Crop Yield Forecasting

FIGURE 3.7
Linear regression between observed and predicted yields
Source: El Hairech & Balaghi 2014.
The accuracy of the CGMS-MAROC’s forecasts is constantly refined, as they depend on four
parameters that are subject to continuous improvement: the historical data available, the number of
meteorological stations covering the country, the availability of an agricultural mask, and the quality
of the NDVI.
The consistency of crop yield forecasting at national level improves as the growing season
progresses (see Figure 3.8 below); the use of different indicators increases its precision
(Table 3.7 below).
Crop Yield Forecasting: Methodological and Institutional Aspects 99