BusinessDay 24 May 2017
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Wednesday <strong>24</strong> <strong>May</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />
C002D5556<br />
BUSINESS DAY<br />
A7<br />
China nearly doubles tax on some<br />
sugar imports to 95%<br />
LUCY CRAYMER<br />
Read Ambitiously<br />
OPEC’s Foil: It can’t drain enough stored oil<br />
to siphon off over 300 million barrels<br />
GEORGI KANTCHEV, SARAH MCFARLANE &<br />
of crude oil from OECD stocks, which<br />
BENOIT FAUCON<br />
reached record highs of over 3 billion<br />
barrels last year.<br />
OPEC is likely to extend and<br />
But OECD stocks continued increasing<br />
in early <strong>2017</strong> and fell in March<br />
perhaps even deepen its<br />
production cuts on Thursday<br />
for one main reason: It<br />
to the International Energy Agency, a<br />
by just 32 million barrels, according<br />
has failed to drain superhigh levels of<br />
global adviser to oil-consuming places<br />
oil in storage enough to raise prices<br />
such as the U.S., India and Europe.<br />
significantly.<br />
Even if the OPEC and non-OPEC cuts<br />
On Sunday, Khalid al-Falih, energy<br />
are extended into the second half of<br />
minister for the Organization of the<br />
<strong>2017</strong>, stocks won’t draw down to the<br />
Petroleum Exporting Countries’ top<br />
five-year average this year, the IEA said.<br />
producer, Saudi Arabia, said OPEC and<br />
An OPEC official said the group’s<br />
its production-cutting allies need to<br />
plan was beginning to work and merely<br />
keep holding back output for another<br />
needed more time.<br />
nine months. The group’s top leaders<br />
“Stocks are now coming down,” the<br />
meet in Vienna on Thursday to make<br />
maneuver by OPEC,” said Antoine of the $60 a barrel target that Saudi official said.<br />
a decision.<br />
Halff, senior researcher at Columbia Arabia wants.<br />
The official said OPEC was also<br />
“We are all ready to consider other<br />
University’s Center on Global Energy OPEC leaders say they want to concerned about high inventories in<br />
creative suggestions that may emerge<br />
Policy. “By choosing a storage target, reduce storage levels in the Organization<br />
for Economic Cooperation and nomic crisis depressed demand and<br />
2008 and 2009, when the global eco-<br />
to between now and <strong>May</strong> 25,” Mr. Falih<br />
they set themselves up for failure.”<br />
told reporters in Riyadh.<br />
Almost six months after OPEC’s 13 Development—a club of industrialized prices, sending storage levels higher.<br />
OPEC’s predicament underscores<br />
members and 11 other heavyweight countries like the U.S.—to a five-year Storage levels eventually fell, and prices<br />
the powerful role global oil inventories<br />
producers pledged to cut around 2% of average. About 550 million barrels rose, in 2009 as the crisis abated and oil<br />
now play, after years of being a technical<br />
detail that some traders ignored.<br />
global oil supply, stored crude has only of crude and oil products have been demand growth returned.<br />
recently begun falling and remains at added to the world’s stocks since OPEC focus on storage levels came<br />
With more data available than ever, oil<br />
historically high levels. Oil prices were 2014, when prices began crashing, after the cartel was humbled by U.S.<br />
storage has joined shale production as<br />
up almost 1% at $51.12 a barrel on said Christopher Bake, a member of shale production’s ability to withstand<br />
a symbol of a global glut of crude that<br />
Monday but remain below the levels the executive committee at the world’s low prices. Now the group has found<br />
has knocked OPEC on its heels.<br />
reached in the days after the production<br />
cut’s announcement and short OPEC leaders have said they want is also<br />
largest oil trader Vitol Group.<br />
that its power to flush oil out of storage<br />
“The production deal was a risky<br />
limited.<br />
Beijing is nearly doubling<br />
its tax on some imported<br />
sugar—further weighing on<br />
one of the worst-performing<br />
commodities of <strong>2017</strong>.<br />
Saying that an investigation had<br />
found that imports have seriously<br />
damaged China’s sugar industry, the<br />
Ministry of Commerce said the tax on<br />
imports beyond the first 1.95 million<br />
tons a year will be raised to 95% from<br />
the current 50%, effective immediately.<br />
After a year, the rate will fall to 90%;<br />
after two years, to 85%. The tax on the<br />
first 1.95 million tons will remain 15%.<br />
China is the world’s largest sugar<br />
importer. Combined official and illegal<br />
imports rose 60% in the three years<br />
through Sept. 30, the U.S. Department<br />
of Agriculture estimates. Official imports<br />
for the current crop year, ending<br />
Sept. 30, were projected to reach 3.5<br />
million tons.<br />
Sugar prices in China, whose production<br />
is barely half of consumption,<br />
are more than double the global<br />
price—making it profitable to import<br />
even with a 50% tariff. But the tax<br />
increase “is going to disincentivize imports,”<br />
said Charles Clack, a sugar analyst<br />
at Rabobank, making importing<br />
sugar a lot less competitive compared<br />
with growing domestically. Sugar production<br />
in China is less mechanized,<br />
and hence more expensive, than in<br />
much of the world.<br />
Chinese imports of the animal feed<br />
dried distillers grains fell by half in<br />
2016, after Beijing imposed new tariffs<br />
following a dumping investigation.<br />
It is a testy time for international<br />
trade. China’s announcement of a<br />
sugar investigation last September<br />
came barely a week after the U.S.<br />
challenged China at the World Trade<br />
Organization over its support program<br />
for wheat, rice and corn growers. There<br />
is a longstanding dispute between the<br />
U.S. and Mexico over whether Mexico<br />
dumps subsidized sugar in the U.S.<br />
market.<br />
Growing Chinese demand for<br />
foreign sugar—primarily from Brazil,<br />
the world’s biggest producer—has<br />
become a major price driver in recent<br />
years. In the year ended Sept. 30, global<br />
prices surged 67% partly due to a sharp<br />
rise in illegal imports to China from<br />
Myanmar, which tightened global<br />
supplies.<br />
Nokia and apple move from courtroom<br />
foes to business partners<br />
DOMINIC CHOPPING<br />
Nokia Corp. NOK 0.49%<br />
and Apple Inc. AAPL<br />
0.61% have settled longrunning<br />
intellectual<br />
property disputes and agreed to a<br />
multiyear patent license, moving<br />
from courtroom foes to business<br />
partners.<br />
Financial details of the deal<br />
weren’t disclosed, but Nokia<br />
will receive an upfront cash payment<br />
from Apple, with additional<br />
revenue during the term of the<br />
agreement.<br />
The companies said Tuesday<br />
that Nokia will provide certain<br />
network infrastructure products<br />
and services to Apple while Apple<br />
will resume carrying Nokia digital<br />
health products in Apple retail and<br />
online stores. They will also jointly<br />
explore future collaboration in<br />
digital health initiatives.<br />
“This is a meaningful agreement<br />
between Nokia and Apple,”<br />
said Maria Varsellona, chief legal<br />
officer at Nokia, responsible for<br />
Nokia’s patent licensing business.<br />
“It moves our relationship with<br />
Apple from being adversaries in<br />
court to business partners working<br />
for the benefit of our customers.”<br />
Shares in Nokia rose nearly 6%<br />
in early trading.<br />
At the end of last year Nokia<br />
confirmed it had filed actions in<br />
11 countries in total, saying Apple<br />
violated 40 of its patents covering<br />
technologies such as display,<br />
user interface, software, antenna,<br />
chipsets and video coding.<br />
At the same time, Apple filed a<br />
suit in the U.S. District Court for<br />
the Northern District of California,<br />
arguing that Nokia excluded some<br />
patents from that agreement and<br />
transferred them to third-party<br />
companies “to be used for extorting<br />
excessive royalties” from<br />
Apple. It asked the court to award<br />
damages and rule that Nokia<br />
breached its contract.<br />
Bundesbank head says ECB<br />
needs to be ready to rein<br />
in stimulus<br />
TOM FAIRLESS<br />
The European Central Bank<br />
shouldn’t wait too long before<br />
withdrawing its large<br />
monetary stimulus, German<br />
central-bank president Jens Weidmann<br />
warned on Monday, wading<br />
into a debate over how quickly the<br />
ECB should signal a policy shift.<br />
Pressure has been building in<br />
Northern Europe for a policy change<br />
from Frankfurt as the region’s economy<br />
picks up. Eurozone inflation<br />
recently jumped to 1.9%, within the<br />
ECB’s target range, after languishing<br />
close to zero for years.<br />
But top ECB officials have yet<br />
to signal they are ready to change<br />
course and start winding down<br />
their €60 billion-a-month bondpurchase<br />
program, known as quantitative<br />
easing or QE. ECB President<br />
Mario Draghi says the topic hasn’t<br />
even been discussed by the bank’s<br />
25-member governing council.<br />
Speaking in the German city of<br />
Bochum, Mr. Weidmann argued<br />
that the ECB’s easy-money policies<br />
are currently appropriate because<br />
underlying inflation in the 19-nation<br />
eurozone—excluding volatile food<br />
and energy prices—remains weak.<br />
If the region’s economic recovery<br />
continues, however, the ECB “will<br />
move closer toward normalizing”<br />
its policy mix, the Bundesbank<br />
president said.<br />
“It’s important that the central<br />
bank tightens policy again when<br />
that’s required for controlling inflation,”<br />
Mr. Weidmann said.<br />
The Bundesbank president has<br />
been the most outspoken internal<br />
critic of the ECB’s massive bondpurchase<br />
program, which is aimed<br />
at supporting growth and inflation in<br />
the currency bloc. He reiterated that<br />
criticism on Monday, arguing that<br />
bond purchases blur the boundary<br />
between fiscal and monetary policy.<br />
In particular, the ECB shouldn’t<br />
delay changing its policy mix because<br />
governments want to keep<br />
their borrowing costs low, he said.<br />
Still, Mr. Weidmann argued it<br />
was “indisputable” that the ECB’s<br />
easy-money policies are currently<br />
appropriate, even if there are different<br />
opinions about the right level of<br />
stimulus and the choice of instruments.<br />
Over the long term, though, easymoney<br />
policies generate risks for<br />
the stability of the financial system<br />
by undermining the profitability<br />
of banks and potentially creating<br />
financial bubbles, he warned.