budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division
budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division
budget statement 2012.indd - Grenada Customs & Excise Division
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“There is a great possibility of a deep crisis in the<br />
Euro-zone, which would significantly affect the global<br />
economy overall and would impact our region primarily<br />
through the real channels of exports, prices, foreign<br />
investment, remittances and tourism and the financial<br />
channels of greater volatility, possible capital outflows<br />
and difficulties in accessing credit”. End of quote.<br />
That report also stresses, Mr. Speaker, that future growth will be intricately<br />
tied to the economic performance of developed countries, and<br />
a drop in their level of activities would result in a fall in demand for<br />
goods, negatively affecting regional exports and the prices of principal<br />
export products.<br />
Within the CARICOM, the commodity based economies strengthened<br />
but there was only marginal recovery in some of the tourism<br />
dependent economies.<br />
In terms of best performers, Suriname is projected to have grown by<br />
4.5 per cent, followed by Guyana at 4.0 per cent as both countries<br />
benefited from high commodity prices.<br />
Closer to home, Barbados is projected to have grown by 0.3 percent<br />
while Trinidad and Tobago is projected to have contracted by -1.4<br />
percent.<br />
Table I<br />
Recent Economic Performance of Selected CARICOM countries<br />
Country 2009 2010 Preliminary<br />
2011<br />
Forecast<br />
2012<br />
Barbados -4.0 0.3 0.3 1.2<br />
Jamaica -3.0 -1.2 1.5 1.7<br />
Guyana 3.3 4.4 5.3 6.0<br />
Trinidad and<br />
Tobago<br />
-3.5 -0.6 -1.4 2.6<br />
Sources: World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Fund, October 2011 and ECCB<br />
Page 4<br />
2012 Budget Statement