TABLE B–69.—Aggregate reserves of depository institutions and monetary base, 1959–99[Averages of daily figures 1 ; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements 2Reserves of depository institutionsBorrowings of depositoryinstitutions from theFederal Reserve, NSAYear and monthTotalNonborrowedNonborrowedplusextendedcreditRequiredMonetarybase Total SeasonalExtendedcreditDecember:1959 ..................................................... 11,109 10,168 10,168 10,603 40,880 941 ................ ................1960 ..................................................... 11,247 11,172 11,172 10,503 40,977 74 ................ ................1961 ..................................................... 11,499 11,366 11,366 10,915 41,853 133 ................ ................1962 ..................................................... 11,604 11,344 11,344 11,033 42,957 260 ................ ................1963 ..................................................... 11,730 11,397 11,397 11,239 45,003 332 ................ ................1964 ..................................................... 12,011 11,747 11,747 11,605 47,161 264 ................ ................1965 ..................................................... 12,316 11,872 11,872 11,892 49,620 444 ................ ................1966 ..................................................... 12,223 11,690 11,690 11,884 51,565 532 ................ ................1967 ..................................................... 13,180 12,952 12,952 12,805 54,579 228 ................ ................1968 ..................................................... 13,767 13,021 13,021 13,341 58,357 746 ................ ................1969 ..................................................... 14,168 13,049 13,049 13,882 61,569 1,119 ................ ................1970 ..................................................... 14,558 14,225 14,225 14,309 65,013 332 ................ ................1971 ..................................................... 15,230 15,104 15,104 15,049 69,108 126 ................ ................1972 ..................................................... 16,645 15,595 15,595 16,361 75,167 1,050 ................ ................1973 ..................................................... 17,021 15,723 15,723 16,717 81,073 1,298 41 ................1974 ..................................................... 17,550 16,823 16,970 17,292 87,535 727 32 1471975 ..................................................... 17,822 17,692 17,704 17,556 93,887 130 14 121976 ..................................................... 18,388 18,335 18,335 18,115 101,515 53 13 ................1977 ..................................................... 18,990 18,420 18,420 18,800 110,324 569 55 ................1978 ..................................................... 19,753 18,885 18,885 19,521 120,445 868 135 ................1979 ..................................................... 20,720 19,248 19,248 20,279 131,143 1,473 82 ................1980 ..................................................... 22,015 20,325 20,328 21,501 142,004 1,690 116 31981 ..................................................... 22,443 21,807 21,956 22,124 149,021 636 54 1481982 ..................................................... 23,600 22,966 23,152 23,100 160,127 634 33 1861983 ..................................................... 25,367 24,593 24,595 24,806 175,467 774 96 21984 ..................................................... 26,912 23,726 26,330 26,078 187,236 3,186 113 2,6041985 ..................................................... 31,558 30,239 30,739 30,495 203,552 1,318 56 4991986 ..................................................... 38,826 37,999 38,302 37,653 223,426 827 38 3031987 ..................................................... 38,896 38,119 38,602 37,877 239,850 777 93 4831988 ..................................................... 40,435 38,719 39,963 39,374 256,888 1,716 130 1,2441989 ..................................................... 40,469 40,204 40,224 39,528 267,701 265 84 201990 ..................................................... 41,747 41,422 41,445 40,083 293,240 326 76 231991 ..................................................... 45,493 45,301 45,301 44,504 317,512 192 38 11992 ..................................................... 54,388 54,265 54,265 53,235 350,865 124 18 11993 ..................................................... 60,530 60,448 60,448 59,460 386,451 82 31 01994 ..................................................... 59,419 59,210 59,210 58,260 418,072 209 100 01995 ..................................................... 56,454 56,197 56,197 55,164 434,098 257 40 01996 ..................................................... 50,162 50,008 50,008 48,746 451,373 155 68 01997 ..................................................... 46,861 46,537 46,537 45,176 478,877 324 79 01998 ..................................................... 44,902 44,785 44,785 43,319 512,321 117 15 01999 p .................................................. 41,537 41,216 41,216 40,225 590,295 3320 67 01998: Jan .................................................. 46,680 46,470 46,470 44,887 481,483 210 18 0Feb ................................................. 45,744 45,686 45,686 44,211 483,250 58 12 0Mar ................................................. 45,854 45,813 45,813 44,503 485,295 41 22 0Apr ................................................. 46,119 46,047 46,047 44,731 487,571 72 41 0May ................................................ 45,516 45,363 45,363 44,243 489,571 153 94 0June ................................................ 45,410 45,159 45,159 43,794 492,314 251 159 0July ................................................. 44,895 44,637 44,637 43,524 494,736 258 215 0Aug ................................................. 44,983 44,712 44,712 43,453 497,869 271 242 0Sept ................................................ 44,540 44,290 44,290 42,846 502,038 251 178 0Oct .................................................. 44,405 44,231 44,231 42,831 505,843 174 107 0Nov ................................................. 44,497 44,414 44,414 42,873 509,144 83 37 0Dec ................................................ 44,902 44,785 44,785 43,319 512,321 117 15 01999: Jan .................................................. 45,125 44,920 44,920 43,591 516,807 206 7 0Feb ................................................. 44,551 44,435 44,435 43,336 520,843 116 9 0Mar ................................................. 43,717 43,652 43,652 42,412 524,233 65 18 0Apr ................................................. 43,979 43,812 43,812 42,820 528,741 166 39 0May ................................................ 44,360 44,233 44,233 43,105 534,860 127 89 0June ................................................ 42,867 42,722 42,722 41,606 537,625 145 127 0July ................................................. 41,978 41,669 41,669 40,902 541,203 309 226 0Aug ................................................. 42,067 41,723 41,723 40,938 544,415 344 271 0Sept ................................................ 42,113 41,774 41,774 40,916 549,560 338 282 0Oct .................................................. 40,943 40,661 40,661 39,790 557,154 3281 221 0Nov ................................................. 41,198 40,962 40,962 39,864 569,349 3236 71 0Dec p ............................................... 41,537 41,216 41,216 40,225 590,295 3320 67 01Data are prorated averages of biweekly (maintenance period) averages of daily figures.2Aggregate reserves incorporate adjustments for discontinuities associated with regulatory changes to reserve requirements. For details onaggregate reserves series see Federal Reserve Bulletin.3Total includes borrowing under the terms and conditions established for the Century Date Change Special Liquidity Facility in effect fromOctober 1, 1999 through April 7, 2000.Note.--NSA indicates data are not seasonally adjusted.Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.388
TABLE B–70.—Bank credit at all commercial banks, 1973–99[Monthly average; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1 ]Securities in bank creditLoans and leases in bank creditYear and monthTotalbankcreditTotalsecuritiesU.S.GovernmentsecuritiesTotalloans andleases 2TotalReal estateSecurityRevolvinghomeequityOtherOthersecuritiesCommercialandindustrialConsumerOtherDecember:1973 ......................... 660.4 180.5 90.5 90.1 479.9 167.3 123.3 .......... 123.3 100.9 10.9 77.51974 ......................... 725.4 185.6 88.7 96.9 539.8 198.7 136.7 .......... 136.7 104.8 10.4 89.21975 ......................... 758.8 221.8 119.8 102.1 537.0 188.9 141.9 .......... 141.9 107.4 12.4 86.41976 ......................... 818.5 245.3 140.1 105.2 573.2 191.5 156.0 .......... 156.0 119.0 17.3 89.51977 ......................... 905.7 253.4 140.4 112.9 652.4 211.3 183.8 .......... 183.8 141.4 20.3 95.51978 ......................... 1,021.6 259.4 141.7 117.8 762.2 246.2 220.9 .......... 220.9 168.3 19.0 107.91979 ......................... 1,133.3 266.6 148.1 118.5 866.7 285.6 252.6 .......... 252.6 188.8 17.1 122.61980 ......................... 1,226.4 300.8 174.3 126.4 925.7 317.1 272.9 .......... 272.9 182.1 16.8 136.81981 ......................... 1,319.0 313.8 182.4 131.4 1,005.2 356.0 294.5 .......... 294.5 185.0 19.6 150.11982 ......................... 1,424.0 339.1 204.5 134.6 1,085.0 397.5 309.1 .......... 309.1 190.9 22.9 164.41983 ......................... 1,573.7 402.9 261.7 141.2 1,170.8 419.7 337.5 .......... 337.5 215.7 25.5 172.41984 ......................... 1,743.5 406.8 263.1 143.7 1,336.7 480.1 383.4 .......... 383.4 256.6 32.7 183.81985 ......................... 1,925.2 453.8 272.7 181.0 1,471.4 505.7 432.3 .......... 432.3 296.6 40.8 196.01986 ......................... 2,106.5 506.5 310.4 196.2 1,599.9 541.9 500.8 .......... 500.8 316.1 36.7 204.41987 ......................... 2,252.0 534.0 338.6 195.4 1,718.0 570.5 590.7 31.0 559.7 330.2 34.9 191.71988 ......................... 2,431.0 562.6 367.6 195.0 1,868.4 611.4 674.7 42.0 632.8 354.9 39.8 187.71989 ......................... 2,605.3 585.2 400.8 184.3 2,020.1 643.0 770.6 52.8 717.9 375.4 40.4 190.71990 ......................... 2,752.0 634.3 456.4 177.9 2,117.7 645.8 857.9 65.4 792.4 380.9 44.5 188.61991 ......................... 2,857.9 746.0 566.5 179.5 2,111.9 624.3 883.7 73.3 810.3 363.8 53.8 186.41992 ......................... 2,956.6 841.5 664.8 176.7 2,115.1 600.6 906.0 77.4 828.6 356.2 63.9 188.41993 ......................... 3,116.1 915.0 730.3 184.7 2,201.1 591.3 947.7 77.0 870.6 387.7 88.1 186.31994 ......................... 3,322.8 939.8 721.7 218.1 2,383.0 651.4 1,011.0 79.3 931.7 448.1 77.7 194.81995 ......................... 3,606.1 984.7 701.8 282.9 2,621.4 725.1 1,090.0 83.2 1,006.8 491.3 84.6 230.41996 ......................... 3,762.8 978.7 699.1 279.6 2,784.1 789.0 1,141.8 89.4 1,052.4 512.5 76.8 263.91997 ......................... 4,104.8 1,086.0 748.0 337.9 3,018.8 856.3 1,247.4 103.3 1,144.1 502.4 97.0 315.61998 ......................... 4,548.8 1,226.5 793.2 433.4 3,322.2 952.6 1,338.1 102.4 1,235.7 497.8 150.7 383.01999 ......................... 4,782.8 1,267.6 803.7 463.9 3,515.1 1,008.1 1,471.6 106.1 1,365.5 495.6 155.3 384.51998: Jan ...................... 4,159.6 1,111.3 760.7 350.6 3,048.3 868.7 1,248.6 104.0 1,144.6 498.9 116.6 315.6Feb ...................... 4,188.1 1,113.0 765.4 347.6 3,075.1 875.7 1,262.8 104.0 1,158.8 496.4 119.5 320.7Mar ..................... 4,218.1 1,125.3 777.3 348.0 3,092.8 879.6 1,275.5 104.0 1,171.5 495.2 114.7 327.8Apr ...................... 4,221.2 1,113.0 764.5 348.5 3,108.2 877.5 1,281.1 104.1 1,177.0 498.6 116.7 334.3May ..................... 4,243.3 1,125.5 769.2 356.3 3,117.8 888.6 1,277.7 103.8 1,173.9 497.5 120.2 333.9June .................... 4,268.0 1,126.2 759.6 366.6 3,141.8 901.9 1,278.2 103.6 1,174.6 495.7 127.9 338.2July ..................... 4,287.9 1,134.6 764.2 370.4 3,153.4 907.2 1,282.8 103.5 1,179.3 489.2 130.7 343.4Aug ..................... 4,347.7 1,160.4 776.9 383.4 3,187.3 915.2 1,292.4 103.3 1,189.1 488.5 136.3 355.0Sept .................... 4,395.3 1,178.0 772.0 406.0 3,217.3 921.8 1,294.6 103.6 1,191.0 491.2 141.8 367.9Oct ...................... 4,490.5 1,218.8 776.9 441.9 3,271.7 943.8 1,301.4 102.4 1,199.0 493.1 156.6 376.9Nov ..................... 4,529.7 1,222.0 790.0 432.0 3,307.6 954.9 1,323.8 102.6 1,221.2 496.0 150.0 382.9Dec ..................... 4,548.8 1,226.5 793.2 433.4 3,322.2 952.6 1,338.1 102.4 1,235.7 497.8 150.7 383.01999: Jan ...................... 4,539.4 1,217.2 796.0 421.2 3,322.2 952.8 1,345.8 102.3 1,243.5 499.8 146.4 377.5Feb ...................... 4,524.2 1,206.4 793.3 413.0 3,317.8 952.9 1,347.5 101.8 1,245.7 499.3 139.0 379.1Mar ..................... 4,494.7 1,189.0 801.0 387.9 3,305.7 957.0 1,348.8 102.0 1,246.8 498.6 119.1 382.3Apr ...................... 4,507.6 1,193.1 801.8 391.3 3,314.5 961.6 1,351.3 103.1 1,248.2 499.5 122.1 380.0May ..................... 4,516.9 1,192.6 800.0 392.6 3,324.3 957.3 1,360.6 104.4 1,256.2 495.9 126.8 383.8June .................... 4,553.8 1,211.7 811.2 400.5 3,342.1 963.4 1,366.2 103.8 1,262.4 491.1 131.0 390.5July ..................... 4,549.7 1,227.0 814.4 412.7 3,322.7 965.3 1,367.7 98.0 1,269.6 481.2 122.4 386.2Aug ..................... 4,582.9 1,242.4 820.1 422.3 3,340.5 972.7 1,379.9 98.7 1,281.3 480.1 122.4 385.3Sept .................... 4,607.6 1,246.6 817.6 428.9 3,361.1 980.8 1,396.5 98.4 1,298.1 481.0 116.2 386.6Oct ...................... 4,636.5 1,253.5 812.6 440.9 3,383.0 986.1 1,419.0 99.0 1,320.1 481.5 111.0 385.4Nov ..................... 4,704.0 1,249.2 798.8 450.4 3,454.8 1,005.8 1,433.6 100.6 1,333.0 485.1 134.0 396.3Dec ..................... 4,782.8 1,267.6 803.7 463.9 3,515.1 1,008.1 1,471.6 106.1 1,365.5 495.6 155.3 384.51Data are prorated averages of Wednesday values for domestically chartered commercial banks, branches and agencies of foreign banks,New York State investment companies (through September 1996), and Edge Act and agreement corporations.2Excludes Federal funds sold to, reverse repurchase agreements (RPs) with, and loans to commercial banks in the United States.Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.389
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E C O N O M I CR E P O R TO F T H E
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C O N T E N T SPageECONOMIC REPORT
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ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENTTo
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my State of the Union address, I pr
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hard-pressed families—with additi
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LETTER OF TRANSMITTALCOUNCIL OF ECO
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PageSources of Business Cycle Moder
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PageHeterogeneity in Abatement Bene
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Page2-3. Net Worth and the Personal
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PageLIST OF BOXES2-1. The CPI-U-RS,
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These successes notwithstanding, th
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$33,740, Americans today can acquir
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those in the highest decile rose 0.
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Data on poverty also show progress.
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Over the years, government support
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asis, the current expansion also sh
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The current expansion, by contrast,
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InflationAccelerating inflation pos
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it was argued, must be shifting the
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is that the direction of technologi
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Challenges for the FutureThis chapt
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in the new labor market. The chapte
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disruptive in some cases. Finally,
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C H A P T E R 2Macroeconomic Policy
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Chapter 2 | 51
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usiness cycle has changed over the
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cent over the four quarters of 1999
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framework that continues to pay dow
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The labor force participation rate
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Box 2-1.—continuedof no substitut
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feed directly into the index. Moreo
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funds rate (the interest rate that
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nesses with below-investment-grade
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From 1989 to 1999, corporate earnin
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ital includes the value of intellec
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of gross personal saving to GDP has
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The beginnings and ends of U.S. bus
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introduced in 1913 and Social Secur
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Of course, it is premature to decla
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Box 2-3.What Did We Learn from the
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TABLE 2-3.— Accounting for the Pr
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future extrapolates long-term trend
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Over the past 6 years, the CPI-U-RS
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work enables job hunters to work wh
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Chart 2-17 shows how this could hap
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of professional economic forecaster
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Administration’s forecast is used
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Innovations during the 20th century
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transformations the Internet and e-
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Another industry that saw major cha
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One example is the “lean” produ
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Box 3-1. Measuring the Economy in a
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Box 3-2. Implementing Local Competi
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of fiber optic cable deployed by te
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How Information Technology IsChangi
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total investment in information tec
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For e-retailers, the Internet repla
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suppliers for surplus quantities of
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However, the same technology that d
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value of each network to its users.
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many possible uses but that depends
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Maintaining CompetitionAnother way
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Similarly, by reducing barriers to
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Formal education was a far less imp
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The Transformation of the Labor Mar
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Americans has risen almost 10-fold
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diploma (Chart 4-5). That same year
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ensuring equal opportunity for all
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those of men (again looking at full
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Box 4-1. The Role of Government Pol
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severe disabilities. For example, a
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Box 4-2.—continuedOther policy in
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equirements of jobs. To right this
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uild and maintain a world-class ele
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Class Size Reduction. Average class
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During this Administration, the Fed
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years ago. In 2000, 13.1 million st
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through a period of unpaid training
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The first major mandatory training
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a 30-year low, labor force particip
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ConclusionTwo key developments—th
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TABLE 5-1.—Contrasting American F
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opened up for women to work and as
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The increased prevalence of single-
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to an increasing share of the popul
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Box 5-1.—continuedAlthough most f
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For the past 50 years, the median i
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gle mothers the median rose from $1
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TABLE 5-3.— Share of Women with C
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income growth over the last 30 year
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consumption patterns have changed,
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Increases in the Minimum WageThe mi
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Box 5-4.The National Strategy to Re
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or older, and of those 85 or older,
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of single-parent families increased
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caregivers for the elderly say thei
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would allow all workers who get tim
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C H A P T E R 6Opportunity and Chal
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Meanwhile innovations in transporta
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But to look at U.S. trade only in t
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Data from the U.S. computer industr
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net indebtedness of about 18 percen
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capital flows. Coupled with other d
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forces to play themselves out. In t
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The Benefits of a Global EconomyThe
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Domestic production can expand when
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In short, increased globalization b
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key sectors such as finance, teleco
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international trade is not a zero-s
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As these data suggest, not all WTO
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For example, preferential U.S. trad
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By contrast, in 1998 output fell on
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Box 6-3.The New International Finan
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The key objective of the initiative
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Chapter 6 | 233
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demand for exports. It would be a m
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integrating with the world economy
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The past century of experience in a
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242 | Economic Report of the Presid
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Box 7-1.—continuedand energy pric
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Box 7-2.—continuedproviding usefu
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Incentive-Based Approaches to Addre
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compliance costs may fall by less t
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Box 7-4.—continuedroughly 5 to 15
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so a system of multipollutant tradi
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sulfur dioxide trading program. The
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coastal zone. Trades can occur with
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Permit Trading: Phasedown of Leaded
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To address the problems associated
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Box 7-5. Individual Quotas for Fish
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A landmark international agreement
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However, the country could cut ener
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Quantitative Restrictions on Tradin
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comprehensive domestic trading syst
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Box 7-9.—continuedthe use of ener
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C O N C L U S I O NA Century of Cha
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More than 40 percent of the work fo
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growth and are credited with helpin
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have much to gain from continuing t
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Appendix AREPORT TO THE PRESIDENT O
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Council Members and Their Dates of
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previously served as the New Centur
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(antidumping, countervailing duties
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with a number of developing countri
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Michael Treadway provided editorial
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Appendix BSTATISTICAL TABLES RELATI
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POPULATION, EMPLOYMENT, WAGES, AND
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AGRICULTURE:PageB-95. Farm income,
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NATIONAL INCOME OR EXPENDITURETABLE
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TABLE B-2.—Real gross domestic pr
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TABLE B-3.—Quantity and price ind
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TABLE B-5.—Contributions to perce
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TABLE B-6.—Chain-type quantity in
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TABLE B-7.—Chain-type price index
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TABLE B-8.—Gross domestic product
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Year orquarterGrossdomesticproductT
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TABLE B-12.—Gross product of nonf
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TABLE B-14.—Personal consumption
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TABLE B-16.—Private gross fixed i
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TABLE B-18.—Government consumptio
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TABLE B-20.—Private inventories a
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Year orquarterTABLE B-22.—Foreign
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TABLE B-24.—Relation of gross dom
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Year orquarterTABLE B-26.—Nationa
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- Page 400 and 401: End of monthTABLE B-87.—Estimated
- Page 402 and 403: TABLE B-89.—Corporate profits by
- Page 404 and 405: TABLE B-91.—Sales, profits, and s
- Page 406 and 407: Year or monthTABLE B-93.—Common s
- Page 408 and 409: AGRICULTURETABLE B-95.—Farm incom
- Page 410 and 411: TABLE B-97.—Farm output and produ
- Page 412 and 413: Year ormonthTABLE B-99.—Indexes o
- Page 414 and 415: Year orquarterExportsINTERNATIONAL
- Page 416 and 417: TABLE B-102.—U.S. international t
- Page 418 and 419: TABLE B-104.—U.S. international t
- Page 420 and 421: TABLE B-106.—Industrial productio
- Page 422 and 423: PeriodTABLE B-108.—Foreign exchan
- Page 424: TABLE B-110.—Growth rates in real