Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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Transition model database 2: HIS 2004 & 2008Additional data-base: Health Interview Survey 2004 & 2008• Large survey on health, health problems and health behavior• Sample from population of Belgian residents• Including institutionalized population• Oversampling of persons 65+ (2004) ; 75+ (2008)• Sample sizes (65+) 3594 (2004); 2859 (2008)• Logistic model of disability (1 or more limitations in ADL)• Using age, sex, province and five chronic conditions as predictorsplan.be
Transition model database 2: HIS 2004 & 2008Age is dominant predictor of disability: % with disability by age60%Male 2004 Male 2008 Female 2004 Female 200850%40%30%20%10%0%65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95+plan.be
Page 1 and 2: Workshop “Toekomstige behoeften a
Page 3 and 4: Policy backgroundRecent trends in s
Page 5 and 6: Policy backgroundAlternative forms
Page 7 and 8: Research aim• Projection of the n
Page 10 and 11: Transition model database 1: EPSMai
Page 14 and 15: Transition model of LTC useModel of
Page 16 and 17: Transitions in LTC situations after
Page 18 and 19: Transition model: resultsProbabilit
Page 20 and 21: Transition & projection model limit
Page 22 and 23: Projection method: set-up of projec
Page 24 and 25: Projection results by province+: ba
Page 26 and 27: Projection results: six alternative
Page 28 and 29: Projection results: six alternative
Page 30: Projection results: six alternative
Page 33: Possible alternatives?• Limit ent

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