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BusinessDay 25 Oct 2017

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Wednesday <strong>25</strong> <strong>Oct</strong>ober <strong>2017</strong><br />

C002D5556<br />

BUSINESS DAY<br />

A7<br />

Read Ambitiously<br />

Global markets pause ahead of<br />

earnings, Central bank moves<br />

Insurers unload<br />

problems into<br />

private equity’s arms<br />

PAUL J. DAVIES<br />

The world of ultralow interest<br />

rates is a waking nightmare<br />

for life insurers and pension<br />

companies, especially those<br />

which guaranteed high returns<br />

to customers. One option is to<br />

get someone else to manage the<br />

problem.<br />

A couple of large sales in Europe<br />

could test the market and unlock<br />

value for investors. Ergo, a division<br />

of Munich Re , MURGY -1.36%<br />

and Italy’s Generali are exploring<br />

options for books of old German<br />

policies, which have combined assets<br />

of €100 billion ($117.5 billion).<br />

Similar consolidation has already<br />

happened in the U.K. and more<br />

recently the U.S., where Apollo<br />

Global Management APO 0.37%<br />

built Athene Holding ATH 0.43%<br />

through a string of deals and then<br />

raised $1 billion listing it in New<br />

York last year.<br />

Insurers’ troubles are tied to<br />

long-term investment products<br />

and annuities that guaranteed<br />

high returns or lifetime incomes,<br />

which were easier to fulfill before<br />

the financial crisis and era of<br />

quantitative easing.<br />

Selling these old policies on<br />

is sensitive with regulators and<br />

customers, provoking fears that<br />

payouts may be disrupted. New<br />

owners, often private equitybacked<br />

vehicles, might make riskier<br />

investments to get more profit<br />

after meeting liabilities, which<br />

can last for 20 years or more. That<br />

said, specialist consolidators can<br />

be better managers of old policies,<br />

rather than a less interested insurance<br />

group that wants to sell new<br />

policies and sees the old business<br />

as a burden.<br />

New owners can make the<br />

business work better by investing<br />

specifically for higher-cost legacy<br />

policies and centralizing asset<br />

and capital management for several<br />

books of business. They can<br />

also find savings in reinsurance,<br />

tax and administration costs by<br />

bringing these things together in<br />

cheaper locations, such as Ireland.<br />

A huge volume of such assets<br />

sit in Germany, which was long<br />

seen as resistant to sales. That<br />

is changing. Regulators have<br />

approved several smaller deals<br />

by three private-equity backed<br />

groups, which would be the most<br />

likely bidders for Ergo’s and Generali’s<br />

German business.<br />

Apollo’s Athene has done a<br />

couple of deals in Europe through<br />

a sister company, Athora, which<br />

has privately raised more than €2<br />

billion from long-term investors.<br />

GEORGI KANTCHEV<br />

Global stock markets<br />

mostly edged higher<br />

Tuesday as investors<br />

took positions ahead<br />

of several earnings reports<br />

and key central bank moves.<br />

Futures pointed to a 0.1% opening<br />

gain for the S&P 500, following a loss<br />

Monday after disappointing earnings.<br />

The Stoxx Europe 600 index<br />

was down 0.1% after lower-thanexpected<br />

economic numbers,<br />

while bourses across Asia finished<br />

mostly higher.<br />

Investors were focused on the<br />

next batch of profit reports, with<br />

nearly 200 companies in the S&P<br />

500 on the week’s earnings calendar,<br />

according to FactSet. Strong<br />

results in previous quarters, as well<br />

as solid economic growth around<br />

the world, have underpinned<br />

stock markets and pushed them<br />

University of Wisconsin Business School<br />

to vote on halting M.B.A. admissions<br />

KELSEY GEE<br />

Officials at the Wisconsin<br />

School of Business<br />

have proposed suspending<br />

admissions<br />

to its full-time master’s in business<br />

administration program for<br />

a year.<br />

At a time when students want<br />

shorter, more targeted degrees,<br />

the school at the University of<br />

Wisconsin-Madison may become<br />

the latest to discontinue<br />

its flagship M.B.A. program. The<br />

University of Iowa’s Tippie College<br />

of Business and Wake Forest<br />

University’s business school have<br />

also ended their full-time M.B.A.<br />

programs recently, citing flagging<br />

student demand.<br />

The proposal has touched a<br />

nerve with students and alumni,<br />

who say a vote to halt M.B.A.<br />

admissions at Wisconsin, one of<br />

country’s oldest business schools,<br />

could effectively end the program.<br />

Hundreds of the business<br />

school’s students and staff assembled<br />

Monday for a town- hall<br />

meeting with Dean Anne Massey,<br />

attendees said. Originally sched-<br />

to record highs.<br />

“It’s a busy week for markets but<br />

risk assets continue to perform,”<br />

said Richard Benson, co-head<br />

of portfolio investments at $18<br />

billion fund Millennium Global<br />

Investments.<br />

Central banks are another focus<br />

for investors this week. The<br />

uled for 45 minutes, the meeting<br />

stretched to nearly two hours as<br />

students questioned the dean<br />

about potentially cutting the<br />

program.<br />

Faculty are scheduled to vote<br />

on whether to halt M.B.A. admissions<br />

in early November as part<br />

of a wider review of the school’s<br />

programs, which will evaluate<br />

whether or not the school should<br />

shutter the full-time degree for<br />

good, while expanding on other<br />

more flexible and shorter programs.<br />

The vote would go into<br />

effect immediately, eliminating<br />

the two-year M.B.A. class of 2020.<br />

In a posting on its website<br />

Monday, the school said its<br />

portfolio review was prompted<br />

by competing demands for resources<br />

and “a changing market<br />

for graduate business education.”<br />

Some 104 students enrolled<br />

in Wisconsin’s M.B.A. program<br />

this fall, down 11% from 2010,<br />

according to a school spokesman.<br />

Though elite programs at Harvard<br />

University and Stanford University<br />

continue to attract applicants,<br />

some schools outside the top tier<br />

are finding it harder to maintain<br />

interest in the two-year M.B.A.<br />

European Central Bank is set to<br />

announce changes to its massive<br />

bond-buying program after its<br />

meeting Thursday. Economists expect<br />

the ECB to reduce its monthly<br />

asset purchases, possibly by half,<br />

but also to extend the program for<br />

a number of months into 2018.<br />

Investors “need to exercise<br />

LAURA MECKLER & SHANE HARRIS<br />

caution as markets enter a different<br />

phase with less central bank<br />

support than has been the case<br />

over the past decade,” said David<br />

Simner, portfolio manager at Fidelity<br />

International.<br />

On Tuesday, IHS Markit said its<br />

composite Purchasing Managers<br />

Index for the eurozone—based on<br />

survey responses from manufacturers<br />

and service providers—fell<br />

to 55.9 in <strong>Oct</strong>ober from 56.7 in<br />

September. The index still points to<br />

solid growth, with 50 demarcating<br />

a rise from a contraction in output.<br />

Also of interest to markets,<br />

U.S. President Donald Trump is<br />

expected to unveil his pick for the<br />

new leader of the Federal Reserve<br />

within the next 10 days from a<br />

roster of candidates that include<br />

current Fed Chairwoman Janet<br />

Yellen. Late Monday, Mr. Trump<br />

said he was “very, very close” to<br />

naming his choice.<br />

U.S. to allow refugees from all<br />

countries but with new rules<br />

The Trump administration<br />

will allow refugee<br />

admissions to the U.S. to<br />

resume for all countries<br />

but with new rules meant to better<br />

vet applicants, administration<br />

officials and others familiar<br />

with the planning said.<br />

The White House plans to<br />

announce the resumption of admissions<br />

and at least some of the<br />

new rules on Tuesday, officials<br />

said. Refugee admissions had<br />

generally been halted in June,<br />

with some exceptions.<br />

Under the new rules, the administration<br />

will collect more biographical<br />

data, such as names<br />

of family members and places<br />

of employment, officials said.<br />

The administration will also do<br />

more to mine social media posts<br />

to see, for instance, if refugees’<br />

public pronouncements are<br />

consistent with the stories they<br />

offer in their applications, the<br />

officials said.<br />

In addition, officials who<br />

do the screening at the U.S.<br />

Citizenship and Immigration<br />

Services agency, which is part<br />

of the Department of Homeland<br />

Security, will be given new guidance<br />

and better training aimed<br />

at detecting fraud on the part of<br />

applicants, one person said.<br />

The refugee program was<br />

put on hold in June for 120 days<br />

as part of the larger travel ban<br />

ordered by President Donald<br />

Trump designed to thwart potential<br />

terrorists. That period<br />

expires on Tuesday.<br />

Under the new order being<br />

issued, refugee admissions will<br />

resume for all countries. However,<br />

one person familiar with<br />

the planning said that people<br />

from 11 targeted countries will<br />

be subject to additional vetting<br />

that will slow down the process<br />

for them.<br />

The vetting process can be<br />

particularly challenging because<br />

applicants have been forced to<br />

flee their home countries and<br />

often don’t have documents<br />

that are helpful in confirming<br />

identity and other details<br />

typically used in screening. In<br />

addition, their home countries<br />

are often unwilling or unable to<br />

cooperate.<br />

Advocates for refugees have<br />

long pointed to the lengthy<br />

process that applicants undergo<br />

already and say that the existing<br />

vetting process is more than<br />

adequate.<br />

“The United States’ refugee<br />

vetting procedures—which include<br />

extensive and comprehensive<br />

interviews as well as<br />

multiple rounds of security<br />

vetting with an array of U.S. and<br />

international intelligence and<br />

law enforcement agencies—are<br />

widely recognized as the most<br />

stringent in the world,” said a<br />

statement last month from the<br />

advocacy group Human Rights<br />

First. The group cited support<br />

for the program from national<br />

security officials in both political<br />

parties.

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