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32Fixed versus cellularWorld2000 In recent months, the press has often had occasionto headline the irresistible growth of mobiles. Morethan one out of every two people in Europeancountries now owns a mobile phone. With 49.43%of French people equipped with a mobile phone,France lies at the bottom of the European league,having overtaken by neighbouring countries.The independence of this specific sector vis-à-visthe telephone market (in terms of wire) is nowobvious and confirms the emerging tendancymentioned a few months ago. The mobiles sectorproved to be more than a successful laboratory forcompetition.In some European countries, mobile telephonyexceeded fixed services during 2000 with adifferential of close on 30 points at the end of theyear in mobile's favour.France, Denmark, Belgium, Germany and Swedenare the European bottom lying countries with stillmore fixed subscribers than mobile ones.In Italy, Spain and the UK, the latest figurespublished confirmed the explosion in the number ofmobile subscribers, and the noteworthyphenomenon of the increasingly part of mobileservices and subscription in the telecommunicationsmarket.Countries and regions where mobile telephony isnot well-developed still have more fixed lines thanmobile subscribers.But in China mobile telephony seems likely toexceed fixed telephony next year and worlwidemobile telephony is expected to exceed fixednetworks in 2003.This trend is not expected to take a downturn, evenif mobile telephony today's growth rates no longerseem realistic: an automatic slowdown in demandwill follow once a 70-75% rate has been reached.The situation as it really stands shows majorchanges in ways of using telephony in the today'sEuropean world.Mobile telephony focuses on private and personalconversation and enables provision of mobilityorientedservices and personalised services andprices. Fixed phones are often only used at homeby everyone or at work.The increasing share of data transmission is also infavour of mobile telephony even if every newsubscriber to mobile services enhances the fixednetwork by creating an additional communicationpotential. Fixed access lines in the world (figures at end 2000)Fixed access Cellular Total telephone Share of Share oflines subscribers subscribers cellular cellular(millions) (millions) subscribers subscribers(end 1999)Western Europe: 217.7 244.5 462.2 52.9% 41.4%Germany 49.2 47.6 96.8 49.2% 31.9%France 34.5 30.4 64.9 46.8% 37.1%UK 34.5 39.2 73.7 53.2% 41.0%Italy 26.5 40.9 67.4 60.7% 53.4%North America: 210.1 119.2 329.3 36.2% 30.8%USA 189.1 110.0 299.1 36.8% 31.3%Latin America 74.6 67.0 141.6 47.3% 35.5%Asia/Pacific: 323.8 233.0 556.8 41.9% 32.3%Japan 66.6 61.1 127.7 47.9% 42.1%Eastern Europe 60.6 25.0 85.6 29.2% 17.8%Africa/Middle East 54.0 38.3 92.3 41.5% 28.3%Total 940.8 727.1 1667.9 43.6% 33.7%© IDATE www.idate.fr
Fixed versus cellular■ Cellular subscribers and fixed access lines33DigiWorld2000 ¤NorwaySwedenFinlandIrelandDenmarkUKNetherlandsBelgiumLuxembourgGermanyFranceSwitzerlandAustriaPortugalSpainItalyGreeceCellularsubscribersFixedaccess linesNorth AmericaWestern EuropeEastern EuropeAsia/PacificUSAJapanAfrica/Middla EstWorldLatin America© IDATE www.idate.fr
Page 1: DigiWorld2000¨The European way to
Page 4 and 5: © Copyright IDATE 2001, BP 4167, 3
Page 7: Introduction7World2000 Here is the
Page 11: 11World2000 Part 1:DigiWorld Atlas
Page 14: 14World2000 DW markets by sectorThe
Page 18 and 19: 18World2000 International voice tra
Page 20 and 21: 20World2000 Global IP backbone proj
Page 23 and 24: 23World2000 II. DigiWorld access©
Page 25 and 26: Fixed access lines25World2000 Fixe
Page 27 and 28: 27World2000 Unbundling and DSL lin
Page 29 and 30: Wireless local loop29World2000 All
Page 31: Cellular subscribers Cellular teled
Page 35 and 36: UMTS licensing35World2000 UMTS lice
Page 37 and 38: Internet subscribers37World2000 Wo
Page 39 and 40: Cabletel subscribers39World2000 Nu
Page 41 and 42: 41World2000 Cable and satellite TV
Page 43 and 44: 43World2000 Cable operations statu
Page 45 and 46: 45World2000 Telecom high speed acc
Page 47: Digital TV access47World2000 Growt
Page 50 and 51: 50World2000 World top telecom opera
Page 52 and 53: 52World2000 Top 12 mobile operators
Page 54 and 55: 54Top UMTS licenceesWorld2000 Looki
Page 56 and 57: 56European top ISPsWorld2000 Of Eur
Page 58 and 59: 58World2000 World top telecom equip
Page 60 and 61: 60World2000 World top media compani
Page 62 and 63: 62World2000 European top cable oper
Page 64 and 65: 64World2000 Internationalisation of
Page 70 and 71: 70Subscriber valueWorld2000 As the
Page 72 and 73: 72Subscriber valueWorld2000 The val
Page 74 and 75: 74EuroprivatisationWorld2000 Over r
Page 76 and 77: 76World2000 E-krach and company val
Page 79: 79World2000 Part 2:DigiWorld Analys
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World2000 83The E-Marketplace phen
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World2000 85Estimated savings gene
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World2000 87Horizontal and vertica
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World2000 89Managing the supply ch
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World2000 91Some of the major co-o
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World2000 93A multitude of initiat
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World2000 95E-marketplaces' main t
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World2000 97possible to associate
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World2000 99The turbulent first st
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102World2000 In early 2000, Europe'
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104World2000 infatuation with this
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106World2000 Table 1: Announcements
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108World2000 Table 2: Growth in the
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110World2000 For NTT DoCoMo, i-mode
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112World2000 Table 4: Position of m
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114World2000 Table 6: Evolution of
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116World2000 its evolved incarnatio
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118World2000 Network operators are
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120World2000 Annex 1: UMTS licences
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122World2000 Annex 2: Main UMTS con
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World2000 125Since1996, we have be
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World2000 127chain, while relying
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World2000 129for objectives which,
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World2000 131The explosion in pric
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World2000 133of disputes and the F
Page 135 and 136:
World2000 135AppendixJanuary 2000
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World2000 137• Japan Telecom, Vo
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World2000 139in the number of lice
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World2000 141from the US Departmen
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World2000 143billion euros. Once t
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World2000 145to postpone the aucti
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World2000 147© IDATE www.idate.fr
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