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y Colonel Nichoel E. Brooks and Jami Forbes<br />

Introduction<br />

The intelligence enterprise is at a crossroads–it is facing an<br />

environment of shrinking resources while also being expected<br />

to meet growing responsibilities and requirements.<br />

In particular, the Army Intelligence Corps, seasoned by decades<br />

of war in Iraq and Afghanistan, must expand its focus<br />

to more complex and unpredictable global threats and<br />

issues.<br />

Emerging adversarial forces, enabled in part by technological<br />

advancements and increased access to information, are<br />

becoming more adaptive, decentralized, and transnational<br />

than ever before. In addition, the developing missions of the<br />

Army’s Global Response Force (GRF) and Regionally Aligned<br />

Forces (RAF) require a greater understanding of not only<br />

unconventional and adaptive adversarial forces, but diverse<br />

human domains across the world. Intelligence must be agile<br />

enough to help win current and future contingencies, while<br />

also supporting efforts to prevent conflict and providing the<br />

information needed to shape the global environment.<br />

Technologies and rapidly changing world conditions are<br />

creating unprecedented challenges for the intelligence process.<br />

The intelligence cycle–which has long centered on a<br />

hierarchical, regional, and centralized enemy–has traditionally<br />

spanned weeks and months. However, this process<br />

must change in order to meet current conditions and mission<br />

demands. The accelerated pace of conflict is limiting<br />

the amount of time Army commanders have to both shape<br />

the environment and form decisions, reducing the intelligence<br />

cycle to a mere days and minutes. Undoubtedly, the<br />

demand for timely, predictive, and accurate intelligence is<br />

more important than ever.<br />

How will we ensure national security in this new environment?<br />

How will the Army Intelligence Corps foster trust and<br />

provide its leaders with decision confidence? How will we<br />

not only be first with information, but first with the truth?<br />

In order to evolve and meet these challenges, we must first<br />

recognize four basic interlocking dilemmas that are facing<br />

the broader Intelligence Community (IC) today. These dilemmas<br />

center on capacity, transparency, data, and time.<br />

The Four Dilemmas Facing Army Intelligence<br />

“Although the Intelligence Corps is faced with interlocking<br />

dilemmas involving capacity (increasing demand for intelligence<br />

during an era of declining resources), transparency<br />

(opaqueness between organizations), data (greater access<br />

to data than ever before), and time (the rapid battle<br />

rhythm of the information age), there are steps underway<br />

to help mitigate these issues”<br />

Capacity. Declines in the Army’s end strength and shifting<br />

fiscal priorities are realities all Army pillars are currently<br />

facing. However, for the Intelligence Corps, the reduction<br />

of resources comes at a time when an increasingly complex<br />

operational environment is driving greater demand for analytical<br />

capacity.<br />

Army intelligence must continue to support requirements<br />

in Iraq and Afghanistan, while also broadening its understanding<br />

of conflicts involving adaptive sub-state actors in<br />

the Middle East and North Africa, the expanding crisis and<br />

threat to regional stability in Syria, emerging missions and<br />

new allies in Africa, and growing cyber threats. In addition,<br />

intelligence professionals will be required to bolster support<br />

to RAF and GRF by providing information on local populations,<br />

political officials, power brokers, and the global<br />

human domain–all critical data points in helping to foster<br />

enduring partnerships around the world.<br />

Transparency. Challenges relating to declining capacity<br />

directly interlock with dilemmas involving transparency.<br />

40 Military Intelligence

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