THE FUTURE OF THE ARMY

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APACHE TRANSFERS AND RELATED ISSUES South Carolina National Guard photo by U.S. Air Force Tech. Sgt. Jorge Intriago U.S. Army AH-64D Apache assigned to the 1-151 Attack Reconnaissance Battalion, South Carolina Army National Guard, conducts close air support operations during a joint exercise bringing together National Guard and active duty components with a focus on airground integration at Fort Bragg, N.C. available to the Commission, in most years the Army should be able to adjust the annual buys so as not to undermine the multiyear contract for Black Hawks. It should be noted that reductions in buys of new Black Hawks would need to continue beyond the next five years in order to offset operating costs and provide funds needed to remanufacture twenty-four Apache helicopters. Eliminating two Army National Guard battalions of Black Hawks and slowing the pace of new buys does have drawbacks. As has been noted, the Army will have about 3 percent fewer operational Black Hawk helicopters even though the Black Hawks are heavily used in wartime. Buying fewer new Black Hawks each year would also modestly slow efforts to modernize the Army National Guard’s fleet. The Commission recognizes the important role of the Black Hawk and urges the Administration and Congress to examine other possible offsets. However, if costs must be offset within Army aviation, the Black Hawk changes should be considered. The 3 percent reduction in operational Black Hawks would match the percentage reduction in operational Apaches under this option, leaving the reductions in the two fleets balanced. (If the Kiowa Warrior armed reconnaissance helicopter is included in the count of “shooter” helicopters, then the reduction in shooters equals about 35 percent compared with the 3 percent reduction in Black Hawks.) Also, the modest reduction in Black Hawks does not significantly affect the TRAC or other assessments of wartime capacity. Finally, the slowdown in buys of new Black Hawks should not delay the date for completion of modernization of the fleet because of the reduction in the overall size of the Black Hawk fleet by sixty helicopters. Figure 11 summarizes the descriptions and effects of the three options. Overall, Option Three offers significant advantages. The option provides greater wartime capacity than the ARI or the NGB Alternative, a key advantage. Peacetime operating tempo also improves compared to the ARI and NGB Alternative approaches. Wartime surge capacity (measured by trained pilots in units) is higher than under the ARI. Option Three also improves aviation capabilities in Korea. Added costs under Option Three are significant, but could be offset by 90 National Commission on the Future of the Army
APACHE TRANSFERS AND RELATED ISSUES Figure 11 DESCRIPTION AND ASSESSMENT <strong>OF</strong> OPTIONS DESCRIPTIONS AH-64 APACHES OPTION #1: OPTION #2: OPTION #3: AVIATION NATIONAL GUARD NCFA RESTRUCTURE BUREAU ALTERNATIVE RECOMMENDATION INITIATIVE (ARI) PROPOSAL Regular Army battalions 20 a 18 20 National Guard battalions 0 6 4 Total aircraft 690 701 714 UH-60 BLACK HAWKS Regular Army battalions 10 a 10 10 a National Guard/Army Reserve battalions 20 18 18 Total aircraft 2135 2075 b 2075 ASSESSMENTS Wartime capacity (compared to ARI) - - - Less than ARI More than ARI Wartime surge (Apache pilots in ARNG) 0 420 280 Peacetime deployment (BOG:Dwell) for Regular Army Apache battalions 1:1.9 1:2 1:3.2/1:2:2 c COST (ABOVE PRESIDENT’S FY 2016 BUDGET PLAN) Increased annual operating 0 $89M to $176M d 0 e to + $165M f Increased one-time procurement 0 $220M to +$420M d 0 g to + $420M h a Does not include Korea equipment set battalions b Assumes NGB Alternative results in force structure reduction c Number in italics assumes that forward-stationed units count as deployed d According to OSD-CAPE report to Congress (“Independent Cost Analysis of the ARI and the NGB Alternative”) e Assumes offsets in Black Hawk program and other changes f Includes about $40 million in added costs to forward station a CAB in Korea g Assumes remanufactured Apaches and offsets in Black Hawk program along with other changes h Assumes remanufactured Apaches and no offsets National Commission on the Future of the Army 91
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NATIONAL COMMISSION ON THE FUTURE O
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TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY “Not later than
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Developing One Ar
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U.S. Army National Guard photo by S
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WHY THE NATION NEEDS AN ARMY CIVILI
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WHY THE NATION NEEDS AN ARMY Figure
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WHY THE NATION NEEDS AN ARMY “The
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National Commission on the Future o
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THE COMMISSION’S MISSION AND METH
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U.S. Army photo by Sgt. Richard W.
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FUTURE CHALLENGES Figure 7 ARMY IN
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FUTURE CHALLENGES Iran poses a mult
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FUTURE CHALLENGES terrorists or oth
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FUTURE CHALLENGES anti-Americanism,
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FUTURE CHALLENGES to prevent the So
Page 45 and 46: U.S. Army photo. “The Commission
Page 47 and 48: FISCAL CHALLENGES Figure 8 BUDGET U
Page 49 and 50: FISCAL CHALLENGES if the Army is to
Page 51 and 52: FISCAL CHALLENGES MEASURING COSTS A
Page 53 and 54: “The Commission shall…make reco
Page 55 and 56: THE ARMY FOR THE FUTURE A WORD ABOU
Page 57 and 58: THE ARMY FOR THE FUTURE Recommendat
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Page 61 and 62: THE ARMY FOR THE FUTURE Recommendat
Page 63 and 64: THE ARMY FOR THE FUTURE POSSIBLE ST
Page 65 and 66: U.S. Army photo by Sgt. 1st Class B
Page 67 and 68: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY Figure 9 ARMY F
Page 69 and 70: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY Operational emp
Page 71 and 72: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY integration of
Page 73 and 74: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY Furthermore, th
Page 75 and 76: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY authorities wit
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Page 79 and 80: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY unity of effort
Page 81 and 82: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY across all Army
Page 83 and 84: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY Due to much sho
Page 85 and 86: DEVELOPING ONE ARMY “When you joi
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Page 89 and 90: APACHE TRANSFERS AND RELATED ISSUES
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Page 105 and 106: ARMY NATIONAL GUARD ALLOCATION Figu
Page 107 and 108: ARMY NATIONAL GUARD ALLOCATION Nati
Page 109 and 110: ARMY NATIONAL GUARD ALLOCATION proc
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Page 117 and 118: APPENDIX B: RECOMMENDATIONS BY RESP
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Page 127 and 128: APPENDIX D: ARMY BUDGET AND END STR
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Page 131 and 132: APPENDIX F: GLOSSARY OF ACRONYMS AA
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Page 135 and 136: APPENDIX G: TESTIMONIES AND COMMENT
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APPENDIX G: TESTIMONIES AND COMMENT
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APPENDIX H: COMMISSIONERS AND STAFF
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APPENDIX I: SUBCOMMITTEES OPERATION
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APPENDIX I: SUBCOMMITTEES FORCE GEN
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APPENDIX I: SUBCOMMITTEES DRAFTING
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APPENDIX J: SOURCES CONSULTED Defen
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APPENDIX J: SOURCES CONSULTED Pippi
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APPENDIX J: SOURCES CONSULTED U.S.
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APPENDIX J: SOURCES CONSULTED U.S.
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THE FUTURE OF THE ARMY

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