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View - Kowalewski, M. - Virginia Tech

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DIETL AND KELLEY—PREDATOR-PREY ARMS RACESFIGURE 1—Direction of selective pressures in coevolution and escalation of predator-prey interactions.determine what process was responsible for thepattern we observe. Such tests require a)demonstration that two species interacted aspredator and prey, and b) evidence of evolution ofone or both members of the system in response toone another. Chapters in the first two sections ofthis volume describe various lines of evidence andmethods used to analyze predation in the fossilrecord. In this chapter, we discuss the dynamics ofthe evolutionary processes responsible for the historyof predator-prey systems. We assess the likelihoodof the occurrence of coevolution and/or escalationfor several fossil invertebrate predator-prey systems,in order to address the fundamental question: Arethere any general “rules,” or overriding principles,that govern the ecological and evolutionarytrajectories and outcomes of predator-preyinteractions (see also Herre, 1999)? We also explorethe effect of scale in our perception of processesand patterns of predator-prey evolution.MODELS OF COEVOLUTIONAND ESCALATIONRed Queen Hypothesis.—The extreme view ofan arms race is represented in Van Valen’s “RedQueen Hypothesis.” Van Valen (1973, 1976) arguedthat adaptation by one species has a deleterious effecton all other species within its effective environment;this idea is an extension of Fisher’s (1930) view thatany well-adapted species will experience a“constantly deteriorating” environment, owing to“the evolutionary changes…in associatedorganisms.” As Van Valen (1976, p. 181) suggested:“A change in the realized absolute fitness of onespecies is balanced by an equal and opposite changein the realized absolute fitness of all interactingspecies considered together.” Thus a species mustbe running in place (continually adapting) simplyto survive in the context of a changing biologicalenvironment, even if no change occurs within the355

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