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BusinessDay 25 Oct 2017

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BUSINESS DAY<br />

Why it Matters<br />

NEWS YOU CAN TRUST I WEDNESDAY <strong>25</strong> OCTOBER <strong>2017</strong><br />

Why government should boost tax<br />

revenue as Nigeria’s debt deteriorates?<br />

Nigerian government<br />

is<br />

under pressure<br />

to boost<br />

non-oil revenue<br />

as it continues to use<br />

the large chunk of generated<br />

oil revenue to service<br />

debt, raising concerns<br />

about the deteriorating<br />

debt position.<br />

Some experts are of the<br />

view that government has<br />

exceeded its borrowing<br />

limit while its N7.4 trillion<br />

budget is a drop of water<br />

in an ocean given a copious<br />

infrastructure deficit<br />

undermining economic<br />

growth.<br />

Between January and<br />

June, over 90 percent of<br />

government revenues<br />

were channelled toward<br />

debt serving, according<br />

to available data from the<br />

National Bureau of Statistics<br />

(NBS).<br />

The country’s interest<br />

payments-to-revenue<br />

ratio doubled last year<br />

to 66 percent of revenue,<br />

according to the International<br />

Monetary Fund IMF.<br />

According to a September<br />

19 report by the NBS,<br />

Nigeria’s overall foreign<br />

debt, stood at $15.1 billion<br />

as of June 30, while domestic<br />

debt was N14.1 trillion.<br />

The recently-issued<br />

N100 billion sovereign<br />

Sukuk bond by government<br />

and plans to further<br />

issue another $5.20 billion<br />

of Europe bond in<br />

the next three months to<br />

fund capital expenditure<br />

potentially adds to debtservicing<br />

cost.<br />

While the good news is<br />

that the country is in an<br />

advantageous position to<br />

borrow from the international<br />

market because of<br />

recent improved fundamentals,<br />

another round<br />

of militant attack on oil facilities<br />

and sudden drop in<br />

the price of oil could deal<br />

a great blow on revenue.<br />

This means government<br />

has to boost tax<br />

revenue in order to fund<br />

capital projects. A robust<br />

tax base will help diversify<br />

the economy away from<br />

over reliance on oil.<br />

Finance Minister Kemi<br />

Adeosun recently bemoaned<br />

the country’s very<br />

low tax to GDP ratio of 19<br />

percent, which is one of<br />

the lowest in the world.<br />

However the government<br />

plan to improve tax<br />

revenue through voluntary<br />

compliance while increasing<br />

the number of people<br />

in the tax net is a right step<br />

in the right direction.<br />

The chairman Federal<br />

Inland Revenue Services<br />

(FIRS) Babatunde Fowler,<br />

also said that the government<br />

is putting in place<br />

plans to track tax defaulters<br />

using phone bill records<br />

and Bank Verification<br />

Numbers (BVN).<br />

“Individuals, who<br />

spend above a certain<br />

threshold on their phone<br />

bills, would be examined<br />

to ascertain their tax bills.<br />

The same method would<br />

also apply to individuals<br />

with BVN,” Fowler stated.<br />

Already, the Federal<br />

Inland Revenue Service,<br />

through tax collection,<br />

generated the sum of<br />

N2.11 trillion as revenue<br />

from January to July this<br />

(MGI) in 2014, an estimated<br />

$1.5 trillion needs to be<br />

invested in infrastructure<br />

through 2030 to allow Nigeria’s<br />

economy reach its<br />

full potential, with much<br />

of the investments going<br />

to power, transportation,<br />

and real estate. This would<br />

mean annual infrastructure<br />

investments in excess<br />

of $50 billion.<br />

“At around <strong>25</strong>% to 40%<br />

of GDP, Nigeria’s stock of<br />

infrastructure is significantly<br />

lower than the global<br />

average of about 70%,”<br />

said analysts at (MGI).<br />

Stakeholders opined<br />

that a robust and transparent<br />

concession policy<br />

through an organized Public<br />

Private Partnership<br />

could help bridge infra-<br />

At around <strong>25</strong>% to 40% of<br />

GDP, Nigeria’s stock of<br />

infrastructure is<br />

significantly lower than<br />

the global average of<br />

about 70%<br />

year.<br />

It is imperative for the<br />

Nigerian government to<br />

boost non-oil revenue<br />

because it doesn’t have<br />

the resources to fund huge<br />

capital projects across the<br />

country.<br />

The Head of Energy<br />

Research, Ecobank Plc,<br />

Dolapo Oni, said that<br />

Nigeria would require a<br />

minimum of $30bn (about<br />

N9.47tn) annual investments<br />

to bridge the infrastructure<br />

gap that exists in<br />

the economy.<br />

According to the Mc-<br />

Kinsey Global Institute<br />

structure deficit.<br />

The most common<br />

type of privatization<br />

scheme has been the<br />

concession or franchise<br />

where a private operator<br />

provides rail transport services<br />

using publicly owned<br />

infrastructure.<br />

As at 2005, Nigerian<br />

ports faced a myriad of<br />

challenges that made it<br />

one of the most inefficient<br />

ports globally as it was<br />

fraught with insecurity,<br />

theft, and congestion.<br />

However, In 2006, the<br />

Federal Government concessioned<br />

the 26 ports in<br />

Nigeria to <strong>25</strong> Terminal<br />

Operators over <strong>25</strong> years<br />

license period in a land<br />

lord system that reduced<br />

financial liabilities on the<br />

part of government.<br />

According to a report<br />

by global accounting firm,<br />

Deloitte, “as a result of<br />

copious investment by<br />

Terminal Operators (N200<br />

billion), the ports witnessed<br />

increased ship traffic<br />

and throughput which<br />

led to a 400 percent rise in<br />

container throughput from<br />

400,000 TEU in 2006 to<br />

1.60 million TEUs in 2014,”<br />

The concession of the<br />

ports has resulted in job<br />

creation along the value<br />

chain such as freight forwarding<br />

and insurance<br />

while saving the Nigerian<br />

economy an estimated<br />

$800 million annually in<br />

congested fees alone.<br />

Recently, the Federal<br />

Executive Council (FEC)<br />

Okayed the planned concession<br />

of Lagos and Abuja<br />

Airports as it believes the<br />

privatization of these assets<br />

will result in better<br />

management.<br />

Nigerian Airports are<br />

rated as one of the worst in<br />

Africa, as an insalubrious<br />

environment coupled with<br />

extortion from immigration<br />

and custom officers<br />

of passengers and lack of<br />

space validates the negative<br />

ratings.<br />

Adeosun has allays the<br />

fears of some Nigerians<br />

that government is not<br />

heaping debt on the next<br />

generation. She said its a<br />

usual thing for government<br />

to borrow when expenditure<br />

exceeds revenue.<br />

However, the country’s<br />

debt was paid through a<br />

debt payback by former<br />

minister for Finance Ngozi<br />

Okonjo Iweala, as Nigeria<br />

exist the Paris club group<br />

of creditors.<br />

fivethings<br />

about innovation<br />

C002D5556<br />

Nigeria Plans to Sell $5.5 Billion of<br />

Eurobonds by Year-End<br />

Nigeria plans to sell as much as $5.5 billion<br />

of Eurobonds in the next three months to<br />

fund capital projects and replace local-currency<br />

debt in order to fund capital budget.<br />

N330 billion<br />

The Debt Management office (DMO) released<br />

its bond issuance calendar for the<br />

fourth quarter of <strong>2017</strong> which points to<br />

lighter borrowing pattern with FG intending<br />

to borrow all-out N330 billion, split across<br />

the 5-year (2021) and the 10-year (2027) at<br />

N165 billion apiece. The calendar also saw<br />

the removal of the 20-year bond (April<br />

2037).<br />

7.1 percent<br />

According to a 2014 report McKinsey Global Institute<br />

(MGI), for Nigeria to achieve its full economic<br />

potential by 2030, GDP growth needs<br />

to average a minimum of 7.1% annually. This<br />

would see GDP grow to an estimated $1.6 trillion,<br />

with the potential for an estimated 70<br />

million people to move out of poverty.<br />

$30 billion<br />

Nigeria would require a minimum of $30bn<br />

(about N9.47tn) annual investments to bridge<br />

the infrastructure gap that exists in the economy.<br />

N200 billion<br />

According to a report by global accounting firm,<br />

Deloitte, “as a result of copious investment by<br />

Terminal Operators (N200 billion), the ports<br />

witnessed increased ship traffic and throughput<br />

which led to a 400 percent rise in container<br />

throughput from 400,000 TEU in 2006 to 1.60<br />

million TEUs in 2014,”<br />

The concession of the ports has resulted in job<br />

creation along the value chain such as freight<br />

forwarding and insurance while saving the<br />

Nigerian economy an estimated $800 million<br />

annually in congested fees alone.<br />

Published by BusinessDAY Media Ltd., The Brook, 6 Point Road, GRA, Apapa, Lagos. Ghana Office: Business Day Ghana Ltd; ABC Junction, near Guinness Ghana Limited, Achimota – Accra, Ghana.<br />

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Editor: Anthony Osae-Brown. All correspondence to BusinessDAY Media Ltd., Box 1002, Festac Lagos. ISSN 1595 - 8590.

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