February 2011 - Gruppo Banca Carige
February 2011 - Gruppo Banca Carige
February 2011 - Gruppo Banca Carige
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ForecastItaly’s macroeconomic overview2009 2010E <strong>2011</strong>EGDP -5.1% 1.0% +0.9%Inflation rate 0.8% 1.5% 2.2%Unemployment rate 7.8% 8.5% 9.2%Loans +2.2% +4.7% +4.6%Direct deposits +7.8% +6.3% +3.9%Indirect deposits +4.8% +1.9% +5.5%Mortgage loans expected growthExpected bad loan ratio for mortgage loans15%4,0%10%3,5%5%0%-5%2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E <strong>2011</strong>E 2012Emortgage loans3,0%2,5%2,0%1,5%2007 2008 2009 2010E <strong>2011</strong>E 2012Ebad loan ratio for mortgage loansSources: Prometeia, CRIF, ABI, ISVAP, <strong>Carige</strong>GRUPPO CARIGE 17
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