Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect
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focus on the other financial policy issue requiring work after the crisis, namely the issue of<br />
consumer protection.<br />
Consumer protection<br />
The fundamental challenge is hardly novel or unique. In a world of free <strong>and</strong> more open<br />
financial markets, does the responsibility of governmental authorities extend beyond the most<br />
basic matters of licensing, establishing <strong>and</strong> adjudicating property rights, <strong>and</strong> otherwise ensuring<br />
that competition in those markets takes place on a level playing field? The current answer<br />
everywhere in the world where capital flows relatively freely is ‘yes.’ That, however, is where<br />
full agreement stops. The follow-up question has necessarily normative cast. Where should we<br />
draw the line between governmental responsibility <strong>and</strong> the responsibility of individual market<br />
participants? Answers vary, both across national borders <strong>and</strong> within them.<br />
Certainly before the h<strong>and</strong>over in 1997, the traditional answer in <strong>Hong</strong> Kong was that the<br />
role of government should be as limited as possible. As long as the society in which a relatively<br />
free <strong>and</strong> unrestricted financial market is embedded is flexible <strong>and</strong> capable itself of adjusting<br />
quickly to internal or exogenous economic shocks transmitted through those markets, then<br />
financial openness <strong>and</strong> minimal official interference should produce prosperity. 63<br />
As noted<br />
above, several decades ago something like such an expectation might have guided official<br />
decision-makers in <strong>Hong</strong> Kong. Nevertheless, the actions taken by their successors during each<br />
major financial crisis since 1973, <strong>and</strong> certainly the actions taken during the crisis of 2008,<br />
strongly suggest quite another expectation <strong>and</strong> quite another underst<strong>and</strong>ing of <strong>Hong</strong> Kong’s<br />
society.<br />
The saga of the Lehman Brothers mini-bonds in <strong>Hong</strong> Kong well illustrates the point. Its<br />
observable conclusion is an evident social <strong>and</strong> political consensus to support a more<br />
interventionist set of financial regulatory policies, including policies designed to protect the<br />
consumers of financial services (from unclear risks <strong>and</strong> excessive fees) <strong>and</strong> to impose fiduciary<br />
63 Michael Bordo <strong>and</strong> Barry Eichengreen “Crises Now <strong>and</strong> Then: What Lessons from the Last Era of <strong>Financial</strong><br />
Globalization” in Paul Mizen (ed). Monetary History, Exchange Rates <strong>and</strong> <strong>Financial</strong> Markets: Essays in Honor of<br />
Charles Goodhart, Vol 2. London: Edward Elgar Publisher 2003, pp. 52-91. Consistent with this experience is the<br />
historical evidence that suggestion a correlation between freely moving capital flows <strong>and</strong> shorter recessions. Note,<br />
however, that studies making this point are often necessarily based on limited case material; we only have the late<br />
nineteenth century experience, the inter-war period, the post-1945 period, <strong>and</strong> the post-1973 period to compare. The<br />
actual, not the idealized, workings of exchange rate regimes also complicate analysis when very different countries<br />
<strong>and</strong> regions are compared over time. Be that as it may, the observable fact since the Great Depression <strong>and</strong> certainly<br />
since 1973, when countries at the core of contemporary international financial markets gave up their commitment to<br />
the gold-exchange st<strong>and</strong>ard agreed at Bretton Woods, is that most contemporary societies are not flexible <strong>and</strong><br />
capable of adjusting quickly to internal <strong>and</strong> exogenous economic shocks. In practice <strong>and</strong> in very practical terms,<br />
such flexibility <strong>and</strong> adaptability means that the financial losers of the moment have limited capacity to mount an<br />
effective political reaction, that is, they cannot credibly dem<strong>and</strong> a bailout either from the public purse or from<br />
private sources acting under official duress. Nor can they plausibly expect such dem<strong>and</strong>s to be met.<br />
63