and subject imports were “always” or “frequently” interchangeable. 154 While there is information onthe record suggesting that some purchasers and importers may regard the subject merchandise asinferior in quality to domestically produced saccharin, 155 Chinese subject producers neverthelessshipped significant volumes of saccharin into the U.S. market during the review period.In this review, the Commission collected pricing data on five different products that accountedfor almost 100 percent of PMC’s total reported U.S. commercial saccharin shipments and 4.5 percent ofsubject imports between 2003 and 2008. 156 These data indicate that, despite the discipline of the order,there was still a majority of instances of underselling by subject imports (*** of *** possiblecomparisons between subject imports and the domestic like product involving margins that ranged <strong>from</strong>1.1 to 673.9 percent). 157The degree of underselling during the period of review under the discipline of the order,together with the significant underselling during the original investigation, indicates that underselling islikely to be significant if the order is revoked. Moreover, there is evidence that the U.S. market isattractive for subject imports because of the relatively high U.S. prices for saccharin compared to othermarkets. 158 In light of the above, we find that the likely significant quantities of low-priced subjectimports would likely be priced aggressively to gain market share, and they would undersell the domesticlike product, and this underselling would significantly suppress and/or depress U.S. prices forsaccharin. 159 For all of the foregoing reasons, we conclude that subject imports <strong>from</strong> <strong>China</strong> are likely tohave significant adverse price effects in the event that the order were revoked.3. Likely Impact of Subject ImportsIn evaluating the likely impact of imports of subject merchandise if the order under review isrevoked, the Commission is directed to consider all relevant economic factors that are likely to have abearing on the state of the industry in the United States, including but not limited to the following:(1) likely declines in output, sales, market share, profits, productivity, return on investments, andutilization of capacity; (2) likely negative effects on cash flow, inventories, employment, wages, growth,ability to raise capital, and investment; and (3) likely negative effects on the existing development andproduction efforts of the industry, including efforts to develop a derivative or more advanced version of154Eight purchasers reported that U.S.-produced saccharin and subject merchandise were “always” or“frequently” interchangeable, while just one purchaser reported that they were “sometimes” interchangeable, andjust one purchaser reported that they were “never” interchangeable. CR/PR at Table II-5.155CR at II-8; PR at II-5.156See, e.g., CR at V-4; PR at V-3.157See, e.g., CR at V-13; PR at V-4 & CR/PR at Table V-6.158See, e.g., Hearing Tr. at 128, 136 (“prices outside the U.S. have been much lower” and “European pricing ismuch lower than U.S. pricing.”) (Delaney); See also, PMC Prehearing Br. at 32. While U.S. saccharin prices weresubstantially higher in 2008 than earlier in the review period, we note that 2008 was reportedly aberrational in termsof higher prices. Prices generally increased over the review period. While prices increased to a very large extentduring 2008, we note these prices involved relatively small sales quantities, and appear to have reflected a pricespike that was the result of a world-wide shortage of saccharin that we do not find likely to continue. CR at V-4; PRat V-3. We also note that, if 2008 were excluded, subject imports undersold the domestic like product in *** of ***quarterly price comparisons. CR at V-13; PR at V-4.159As noted above, Mr. Dennis Delaney, Sales Manager at TR International, testified at the hearing on behalf ofsubject producer Tianjin Changjie. Mr. Delaney testified that U.S. prices for saccharin would “come downsubstantially” if the order were revoked. Hearing Tr. at 138. Mr. Delaney also testified that, if the order wererevoked, U.S. saccharin prices would decline because subject producers would enter the U.S. market at such lowprices. Hearing Tr. at 137-138.20
the domestic like product. 160 All relevant economic factors are to be considered within the context ofthe business cycle and the conditions of competition that are distinctive to the industry. 161 As instructedby the statute, we have considered the extent to which any improvement in the state of the domesticindustry is related to the order at issue and whether the industry is vulnerable to material injury if theorder were revoked. 162In the original investigation, the Commission found that by gaining significant market share in agrowing U.S. market at the expense of PMC, low-priced subject imports had a significant adverseimpact on the domestic industry, as reflected in the declining levels of shipments, production, sales, andemployment, combined with increasing inventories and lack of profitability. The Commission alsofound that any problems PMC had with delivery and quality issues were limited in scope and did notdetract <strong>from</strong> the significant adverse impact of the subject imports on the domestic industry. 163The domestic industry’s vulnerability in this five-year review must be assessed in light of theunusual circumstances over the review period. As discussed above, PMC has struggled considerably toramp up its saccharin production after reengineering its Maumee process, resulting in significant periodswhen it was not producing any saccharin. The new process, which involves considerably fewerchemical steps and fewer employees than its previous method of saccharin production, has only beenoperating for a few months and at very low production volumes. PMC acknowledges that *** 164 PMCclaims that it has resolved ***. 165 Nevertheless, it also concedes that it will not achieve the extremelymodest production targets it set for 2009 due to these difficulties. Due to the continual revisions toPMC’s production process and production projections, the Commission is unable to determine whetherPMC is vulnerable.Most of PMC’s performance indicators declined during the review period, largely as a result of***, as described above. PMC’s capacity declined by *** percent overall, falling <strong>from</strong> *** pounds in2003 to *** pounds in 2008. 166 PMC’s production fell by ***, dropping <strong>from</strong> *** pounds in 2003 to*** pounds in 2007, and barely increasing to just *** pounds in 2008. 167 The domestic industry’scapacity utilization fell by 40.7 percentage points, dropping <strong>from</strong> *** percent in 2003 to just ***percent in 2008. 168 The domestic industry’s market share declined by 57.0 percentage points, falling<strong>from</strong> *** percent in 2003 to just *** percent in 2008. 16916019 U.S.C. § 1675a(a)(4).16119 U.S.C. § 1675a(a)(4). Section 752(a)(6) of the Act states that “the Commission may consider themagnitude of the margin of dumping or the magnitude of the net countervailable subsidy” in making itsdetermination in a five-year review. 19 U.S.C. § 1675a(a)(6). The statute defines the “magnitude of the margin ofdumping” to be used by the Commission in five-year reviews as “the dumping margin or margins determined by theadministering authority under section 1675a(c)(3) of this title.” 19 U.S.C. § 1677(35)(C)(iv). See also SAA at 887.162The SAA states that in assessing whether the domestic industry is vulnerable to injury if the order is revoked,the Commission “considers, in addition to imports, other factors that may be contributing to overall injury. Whilethese factors, in some cases, may account for the injury to the domestic industry, they may also demonstrate that anindustry is facing difficulties <strong>from</strong> a variety of sources and is vulnerable to dumped or subsidized imports.” SAA at885.163See, e.g., Original Determination at 17.164PMC Posthearing Br., Exh. 1 at 14-15.165PMC Posthearing Br., Exh. 1 at 14-15.166CR/PR at Table C-1.167CR/PR at Table C-1.168CR/PR at Table C-1.169CR/PR at Table C-1.21
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Figure V-1Exchange rates: Index of
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Table V-3Saccharin: Weighted-averag
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wilkins on PROD1PC63 with NOTICES72
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APPENDIX BCALENDAR OF PUBLIC HEARIN
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In Opposition to Continuation of th
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Table C-1Saccharin: Summary data co
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U.S. PRODUCERS COMMENTSThe Commissi
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***“***.”***“No.”***“No.
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DOC/ITC regulations. Their own prod
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***“*** could lower inventories b
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The Commission requested foreign pr