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MEMORANDUM

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e advisable to submit copies of all the publications listed in the application. The<br />

application required an attached note about the project to be undertaken. Kuznets advised<br />

that a quantitative study of an economic problem with application to the United States<br />

would receive greater consideration, for the simple reason that while working in the United<br />

States Leontief could most advantageously study an American problem.<br />

Leontief’s hope was boosted by Kuznets’ message. He hurried to update Schumpeter<br />

about the promising news from Kuznets, and asked his advice about whom to ask for<br />

recommendation letters. But possibilities in Germany were also on his mind. He told<br />

Schumpeter that he had heard that many staff changes had taken place in the<br />

Konjunkturinstitut, which he took to imply that there was still hope for him to remain in<br />

Germany. 139<br />

The NBER application form asked for comprehensive information about education,<br />

experience and publications which Leontief provided together with list of references which<br />

comprised from USA W.L. Crum (Harvard), M. Ezekiel (USDA), H. Hotelling (Columbia),<br />

Henry Schultz (Chicago), G.F. Warren (Cornell) and Frederick Waugh (USDA) and in<br />

addition Luigi Amoroso (Rome), Joseph Schumpeter Bonn), Jean Lescure (Paris), Arthur<br />

Bowley (LSE) and L. Bortkiewicz (Berlin). Leontief’s two-page note about the project to<br />

be pursued at NBER was follows:<br />

Memorandum on proposed analyses of supply and demand relationships<br />

prevailing in the markets of non-agricultural commodities.<br />

For the last two years I have been mainly concerned with developing refined<br />

statistical methods as how to measure elasticity of demand and supply within<br />

industrial markets. The objective of this research was to overcome the difficulties<br />

which arise from the application of the usual method of multiple correlation to the<br />

intricate conditions prevailing in non-agricultural markets. The new method which I<br />

was able to work out will solve some of the problems involved by calculating<br />

demand and supply curves from one identic set of data by one process. I beg to<br />

enclose a brief of this “simultaneous” method. 140<br />

After having completed this method I chose to apply it to the history of the<br />

American iron markets in order to prove – or disprove – its workability. The results<br />

hitherto arrived at encourage me to believe that the application of this method on a<br />

large scale will benefit the quantitative approach to the problems of economics. I<br />

venture to say that this research would fit in with the general program of the Bureau<br />

as it has been indicated by your publications.<br />

I beg to develop somewhat further my program as outlined above.<br />

139 Leontief to Schumpeter, 13 December 1930.<br />

140 The brief was a two-page summary of the method of Leontief (1929), not included here.<br />

57

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