The-Accountant-Jan-Feb-2018
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Governance<br />
Granted, Kenya<br />
will be among<br />
the hardest hit<br />
nations when its<br />
former colonial<br />
master starts<br />
renegotiating more<br />
than 100 trade<br />
deals it has under<br />
the 28-member<br />
European Union.<br />
“This time last year we dared to dream<br />
and then won an historic victory.” But<br />
there is great sarcasm behind it. A former<br />
journalist with the Guardian twitted, “the<br />
irony of the Brexit vote last June is that<br />
the Brits have suddenly become a lot more<br />
interested in what is happening in the rest<br />
of Europe. <strong>The</strong> continent of opportunity<br />
now seems lost.” Put in other words, it is<br />
now dawning on Britons that the decision<br />
to delineate from the EU could have been<br />
an economic blunder.<br />
In its 2017 Kenya Economic Report,<br />
the Kenya Institute for Public Policy<br />
Research and Analysis, a renowned<br />
economic think tank, recommended that<br />
the country should set in motion plans<br />
for engaging Britain over post – Brexit<br />
trade arrangements to avoid shocks<br />
to exporters and likely fall in official<br />
development funds. Kenya is listed<br />
among the top countries in the world<br />
that takes a huge market share of fresh<br />
produce exports to Europe. Basically<br />
this includes horticultural produce and<br />
freshly cut flowers among other exports<br />
such as tea and coffee. Granted, Kenya<br />
will be among the hardest hit nations<br />
when its former colonial master starts<br />
renegotiating more than 100 trade deals<br />
it has under the 28-member European<br />
Union. Put differently, this means that<br />
Britain would to a large extent spend<br />
all their time and resources in vetting<br />
and choosing whom to trade with from<br />
the larger European bloc, leaving Kenya<br />
and other countries to negotiate their<br />
own contracts with EU individual states.<br />
Brexit will affect the UK’s trade with the<br />
rest of the world, including Kenya which<br />
is part of the global economy. According<br />
to a recent report by PWC, EU has<br />
negotiated 36 free trade agreements with<br />
58 non-EU countries. <strong>The</strong> UK would not<br />
benefit from those goodies once it leaves<br />
the EU. Though our country has made<br />
significant strides in agricultural exports<br />
to Europe, it has no doubt had a ride on<br />
the shoulders of the United Kingdom<br />
which apparently is a dominant player<br />
within the EU. Consequently, just like<br />
Britain, Kenya has had to go back to the<br />
drawing board and negotiate bilateral<br />
agreements with individual European<br />
states. It is also important for the reader of<br />
this article to be aware that as of now, the<br />
Brexit “divorce bill” is yet to be finalized by<br />
the EU. One of the options that Britain is<br />
mulling over if its unable to secure a post-<br />
Brexit deal with EU, is to form a trade<br />
alliance with the US, Canada and Mexico<br />
whose body is known as North American<br />
Free Trade Agreement (Nafta).<br />
To bring this dilemma into perspective,<br />
it is good to delve deep into numbers so<br />
as to appreciate this impact of Brexit.<br />
An industry performance report by the<br />
Tea Directorate, the country’s regulator<br />
of the tea sector, indicates the volume of<br />
tea purchased by Britain dropped from<br />
5.4 million kilograms in March 2016 to<br />
3.1 million kilograms in the same month<br />
this year. <strong>The</strong> Directorate indicates that<br />
Britain is no longer buying same amount<br />
of tea from Kenya due to a reduced re-<br />
JANUARY - FEBRUARY <strong>2018</strong> 37