Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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Policy background• Successive protocol agreements between federal andregional authorities (1997, 2003, 2005)• Aims (inter alia):Moratorium on the number of beds in residential careSubstitution of higher care nursing beds (MRS/RVT) for lower carebeds (ROB/MRPA)Allow older people to stay at home• Moratorium was due to expire on 1 October 2011But has been extendedplan.be
Policy backgroundRecent trends in supply of residential care: overall stability,substition of nursing home beds for beds in homes for the elderlyYearNursinghomesHomes fortheelderlyTotalbedsBeds/1000persons65+ yearsBeds/1000persons75+ years2000 33 103 87 940 121 043 71 1642001 37 489 85 055 122 544 71 1622002 39 403 85 350 124 753 71 1602003 45 306 79 139 124 445 71 1562004 46 905 78 068 124 973 70 1542005 47 165 77 917 125 243 70 1502006 48 712 76 406 125 279 69 1462007 51 442 73 941 125 539 69 1422008 54 796 71 963 126 916 70 1402009 59 504 68 760 128 421 70 1392010 63 064 66 179 129 400 70 1382011 65 325 64 255 129 732 n.a. n.a.plan.be
Page 1: Workshop “Toekomstige behoeften a
Page 5 and 6: Policy backgroundAlternative forms
Page 7 and 8: Research aim• Projection of the n
Page 10 and 11: Transition model database 1: EPSMai
Page 12 and 13: Transition model database 2: HIS 20
Page 14 and 15: Transition model of LTC useModel of
Page 16 and 17: Transitions in LTC situations after
Page 18 and 19: Transition model: resultsProbabilit
Page 20 and 21: Transition & projection model limit
Page 22 and 23: Projection method: set-up of projec
Page 24 and 25: Projection results by province+: ba
Page 26 and 27: Projection results: six alternative
Page 28 and 29: Projection results: six alternative
Page 30: Projection results: six alternative
Page 33: Possible alternatives?• Limit ent

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