BusinessDay 25 Oct 2017
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BUSINESS DAY<br />
Why it Matters<br />
NEWS YOU CAN TRUST I WEDNESDAY <strong>25</strong> OCTOBER <strong>2017</strong><br />
Why government should boost tax<br />
revenue as Nigeria’s debt deteriorates?<br />
Nigerian government<br />
is<br />
under pressure<br />
to boost<br />
non-oil revenue<br />
as it continues to use<br />
the large chunk of generated<br />
oil revenue to service<br />
debt, raising concerns<br />
about the deteriorating<br />
debt position.<br />
Some experts are of the<br />
view that government has<br />
exceeded its borrowing<br />
limit while its N7.4 trillion<br />
budget is a drop of water<br />
in an ocean given a copious<br />
infrastructure deficit<br />
undermining economic<br />
growth.<br />
Between January and<br />
June, over 90 percent of<br />
government revenues<br />
were channelled toward<br />
debt serving, according<br />
to available data from the<br />
National Bureau of Statistics<br />
(NBS).<br />
The country’s interest<br />
payments-to-revenue<br />
ratio doubled last year<br />
to 66 percent of revenue,<br />
according to the International<br />
Monetary Fund IMF.<br />
According to a September<br />
19 report by the NBS,<br />
Nigeria’s overall foreign<br />
debt, stood at $15.1 billion<br />
as of June 30, while domestic<br />
debt was N14.1 trillion.<br />
The recently-issued<br />
N100 billion sovereign<br />
Sukuk bond by government<br />
and plans to further<br />
issue another $5.20 billion<br />
of Europe bond in<br />
the next three months to<br />
fund capital expenditure<br />
potentially adds to debtservicing<br />
cost.<br />
While the good news is<br />
that the country is in an<br />
advantageous position to<br />
borrow from the international<br />
market because of<br />
recent improved fundamentals,<br />
another round<br />
of militant attack on oil facilities<br />
and sudden drop in<br />
the price of oil could deal<br />
a great blow on revenue.<br />
This means government<br />
has to boost tax<br />
revenue in order to fund<br />
capital projects. A robust<br />
tax base will help diversify<br />
the economy away from<br />
over reliance on oil.<br />
Finance Minister Kemi<br />
Adeosun recently bemoaned<br />
the country’s very<br />
low tax to GDP ratio of 19<br />
percent, which is one of<br />
the lowest in the world.<br />
However the government<br />
plan to improve tax<br />
revenue through voluntary<br />
compliance while increasing<br />
the number of people<br />
in the tax net is a right step<br />
in the right direction.<br />
The chairman Federal<br />
Inland Revenue Services<br />
(FIRS) Babatunde Fowler,<br />
also said that the government<br />
is putting in place<br />
plans to track tax defaulters<br />
using phone bill records<br />
and Bank Verification<br />
Numbers (BVN).<br />
“Individuals, who<br />
spend above a certain<br />
threshold on their phone<br />
bills, would be examined<br />
to ascertain their tax bills.<br />
The same method would<br />
also apply to individuals<br />
with BVN,” Fowler stated.<br />
Already, the Federal<br />
Inland Revenue Service,<br />
through tax collection,<br />
generated the sum of<br />
N2.11 trillion as revenue<br />
from January to July this<br />
(MGI) in 2014, an estimated<br />
$1.5 trillion needs to be<br />
invested in infrastructure<br />
through 2030 to allow Nigeria’s<br />
economy reach its<br />
full potential, with much<br />
of the investments going<br />
to power, transportation,<br />
and real estate. This would<br />
mean annual infrastructure<br />
investments in excess<br />
of $50 billion.<br />
“At around <strong>25</strong>% to 40%<br />
of GDP, Nigeria’s stock of<br />
infrastructure is significantly<br />
lower than the global<br />
average of about 70%,”<br />
said analysts at (MGI).<br />
Stakeholders opined<br />
that a robust and transparent<br />
concession policy<br />
through an organized Public<br />
Private Partnership<br />
could help bridge infra-<br />
At around <strong>25</strong>% to 40% of<br />
GDP, Nigeria’s stock of<br />
infrastructure is<br />
significantly lower than<br />
the global average of<br />
about 70%<br />
year.<br />
It is imperative for the<br />
Nigerian government to<br />
boost non-oil revenue<br />
because it doesn’t have<br />
the resources to fund huge<br />
capital projects across the<br />
country.<br />
The Head of Energy<br />
Research, Ecobank Plc,<br />
Dolapo Oni, said that<br />
Nigeria would require a<br />
minimum of $30bn (about<br />
N9.47tn) annual investments<br />
to bridge the infrastructure<br />
gap that exists in<br />
the economy.<br />
According to the Mc-<br />
Kinsey Global Institute<br />
structure deficit.<br />
The most common<br />
type of privatization<br />
scheme has been the<br />
concession or franchise<br />
where a private operator<br />
provides rail transport services<br />
using publicly owned<br />
infrastructure.<br />
As at 2005, Nigerian<br />
ports faced a myriad of<br />
challenges that made it<br />
one of the most inefficient<br />
ports globally as it was<br />
fraught with insecurity,<br />
theft, and congestion.<br />
However, In 2006, the<br />
Federal Government concessioned<br />
the 26 ports in<br />
Nigeria to <strong>25</strong> Terminal<br />
Operators over <strong>25</strong> years<br />
license period in a land<br />
lord system that reduced<br />
financial liabilities on the<br />
part of government.<br />
According to a report<br />
by global accounting firm,<br />
Deloitte, “as a result of<br />
copious investment by<br />
Terminal Operators (N200<br />
billion), the ports witnessed<br />
increased ship traffic<br />
and throughput which<br />
led to a 400 percent rise in<br />
container throughput from<br />
400,000 TEU in 2006 to<br />
1.60 million TEUs in 2014,”<br />
The concession of the<br />
ports has resulted in job<br />
creation along the value<br />
chain such as freight forwarding<br />
and insurance<br />
while saving the Nigerian<br />
economy an estimated<br />
$800 million annually in<br />
congested fees alone.<br />
Recently, the Federal<br />
Executive Council (FEC)<br />
Okayed the planned concession<br />
of Lagos and Abuja<br />
Airports as it believes the<br />
privatization of these assets<br />
will result in better<br />
management.<br />
Nigerian Airports are<br />
rated as one of the worst in<br />
Africa, as an insalubrious<br />
environment coupled with<br />
extortion from immigration<br />
and custom officers<br />
of passengers and lack of<br />
space validates the negative<br />
ratings.<br />
Adeosun has allays the<br />
fears of some Nigerians<br />
that government is not<br />
heaping debt on the next<br />
generation. She said its a<br />
usual thing for government<br />
to borrow when expenditure<br />
exceeds revenue.<br />
However, the country’s<br />
debt was paid through a<br />
debt payback by former<br />
minister for Finance Ngozi<br />
Okonjo Iweala, as Nigeria<br />
exist the Paris club group<br />
of creditors.<br />
fivethings<br />
about innovation<br />
C002D5556<br />
Nigeria Plans to Sell $5.5 Billion of<br />
Eurobonds by Year-End<br />
Nigeria plans to sell as much as $5.5 billion<br />
of Eurobonds in the next three months to<br />
fund capital projects and replace local-currency<br />
debt in order to fund capital budget.<br />
N330 billion<br />
The Debt Management office (DMO) released<br />
its bond issuance calendar for the<br />
fourth quarter of <strong>2017</strong> which points to<br />
lighter borrowing pattern with FG intending<br />
to borrow all-out N330 billion, split across<br />
the 5-year (2021) and the 10-year (2027) at<br />
N165 billion apiece. The calendar also saw<br />
the removal of the 20-year bond (April<br />
2037).<br />
7.1 percent<br />
According to a 2014 report McKinsey Global Institute<br />
(MGI), for Nigeria to achieve its full economic<br />
potential by 2030, GDP growth needs<br />
to average a minimum of 7.1% annually. This<br />
would see GDP grow to an estimated $1.6 trillion,<br />
with the potential for an estimated 70<br />
million people to move out of poverty.<br />
$30 billion<br />
Nigeria would require a minimum of $30bn<br />
(about N9.47tn) annual investments to bridge<br />
the infrastructure gap that exists in the economy.<br />
N200 billion<br />
According to a report by global accounting firm,<br />
Deloitte, “as a result of copious investment by<br />
Terminal Operators (N200 billion), the ports<br />
witnessed increased ship traffic and throughput<br />
which led to a 400 percent rise in container<br />
throughput from 400,000 TEU in 2006 to 1.60<br />
million TEUs in 2014,”<br />
The concession of the ports has resulted in job<br />
creation along the value chain such as freight<br />
forwarding and insurance while saving the<br />
Nigerian economy an estimated $800 million<br />
annually in congested fees alone.<br />
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