point prediction window. Move the<br />

floating tool as needed by clicking on the top border and dragging it. You can drag the<br />

handy sliders on the component gauges to look at other blends. Note that in a mixture<br />

you can only vary two of the three components independently. Can you find a<br />

combination that produces viscosity of 43? (Hint: push Urea up a bit.) Don’t try too<br />

hard, because in the next section of this tutorial you will make use of <strong>Design</strong>-Expert’s<br />

optimization features to accomplish this objective.<br />

Click on the Sheet button to get a convenient entry form for specific component values.<br />

For example, to get the centroid back, enter the values shown below.<br />

Factors Tool – Gauges versus Sheet View (with value being entered for Urea)<br />

Click back to the Gauges view before proceeding.<br />

7-22 • <strong>Mixture</strong> <strong>Design</strong> <strong>Tutorials</strong> <strong>Design</strong>-Expert 6 User’s Guide

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