Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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Transition model database 1: EPSMain database: Echantillon Permanent(e) Steekproef (EPS)• Administrative panel, anonymised, 2002-2009• Sample of population in Belgian public health insurance• 1/40 of persons < 65• 1/20 of persons 65+• Data on use of public health care and related variables• Also on living situation• Not on health and disability itself!• Data used in this project restricted to:• Population aged 65+• Years 2004-2009plan.be
Transition model database 1: EPS• Five chronic conditions, which are predictors of disability, could beidentified in the EPS using data on medication and medicaltreatments:Name Impact PrevalenceCOPD moderate highDementia very high moderateDiabetes moderate highHip fracture high lowParkinson’s disease very high low• Disability (1 or more limitation in ADL) imputed, using equationestimated with HIS 2004 & 2008plan.be
Page 1 and 2: Workshop “Toekomstige behoeften a
Page 3 and 4: Policy backgroundRecent trends in s
Page 5 and 6: Policy backgroundAlternative forms
Page 7 and 8: Research aim• Projection of the n
Page 12 and 13: Transition model database 2: HIS 20
Page 14 and 15: Transition model of LTC useModel of
Page 16 and 17: Transitions in LTC situations after
Page 18 and 19: Transition model: resultsProbabilit
Page 20 and 21: Transition & projection model limit
Page 22 and 23: Projection method: set-up of projec
Page 24 and 25: Projection results by province+: ba
Page 26 and 27: Projection results: six alternative
Page 28 and 29: Projection results: six alternative
Page 30: Projection results: six alternative
Page 33: Possible alternatives?• Limit ent

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