TABLE B–31.—Median money income (in 1998 dollars) and poverty status of families and persons,by race, selected years, 1980–98YearNumber(millions)Medianmoneyincome(in1998dollars)2Families 1TotalBelow poverty levelFemalehouseholderNumber(millions)PercentNumber(millions)PercentPersonsbelowpoverty levelMedian money income (in 1998 dollars)of persons 15 years old and over withincome 2AllpersonsMalesNumber(millions)PercentYearroundfull-timeworkersAllpersonsFemalesYearroundfull-timeworkersALL RACES1980 3 ....................... 60.3 $41,637 6.2 10.3 3.0 32.7 29.3 13.0 $24,816 $37,973 $9,744 $22,9571981 ......................... 61.0 40,502 6.9 11.2 3.3 34.6 31.8 14.0 24,374 37,434 9,874 22,5361982 ......................... 61.4 39,954 7.5 12.2 3.4 36.3 34.4 15.0 23,785 36,922 10,037 23,2961983 4 ....................... 62.0 40,380 7.6 12.3 3.6 36.0 35.3 15.2 23,993 36,794 10,482 23,6741984 ......................... 62.7 41,469 7.3 11.6 3.5 34.5 33.7 14.4 24,474 37,658 10,775 24,1941985 ......................... 63.6 42,015 7.2 11.4 3.5 34.0 33.1 14.0 24,709 37,870 10,933 24,6201986 ......................... 64.5 43,811 7.0 10.9 3.6 34.6 32.4 13.6 25,452 38,510 11,318 25,0491987 5 ....................... 65.2 44,438 7.0 10.7 3.7 34.2 32.2 13.4 25,520 38,283 11,902 25,2021988 ......................... 65.8 44,354 6.9 10.4 3.6 33.4 31.7 13.0 26,052 37,673 12,241 25,5521989 ......................... 66.1 44,974 6.8 10.3 3.5 32.2 31.5 12.8 26,150 37,357 12,651 25,8141990 ......................... 66.3 44,090 7.1 10.7 3.8 33.4 33.6 13.5 25,308 36,141 12,559 25,6801991 ......................... 67.2 43,011 7.7 11.5 4.2 35.6 35.7 14.2 24,497 36,299 12,537 25,4251992 6 ....................... 68.2 42,490 8.1 11.9 4.3 35.4 38.0 14.8 23,765 35,820 12,447 25,6681993 ......................... 68.5 41,691 8.4 12.3 4.4 35.6 39.3 15.1 23,804 35,056 12,460 25,3461994 ......................... 69.3 42,655 8.1 11.6 4.2 34.6 38.1 14.5 23,889 34,769 12,611 25,5881995 ......................... 69.6 43,436 7.5 10.8 4.1 32.4 36.4 13.8 24,131 34,439 12,974 25,4311996 ......................... 70.2 43,945 7.7 11.0 4.2 32.6 36.5 13.7 24,761 34,842 13,313 25,9041997 ......................... 70.9 45,262 7.3 10.3 4.0 31.6 35.6 13.3 25,605 35,797 13,916 26,4341998 ......................... 71.6 46,737 7.2 10.0 3.8 29.9 34.5 12.7 26,492 36,252 14,430 26,855WHITE1980 3 ....................... 52.7 43,382 4.2 8.0 1.6 25.7 19.7 10.2 26,397 39,057 9,798 23,1781981 ......................... 53.3 42,545 4.7 8.8 1.8 27.4 21.6 11.1 25,863 38,313 9,984 22,9121982 ......................... 53.4 41,949 5.1 9.6 1.8 27.9 23.5 12.0 25,146 37,906 10,174 23,6091983 4 ....................... 53.9 42,283 5.2 9.7 1.9 28.3 24.0 12.1 25,242 37,773 10,665 23,9901984 ......................... 54.4 43,434 4.9 9.1 1.9 27.1 23.0 11.5 25,834 38,947 10,902 24,4341985 ......................... 55.0 44,161 5.0 9.1 2.0 27.4 22.9 11.4 25,921 38,922 11,145 24,9681986 ......................... 55.7 45,820 4.8 8.6 2.0 28.2 22.2 11.0 26,859 39,585 11,541 25,4331987 5 ....................... 56.1 46,468 4.6 8.1 2.0 26.9 21.2 10.4 27,126 39,176 12,206 25,6681988 ......................... 56.5 46,730 4.5 7.9 1.9 26.5 20.7 10.1 27,501 38,941 12,543 25,9351989 ......................... 56.6 47,290 4.4 7.8 1.9 25.4 20.8 10.0 27,425 39,004 12,898 26,1211990 ......................... 56.8 46,038 4.6 8.1 2.0 26.8 22.3 10.7 26,402 37,515 12,867 25,9891991 ......................... 57.2 45,218 5.0 8.8 2.2 28.4 23.7 11.3 25,605 37,044 12,831 25,7961992 6 ....................... 57.7 44,927 5.3 9.1 2.2 28.5 25.3 11.9 24,869 36,672 12,737 25,9651993 ......................... 57.9 44,331 5.5 9.4 2.4 29.2 26.2 12.2 24,795 35,907 12,708 25,9211994 ......................... 58.4 44,967 5.3 9.1 2.3 29.0 25.4 11.7 24,933 35,680 12,791 26,2801995 ......................... 58.9 45,612 5.0 8.5 2.2 26.6 24.4 11.2 25,557 35,846 13,173 25,9521996 ......................... 58.9 46,496 5.1 8.6 2.3 27.3 24.7 11.2 25,919 36,092 13,465 26,3441997 ......................... 59.5 47,482 5.0 8.4 2.3 27.7 24.4 11.0 26,522 36,681 14,007 26,8821998 ......................... 60.1 49,023 4.8 8.0 2.1 24.9 23.5 10.5 27,646 37,196 14,617 27,304BLACK1980 3 ....................... 6.3 25,102 1.8 28.9 1.3 49.4 8.6 32.5 15,862 27,480 9,071 21,6181981 ......................... 6.4 24,000 2.0 30.8 1.4 52.9 9.2 34.2 15,379 27,108 8,870 20,6921982 ......................... 6.5 23,185 2.2 33.0 1.5 56.2 9.7 35.6 15,069 26,922 8,974 21,1011983 4 ....................... 6.7 23,830 2.2 32.3 1.5 53.7 9.9 35.7 14,762 26,949 9,114 21,2951984 ......................... 6.8 24,208 2.1 30.9 1.5 51.7 9.5 33.8 14,822 26,580 9,670 22,0201985 ......................... 6.9 25,429 2.0 28.7 1.5 50.5 8.9 31.3 16,312 27,224 9,509 22,1021986 ......................... 7.1 26,181 2.0 28.0 1.5 50.1 9.0 31.1 16,095 27,909 9,765 22,2551987 5 ....................... 7.2 26,410 2.1 29.4 1.6 51.1 9.5 32.4 16,092 28,011 9,971 22,9261988 ......................... 7.4 26,633 2.1 28.2 1.6 49.0 9.4 31.3 16,595 28,544 10,126 23,2401989 ......................... 7.5 26,565 2.1 27.8 1.5 46.5 9.3 30.7 16,575 27,216 10,352 23,4921990 ......................... 7.5 26,717 2.2 29.3 1.6 48.1 9.8 31.9 16,048 26,790 10,386 23,1271991 ......................... 7.7 25,788 2.3 30.4 1.8 51.2 10.2 32.7 15,513 27,080 10,551 22,8991992 6 ....................... 8.0 24,517 2.5 31.1 1.9 50.2 10.8 33.4 15,178 26,711 10,325 23,5361993 ......................... 8.0 24,300 2.5 31.3 1.9 49.9 10.9 33.1 16,475 26,583 10,725 22,9161994 ......................... 8.1 27,164 2.2 27.3 1.7 46.2 10.2 30.6 16,478 26,842 11,597 22,6881995 ......................... 8.1 27,776 2.1 26.4 1.7 45.1 9.9 29.3 17,119 26,523 11,723 22,5451996 ......................... 8.5 27,553 2.2 26.1 1.7 43.7 9.7 28.4 17,132 28,191 12,230 22,8451997 ......................... 8.4 29,048 2.0 23.6 1.6 39.8 9.1 26.5 18,378 27,316 13,251 23,1191998 ......................... 8.5 29,404 2.0 23.4 1.6 40.8 9.1 26.1 19,321 27,472 13,137 23,8641The term ‘‘family’’ refers to a group of two or more persons related by birth, marriage, or adoption and residing together. Every familymust include a reference person. Beginning 1979, based on householder concept and restricted to primary families.2Current dollar median money income adjusted by CPI-U-X1.3Based on 1980 census population controls (beginning 1979); comparable with succeeding years.4Reflects implementation of Hispanic population controls; comparable with succeeding years.5Based on revised methodology; comparable with succeeding years.6Based on 1990 census adjusted population controls; comparable with succeeding years.Note.--Poverty rates (percent of persons below poverty level) for all races for years not shown above are: 1959, 22.4; 1960, 22.2; 1961,21.9; 1962, 21.0; 1963, 19.5; 1964, 19.0; 1965, 17.3; 1966, 14.7; 1967, 14.2; 1968, 12.8; 1969, 12.1; 1970, 12.6; 1971, 12.5; 1972, 11.9;1973, 11.1; 1974, 11.2; 1975, 12.3; 1976, 11.8; 1977, 11.6; 1978, 11.4; and 1979, 11.7.Poverty thresholds are updated each year to reflect changes in the consumer price index (CPI-U).For details see ‘‘Current Population Reports,’’ Series P-60.Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.344
POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, AND PRODUCTIVITYTABLE B–32.—Population by age group, 1929–99[Thousands of persons]Age (years)July 1TotalUnder 5 5-15 16-19 20-24 25-44 45-6465 andover1929 .......................... 121,767 11,734 26,800 9,127 10,694 35,862 21,076 6,4741933 .......................... 125,579 10,612 26,897 9,302 11,152 37,319 22,933 7,3631939 .......................... 130,880 10,418 25,179 9,822 11,519 39,354 25,823 8,7641940 .......................... 132,122 10,579 24,811 9,895 11,690 39,868 26,249 9,0311941 .......................... 133,402 10,850 24,516 9,840 11,807 40,383 26,718 9,2881942 .......................... 134,860 11,301 24,231 9,730 11,955 40,861 27,196 9,5841943 .......................... 136,739 12,016 24,093 9,607 12,064 41,420 27,671 9,8671944 .......................... 138,397 12,524 23,949 9,561 12,062 42,016 28,138 10,1471945 .......................... 139,928 12,979 23,907 9,361 12,036 42,521 28,630 10,4941946 .......................... 141,389 13,244 24,103 9,119 12,004 43,027 29,064 10,8281947 .......................... 144,126 14,406 24,468 9,097 11,814 43,657 29,498 11,1851948 .......................... 146,631 14,919 25,209 8,952 11,794 44,288 29,931 11,5381949 .......................... 149,188 15,607 25,852 8,788 11,700 44,916 30,405 11,9211950 .......................... 152,271 16,410 26,721 8,542 11,680 45,672 30,849 12,3971951 .......................... 154,878 17,333 27,279 8,446 11,552 46,103 31,362 12,8031952 .......................... 157,553 17,312 28,894 8,414 11,350 46,495 31,884 13,2031953 .......................... 160,184 17,638 30,227 8,460 11,062 46,786 32,394 13,6171954 .......................... 163,026 18,057 31,480 8,637 10,832 47,001 32,942 14,0761955 .......................... 165,931 18,566 32,682 8,744 10,714 47,194 33,506 14,5251956 .......................... 168,903 19,003 33,994 8,916 10,616 47,379 34,057 14,9381957 .......................... 171,984 19,494 35,272 9,195 10,603 47,440 34,591 15,3881958 .......................... 174,882 19,887 36,445 9,543 10,756 47,337 35,109 15,8061959 .......................... 177,830 20,175 37,368 10,215 10,969 47,192 35,663 16,2481960 .......................... 180,671 20,341 38,494 10,683 11,134 47,140 36,203 16,6751961 .......................... 183,691 20,522 39,765 11,025 11,483 47,084 36,722 17,0891962 .......................... 186,538 20,469 41,205 11,180 11,959 47,013 37,255 17,4571963 .......................... 189,242 20,342 41,626 12,007 12,714 46,994 37,782 17,7781964 .......................... 191,889 20,165 42,297 12,736 13,269 46,958 38,338 18,1271965 .......................... 194,303 19,824 42,938 13,516 13,746 46,912 38,916 18,4511966 .......................... 196,560 19,208 43,702 14,311 14,050 47,001 39,534 18,7551967 .......................... 198,712 18,563 44,244 14,200 15,248 47,194 40,193 19,0711968 .......................... 200,706 17,913 44,622 14,452 15,786 47,721 40,846 19,3651969 .......................... 202,677 17,376 44,840 14,800 16,480 48,064 41,437 19,6801970 .......................... 205,052 17,166 44,816 15,289 17,202 48,473 41,999 20,1071971 .......................... 207,661 17,244 44,591 15,688 18,159 48,936 42,482 20,5611972 .......................... 209,896 17,101 44,203 16,039 18,153 50,482 42,898 21,0201973 .......................... 211,909 16,851 43,582 16,446 18,521 51,749 43,235 21,5251974 .......................... 213,854 16,487 42,989 16,769 18,975 53,051 43,522 22,0611975 .......................... 215,973 16,121 42,508 17,017 19,527 54,302 43,801 22,6961976 .......................... 218,035 15,617 42,099 17,194 19,986 55,852 44,008 23,2781977 .......................... 220,239 15,564 41,298 17,276 20,499 57,561 44,150 23,8921978 .......................... 222,585 15,735 40,428 17,288 20,946 59,400 44,286 24,5021979 .......................... 225,055 16,063 39,552 17,242 21,297 61,379 44,390 25,1341980 .......................... 227,726 16,451 38,838 17,167 21,590 63,470 44,504 25,7071981 .......................... 229,966 16,893 38,144 16,812 21,869 65,528 44,500 26,2211982 .......................... 232,188 17,228 37,784 16,332 21,902 67,692 44,462 26,7871983 .......................... 234,307 17,547 37,526 15,823 21,844 69,733 44,474 27,3611984 .......................... 236,348 17,695 37,461 15,295 21,737 71,735 44,547 27,8781985 .......................... 238,466 17,842 37,450 15,005 21,478 73,673 44,602 28,4161986 .......................... 240,651 17,963 37,404 15,024 20,942 75,651 44,660 29,0081987 .......................... 242,804 18,052 37,333 15,215 20,385 77,338 44,854 29,6261988 .......................... 245,021 18,195 37,593 15,198 19,846 78,595 45,471 30,1241989 .......................... 247,342 18,508 37,972 14,913 19,442 79,943 45,882 30,6821990 .......................... 249,948 18,850 38,595 14,460 19,304 81,208 46,292 31,2391991 .......................... 252,639 19,186 39,178 13,967 19,332 82,443 46,756 31,7771992 .......................... 255,374 19,488 39,848 13,736 19,168 82,501 48,339 32,2941993 .......................... 258,083 19,670 40,445 13,888 18,892 82,800 49,576 32,8121994 .......................... 260,599 19,697 41,076 14,142 18,487 83,104 50,884 33,2091995 .......................... 263,044 19,529 41,743 14,411 18,068 83,441 52,234 33,6181996 .......................... 265,463 19,289 42,235 14,917 17,592 83,762 53,712 33,9551997 .......................... 268,008 19,097 42,727 15,267 17,565 83,711 55,444 34,1981998 .......................... 270,561 18,966 43,056 15,660 17,758 83,454 57,267 34,4011999 .......................... 273,131 18,918 43,333 15,955 18,141 82,977 59,230 34,578Note.--Includes Armed Forces overseas beginning 1940. Includes Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1950.All estimates are consistent with decennial census enumerations.Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.345
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E C O N O M I CR E P O R TO F T H E
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C O N T E N T SPageECONOMIC REPORT
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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my State of the Union address, I pr
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hard-pressed families—with additi
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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PageSources of Business Cycle Moder
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PageHeterogeneity in Abatement Bene
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Page2-3. Net Worth and the Personal
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PageLIST OF BOXES2-1. The CPI-U-RS,
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These successes notwithstanding, th
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$33,740, Americans today can acquir
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those in the highest decile rose 0.
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Data on poverty also show progress.
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Over the years, government support
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asis, the current expansion also sh
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The current expansion, by contrast,
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InflationAccelerating inflation pos
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it was argued, must be shifting the
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is that the direction of technologi
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Challenges for the FutureThis chapt
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in the new labor market. The chapte
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disruptive in some cases. Finally,
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C H A P T E R 2Macroeconomic Policy
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Chapter 2 | 51
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usiness cycle has changed over the
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cent over the four quarters of 1999
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framework that continues to pay dow
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The labor force participation rate
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Box 2-1.—continuedof no substitut
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feed directly into the index. Moreo
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funds rate (the interest rate that
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nesses with below-investment-grade
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From 1989 to 1999, corporate earnin
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ital includes the value of intellec
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of gross personal saving to GDP has
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The beginnings and ends of U.S. bus
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introduced in 1913 and Social Secur
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Of course, it is premature to decla
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Box 2-3.What Did We Learn from the
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TABLE 2-3.— Accounting for the Pr
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future extrapolates long-term trend
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Over the past 6 years, the CPI-U-RS
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work enables job hunters to work wh
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Chart 2-17 shows how this could hap
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of professional economic forecaster
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Administration’s forecast is used
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Innovations during the 20th century
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transformations the Internet and e-
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Another industry that saw major cha
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One example is the “lean” produ
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Box 3-1. Measuring the Economy in a
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Box 3-2. Implementing Local Competi
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of fiber optic cable deployed by te
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How Information Technology IsChangi
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total investment in information tec
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For e-retailers, the Internet repla
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suppliers for surplus quantities of
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However, the same technology that d
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value of each network to its users.
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many possible uses but that depends
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Maintaining CompetitionAnother way
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Similarly, by reducing barriers to
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Formal education was a far less imp
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The Transformation of the Labor Mar
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Americans has risen almost 10-fold
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diploma (Chart 4-5). That same year
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ensuring equal opportunity for all
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those of men (again looking at full
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Box 4-1. The Role of Government Pol
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severe disabilities. For example, a
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Box 4-2.—continuedOther policy in
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equirements of jobs. To right this
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uild and maintain a world-class ele
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Class Size Reduction. Average class
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During this Administration, the Fed
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years ago. In 2000, 13.1 million st
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through a period of unpaid training
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The first major mandatory training
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a 30-year low, labor force particip
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ConclusionTwo key developments—th
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TABLE 5-1.—Contrasting American F
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opened up for women to work and as
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The increased prevalence of single-
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to an increasing share of the popul
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Box 5-1.—continuedAlthough most f
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For the past 50 years, the median i
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gle mothers the median rose from $1
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TABLE 5-3.— Share of Women with C
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income growth over the last 30 year
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consumption patterns have changed,
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Increases in the Minimum WageThe mi
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Box 5-4.The National Strategy to Re
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or older, and of those 85 or older,
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of single-parent families increased
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caregivers for the elderly say thei
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would allow all workers who get tim
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C H A P T E R 6Opportunity and Chal
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Meanwhile innovations in transporta
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But to look at U.S. trade only in t
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Data from the U.S. computer industr
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net indebtedness of about 18 percen
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capital flows. Coupled with other d
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forces to play themselves out. In t
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The Benefits of a Global EconomyThe
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Domestic production can expand when
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In short, increased globalization b
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key sectors such as finance, teleco
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international trade is not a zero-s
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As these data suggest, not all WTO
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For example, preferential U.S. trad
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By contrast, in 1998 output fell on
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Box 6-3.The New International Finan
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The key objective of the initiative
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Chapter 6 | 233
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demand for exports. It would be a m
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integrating with the world economy
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The past century of experience in a
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242 | Economic Report of the Presid
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Box 7-1.—continuedand energy pric
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Box 7-2.—continuedproviding usefu
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Incentive-Based Approaches to Addre
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compliance costs may fall by less t
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Box 7-4.—continuedroughly 5 to 15
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so a system of multipollutant tradi
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sulfur dioxide trading program. The
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coastal zone. Trades can occur with
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Permit Trading: Phasedown of Leaded
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To address the problems associated
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Box 7-5. Individual Quotas for Fish
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A landmark international agreement
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However, the country could cut ener
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Quantitative Restrictions on Tradin
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comprehensive domestic trading syst
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Box 7-9.—continuedthe use of ener
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C O N C L U S I O NA Century of Cha
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More than 40 percent of the work fo
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growth and are credited with helpin
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have much to gain from continuing t
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Appendix AREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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previously served as the New Centur
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- Page 366 and 367: Year ormonthTABLE B-59.—Consumer
- Page 368 and 369: TABLE B-60.—Consumer price indexe
- Page 370 and 371: TABLE B-62.—Changes in consumer p
- Page 372 and 373: TABLE B-63.—Producer price indexe
- Page 374 and 375: TABLE B-65.—Producer price indexe
- Page 376 and 377: TABLE B-66.—Changes in producer p
- Page 378 and 379: TABLE B-68.—Components of money s
- Page 380 and 381: TABLE B-69.—Aggregate reserves of
- Page 382 and 383: Year andmonthBills(new issues) 13-m
- Page 384 and 385: TABLE B-72.—Credit market borrowi
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TABLE B-73.—Mortgage debt outstan
- Page 388 and 389:
TABLE B-75.—Consumer credit outst
- Page 390 and 391:
TABLE B-77.—Federal budget receip
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TABLE B-79.—Federal receipts, out
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TABLE B-81.—Federal and State and
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TABLE B-83.—State and local gover
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TABLE B-85.—Interest-bearing publ
- Page 400 and 401:
End of monthTABLE B-87.—Estimated
- Page 402 and 403:
TABLE B-89.—Corporate profits by
- Page 404 and 405:
TABLE B-91.—Sales, profits, and s
- Page 406 and 407:
Year or monthTABLE B-93.—Common s
- Page 408 and 409:
AGRICULTURETABLE B-95.—Farm incom
- Page 410 and 411:
TABLE B-97.—Farm output and produ
- Page 412 and 413:
Year ormonthTABLE B-99.—Indexes o
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Year orquarterExportsINTERNATIONAL
- Page 416 and 417:
TABLE B-102.—U.S. international t
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TABLE B-104.—U.S. international t
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TABLE B-106.—Industrial productio
- Page 422 and 423:
PeriodTABLE B-108.—Foreign exchan
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TABLE B-110.—Growth rates in real
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