MEMORANDUM
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considered to illuminate the calculability of his formula through calculation by hand some<br />
examples in very small dimension.<br />
As is well known he found a middle way by the help of Professor John B. Wilbur of<br />
MIT and his Simultaneous Calculator which could solve – “nearly automatically” –<br />
systems of nine linear equations and given that limitations was very well suited for<br />
Leontief’s purpose.<br />
Outside the normal time for submitting applications Leontief got the Committee’s<br />
permission to submit in November an application for a project called “Computation of<br />
price-quantity changes on basis of an empirical general equilibrium pattern.” The content<br />
of it was set out as follows:<br />
“The problem is that of finding a solution for a very large system of (43) linear<br />
equations. The difficulty of accomplishing a computation task of this sort can<br />
hardly be exaggerated. Reasonable estimates indicate, however, that no more time<br />
will be required than that for the calculation of a long index number series. Should<br />
the general equilibrium theory be ever put to practical use, computations of this<br />
type and often of even far greater proportions appear to be unavoidable. I am<br />
inclined to consider the present project as a test case.”<br />
The required assistance was “One computer” at estimated cost $300, i.e. 600 hours at<br />
50 cents an hour. Wilbur and his Simultaneous Calculator were not mentioned but it seems<br />
pretty obvious that Leontief’s contact with Wilbur must have been established before the<br />
application was sent. The Committee considered the application right away and granted the<br />
amount asked for. Interrelation of prices, output, savings, and investment (Leontief 1937)<br />
was published 8 months later with a lot of calculations in between. 226<br />
Hence Leontief chose, wisely one may add, to rush to publish his results by using an<br />
outdated table and computer equipment which allowed only what he called a “preliminary<br />
study” based on a much smaller table than he had compiled.<br />
The result was – eventually – the Interrelation paper in 1937 (Leontief 1937) which<br />
comprised (1) the input-output structure: (2) the formulae for calculating what the<br />
“impulses of any local primary change into the remotest corners of the economic system”<br />
(p.110); and (3) the numerical calculations. It laid the foundation for the input-output<br />
analysis.<br />
* * *<br />
226 Readers were offered to be supplied on request all relevant minors of the two key determinants<br />
in Leontief ‘s system. (Leontief 1937, p.131n1).<br />
105