Impact of 21st Century Climate Change on Baltic Sea Fish ... - BALTEX

More documents

Recommendations

Info

Comparison with Global & RegionalWarming Expectation in 21 st <strong>Century</strong>-expectation: ca. 3º C/100 years = 0.03º C/yr (Kerr 2004; BACC 2007)Rate <strong>of</strong> change <strong>of</strong> SST ( 0 C yr -1 ;+ 2 SE)0.090.060.030.00MacKenzie & Schiedek 2007Global <strong>Change</strong> Biol.B B A B Bquarter vs avg. increaseJFM AMJ JAS OND Ann.Season-annual rate <strong>of</strong> warming similarto expectation-summers have warmed 2-3x fasterthan expected-seasonal differences in warming willhave important consequencesfor ecological processes(e. g., timing <strong>of</strong> events, probability <strong>of</strong>completion <strong>of</strong> lifehistories, trophiclinkages, …)
Extreme YearsSST, Q319Torungen1817161514131860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000Year-define extreme yearsfrom frequencydistribution <strong>of</strong> observations…No. Observations30252015105Lower 10 th%ile“cold” yearUpper 10 th%ile“warm” year-repeat for each sitefor each quarter012.0 12.8 13.6 14.4 15.2 16.0 16.8 17.6 18.4 19.2 20.0Sea surface temperature (Q3; Torungen)MacKenzie & Schiedek 2007Global <strong>Change</strong> Biol.
Page 1 and 2: Impact of<
Page 3 and 4: Variations in Spawner Biomass <stro
Page 5 and 6: Trends in Exploitation and Adult Bi
Page 7 and 8: Effects of Fishing
Page 9 and 10: Baltic Sea - hydrographic gradients
Page 11 and 12: Spawner Biomass of
Page 13 and 14: Species Interactions: Cod & Clupeid
Page 15 and 16: Estimating Effects of</stro
Page 17 and 18: Data Sources: Ocean Monitoring-comp
Page 19: Long-term Temperature Variability i
Page 23 and 24: Effects of Past Oc
Page 25 and 26: Sprat Recruitment and SpawnerBiomas
Page 27 and 28: Zooplankton ConcentrationsHigher in
Page 29 and 30: Long-term Temperature VariabilitySp
Page 31 and 32: Climate-Hydrograph
Page 33 and 34: Management Application:Risk <strong
Page 35 and 36: Survival of Baltic
Page 37 and 38: Timing of Garfish
Page 39 and 40: Anchovy Spawning in Kattegat-ichthy
Page 41 and 42: Will Warm Invaders Reproducein the
Page 43 and 44: Cod Spawner Biomass and Recruitment
Page 45 and 46: Cod Recruitment per Spawner4Recruit
Page 47 and 48: Exercise Results:Cod Spawner Biomas
Page 49 and 50: Exercise 1: ConclusionsAbundance <s
Page 51 and 52: Cod Spawning Areas in the Baltic Se
Page 53 and 54: Variability in Cod Reproductive Vol
Page 55 and 56: Salinity, Zooplankton and Larval Co
Page 57 and 58: Oxygen Depletion Rate Following aMa
Page 59 and 60: Physical - Biogeochemical Processes
Page 61 and 62: Oceanographic Modeling of</
Page 63 and 64: Inter-annual Variability inCod Repr
Page 65 and 66: Future Climate <st
Page 67 and 68: Future Baltic Salinity in 2070-2100
Page 69 and 70: Exercise 2: Climate</strong
Page 72 and 73:
Uncertainty of Pro
Page 74 and 75:
Scenarios for GroupsGroup Salinity
Page 76 and 77:
Projected Effects of</stron
Page 78:
Future Climate <st
Page 81 and 82:
Cod in a Future Low-Nutrient Baltic
Page 83 and 84:
Cod in a Future Low-Nutrient Baltic
Page 85 and 86:
Baltic Sea Management and Conservat
Page 87 and 88:
Cod Fishing in the Southern Baltic,
Page 89 and 90:
Range Variability of</stron
Page 91 and 92:
Annual Cod Exports from Southern Fi
Page 93 and 94:
Central-Northern Swedish Cod Landin
Page 95 and 96:
Cod in a Hostile Baltic?How could t
Page 98 and 99:
Food Webs and Trophic CascadesPauly
Page 100 and 101:
Trophic Cascades in Marine Foodwebs
Page 102 and 103:
Trophic Cascade in a Marine Foodweb
Page 104 and 105:
Hydrographic Effects on Trophic Int
Page 106 and 107:
Cod Abundance and Cascading Effects
Page 108 and 109:
Regime shifts in the Baltic ecosyst
Page 110:
Early 20th Century
show all

Impact of 21st Century Climate Change on Baltic Sea Fish ... - BALTEX

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?