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The-Accountant-Jan-Feb-2018

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Governance<br />

exportation market to other European<br />

countries who have been securing the<br />

commodity from the UK. “We can<br />

comfortably attribute this decline to<br />

Brexit, Britain has been a major buyer of<br />

our tea in Europe and it was buying for<br />

both local consumption and re-export<br />

to other EU countries” to quote Samuel<br />

Ogola, the head of the directorate. But<br />

on the brighter side albeit slow-start,<br />

we have seen Kenya exporting directly<br />

to individual European countries with<br />

statistics from the same directorate<br />

indicating that volumes of tea exported<br />

to Poland and Germany grew up by 39<br />

and 12 percent respectively within the<br />

period of review. Further, the country is<br />

on the right track as it trying to open<br />

up new markets such as China, which<br />

has the potential of buying more of the<br />

local beverage as a way of protecting<br />

farmers from low earnings. In addition<br />

local producers are gearing a ready<br />

market in the US after Kenya and an<br />

international tea-buying firm struck a<br />

deal to purchase all tea for distribution<br />

in America. International Tea Importers<br />

(ITI), an American tea buyer, and the<br />

Tea Directorate will see the export of<br />

purple tea to the US, a big boost at a time<br />

Kenya is trying to expand its market for<br />

the produce in the wake of post-Brexit<br />

effects. Similarly, apart from tea exports,<br />

flower imports also suffered a major blow<br />

considering that over a third of the EU’s<br />

cut flower imports come from Kenya<br />

with the UK and Netherlands being the<br />

top destinations. Recent reports indicate<br />

that by August 2017, total Dutch plant<br />

and flower exports have grown around<br />

6%, reaching a record value of 4 billion<br />

euros but sales to UK are down by 7%.<br />

Basically, the EU treaty policies<br />

provide that once a member state<br />

invokes article 50 so as to exit, the<br />

formal withdrawal can only take place<br />

after two years if not more. However,<br />

financial markets is all about reaction to<br />

information, thus we are likely to see a<br />

lot of re-alignments before the Brexit<br />

“divorce” is finalized by the EU policy<br />

makers. One of the major setbacks<br />

in negotiating new trade blocs, be it<br />

bilateral or multilateral, is the time and<br />

legal factor. Policy analysts indicate<br />

that it would take on average 3 or more<br />

years to finalize a bilateral agreement.<br />

This is mainly because of the competing<br />

interests of the parties to the agreement<br />

and different laws that may require<br />

harmonization. It is even more difficult<br />

to negotiate and get accepted in a free<br />

trade area, such as the EU that UK chose<br />

to exit due to the privileges and obvious<br />

benefits that accrue to member states<br />

within the free trade area.<br />

Our beloved motherland is a<br />

net importer, with the few exports<br />

being agricultural produce that have<br />

not undergone value-addition. Put<br />

differently, this position of shrinking<br />

cash inflows, more often than not leads<br />

to the balance of payments always<br />

in favor of our trading partners from<br />

developed countries. It has also been<br />

argued that as Kenya strives to form<br />

double-taxation treaties with countries<br />

such as China, Kenya will benefit less<br />

from the agreements. Countries all over<br />

the world are re-aligning themselves so<br />

as to maximize on absolute advantages<br />

or the comparative advantages they<br />

possess. Some big states within countries<br />

are seeking independence as they realize<br />

that by doing so, they’ll have economic<br />

freedom to prosper. Examples include,<br />

Tibet seeking to delineate from China<br />

and more recently Catalonia seeking<br />

independence from Spain.<br />

In conclusion, it is incumbent upon<br />

industry players, government and<br />

farmers to come up with strategies of<br />

value-addition on agricultural output<br />

and invest in high-end manufacturing,<br />

among other innovations so as to<br />

minimize market shocks arising from<br />

external factors such as Brexit. It is also<br />

imperative for African nations to forge<br />

formidable regional economic blocs,<br />

since most of the problems that afflict<br />

them are similar in nature and to a<br />

certain extent, their political ideologies<br />

are convergent. Echoing the words<br />

of Martin-Luther King, “We either<br />

stick together as brothers or we perish<br />

together as fools”.<br />

williamirari@gmail.com<br />

38 JANUARY - FEBRUARY <strong>2018</strong>

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