Investment strategies for volatile markets
Global Investor, 03/2007 Credit Suisse
Global Investor, 03/2007
Credit Suisse
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GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.07 Special — 35<br />
The question is then: what kind of returns<br />
are you looking <strong>for</strong>? And then what kind<br />
of risks are you willing to take and feel<br />
com<strong>for</strong>table in taking? What is your time<br />
horizon?<br />
As explained earlier, in our traditional<br />
mandates the emphasis is clearly on<br />
allocation, while in total return we stress<br />
structuring techniques. All our products<br />
are driven off the same investment<br />
strategy, but it is how this investment<br />
strategy is applied when building a<br />
portfolio where the difference comes in.<br />
For example, we have been bearish<br />
on bond <strong>markets</strong> since last year. Our relative<br />
return portfolios have an interest<br />
rate sensitivity that is 50% less sensitive<br />
to adverse interest rate movements<br />
than the bond market in general,<br />
whereas in our total return <strong>strategies</strong>,<br />
we might not have held bonds at all<br />
during that period.<br />
That kind of flexibility makes total return<br />
sound like a global macro hedge fund<br />
strategy, or fund of hedge funds. What<br />
are the differences?<br />
Daniel Hausammann: Our Total<br />
Return Family solutions are regulated by<br />
different legal bodies, such as the<br />
Swiss Banking Association, and comply<br />
with European fund regulations. So they<br />
are more regulated than most hedge<br />
funds. We can short equities, but only<br />
using index derivatives, and our <strong>strategies</strong><br />
do not embed direct leverage.<br />
Our investments are characterized by a<br />
reasonable liquidity, high transparency<br />
and regulation.<br />
Arun Ratra: Hedge funds usually<br />
promise a lot of alpha, or investment skill<br />
above and independent of market returns.<br />
But if you look at the correlation of<br />
hedge fund <strong>strategies</strong> to the equity<br />
market, then this has increased sharply<br />
during the last four years. We, on<br />
the other hand, are trying to achieve a<br />
certain targeted return while limiting<br />
the downside.<br />
But total return is an evolution of<br />
traditional investing versus a benchmark<br />
such as MSCI European equities?<br />
Daniel Hausammann: Certainly. It is<br />
always difficult <strong>for</strong> an active manager<br />
to explain to a client that the product has<br />
succeeded by outper<strong>for</strong>ming the benchmark,<br />
while the overall per<strong>for</strong>mance has<br />
still been negative. One of the reasons<br />
we have a totally flexible asset allocation<br />
is to provide a buffer against shortfall<br />
risks. So we can be 100% invested in any<br />
<br />
manager to explain to a client<br />
that the product has succeeded by<br />
outper<strong>for</strong>ming the benchmark,<br />
while the overall per<strong>for</strong>mance has<br />
still been negative.” Daniel Hausammann<br />
asset class or 0%. We can turn the<br />
risk up or down, depending on market<br />
conditions.<br />
Arun Ratra: True in the sense that<br />
clients have become much more cautious<br />
after the equity market bubble burst in<br />
the early part of the decade. They have<br />
realized that equity investing does not<br />
deliver only outstanding positive returns.<br />
The value of diversification was felt when<br />
equity <strong>markets</strong> headed south. This has<br />
also led clients to become more cognizant<br />
of their goals, namely the kind of return<br />
that they want to achieve and the<br />
risks they want to take. Total return,<br />
using a true multi-asset class portfolio<br />
approach, tries to deliver that targeted<br />
return as we discussed earlier.<br />
So total return will suffer some falls,<br />
but not as much as traditional active or<br />
passive investing?<br />
Arun Ratra: Yes, but it will also not be<br />
able to fully participate when <strong>markets</strong><br />
rise. If you target a certain return every<br />
year, then you have to manage your risks<br />
very well, which means that you cannot<br />
take risk continuously and have to adhere<br />
to risk budgets. Since there is no such<br />
thing as a free lunch in investing, you<br />
limit your returns on the upside. I want to<br />
stress that we do not think of total return<br />
as a panacea <strong>for</strong> all market conditions.<br />
That does not exist. Total return should<br />
be an additional consideration <strong>for</strong> investors<br />
within our TPM framework.<br />
Daniel Hausammann: We are not<br />
promising there will never be losses with<br />
total return, but it does aid wealth<br />
preservation over the longer time horizon,<br />
as a dynamic overlay within a client’s<br />
portfolio. Whatever strategic allocations<br />
to bonds, equities and alternatives have<br />
been made, the extreme flexibility of<br />
total return reduces any risks that market<br />
conditions bring to bear on that under-