Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
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2. Analytical Background<br />
Foundations for prosperity<br />
During my first visit to <strong>Hong</strong> Kong, the ‘in-between-ness’ of the place fascinated me. The<br />
sun had already set on the British Empire, but in that great Asian city I met officials steeped in its<br />
traditions. Richard Nixon’s historic visit to China had occurred five years earlier, <strong>and</strong> everyone<br />
was trying to discern the implications of Deng Xiaoping’s reforms. In 1977, change was in the<br />
air. Only later did I learn that the famous phrase attributed to an American baseball player, had<br />
long applied to <strong>Hong</strong> Kong. “It’s déjà vu all over again.”<br />
Adaptability, it seems, is the essence of <strong>Hong</strong> Kong’s unique history. A commonplace<br />
refrain in business <strong>and</strong> government circles credits the British with leaving a rich legacy in ‘the<br />
rule of law.’ But law is a process of social <strong>and</strong> political accommodation. The deepest legacy of<br />
the British was a political structure resilient in the face of systemic change. That structure<br />
permitted a people mainly of Chinese descent to construct <strong>and</strong> reconstruct a distinct identity in a<br />
turbulent region. Time <strong>and</strong> again, it helped them as a society to find a middle path between hard<br />
choices. Like a well-functioning backbone in a healthy human body, it embodied spirit of<br />
pragmatic resiliency. Ultimately, that society surpassed its imperial teacher in learning also how<br />
to pass such a spirit on to succeeding generations. At its core, that structure of political decisionmaking<br />
revolved around a simple practice—refraining from clarity whenever difficult<br />
adjustments were required to maintain stability. Such a practice was most useful in the building<br />
of modern financial markets.<br />
By most st<strong>and</strong>ard measures, <strong>Hong</strong> Kong’s financial sector provides the base for one of the<br />
world’s three great financial centres. With the significant exception of its bond market, only<br />
London <strong>and</strong> New York currently surpass it. It is already Asia’s international banking centre, a<br />
centre tested severely during the so-called Asian crises of the late 1990s <strong>and</strong> affirmed by its<br />
outst<strong>and</strong>ing performance during the worst global crisis since the 1930s, which began in the<br />
United States in 2007. It is evidently also now Asia’s major centre for equities, a status that<br />
continues to be bolstered by the dynamism of China’s emerging corporations. Underpinning<br />
both is a unique approach to governance. Any analysis of the challenges <strong>Hong</strong> Kong now faces<br />
as it seeks to address remaining weaknesses in its financial industries must begin with a careful<br />
consideration of that approach.<br />
St<strong>and</strong>ard histories begin, quite appropriately, with the famous phrase associated with<br />
<strong>Financial</strong> Secretary Philip Haddon-Cave <strong>and</strong> the actual policy line crafted by his predecessor,<br />
John Cowperthwaite. “Positive non-intervention,” often misinterpreted as articulating an<br />
ideology of ‘laissez-faire,’ did shape governmental practice during the seminal twenty-year<br />
period beginning in 1961. Instead of simply letting private markets work their capitalist magic,<br />
however, the policy line provided cover for a quite activist set of steering mechanisms. As the<br />
historian Steven Tsang put it, behind the scenes “government remained the largest employer, the<br />
biggest developer of real estate, the leading constructor, the largest l<strong>and</strong>lord, <strong>and</strong> the biggest<br />
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