TABLE B–85.—Interest-bearing public debt securities by kind of obligation, 1967–99End of yearor monthTotalinterestbearingpublicdebtsecuritiesTotal 1Treasurybills[Billions of dollars]MarketableTreasurynotesTreasurybondsTreasuryinflationindexedNotes BondsTotalU.S.savingssecurities2NonmarketableForeignseries3GovernmentaccountseriesFiscal year:1967 ............................ 322.3 5210.7 58.5 49.1 97.4 ......... .......... 111.6 51.2 1.5 56.2 2.71968 ............................ 344.4 226.6 64.4 71.1 91.1 ......... .......... 117.8 51.7 3.7 59.5 2.81969 ............................ 351.7 226.1 68.4 78.9 78.8 ......... .......... 125.6 51.7 4.1 66.8 3.11970 ............................ 369.0 232.6 76.2 93.5 63.0 ......... .......... 136.4 51.3 4.8 76.3 4.11971 ............................ 396.3 245.5 86.7 104.8 54.0 ......... .......... 150.8 53.0 9.3 82.8 5.81972 ............................ 425.4 257.2 94.6 113.4 49.1 ......... .......... 168.2 55.9 19.0 89.6 3.71973 ............................ 456.4 263.0 100.1 117.8 45.1 ......... .......... 193.4 59.4 28.5 101.7 3.71974 ............................ 473.2 266.6 105.0 128.4 33.1 ......... .......... 206.7 61.9 25.0 115.4 4.31975 ............................ 532.1 315.6 128.6 150.3 36.8 ......... .......... 216.5 65.5 23.2 124.2 3.61976 ............................ 619.3 392.6 161.2 191.8 39.6 ......... .......... 226.7 69.7 21.5 130.6 4.91977 ............................ 697.6 443.5 156.1 241.7 45.7 ......... .......... 254.1 75.4 21.8 140.1 16.81978 ............................ 767.0 485.2 160.9 267.9 56.4 ......... .......... 281.8 79.8 21.7 153.3 27.11979 ............................ 819.0 506.7 161.4 274.2 71.1 ......... .......... 312.3 80.4 28.1 176.4 27.41980 ............................ 906.4 594.5 199.8 310.9 83.8 ......... .......... 311.9 72.7 25.2 189.8 24.21981 ............................ 996.5 683.2 223.4 363.6 96.2 ......... .......... 313.3 68.0 20.5 201.1 23.71982 ............................ 1,140.9 824.4 277.9 442.9 103.6 ......... .......... 316.5 67.3 14.6 210.5 24.11983 ............................ 1,375.8 1,024.0 340.7 557.5 125.7 ......... .......... 351.8 70.0 11.5 234.7 35.61984 ............................ 1,559.6 1,176.6 356.8 661.7 158.1 ......... .......... 383.0 72.8 8.8 259.5 41.81985 ............................ 1,821.0 1,360.2 384.2 776.4 199.5 ......... .......... 460.8 77.0 6.6 313.9 63.31986 ............................ 2,122.7 11,564.3 410.7 896.9 241.7 ......... .......... 558.4 85.6 4.1 365.9 102.81987 ............................ 2,347.8 11,676.0 378.3 1,005.1 277.6 ......... .......... 671.8 97.0 4.4 440.7 129.81988 ............................ 2,599.9 11,802.9 398.5 1,089.6 299.9 ......... .......... 797.0 106.2 6.3 536.5 148.01989 ............................ 2,836.3 11,892.8 406.6 1,133.2 338.0 ......... .......... 943.5 114.0 6.8 663.7 159.01990 ............................ 3,210.9 12,092.8 482.5 1,218.1 377.2 ......... .......... 1,118.2 122.2 36.0 779.4 180.61991 ............................ 3,662.8 12,390.7 564.6 1,387.7 423.4 ......... .......... 1,272.1 133.5 41.6 908.4 188.51992 ............................ 4,061.8 12,677.5 634.3 1,566.3 461.8 ......... .......... 1,384.3 148.3 37.0 1,011.0 188.01993 ............................ 4,408.6 12,904.9 658.4 1,734.2 497.4 ......... .......... 1,503.7 167.0 42.5 1,114.3 179.91994 ............................ 4,689.5 13,091.6 697.3 1,867.5 511.8 ......... .......... 1,597.9 176.4 42.0 1,211.7 167.81995 ............................ 4,950.6 13,260.4 742.5 1,980.3 522.6 ......... .......... 1,690.2 181.2 41.0 1,324.3 143.81996 ............................ 5,220.8 13,418.4 761.2 2,098.7 543.5 ......... .......... 1,802.4 184.1 37.5 1,454.7 126.11997 ............................ 5,407.5 13,439.6 701.9 2,122.2 576.2 24.4 .......... 1,967.9 182.7 34.9 1,608.5 141.91998 ............................ 5,518.7 13,331.0 637.6 2,009.1 610.4 41.9 17.0 2,187.7 180.8 35.1 1,777.3 194.41999 ............................ 5,647.2 13,233.0 653.2 1,828.8 643.7 67.6 24.8 2,414.2 180.0 31.0 2,005.2 198.11998: Jan ......................... 5,450.0 13,398.1 688.8 2,065.5 587.3 41.4 .......... 2,051.9 181.1 36.1 1,677.3 157.4Feb ........................ 5,482.1 13,424.1 705.1 2,063.9 598.7 41.4 .......... 2,057.9 181.3 35.9 1,678.6 162.2Mar ........................ 5,535.3 13,467.1 720.1 2,091.9 598.7 41.5 .......... 2,068.2 181.2 36.4 1,681.5 169.1Apr ........................ 5,492.8 13,399.2 657.9 2,077.7 598.7 41.5 8.4 2,093.6 181.3 36.2 1,698.8 177.4May ....................... 5,464.5 13,353.0 647.8 2,041.5 598.7 41.6 8.4 2,111.5 180.7 36.2 1,713.6 181.0June ....................... 5,540.2 13,369.5 641.1 2,064.6 598.7 41.7 8.4 2,170.7 180.7 36.0 1,769.1 185.0July ........................ 5,520.1 13,350.8 638.1 2,040.3 598.7 41.8 16.9 2,169.3 180.6 35.7 1,765.4 187.6Aug ........................ 5,557.0 13,384.6 676.4 2,023.9 610.4 41.8 16.9 2,172.5 180.7 35.5 1,768.2 188.1Sept ....................... 5,518.7 13,331.0 637.6 2,009.1 610.4 41.9 17.0 2,187.7 180.8 35.1 1,777.3 194.4Oct ......................... 5,515.4 13,308.9 651.4 1,964.6 610.4 50.4 17.0 2,206.6 181.2 32.8 1,798.6 194.0Nov ........................ 5,584.5 13,363.4 685.5 1,974.3 621.2 50.5 17.0 2,221.2 181.5 34.4 1,811.9 193.4Dec ........................ 5,605.4 13,355.5 691.0 1,960.7 621.2 50.6 17.0 2,249.9 180.3 34.3 1,840.0 195.31999: Jan ......................... 5,568.1 13,292.8 662.7 1,917.7 621.2 59.1 17.0 2,275.3 180.4 34.1 1,866.3 194.5Feb ........................ 5,580.2 13,294.5 667.5 1,903.4 632.5 59.1 17.0 2,285.7 180.6 33.9 1,875.9 195.2Mar ........................ 5,643.1 13,361.3 725.5 1,912.0 632.5 59.2 17.1 2,281.8 180.6 33.5 1,870.2 197.4Apr ........................ 5,577.4 13,272.6 650.1 1,891.2 632.5 59.3 24.5 2,304.8 180.8 32.9 1,889.4 201.7May ....................... 5,563.1 13,240.6 648.5 1,860.6 632.5 59.5 24.5 2,322.5 180.0 31.8 1,908.3 202.4June ....................... 5,629.5 13,248.5 647.8 1,868.5 632.5 59.9 24.7 2,381.0 180.0 30.9 1,967.5 202.6July ........................ 5,599.1 13,223.7 654.8 1,829.3 632.5 67.4 24.7 2,375.4 180.1 30.9 1,964.8 199.6Aug ........................ 5,663.4 13,281.0 689.9 1,840.3 643.7 67.4 24.7 2,382.4 180.0 30.7 1,973.1 198.5Sept ....................... 5,647.2 13,233.0 653.2 1,828.8 643.7 67.6 24.8 2,414.2 180.0 31.0 2,005.2 198.1Oct ......................... 5,640.6 13,211.2 663.0 1,789.5 643.7 67.8 32.3 2,429.4 180.3 31.0 2,022.2 196.0Nov ........................ 5,684.7 13,243.7 687.9 1,796.6 643.7 68.1 32.5 2,441.0 180.4 31.0 2,032.7 197.0Dec ........................ 5,766.1 13,281.0 737.1 1,784.5 643.7 68.2 32.5 2,485.1 179.3 31.3 2,078.7 195.71Includes Federal Financing Bank securities, not shown separately, in the amount of 15,000 million dollars.2Series previously shown as U.S. savings bonds. Beginning January 1997, includes U.S. retirement plan bonds, U.S. individual retirementbonds, and U.S. savings notes previously included in ‘‘other’’ nonmarketable interest-bearing public debt securities in this table. Data prior toJanuary 1997 do not reflect this change.3Nonmarketable certificates of indebtedness, notes, bonds, and bills in the Treasury foreign series of dollar-denominated and foreigncurrencydenominated issues.4Includes depository bonds, retirement plan bonds, Rural Electrification Administration bonds, State and local bonds, and special issuesheld only by U.S. Government agencies and trust funds and the Federal home loan banks. See footnote 2.5Includes $5,610 million in certificates not shown separately.Note.--Through fiscal year 1976, the fiscal year was on a July 1-June 30 basis; beginning October 1976 (fiscal year 1977), the fiscal yearis on an October 1-September 30 basis.Source: Department of the Treasury.Other 4406
TABLE B–86.—Maturity distribution and average length of marketable interest-bearing public debtsecurities held by private investors, 1967–99End of year or monthAmountoutstanding,privatelyheldWithin1 year1 to 5yearsMaturity class5 to 10years10 to 20years20 yearsand overAverage length 1Millions of dollars Years MonthsFiscal year:1967 ................................................. 150,321 56,561 53,584 21,057 6,153 12,968 5 11968 ................................................. 159,671 66,746 52,295 21,850 6,110 12,670 4 51969 ................................................. 156,008 69,311 50,182 18,078 6,097 12,337 4 21970 ................................................. 157,910 76,443 57,035 8,286 7,876 8,272 3 81971 ................................................. 161,863 74,803 58,557 14,503 6,357 7,645 3 61972 ................................................. 165,978 79,509 57,157 16,033 6,358 6,922 3 31973 ................................................. 167,869 84,041 54,139 16,385 8,741 4,564 3 11974 ................................................. 164,862 87,150 50,103 14,197 9,930 3,481 2 111975 ................................................. 210,382 115,677 65,852 15,385 8,857 4,611 2 81976 ................................................. 279,782 150,296 90,578 24,169 8,087 6,652 2 71977 ................................................. 326,674 161,329 113,319 33,067 8,428 10,531 2 111978 ................................................. 356,501 163,819 132,993 33,500 11,383 14,805 3 31979 ................................................. 380,530 181,883 127,574 32,279 18,489 20,304 3 71980 ................................................. 463,717 220,084 156,244 38,809 25,901 22,679 3 91981 ................................................. 549,863 256,187 182,237 48,743 32,569 30,127 4 01982 ................................................. 682,043 314,436 221,783 75,749 33,017 37,058 3 111983 ................................................. 862,631 379,579 294,955 99,174 40,826 48,097 4 11984 ................................................. 1,017,488 437,941 332,808 130,417 49,664 66,658 4 61985 ................................................. 1,185,675 472,661 402,766 159,383 62,853 88,012 4 111986 ................................................. 1,354,275 506,903 467,348 189,995 70,664 119,365 5 31987 ................................................. 1,445,366 483,582 526,746 209,160 72,862 153,016 5 91988 ................................................. 1,555,208 524,201 552,993 232,453 74,186 171,375 5 91989 ................................................. 1,654,660 546,751 578,333 247,428 80,616 201,532 6 01990 ................................................. 1,841,903 626,297 630,144 267,573 82,713 235,176 6 11991 ................................................. 2,113,799 713,778 761,243 280,574 84,900 273,304 6 01992 ................................................. 2,363,802 808,705 866,329 295,921 84,706 308,141 5 111993 ................................................. 2,562,336 858,135 978,714 306,663 94,345 324,479 5 101994 ................................................. 2,719,861 877,932 1,128,322 289,998 88,208 335,401 5 81995 ................................................. 2,870,781 1,002,875 1,157,492 290,111 87,297 333,006 5 41996 ................................................. 3,011,185 1,058,558 1,212,258 306,643 111,360 322,366 5 31997 ................................................. 2,998,846 1,017,913 1,206,993 321,622 154,205 298,113 5 41998 ................................................. 2,856,637 940,572 1,105,175 319,331 157,347 334,212 5 81999 ................................................. 2,728,011 915,145 962,644 378,163 149,703 322,356 5 91998: Jan ................................................... 2,954,877 1,011,181 1,139,318 338,503 155,193 310,681 5 6Feb .................................................. 2,978,212 1,029,311 1,147,184 326,495 154,836 320,386 5 6Mar .................................................. 3,010,826 1,040,573 1,173,036 326,381 152,471 318,365 5 5Apr .................................................. 2,925,886 970,975 1,153,410 324,973 151,116 325,411 5 6May ................................................. 2,895,190 964,171 1,113,080 335,515 162,395 320,029 5 8June ................................................. 2,894,829 952,967 1,132,460 333,666 159,368 316,369 5 7July .................................................. 2,886,700 945,246 1,117,403 335,330 161,250 327,471 5 7Aug .................................................. 2,918,259 982,323 1,121,554 320,287 159,382 334,713 5 7Sept ................................................. 2,856,637 940,572 1,105,175 319,331 157,347 334,212 5 8Oct .................................................. 2,837,432 945,953 1,069,335 327,268 159,593 335,283 5 8Nov .................................................. 2,884,352 981,135 1,068,719 335,700 164,364 334,433 5 8Dec .................................................. 2,887,273 986,500 1,072,170 368,435 123,614 336,554 5 61999: Jan ................................................... 2,825,086 953,672 1,035,290 376,570 123,614 335,940 5 7Feb .................................................. 2,820,023 954,337 1,021,966 374,166 141,265 328,289 5 9Mar .................................................. 2,879,622 1,010,698 1,027,821 373,913 140,849 326,341 5 6Apr .................................................. 2,783,211 928,597 1,007,440 373,146 140,587 333,441 5 8May ................................................. 2,745,144 926,147 982,625 369,372 135,759 331,241 5 9June ................................................. 2,747,670 920,996 989,891 369,607 135,759 331,415 5 8July .................................................. 2,725,180 919,082 962,199 376,718 135,759 331,421 5 8Aug .................................................. 2,774,834 950,892 973,938 378,017 149,703 322,284 5 8Sept ................................................. 2,728,011 915,145 962,644 378,163 149,703 322,356 5 91Treasury inflation-indexed notes (first offered in 1997) and bonds (first offered in 1998) are excluded from the average length calculation.Note.--All issues classified to final maturity.Through fiscal year 1976, the fiscal year was on a July 1-June 30 basis; beginning October 1976 (fiscal year 1977), the fiscal year is onan October 1-September 30 basis.Source: Department of the Treasury.407
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E C O N O M I CR E P O R TO F T H E
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C O N T E N T SPageECONOMIC REPORT
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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my State of the Union address, I pr
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hard-pressed families—with additi
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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PageSources of Business Cycle Moder
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PageHeterogeneity in Abatement Bene
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Page2-3. Net Worth and the Personal
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PageLIST OF BOXES2-1. The CPI-U-RS,
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These successes notwithstanding, th
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$33,740, Americans today can acquir
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those in the highest decile rose 0.
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Data on poverty also show progress.
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Over the years, government support
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asis, the current expansion also sh
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The current expansion, by contrast,
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InflationAccelerating inflation pos
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it was argued, must be shifting the
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is that the direction of technologi
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Challenges for the FutureThis chapt
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in the new labor market. The chapte
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disruptive in some cases. Finally,
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C H A P T E R 2Macroeconomic Policy
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Chapter 2 | 51
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usiness cycle has changed over the
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cent over the four quarters of 1999
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framework that continues to pay dow
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The labor force participation rate
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Box 2-1.—continuedof no substitut
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feed directly into the index. Moreo
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funds rate (the interest rate that
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nesses with below-investment-grade
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From 1989 to 1999, corporate earnin
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ital includes the value of intellec
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of gross personal saving to GDP has
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The beginnings and ends of U.S. bus
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introduced in 1913 and Social Secur
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Of course, it is premature to decla
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Box 2-3.What Did We Learn from the
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TABLE 2-3.— Accounting for the Pr
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future extrapolates long-term trend
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Over the past 6 years, the CPI-U-RS
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work enables job hunters to work wh
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Chart 2-17 shows how this could hap
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of professional economic forecaster
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Administration’s forecast is used
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Innovations during the 20th century
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transformations the Internet and e-
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Another industry that saw major cha
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One example is the “lean” produ
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Box 3-1. Measuring the Economy in a
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Box 3-2. Implementing Local Competi
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of fiber optic cable deployed by te
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How Information Technology IsChangi
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total investment in information tec
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For e-retailers, the Internet repla
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suppliers for surplus quantities of
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However, the same technology that d
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value of each network to its users.
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many possible uses but that depends
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Maintaining CompetitionAnother way
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Similarly, by reducing barriers to
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Formal education was a far less imp
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The Transformation of the Labor Mar
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Americans has risen almost 10-fold
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diploma (Chart 4-5). That same year
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ensuring equal opportunity for all
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those of men (again looking at full
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Box 4-1. The Role of Government Pol
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severe disabilities. For example, a
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Box 4-2.—continuedOther policy in
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equirements of jobs. To right this
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uild and maintain a world-class ele
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Class Size Reduction. Average class
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During this Administration, the Fed
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years ago. In 2000, 13.1 million st
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through a period of unpaid training
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The first major mandatory training
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a 30-year low, labor force particip
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ConclusionTwo key developments—th
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TABLE 5-1.—Contrasting American F
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opened up for women to work and as
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The increased prevalence of single-
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to an increasing share of the popul
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Box 5-1.—continuedAlthough most f
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For the past 50 years, the median i
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gle mothers the median rose from $1
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TABLE 5-3.— Share of Women with C
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income growth over the last 30 year
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consumption patterns have changed,
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Increases in the Minimum WageThe mi
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Box 5-4.The National Strategy to Re
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or older, and of those 85 or older,
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of single-parent families increased
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caregivers for the elderly say thei
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would allow all workers who get tim
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C H A P T E R 6Opportunity and Chal
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Meanwhile innovations in transporta
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But to look at U.S. trade only in t
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Data from the U.S. computer industr
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net indebtedness of about 18 percen
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capital flows. Coupled with other d
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forces to play themselves out. In t
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The Benefits of a Global EconomyThe
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Domestic production can expand when
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In short, increased globalization b
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key sectors such as finance, teleco
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international trade is not a zero-s
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As these data suggest, not all WTO
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For example, preferential U.S. trad
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By contrast, in 1998 output fell on
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Box 6-3.The New International Finan
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The key objective of the initiative
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Chapter 6 | 233
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demand for exports. It would be a m
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integrating with the world economy
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The past century of experience in a
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242 | Economic Report of the Presid
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Box 7-1.—continuedand energy pric
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Box 7-2.—continuedproviding usefu
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Incentive-Based Approaches to Addre
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compliance costs may fall by less t
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Box 7-4.—continuedroughly 5 to 15
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so a system of multipollutant tradi
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sulfur dioxide trading program. The
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coastal zone. Trades can occur with
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Permit Trading: Phasedown of Leaded
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To address the problems associated
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Box 7-5. Individual Quotas for Fish
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A landmark international agreement
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However, the country could cut ener
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Quantitative Restrictions on Tradin
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comprehensive domestic trading syst
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Box 7-9.—continuedthe use of ener
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C O N C L U S I O NA Century of Cha
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More than 40 percent of the work fo
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growth and are credited with helpin
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have much to gain from continuing t
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Appendix AREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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previously served as the New Centur
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(antidumping, countervailing duties
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with a number of developing countri
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Michael Treadway provided editorial
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Appendix BSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, AND
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AGRICULTURE:PageB-95. Farm income,
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NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE B-2.—Real gross domestic pr
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TABLE B-3.—Quantity and price ind
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TABLE B-5.—Contributions to perce
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TABLE B-6.—Chain-type quantity in
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TABLE B-7.—Chain-type price index
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TABLE B-8.—Gross domestic product
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Year orquarterGrossdomesticproductT
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TABLE B-12.—Gross product of nonf
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TABLE B-14.—Personal consumption
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TABLE B-16.—Private gross fixed i
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TABLE B-18.—Government consumptio
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TABLE B-20.—Private inventories a
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Year orquarterTABLE B-22.—Foreign
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TABLE B-24.—Relation of gross dom
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Year orquarterTABLE B-26.—Nationa
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TABLE B-27.—Sources of personal i
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TABLE B-28.—Disposition of person
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TABLE B-30.—Gross saving and inve
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TABLE B-31.—Median money income (
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TABLE B-33.—Civilian population a
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TABLE B-34.—Civilian employment a
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TABLE B-36.—Unemployment by demog
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TABLE B-38.—Civilian labor force
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TABLE B-40.—Civilian unemployment
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- Page 356 and 357: PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITYTAB
- Page 358 and 359: TABLE B-51.—Industrial production
- Page 360 and 361: Year or monthTABLE B-53.—New cons
- Page 362 and 363: TABLE B-55.—Manufacturing and tra
- Page 364 and 365: Year or monthTotalTABLE B-57.—Man
- Page 366 and 367: Year ormonthTABLE B-59.—Consumer
- Page 368 and 369: TABLE B-60.—Consumer price indexe
- Page 370 and 371: TABLE B-62.—Changes in consumer p
- Page 372 and 373: TABLE B-63.—Producer price indexe
- Page 374 and 375: TABLE B-65.—Producer price indexe
- Page 376 and 377: TABLE B-66.—Changes in producer p
- Page 378 and 379: TABLE B-68.—Components of money s
- Page 380 and 381: TABLE B-69.—Aggregate reserves of
- Page 382 and 383: Year andmonthBills(new issues) 13-m
- Page 384 and 385: TABLE B-72.—Credit market borrowi
- Page 386 and 387: TABLE B-73.—Mortgage debt outstan
- Page 388 and 389: TABLE B-75.—Consumer credit outst
- Page 390 and 391: TABLE B-77.—Federal budget receip
- Page 392 and 393: TABLE B-79.—Federal receipts, out
- Page 394 and 395: TABLE B-81.—Federal and State and
- Page 396 and 397: TABLE B-83.—State and local gover
- Page 400 and 401: End of monthTABLE B-87.—Estimated
- Page 402 and 403: TABLE B-89.—Corporate profits by
- Page 404 and 405: TABLE B-91.—Sales, profits, and s
- Page 406 and 407: Year or monthTABLE B-93.—Common s
- Page 408 and 409: AGRICULTURETABLE B-95.—Farm incom
- Page 410 and 411: TABLE B-97.—Farm output and produ
- Page 412 and 413: Year ormonthTABLE B-99.—Indexes o
- Page 414 and 415: Year orquarterExportsINTERNATIONAL
- Page 416 and 417: TABLE B-102.—U.S. international t
- Page 418 and 419: TABLE B-104.—U.S. international t
- Page 420 and 421: TABLE B-106.—Industrial productio
- Page 422 and 423: PeriodTABLE B-108.—Foreign exchan
- Page 424: TABLE B-110.—Growth rates in real