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budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division

budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division

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“There is a great possibility of a deep crisis in the<br />

Euro-zone, which would significantly affect the global<br />

economy overall and would impact our region primarily<br />

through the real channels of exports, prices, foreign<br />

investment, remittances and tourism and the financial<br />

channels of greater volatility, possible capital outflows<br />

and difficulties in accessing credit”. End of quote.<br />

That report also stresses, Mr. Speaker, that future growth will be intricately<br />

tied to the economic performance of developed countries, and<br />

a drop in their level of activities would result in a fall in demand for<br />

goods, negatively affecting regional exports and the prices of principal<br />

export products.<br />

Within the CARICOM, the commodity based economies strengthened<br />

but there was only marginal recovery in some of the tourism<br />

dependent economies.<br />

In terms of best performers, Suriname is projected to have grown by<br />

4.5 per cent, followed by Guyana at 4.0 per cent as both countries<br />

benefited from high commodity prices.<br />

Closer to home, Barbados is projected to have grown by 0.3 percent<br />

while Trinidad and Tobago is projected to have contracted by -1.4<br />

percent.<br />

Table I<br />

Recent Economic Performance of Selected CARICOM countries<br />

Country 2009 2010 Preliminary<br />

2011<br />

Forecast<br />

2012<br />

Barbados -4.0 0.3 0.3 1.2<br />

Jamaica -3.0 -1.2 1.5 1.7<br />

Guyana 3.3 4.4 5.3 6.0<br />

Trinidad and<br />

Tobago<br />

-3.5 -0.6 -1.4 2.6<br />

Sources: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, October 2011 and ECCB<br />

Page 4<br />

2012 Budget Statement

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