Impact of 21st Century Climate Change on Baltic Sea Fish ... - BALTEX

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Uncertainty <strong>of</strong> Projected Salinity-assume 50% decline with random variability <strong>of</strong> rate <strong>of</strong>decline-assume past variability = 0.412.010.0Sallinity (z > 100 m)8.0Run 16.0Run 504.0Run 100Run 1502.0 Run 200mean <strong>of</strong> 2000.02000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100
Uncertainty <strong>of</strong> Projected Spawner Biomass1400000Series1SSB12000001000000800000600000400000Series3Series5-make histogram <strong>of</strong>SSB in 2089 (N = 200estimates)20000002000 2020 2040 2060 2080 21002520Frequency1510501000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000Log spawner biomass (t)
Page 1 and 2:
Impact of<
Page 3 and 4:
Variations in Spawner Biomass <stro
Page 5 and 6:
Trends in Exploitation and Adult Bi
Page 7 and 8:
Effects of Fishing
Page 9 and 10:
Baltic Sea - hydrographic gradients
Page 11 and 12:
Spawner Biomass of
Page 13 and 14:
Species Interactions: Cod & Clupeid
Page 15 and 16:
Estimating Effects of</stro
Page 17 and 18:
Data Sources: Ocean Monitoring-comp
Page 19 and 20:
Long-term Temperature Variability i
Page 21 and 22: Extreme YearsSST, Q319Torungen18171
Page 23 and 24: Effects of Past Oc
Page 25 and 26: Sprat Recruitment and SpawnerBiomas
Page 27 and 28: Zooplankton ConcentrationsHigher in
Page 29 and 30: Long-term Temperature VariabilitySp
Page 31 and 32: Climate-Hydrograph
Page 33 and 34: Management Application:Risk <strong
Page 35 and 36: Survival of Baltic
Page 37 and 38: Timing of Garfish
Page 39 and 40: Anchovy Spawning in Kattegat-ichthy
Page 41 and 42: Will Warm Invaders Reproducein the
Page 43 and 44: Cod Spawner Biomass and Recruitment
Page 45 and 46: Cod Recruitment per Spawner4Recruit
Page 47 and 48: Exercise Results:Cod Spawner Biomas
Page 49 and 50: Exercise 1: ConclusionsAbundance <s
Page 51 and 52: Cod Spawning Areas in the Baltic Se
Page 53 and 54: Variability in Cod Reproductive Vol
Page 55 and 56: Salinity, Zooplankton and Larval Co
Page 57 and 58: Oxygen Depletion Rate Following aMa
Page 59 and 60: Physical - Biogeochemical Processes
Page 61 and 62: Oceanographic Modeling of</
Page 63 and 64: Inter-annual Variability inCod Repr
Page 65 and 66: Future Climate <st
Page 67 and 68: Future Baltic Salinity in 2070-2100
Page 69 and 70: Exercise 2: Climate</strong
Page 74 and 75: Scenarios for GroupsGroup Salinity
Page 76 and 77: Projected Effects of</stron
Page 78: Future Climate <st
Page 81 and 82: Cod in a Future Low-Nutrient Baltic
Page 83 and 84: Cod in a Future Low-Nutrient Baltic
Page 85 and 86: Baltic Sea Management and Conservat
Page 87 and 88: Cod Fishing in the Southern Baltic,
Page 89 and 90: Range Variability of</stron
Page 91 and 92: Annual Cod Exports from Southern Fi
Page 93 and 94: Central-Northern Swedish Cod Landin
Page 95 and 96: Cod in a Hostile Baltic?How could t
Page 98 and 99: Food Webs and Trophic CascadesPauly
Page 100 and 101: Trophic Cascades in Marine Foodwebs
Page 102 and 103: Trophic Cascade in a Marine Foodweb
Page 104 and 105: Hydrographic Effects on Trophic Int
Page 106 and 107: Cod Abundance and Cascading Effects
Page 108 and 109: Regime shifts in the Baltic ecosyst
Page 110: Early 20th Century
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Impact of 21st Century Climate Change on Baltic Sea Fish ... - BALTEX

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