MEMORANDUM
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e advisable to submit copies of all the publications listed in the application. The<br />
application required an attached note about the project to be undertaken. Kuznets advised<br />
that a quantitative study of an economic problem with application to the United States<br />
would receive greater consideration, for the simple reason that while working in the United<br />
States Leontief could most advantageously study an American problem.<br />
Leontief’s hope was boosted by Kuznets’ message. He hurried to update Schumpeter<br />
about the promising news from Kuznets, and asked his advice about whom to ask for<br />
recommendation letters. But possibilities in Germany were also on his mind. He told<br />
Schumpeter that he had heard that many staff changes had taken place in the<br />
Konjunkturinstitut, which he took to imply that there was still hope for him to remain in<br />
Germany. 139<br />
The NBER application form asked for comprehensive information about education,<br />
experience and publications which Leontief provided together with list of references which<br />
comprised from USA W.L. Crum (Harvard), M. Ezekiel (USDA), H. Hotelling (Columbia),<br />
Henry Schultz (Chicago), G.F. Warren (Cornell) and Frederick Waugh (USDA) and in<br />
addition Luigi Amoroso (Rome), Joseph Schumpeter Bonn), Jean Lescure (Paris), Arthur<br />
Bowley (LSE) and L. Bortkiewicz (Berlin). Leontief’s two-page note about the project to<br />
be pursued at NBER was follows:<br />
Memorandum on proposed analyses of supply and demand relationships<br />
prevailing in the markets of non-agricultural commodities.<br />
For the last two years I have been mainly concerned with developing refined<br />
statistical methods as how to measure elasticity of demand and supply within<br />
industrial markets. The objective of this research was to overcome the difficulties<br />
which arise from the application of the usual method of multiple correlation to the<br />
intricate conditions prevailing in non-agricultural markets. The new method which I<br />
was able to work out will solve some of the problems involved by calculating<br />
demand and supply curves from one identic set of data by one process. I beg to<br />
enclose a brief of this “simultaneous” method. 140<br />
After having completed this method I chose to apply it to the history of the<br />
American iron markets in order to prove – or disprove – its workability. The results<br />
hitherto arrived at encourage me to believe that the application of this method on a<br />
large scale will benefit the quantitative approach to the problems of economics. I<br />
venture to say that this research would fit in with the general program of the Bureau<br />
as it has been indicated by your publications.<br />
I beg to develop somewhat further my program as outlined above.<br />
139 Leontief to Schumpeter, 13 December 1930.<br />
140 The brief was a two-page summary of the method of Leontief (1929), not included here.<br />
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