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Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect

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______________________________________________________________________________<br />

Share of Major World <strong>Financial</strong> Markets (%)<br />

Equity Intl Bonds Domestic Bonds Bank Bank FX FX / Interest Rate<br />

Turnover IPOs Outst<strong>and</strong>ing Outst<strong>and</strong>ing Fgn. Assets Fgn. Liab. Turnover Derivatives Turnover<br />

US 49.0 16.3 23.3 44.6 8.9 11.7 19.2 19.4<br />

UK 10.9 16.9 12.6 2.4 19.8 22.5 31.3 38.1<br />

Japan 8.3 3.7 0.9 18.1 7.6 3.2 8.3 6.0<br />

<strong>Hong</strong> Kong 1.2 12.9 0.3 0.1 2.3 1.4 4.2 2.7<br />

Singapore 0.3 1.5 0.3 0.2 2.4 2.6 5.2 3.2<br />

Shanghai 1.1 3.6 0.1 2.2 N/A N/A N/A N/A<br />

Source: Lillian Cheung <strong>and</strong> Vincent Yeung, “<strong>Hong</strong> Kong as an <strong>International</strong> <strong>Financial</strong> <strong>Centre</strong>: Measuring its<br />

Position <strong>and</strong> Determinants,” HKMA Working Paper 14/2007, 28 September 2007, p. 7.<br />

_________________________________________________________________________________<br />

Shanghai’s financial markets obviously remain at an early stage of development, <strong>and</strong> it will<br />

be a long time before they account for much activity on a world scale. That said, the city plays a<br />

prominent role in raising domestic bond financing, <strong>and</strong> its market for domestic equities is vibrant<br />

<strong>and</strong> growing. Like the other main market for equities in China, namely Shenzhen, its core<br />

structure <strong>and</strong> the structure of the companies for which it raises funds are quite idiosyncratic. In<br />

short, those companies are mainly small firms focused on the domestic Chinese market or linked<br />

fairly low down in supply chains controlled by larger state-owned enterprises.<br />

The Shanghai <strong>and</strong> Shenzhen stock markets continue to play key roles in the corporate<br />

privatization plans of the Chinese government. They began their operations with two separate<br />

kinds of listings: A-shares in local currency for domestic investors, <strong>and</strong> B-shares in foreign<br />

currency for foreign investors. Notwithst<strong>and</strong>ing such new distinctions in shares, most firms<br />

entering the market already had complicated ownership structures, with much of their equity<br />

‘non-negotiable,’ that is primarily controlled by governmental entities, <strong>and</strong> some of their equity<br />

‘negotiable,’ that is potentially tradable. Despite some loosening of restrictions after their<br />

inaugural period, including the post-WTO accession Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor<br />

(QFII) initiative that permitted limited foreign purchases of certain A-shares, government<br />

planners continue to limit the liquidity of the Shanghai <strong>and</strong> Shenzhen markets <strong>and</strong> to subject<br />

share prices to abrupt <strong>and</strong> still unpredictable changes in policy. 29<br />

The following table provides<br />

an interesting snapshot in the year just before the global financial crisis began.<br />

29 Introduced in 2002, the QFII program aimed to attract longer-term foreign investors <strong>and</strong> curb speculation. It was<br />

complemented in 2006 by the Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) program, which sought to utilize a<br />

37

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