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Hong Kong's International Financial Centre: Retrospect and Prospect

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Since there is such an intimate connection with monetary policy, might it make sense to<br />

leave macro-prudential responsibilities for banking, securities, <strong>and</strong> insurance markets to the<br />

HKMA, but then to carve out a more focused agency for detailed supervision of all firms serving<br />

analogous functions in a dynamic marketplace? The subsidiary form planned for the UK’s new<br />

Prudential Regulatory Authority might ensure that such an agency would remain closely linked<br />

to the HKMA. The HKMA could continue to set major banking policies <strong>and</strong> manage <strong>Hong</strong><br />

Kong’s IFC strategy. The separate agency, in turn, could operate closer to markets with the aim<br />

of preventing problems from developing. 70<br />

In the wake of the Lehman mini-bonds incident, moreover, continuing debate is warranted<br />

on the idea of establishing an agency separate from both the HKMA <strong>and</strong> the SFC specifically<br />

charged with responsibility for consumer financial protection, much like the new agency being<br />

set up in the United States. Aside from reducing the risk of task overload, a key plausible source<br />

of regulatory failure in modern financial markets, such distinct agencies can play a fundamental<br />

role in healthy democracies. They can champion policy objectives related to efficiency <strong>and</strong><br />

fairness, help render difficult policy choices clearer, <strong>and</strong> make more transparent the process of<br />

policymaking. 71<br />

Perhaps the December 2010 decision of the government to establish under the<br />

SFC an Investor Education Council <strong>and</strong> <strong>Financial</strong> Dispute Settlement <strong>Centre</strong> will prove to be<br />

steps in this direction. The fact that claims brought to that <strong>Centre</strong> can end on binding arbitration<br />

is positive, but with the line between securities markets <strong>and</strong> banking markets continuing to blur,<br />

the case for a stronger official agency should not be considered closed.<br />

Other rationales for separating out such agency m<strong>and</strong>ates, including the m<strong>and</strong>ate for an<br />

insurance supervisor one step removed from central government, also suggest themselves. Given<br />

70 An recent collaborative economic study concludes: “Tighter restrictions on bank activities are negatively<br />

associated with bank efficiency while greater capital regulation stringency is marginally <strong>and</strong> positively associated<br />

with bank efficiency. In addition, a strengthening of official supervisory power is positively associated with bank<br />

efficiency only in countries with independent supervisory authorities. Independence coupled with a more<br />

experienced supervisory authority tends to enhance bank efficiency. <strong>Financial</strong> transparency is also positively<br />

associated with bank efficiency.” Lingnan University, Department of Economics, Report on <strong>Hong</strong> Kong as an<br />

<strong>International</strong> <strong>Financial</strong> Center for China <strong>and</strong> for the World, 2010, Chapter 2.2.<br />

71 Arner, Hsu, <strong>and</strong> Da Roza (2010) disagree. They propose a “twin peaks” structure, with the HKMA responsible<br />

for monetary <strong>and</strong> financial stability, prudential regulation of all financial institutions—including banks, securities<br />

firms, <strong>and</strong> insurance companies, <strong>and</strong> with the SFC or a successor institution responsible for the regulation of<br />

securities market conduct regulation as well as of all financial products across all sectors. They would also leave the<br />

HKEx with responsibility for listing rules but subject it to the enhanced enforcement powers of the SFC. They<br />

would split the prudential <strong>and</strong> consumer protection functions of the Mutual Provident <strong>Financial</strong> Authority <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Office of the Commissioner of Insurance <strong>and</strong> move them respectively into the HKMA <strong>and</strong> the SFC under the twin<br />

peaks structure. Finally, they would render more equivalent <strong>and</strong> transparent the bank deposit insurance scheme <strong>and</strong><br />

the evolving scheme for consumer compensation in securities markets <strong>and</strong> merge associated agencies into the HK<br />

Deposit Protection Board. My own view, again, is that this would all load too much into the m<strong>and</strong>ate of the HKMA<br />

in particular. There are good reasons, especially good political reasons in a democracy, to resist the supposed<br />

imperatives of bureaucratic efficiency implied by such a plan. Not least, the increasing concentration of powers <strong>and</strong><br />

authorities in the central bank would render the HKMA into even more of a political target that it already is. A less<br />

politicized central bank, with buffering agencies between it <strong>and</strong> the government, would reduce moral hazards in<br />

good times <strong>and</strong> provide more policy options during bad times.<br />

74

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