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Residential care for older persons in Belgium: what are the future ...

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Projection results: six alternative scenariosThree alternative scenarios on disability1.“Better education”: <strong>the</strong> prevalence of chronic conditionsdecl<strong>in</strong>es <strong>in</strong> l<strong>in</strong>e with <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased educational level of eachnew cohort of <strong>older</strong> <strong>persons</strong>2.“Morbidity compression” : <strong>the</strong> risk of disability by age and sexwill decrease <strong>in</strong> <strong>future</strong>, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> sense that half of <strong>the</strong> projected<strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> longevity <strong>are</strong> assumed to be spent free of disability3.“ Diabetes epidemic” <strong>the</strong> prevalence of diabetes will <strong>in</strong>creaseby 5% annually dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> projection periodplan.be

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