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BusinessDay 24 May 2017

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Wednesday <strong>24</strong> <strong>May</strong> <strong>2017</strong><br />

C002D5556<br />

BUSINESS DAY<br />

A7<br />

China nearly doubles tax on some<br />

sugar imports to 95%<br />

LUCY CRAYMER<br />

Read Ambitiously<br />

OPEC’s Foil: It can’t drain enough stored oil<br />

to siphon off over 300 million barrels<br />

GEORGI KANTCHEV, SARAH MCFARLANE &<br />

of crude oil from OECD stocks, which<br />

BENOIT FAUCON<br />

reached record highs of over 3 billion<br />

barrels last year.<br />

OPEC is likely to extend and<br />

But OECD stocks continued increasing<br />

in early <strong>2017</strong> and fell in March<br />

perhaps even deepen its<br />

production cuts on Thursday<br />

for one main reason: It<br />

to the International Energy Agency, a<br />

by just 32 million barrels, according<br />

has failed to drain superhigh levels of<br />

global adviser to oil-consuming places<br />

oil in storage enough to raise prices<br />

such as the U.S., India and Europe.<br />

significantly.<br />

Even if the OPEC and non-OPEC cuts<br />

On Sunday, Khalid al-Falih, energy<br />

are extended into the second half of<br />

minister for the Organization of the<br />

<strong>2017</strong>, stocks won’t draw down to the<br />

Petroleum Exporting Countries’ top<br />

five-year average this year, the IEA said.<br />

producer, Saudi Arabia, said OPEC and<br />

An OPEC official said the group’s<br />

its production-cutting allies need to<br />

plan was beginning to work and merely<br />

keep holding back output for another<br />

needed more time.<br />

nine months. The group’s top leaders<br />

“Stocks are now coming down,” the<br />

meet in Vienna on Thursday to make<br />

maneuver by OPEC,” said Antoine of the $60 a barrel target that Saudi official said.<br />

a decision.<br />

Halff, senior researcher at Columbia Arabia wants.<br />

The official said OPEC was also<br />

“We are all ready to consider other<br />

University’s Center on Global Energy OPEC leaders say they want to concerned about high inventories in<br />

creative suggestions that may emerge<br />

Policy. “By choosing a storage target, reduce storage levels in the Organization<br />

for Economic Cooperation and nomic crisis depressed demand and<br />

2008 and 2009, when the global eco-<br />

to between now and <strong>May</strong> 25,” Mr. Falih<br />

they set themselves up for failure.”<br />

told reporters in Riyadh.<br />

Almost six months after OPEC’s 13 Development—a club of industrialized prices, sending storage levels higher.<br />

OPEC’s predicament underscores<br />

members and 11 other heavyweight countries like the U.S.—to a five-year Storage levels eventually fell, and prices<br />

the powerful role global oil inventories<br />

producers pledged to cut around 2% of average. About 550 million barrels rose, in 2009 as the crisis abated and oil<br />

now play, after years of being a technical<br />

detail that some traders ignored.<br />

global oil supply, stored crude has only of crude and oil products have been demand growth returned.<br />

recently begun falling and remains at added to the world’s stocks since OPEC focus on storage levels came<br />

With more data available than ever, oil<br />

historically high levels. Oil prices were 2014, when prices began crashing, after the cartel was humbled by U.S.<br />

storage has joined shale production as<br />

up almost 1% at $51.12 a barrel on said Christopher Bake, a member of shale production’s ability to withstand<br />

a symbol of a global glut of crude that<br />

Monday but remain below the levels the executive committee at the world’s low prices. Now the group has found<br />

has knocked OPEC on its heels.<br />

reached in the days after the production<br />

cut’s announcement and short OPEC leaders have said they want is also<br />

largest oil trader Vitol Group.<br />

that its power to flush oil out of storage<br />

“The production deal was a risky<br />

limited.<br />

Beijing is nearly doubling<br />

its tax on some imported<br />

sugar—further weighing on<br />

one of the worst-performing<br />

commodities of <strong>2017</strong>.<br />

Saying that an investigation had<br />

found that imports have seriously<br />

damaged China’s sugar industry, the<br />

Ministry of Commerce said the tax on<br />

imports beyond the first 1.95 million<br />

tons a year will be raised to 95% from<br />

the current 50%, effective immediately.<br />

After a year, the rate will fall to 90%;<br />

after two years, to 85%. The tax on the<br />

first 1.95 million tons will remain 15%.<br />

China is the world’s largest sugar<br />

importer. Combined official and illegal<br />

imports rose 60% in the three years<br />

through Sept. 30, the U.S. Department<br />

of Agriculture estimates. Official imports<br />

for the current crop year, ending<br />

Sept. 30, were projected to reach 3.5<br />

million tons.<br />

Sugar prices in China, whose production<br />

is barely half of consumption,<br />

are more than double the global<br />

price—making it profitable to import<br />

even with a 50% tariff. But the tax<br />

increase “is going to disincentivize imports,”<br />

said Charles Clack, a sugar analyst<br />

at Rabobank, making importing<br />

sugar a lot less competitive compared<br />

with growing domestically. Sugar production<br />

in China is less mechanized,<br />

and hence more expensive, than in<br />

much of the world.<br />

Chinese imports of the animal feed<br />

dried distillers grains fell by half in<br />

2016, after Beijing imposed new tariffs<br />

following a dumping investigation.<br />

It is a testy time for international<br />

trade. China’s announcement of a<br />

sugar investigation last September<br />

came barely a week after the U.S.<br />

challenged China at the World Trade<br />

Organization over its support program<br />

for wheat, rice and corn growers. There<br />

is a longstanding dispute between the<br />

U.S. and Mexico over whether Mexico<br />

dumps subsidized sugar in the U.S.<br />

market.<br />

Growing Chinese demand for<br />

foreign sugar—primarily from Brazil,<br />

the world’s biggest producer—has<br />

become a major price driver in recent<br />

years. In the year ended Sept. 30, global<br />

prices surged 67% partly due to a sharp<br />

rise in illegal imports to China from<br />

Myanmar, which tightened global<br />

supplies.<br />

Nokia and apple move from courtroom<br />

foes to business partners<br />

DOMINIC CHOPPING<br />

Nokia Corp. NOK 0.49%<br />

and Apple Inc. AAPL<br />

0.61% have settled longrunning<br />

intellectual<br />

property disputes and agreed to a<br />

multiyear patent license, moving<br />

from courtroom foes to business<br />

partners.<br />

Financial details of the deal<br />

weren’t disclosed, but Nokia<br />

will receive an upfront cash payment<br />

from Apple, with additional<br />

revenue during the term of the<br />

agreement.<br />

The companies said Tuesday<br />

that Nokia will provide certain<br />

network infrastructure products<br />

and services to Apple while Apple<br />

will resume carrying Nokia digital<br />

health products in Apple retail and<br />

online stores. They will also jointly<br />

explore future collaboration in<br />

digital health initiatives.<br />

“This is a meaningful agreement<br />

between Nokia and Apple,”<br />

said Maria Varsellona, chief legal<br />

officer at Nokia, responsible for<br />

Nokia’s patent licensing business.<br />

“It moves our relationship with<br />

Apple from being adversaries in<br />

court to business partners working<br />

for the benefit of our customers.”<br />

Shares in Nokia rose nearly 6%<br />

in early trading.<br />

At the end of last year Nokia<br />

confirmed it had filed actions in<br />

11 countries in total, saying Apple<br />

violated 40 of its patents covering<br />

technologies such as display,<br />

user interface, software, antenna,<br />

chipsets and video coding.<br />

At the same time, Apple filed a<br />

suit in the U.S. District Court for<br />

the Northern District of California,<br />

arguing that Nokia excluded some<br />

patents from that agreement and<br />

transferred them to third-party<br />

companies “to be used for extorting<br />

excessive royalties” from<br />

Apple. It asked the court to award<br />

damages and rule that Nokia<br />

breached its contract.<br />

Bundesbank head says ECB<br />

needs to be ready to rein<br />

in stimulus<br />

TOM FAIRLESS<br />

The European Central Bank<br />

shouldn’t wait too long before<br />

withdrawing its large<br />

monetary stimulus, German<br />

central-bank president Jens Weidmann<br />

warned on Monday, wading<br />

into a debate over how quickly the<br />

ECB should signal a policy shift.<br />

Pressure has been building in<br />

Northern Europe for a policy change<br />

from Frankfurt as the region’s economy<br />

picks up. Eurozone inflation<br />

recently jumped to 1.9%, within the<br />

ECB’s target range, after languishing<br />

close to zero for years.<br />

But top ECB officials have yet<br />

to signal they are ready to change<br />

course and start winding down<br />

their €60 billion-a-month bondpurchase<br />

program, known as quantitative<br />

easing or QE. ECB President<br />

Mario Draghi says the topic hasn’t<br />

even been discussed by the bank’s<br />

25-member governing council.<br />

Speaking in the German city of<br />

Bochum, Mr. Weidmann argued<br />

that the ECB’s easy-money policies<br />

are currently appropriate because<br />

underlying inflation in the 19-nation<br />

eurozone—excluding volatile food<br />

and energy prices—remains weak.<br />

If the region’s economic recovery<br />

continues, however, the ECB “will<br />

move closer toward normalizing”<br />

its policy mix, the Bundesbank<br />

president said.<br />

“It’s important that the central<br />

bank tightens policy again when<br />

that’s required for controlling inflation,”<br />

Mr. Weidmann said.<br />

The Bundesbank president has<br />

been the most outspoken internal<br />

critic of the ECB’s massive bondpurchase<br />

program, which is aimed<br />

at supporting growth and inflation in<br />

the currency bloc. He reiterated that<br />

criticism on Monday, arguing that<br />

bond purchases blur the boundary<br />

between fiscal and monetary policy.<br />

In particular, the ECB shouldn’t<br />

delay changing its policy mix because<br />

governments want to keep<br />

their borrowing costs low, he said.<br />

Still, Mr. Weidmann argued it<br />

was “indisputable” that the ECB’s<br />

easy-money policies are currently<br />

appropriate, even if there are different<br />

opinions about the right level of<br />

stimulus and the choice of instruments.<br />

Over the long term, though, easymoney<br />

policies generate risks for<br />

the stability of the financial system<br />

by undermining the profitability<br />

of banks and potentially creating<br />

financial bubbles, he warned.

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