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MEMORANDUM

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covering the entire economy. The commodities were dealt with in terms of supply and<br />

demand curves, carried over from the Versuch and Eisenaufsatz papers, characterized by<br />

“structure”, conceived as an (autonomous) elasticity, and “shifts” or “level movements”,<br />

induced by changes in “neighboring” markets (or in later terminology by forward or<br />

backward linkages). It is hardly correct to denote Leontief’s analytical structure in 1931 as<br />

an early version of the input-output framework. Possibly it could be denoted as a precursor;<br />

it is any case a significant indication of the direction in which he was heading. 174<br />

Leontief had joined Econometric Society while still in Europe. In New York he joined<br />

the American Economic Association (AEA) and at the end of December 1931 took part in<br />

the joint meetings of the social science associations in Washington D.C. He registered as<br />

an AEA member and in a letter to Schumpeter shortly afterwards he referred to the meeting,<br />

perhaps with tongue-in-cheek, as a trade union congress [Gewerkschaftskongress]. It was<br />

his first economist meeting in USA and he was positively impressed, not suppressing that it<br />

would have been a better meeting if the poorer papers had been rejected. The joint<br />

meetings comprised also an Econometric Society meeting, the first ever on American soil.<br />

Irving Fisher, President of the Society, was present and had taken upon himself to write the<br />

official report from the meeting.<br />

Leontief had not submitted any paper but had accepted to open the discussion of two<br />

papers in AEA sessions. One was by Ezekiel on the relationship between price analysis<br />

and mathematical economics, the other by Henry Schultz “on shifting demand.” It was the<br />

first meeting with Schultz for Leontief who had his sharp criticism of the Versuch paper<br />

fresh in mind. Leontief had not heeded Schumpeter’s advice of responding to Schultz,<br />

because the Kiel Institute leadership discouraged him. He reported to Schumpeter about<br />

the meeting with Schultz that “I was most happy thoroughly to settle accounts with Schultz.<br />

Now we have made eternal peace.” 175<br />

He added a miniscule remark about how his work was going: “My work is like a<br />

Hydra. In the place of one resolved problem, two new ones immediately emerge. But it is<br />

fun.” He had also looked into the capital accounts of NBER and drawn the conclusion that<br />

the capital funding had shrank to an extent that seemed to rule out any hope of extended<br />

employment with NBER.<br />

Leontief’s year at NBER became much affected by Harvard’s interest in him. During<br />

the year with NBER he received from Harvard University an offer of a teaching position<br />

from the next academic year, with prospects for a professorship, as discussed below. The<br />

174 But notice the opening of the preface of Leontief (1941): “Preliminary research for this<br />

investigation was concluded in 1931 while I was holding the position of Research Associate in the<br />

National Bureau of Economic Research.”<br />

175 Leontief to Schumpeter, 6 Jan. 1932.<br />

74

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