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Investment strategies for volatile markets

Global Investor, 03/2007 Credit Suisse

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Credit Suisse

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GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.07 Special — 35<br />

The question is then: what kind of returns<br />

are you looking <strong>for</strong>? And then what kind<br />

of risks are you willing to take and feel<br />

com<strong>for</strong>table in taking? What is your time<br />

horizon?<br />

As explained earlier, in our traditional<br />

mandates the emphasis is clearly on<br />

allocation, while in total return we stress<br />

structuring techniques. All our products<br />

are driven off the same investment<br />

strategy, but it is how this investment<br />

strategy is applied when building a<br />

portfolio where the difference comes in.<br />

For example, we have been bearish<br />

on bond <strong>markets</strong> since last year. Our relative<br />

return portfolios have an interest<br />

rate sensitivity that is 50% less sensitive<br />

to adverse interest rate movements<br />

than the bond market in general,<br />

whereas in our total return <strong>strategies</strong>,<br />

we might not have held bonds at all<br />

during that period.<br />

That kind of flexibility makes total return<br />

sound like a global macro hedge fund<br />

strategy, or fund of hedge funds. What<br />

are the differences?<br />

Daniel Hausammann: Our Total<br />

Return Family solutions are regulated by<br />

different legal bodies, such as the<br />

Swiss Banking Association, and comply<br />

with European fund regulations. So they<br />

are more regulated than most hedge<br />

funds. We can short equities, but only<br />

using index derivatives, and our <strong>strategies</strong><br />

do not embed direct leverage.<br />

Our investments are characterized by a<br />

reasonable liquidity, high transparency<br />

and regulation.<br />

Arun Ratra: Hedge funds usually<br />

promise a lot of alpha, or investment skill<br />

above and independent of market returns.<br />

But if you look at the correlation of<br />

hedge fund <strong>strategies</strong> to the equity<br />

market, then this has increased sharply<br />

during the last four years. We, on<br />

the other hand, are trying to achieve a<br />

certain targeted return while limiting<br />

the downside.<br />

But total return is an evolution of<br />

traditional investing versus a benchmark<br />

such as MSCI European equities?<br />

Daniel Hausammann: Certainly. It is<br />

always difficult <strong>for</strong> an active manager<br />

to explain to a client that the product has<br />

succeeded by outper<strong>for</strong>ming the benchmark,<br />

while the overall per<strong>for</strong>mance has<br />

still been negative. One of the reasons<br />

we have a totally flexible asset allocation<br />

is to provide a buffer against shortfall<br />

risks. So we can be 100% invested in any<br />

<br />

manager to explain to a client<br />

that the product has succeeded by<br />

outper<strong>for</strong>ming the benchmark,<br />

while the overall per<strong>for</strong>mance has<br />

still been negative.” Daniel Hausammann<br />

asset class or 0%. We can turn the<br />

risk up or down, depending on market<br />

conditions.<br />

Arun Ratra: True in the sense that<br />

clients have become much more cautious<br />

after the equity market bubble burst in<br />

the early part of the decade. They have<br />

realized that equity investing does not<br />

deliver only outstanding positive returns.<br />

The value of diversification was felt when<br />

equity <strong>markets</strong> headed south. This has<br />

also led clients to become more cognizant<br />

of their goals, namely the kind of return<br />

that they want to achieve and the<br />

risks they want to take. Total return,<br />

using a true multi-asset class portfolio<br />

approach, tries to deliver that targeted<br />

return as we discussed earlier.<br />

So total return will suffer some falls,<br />

but not as much as traditional active or<br />

passive investing?<br />

Arun Ratra: Yes, but it will also not be<br />

able to fully participate when <strong>markets</strong><br />

rise. If you target a certain return every<br />

year, then you have to manage your risks<br />

very well, which means that you cannot<br />

take risk continuously and have to adhere<br />

to risk budgets. Since there is no such<br />

thing as a free lunch in investing, you<br />

limit your returns on the upside. I want to<br />

stress that we do not think of total return<br />

as a panacea <strong>for</strong> all market conditions.<br />

That does not exist. Total return should<br />

be an additional consideration <strong>for</strong> investors<br />

within our TPM framework.<br />

Daniel Hausammann: We are not<br />

promising there will never be losses with<br />

total return, but it does aid wealth<br />

preservation over the longer time horizon,<br />

as a dynamic overlay within a client’s<br />

portfolio. Whatever strategic allocations<br />

to bonds, equities and alternatives have<br />

been made, the extreme flexibility of<br />

total return reduces any risks that market<br />

conditions bring to bear on that under-

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