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SOUTH AFRICA’S

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➤ BOTTOM LINE: Whether measured by R&D or new commercial inventions, a significant share of<br />

innovative activity in South Africa occurs among firms, universities, and research institutes in the Gauteng<br />

City-Region. The city-region’s two major global research universities are significant hubs of knowledge creation<br />

and do a good job of collaborating with industry on joint research. Rates of new commercial inventions<br />

in the Gauteng City-Region fall in the middle of global peers, but patenting activity has declined recently.<br />

Entrepreneurship—an important innovation driver since new firms must offer the market some new product or<br />

process to thrive—is much higher in the region than in South Africa, but falls in the middle of global peer countries.<br />

Venture capital investment, one measure of the presence of high-growth entrepreneurs, is still quite low<br />

comparatively. This assessment reveals that the Gauteng City-Region has many of the ingredients of a global<br />

innovation hub, but must continue to invest in R&D, increase new commercial inventions, expand entrepreneurship,<br />

and facilitate collaboration between government, firms, and universities to develop new products and<br />

processes that help its businesses expand into new markets.<br />

C. TALENT<br />

WHY IT MATTERS: Human capital—the stock<br />

of knowledge, skills, expertise, and capacities<br />

embedded in the labor force—is of critical importance<br />

to enhancing productivity, raising incomes, and driving<br />

economic growth. 61 Producing, attracting, and<br />

retaining educated workers; creating jobs for those<br />

workers; and connecting those workers to employment<br />

through efficient labor markets all matter for<br />

regional competitiveness and ensuring broad-based<br />

economic opportunity for a metropolitan area’s<br />

population. 62<br />

The Gauteng City-Region’s demographic dividend<br />

and steady flows of in-migrants ensure a growing<br />

supply of workers for the regional economy.<br />

In an aging world, the Gauteng City-Region has the<br />

advantage of being relatively young. The demographic<br />

profile of the city-region suggests that it will have<br />

a significant supply of workers over the next two<br />

decades. Growth in the working-age population will<br />

also result from migration to the city-region from the<br />

rest of South Africa and the world. As of 2011 approximately<br />

44 percent of the population was born outside<br />

of the city-region; 10 percent of residents were born<br />

outside of South Africa. Of these international inmigrants,<br />

nearly half are between the prime working<br />

ages of 20 and 35. 63<br />

Figure 25. Workforce replacement rate coverage in 2034<br />

1.7<br />

1.7<br />

1.6<br />

1.6<br />

1.0<br />

1.0<br />

Required cover: 1.0 time<br />

0.6<br />

BROOKINGS<br />

Mexico City<br />

Cape Town<br />

Gauteng<br />

City-Region<br />

Istanbul<br />

Santiago<br />

Rio de Janeiro<br />

Warsaw<br />

METROPOLITAN<br />

POLICY<br />

PROGRAM<br />

Source: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics data.<br />

24

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