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PAT BURNS<br />
Editor<br />
Paul Bradwell<br />
Sales Manager<br />
Construction sector still<br />
suffering – but things will<br />
get better!<br />
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PUBLISHERS:<br />
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Specify is published by<br />
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The latest State of<br />
Trade survey from the<br />
Construction Employers<br />
Federation and PwC<br />
show that around a fifth<br />
of Northern Ireland’s<br />
construction companies<br />
are operating at less<br />
than half capacity,<br />
with demand in GB<br />
and the Republic of<br />
Ireland (RoI) also down.<br />
The EU Referendum is<br />
thought to have created<br />
uncertainty in the<br />
economy but now that<br />
is out of the way, many<br />
construction companies<br />
expect business to<br />
improve later this year.<br />
The latest CEF assessment for<br />
the first three months (Q1)<br />
of 2016 shows that close to a<br />
quarter (22%) of companies<br />
were operating in survival<br />
mode, while the percentage of<br />
companies confident of growth<br />
and profitability fell slightly from<br />
50% in Q1 2015 to 48% in Q1<br />
2016.<br />
The proportion of firms<br />
reporting that their current<br />
workload had increased rose<br />
slightly to 33% in Q1 2016,<br />
from 27.5% in Q1 2015 but<br />
remained well below on the<br />
first three months of 2014<br />
when half of companies<br />
surveyed reported increased<br />
demand and workload.<br />
Northern Ireland (almost<br />
entirely Great Britain and RoI).<br />
That fell to 17% in Q1 2015<br />
and then again in Q1 2016,<br />
when only 13% of work was in<br />
GB and/or RoI markets.<br />
The decline was largely driven<br />
by a reduction in work in GB<br />
– down from 15% in Q1 2014<br />
to about 10% throughout 2015<br />
and falling to 6% in Q1 2016,<br />
the survey found.<br />
Commenting on the survey<br />
results CEF Managing Director<br />
John Armstrong, said the<br />
industry was not showing<br />
any real signs of sustainable<br />
recovery:<br />
“This is another survey which<br />
suggests that the construction<br />
sector is not sharing in<br />
Northern Ireland’s modest<br />
economic recovery, let alone<br />
the significant growth that is<br />
being exhibited elsewhere in<br />
the UK and Ireland.<br />
“The proportion of companies<br />
in survival mode is up, those<br />
anticipating growth and<br />
profitability are down and the<br />
percentage of work in Great<br />
Britain and Ireland has fallen.<br />
We are operating in an<br />
environment where growth<br />
in housebuilding is broadly<br />
flat and where output in<br />
infrastructure and roads has<br />
actually declined.<br />
“The one glimmer of light<br />
is that over a third of our<br />
members say they expect<br />
things to get better – I sincerely<br />
hope they are right.<br />
“Construction and<br />
infrastructure accounts for<br />
around 6% of UK GDP. But<br />
it also delivers instant results<br />
– direct employment, high<br />
wages, indirect jobs, and greater<br />
community cohesion. The new<br />
Executive therefore needs<br />
to work with the industry to<br />
develop and deliver a significant<br />
pipeline of projects which will<br />
be crucial to the long term<br />
sustainability and success of<br />
the construction industry in<br />
Northern Ireland.”<br />
Two years ago, in Q1 2014,<br />
almost a quarter of CEF<br />
members’ work done was in<br />
construction activity outside<br />
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