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346 CHAPTER 8. NONLINEAR DIAGNOSTIC TOOLS<br />
so that xn+1 depends only on the previous value xn. If this is the case, then a<br />
functional form f will exist such that xn+1 = f(xn).<br />
Assuming that this is the case, one plots pairs of numbers (xn; xn+1) from<br />
the time series to form the two-dimensional space xn+1 versus xn. Ifthepoints<br />
appear to lie on a de¯nite geometrical line, this implies that there is an underlying<br />
attractor and an associated functional form f. If the geometrical shape<br />
has more structure to it, this could imply that there is an underlying \twodimensional"<br />
map, namely,<br />
xn+1 = f(xn)+g(xn¡1); or xn+1 = f(xn)+yn; yn+1 = g(xn):<br />
If the dimensionality of the underlying map is higher than two, one must increase<br />
the dimensionality of the space accordingly. To \see" a three-dimensional<br />
map, for example, one must work in a three-dimensional space. The above procedure<br />
is then generalized by plotting triplets of numbers. For example, one<br />
might use (x0; x1; x2), (x1; x2; x3), etc.<br />
8.5.1 Putting Humpty Dumpty Together Again<br />
Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall, Humpty Dumpty had a great fall,<br />
All the king's horses, And all the king's men,<br />
Couldn't put Humpty Dumpty together again.<br />
Lewis Carroll, Alice's Adventures in Wonderland, 1865<br />
Suppose that we have been given the following lengthy data list x, whereeach<br />
entry x(n) corresponds to a time t = nts, withn =1; 2; :::;N.<br />
> restart: with(plots):<br />
> x:=[6.24, 9.15, 3.03, 8.24, 5.66, 9.58, 1.56, 5.14, 9.74, .980,<br />
3.45, 8.81, 4.09, 9.43, 2.10, 6.47, 8.91, 3.79, 9.18, 2.93, 8.07,<br />
6.07, 9.30, 2.53, 7.37, 7.56, 7.18, 7.89, 6.50, 8.88, 3.89, 9.27,<br />
2.65, 7.60, 7.12, 8.00, 6.24, 9.15, 3.03, 8.23, 8.23, 5.67, 9.57,<br />
1.60, 5.23, 9.73, 1.03, 3.59, 8.98, 3.58, 8.97, 3.61, 9.00, 3.51,<br />
3.86, 9.24, 2.74, 7.76, 6.77, 8.53, 4.89, 9.74, .969, 8.89, 3.41,<br />
8.77, 4.21, 9.51, 1.82, 5.81, 9.50, 1.87, 5.93, 9.41, 2.16, 6.61,<br />
8.74, 4.30, 9.56, 1.64, 5.33, 9.71, 1.11, 3.85, 9.23, 2.76, 7.80,<br />
6.70, 8.62, 4.65, 9.70, 1.13, 3.91, 9.28, 2.59, 7.48, 7.34, 7.61,<br />
7.10, 8.04, 6.16, 9.23, 2.78, 7.83, 6.62, 8.72, 4.34, 9.58, 1.56,<br />
5.13, 9.74, .977, 3.44, 8.80, 4.13, 9.45, 2.02, 6.29, 9.10, 3.18,<br />
8.46, 5.08, 9.75, .960, 3.39, 8.73, 4.31, 9.56, 1.62, 5.30, 9.72,<br />
1.08, 3.76, 9.15, 3.04, 8.25, 5.63, 9.60, 1.51, 5.00, 9.75, .951,<br />
3.36, 8.70, 4.43, 9.62, 1.42, 4.75, 9.73, 1.04, 3.63, 9.02, 3.45,<br />
8.81, 4.09, 9.43, 2.10, 6.47, 8.90, 3.81, 9.20, 2.88, 8.00, 6.23,<br />
9.16, 3.01, 8.21, 5.73, 9.54, 1.70, 5.49, 9.66, 1.30, 4.41, 9.61,<br />
1.45, 4.84, 9.74, .989, 3.48, 8.84, 3.98, 9.35, 2.38, 7.07, 8.07,<br />
6.07, 9.30, 2.52, 7.35, 7.59, 7.14, 7.97, 6.30, 9.09, 3.23, 8.53,<br />
4.88, 9.74, .972, 3.42]: