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The State of Circumpolar Walrus Populations

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Bering Sea (Garlich-Miller et al. 2011). Haulouts in the Bering Strait Region (Big Diomede, King<br />

Island, and the Punuk Islands) are also occasionally used by large numbers <strong>of</strong> walruses in late fall<br />

and early winter, prior to the onset <strong>of</strong> ice formation (Fay and Kelly 1980). Male walruses that have<br />

summered in the Bering Sea begin to move northward towards winter breeding areas in<br />

November (Jay and Hills 2005).<br />

Status <strong>of</strong> Population<br />

<strong>The</strong> Pacific <strong>Walrus</strong> population was historically depleted by commercial over-harvesting. Fay<br />

(1982) speculated that the pre-exploitation population was at least 200,000 animals given the<br />

large harvests that were sustained throughout the 18th and 19th centuries. Population size is<br />

believed to have fluctuated markedly in response to varying levels <strong>of</strong> human exploitation since<br />

that time (Fay et al. 1989). Extensive commercial harvests reduced numbers to an estimated<br />

50,000-100,000 animals in the mid-1950s (Fay et al. 1997), and the population then increased<br />

rapidly in size during the 1960s and 1970s in response to reductions in hunting pressure (Fay et al.<br />

1989).<br />

From 1975 to 1990, visual aerial surveys were carried out by the United <strong>State</strong>s and Russia at 5-<br />

year intervals (USFWS 2014; Allen and Angliss 2015). Population estimates ranged from ca.<br />

201,000 to 246,020 animals with 95% confidence intervals that include zero. All estimates have<br />

low precision and large associated variances, which adds uncertainty for detecting trends in<br />

population size (Gilbert et al. 1992; Hills and Gilbert 1994; Fay et al. 1997; Gilbert 1999). <strong>The</strong><br />

estimates generated from these surveys are considered minimum values. <strong>The</strong>y are negatively<br />

biased because they were not adjusted for walruses in the water and because the walruses tended<br />

to aggregate in large closely packed groups when hauled out that made it difficult to obtain<br />

accurate counts <strong>of</strong> animals observed (USFWS 2014; Allen and Angliss 2015).<br />

Efforts to survey the population were suspended after 1990 due to these methodological issues<br />

(Gilbert et al. 1992; Gilbert 1999). A 2000 workshop concluded that it would not be possible to<br />

obtain a population estimate with adequate precision using the existing visual methodology and<br />

any reasonable amount <strong>of</strong> survey effort (Garlich-Miller and Jay 2000). Remote sensing systems<br />

were viewed as having potential to address the problem <strong>of</strong> accurately counting walruses in large<br />

groups (Udevitz et al. 2001) in addition to being able to sample larger areas per unit <strong>of</strong> time and<br />

reduce observer error (Burn et al. 2006). To account for walruses in the water that were not<br />

available to be counted, satellite transmitters that recorded haul-out status (in water or out) were<br />

used to estimate the proportion <strong>of</strong> animals in the water and correct walrus counts (Udevitz et al.<br />

2009). American and Russian scientists developed a survey method that uses thermal imaging<br />

systems to reliably detect groups <strong>of</strong> walruses hauled out on sea ice (Burn et al. 2006; Udevitz et al.<br />

2008).

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