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The-Accountant-Jan-Feb-2018

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Governance<br />

Granted, Kenya<br />

will be among<br />

the hardest hit<br />

nations when its<br />

former colonial<br />

master starts<br />

renegotiating more<br />

than 100 trade<br />

deals it has under<br />

the 28-member<br />

European Union.<br />

“This time last year we dared to dream<br />

and then won an historic victory.” But<br />

there is great sarcasm behind it. A former<br />

journalist with the Guardian twitted, “the<br />

irony of the Brexit vote last June is that<br />

the Brits have suddenly become a lot more<br />

interested in what is happening in the rest<br />

of Europe. <strong>The</strong> continent of opportunity<br />

now seems lost.” Put in other words, it is<br />

now dawning on Britons that the decision<br />

to delineate from the EU could have been<br />

an economic blunder.<br />

In its 2017 Kenya Economic Report,<br />

the Kenya Institute for Public Policy<br />

Research and Analysis, a renowned<br />

economic think tank, recommended that<br />

the country should set in motion plans<br />

for engaging Britain over post – Brexit<br />

trade arrangements to avoid shocks<br />

to exporters and likely fall in official<br />

development funds. Kenya is listed<br />

among the top countries in the world<br />

that takes a huge market share of fresh<br />

produce exports to Europe. Basically<br />

this includes horticultural produce and<br />

freshly cut flowers among other exports<br />

such as tea and coffee. Granted, Kenya<br />

will be among the hardest hit nations<br />

when its former colonial master starts<br />

renegotiating more than 100 trade deals<br />

it has under the 28-member European<br />

Union. Put differently, this means that<br />

Britain would to a large extent spend<br />

all their time and resources in vetting<br />

and choosing whom to trade with from<br />

the larger European bloc, leaving Kenya<br />

and other countries to negotiate their<br />

own contracts with EU individual states.<br />

Brexit will affect the UK’s trade with the<br />

rest of the world, including Kenya which<br />

is part of the global economy. According<br />

to a recent report by PWC, EU has<br />

negotiated 36 free trade agreements with<br />

58 non-EU countries. <strong>The</strong> UK would not<br />

benefit from those goodies once it leaves<br />

the EU. Though our country has made<br />

significant strides in agricultural exports<br />

to Europe, it has no doubt had a ride on<br />

the shoulders of the United Kingdom<br />

which apparently is a dominant player<br />

within the EU. Consequently, just like<br />

Britain, Kenya has had to go back to the<br />

drawing board and negotiate bilateral<br />

agreements with individual European<br />

states. It is also important for the reader of<br />

this article to be aware that as of now, the<br />

Brexit “divorce bill” is yet to be finalized by<br />

the EU. One of the options that Britain is<br />

mulling over if its unable to secure a post-<br />

Brexit deal with EU, is to form a trade<br />

alliance with the US, Canada and Mexico<br />

whose body is known as North American<br />

Free Trade Agreement (Nafta).<br />

To bring this dilemma into perspective,<br />

it is good to delve deep into numbers so<br />

as to appreciate this impact of Brexit.<br />

An industry performance report by the<br />

Tea Directorate, the country’s regulator<br />

of the tea sector, indicates the volume of<br />

tea purchased by Britain dropped from<br />

5.4 million kilograms in March 2016 to<br />

3.1 million kilograms in the same month<br />

this year. <strong>The</strong> Directorate indicates that<br />

Britain is no longer buying same amount<br />

of tea from Kenya due to a reduced re-<br />

JANUARY - FEBRUARY <strong>2018</strong> 37

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