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budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division

budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division

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I now turn to prospects for the Grenadian economy.<br />

3.5 Prospects for the Grenadian Economy<br />

Mr. Speaker, economic activity in <strong>Grenada</strong> is on the rise.<br />

For 2012, <strong>Grenada</strong> is projected to grow by 1.5 - 2.0 percent. This<br />

projected growth will be influenced by increased activity in all sectors<br />

but especially the recovery in Construction and continued growth in<br />

Tourism and Agriculture.<br />

Several factors will influence growth this year including:<br />

The performance of the US and European economies: Like the<br />

ECCU, this forecast will be influenced by developments in the USA<br />

and Europe especially the UK. Higher growth in these economies<br />

will accelerate <strong>Grenada</strong>’s recovery.<br />

The Price of Oil: Higher oil prices will have a negative impact<br />

on growth. Prices are usually highest in the summer months when<br />

demand for oil peaks. However, we have already witnessed a steady<br />

increase since the start of this year. Rising oil prices reflect geopolitical<br />

tensions among key oil exporters, speculation and the closure<br />

of several refineries.<br />

Implementation of the Transformation Agenda: Public and private<br />

investments in the transformational sectors are critical to both growth<br />

and job creation. These investments will have a positive effect on<br />

growth in <strong>Grenada</strong>.<br />

Rate of Project Implementation: Faster implementation of projects<br />

will have a positive effect on growth. Government is sparing no effort<br />

to expedite the implementation of the major projects programme<br />

announced by the Prime Minister last September. The Major Projects<br />

Coordination Committee is active and reports to Cabinet once per<br />

month.<br />

This brings me to the Focus and Theme of the 2012 Budget.<br />

Page 20<br />

2012 Budget Statement

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