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MEMORANDUM

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assertions there were further articles by Soviet economists discussing whether input-output<br />

economics had been invented in the Soviet Union and usually citing Leontief’s Planovoe<br />

Khoziaistvo article. 97<br />

There is, however, no foreshadowing of Leontief’s input-output tables of the mid-<br />

1930s in the Bilanz article but there is an insightful discussion of the relation between gross<br />

product and gross production, of double accounting, and other related topics of a kind that<br />

would have had to precede the development of empirical input-output tables.<br />

In 1927 Leontief published the Konzentration paper in Jahrbücher für<br />

Nationalökonomie und Statistik (Leontief 1927a) titled The theory and statistical<br />

description of concentration. Like the Bilanz paper it took off from a Russian statistical<br />

publication but it was a theoretical paper, not a review. The opening paragraph is worth<br />

quoting because it stated the essential characteristics idea of Leontief’s research method:<br />

“Any purposeful statistical investigation of a phenomenon requires a special<br />

conceptual apparatus, a theory that will enable the investigator to select from<br />

among the numberless multitude of facts those that prospectively fit into some<br />

pattern and hence are susceptible to systematization. Even such a relatively simple<br />

event as a shift in population must first be placed within a rather complicated<br />

conceptual framework before it can be dealt with directly in a statistical<br />

investigation. The more complicated the object of inquiry, the more important its<br />

theoretical ‘preparation’, so to speak. Accordingly, we too are obliged to erect the<br />

requisite theoretical framework before we proceed to the purely statistical aspect of<br />

our topic.” (Leontief 1977, p.10).<br />

Leontief stated in retrospect that his intention with the Konzentration paper had indeed<br />

been to include an empirical analysis but time ran out for him. 98 The research method<br />

expounded in the quote from the article as erecting a theoretical framework before<br />

proceeding to empirical study is a version of the approach of pre-eminence of theory,<br />

adhering by several of the early econometricians, e.g. Ragnar Frisch.<br />

Economic Planning Commission of the USSR (Gosplan); he continued his work on balances of<br />

national economy in the United States.” (Lange 1963, p.185, fn.39, based on the Polish edition of<br />

1959). These assertions seem to be unfounded and therefore puzzling. See also Leontief (1960).<br />

97 The discussion continued to the end of the Soviet era, see e.g. Jasny (1962), Levine (1964),<br />

Spulber and Dadkah (1975), and Belykh (1989).<br />

98 Rosier (1985, p.80).<br />

31

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