Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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20102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047204820492050Policy implicationsProjection up to 2050, according to “pure demographic” scenario320.000Number in residential care300.000280.000260.000240.000220.000200.000180.000160.000140.000120.000plan.be
Possible alternatives?• Limit entry into residential care at level O• Currently 23 000 older persons in category MR/ROB O, who mostlyare not really needing residential care (based on their ADL disability)• Beds could be used for older persons needing more intensive levelsof care• This will require alternative care for persons now in residentialcare level O• Due to ageing of the population, home care will have to expandanyway, roughly in the same proportion as residential care• The expansion of both types of care will require additionalqualified personnel, if quality is to be maintainedplan.be
Page 1 and 2: Workshop “Toekomstige behoeften a
Page 3 and 4: Policy backgroundRecent trends in s
Page 5 and 6: Policy backgroundAlternative forms
Page 7 and 8: Research aim• Projection of the n
Page 10 and 11: Transition model database 1: EPSMai
Page 12 and 13: Transition model database 2: HIS 20
Page 14 and 15: Transition model of LTC useModel of
Page 16 and 17: Transitions in LTC situations after
Page 18 and 19: Transition model: resultsProbabilit
Page 20 and 21: Transition & projection model limit
Page 22 and 23: Projection method: set-up of projec
Page 24 and 25: Projection results by province+: ba
Page 26 and 27: Projection results: six alternative
Page 28 and 29: Projection results: six alternative
Page 30: Projection results: six alternative

Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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