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Jeweller - September 2021

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BUSINESS<br />

Strategy<br />

What customers want next:<br />

Decoding the clues<br />

JEANNIE WALTERS offers strategies for businesses as they adapt for the future<br />

retail environment – and rapidly shifting consumer behaviour.<br />

Human behaviour is notoriously difficult<br />

to predict; sophisticated modelling and<br />

data analysis can help, but these are<br />

typically based on past behaviour.<br />

Past behaviour might be helpful for<br />

predicting future success if all variables<br />

remain the same, but what if the context<br />

– or the entire environment – changes<br />

over time?<br />

In one study by analytics firm Concentric,<br />

99 per cent of business leaders reported<br />

doing some kind of forecasting, yet only<br />

14 per cent stated they were “effective”<br />

at doing so.<br />

It’s the secret everyone knows – predicting<br />

the future is hard.<br />

Many organisations and businesses are<br />

benefiting from machine learning and<br />

artificial intelligence tools to isolate data<br />

points that can help predict the next<br />

actions of customers, as well as the<br />

likelihood of desired outcomes.<br />

But like any form of analysis, these<br />

methodologies rely on good data – and<br />

many businesses are still ‘playing catch<br />

up’ on getting the inputs right.<br />

So, what can a business leader do<br />

to look ahead and predict future<br />

customer behaviour?<br />

Searching for clues<br />

The first step in predicting customer<br />

behaviour is a simple one – know your<br />

customers and their goals.<br />

Business owners and leaders are regularly<br />

told to improve customer experience in<br />

order to increase sales, but with little<br />

instruction or information on how to do so.<br />

There is no data, there is no defined<br />

goal, and in some cases, there is no<br />

shared understanding of what ‘customer<br />

experience’ is!<br />

Therefore, it’s important to start with<br />

the foundations.<br />

Firstly find out what you can about your<br />

customers. If you have data, such as<br />

purchasing history, use it; if you don’t,<br />

collect whatever feedback you can from<br />

social media and product reviews.<br />

Next, consider your customers’ lives; don’t<br />

get stuck in the ‘our customers only care<br />

about our product’ fantasy!<br />

Too often, I<br />

see business<br />

owners and<br />

leaders struggle<br />

with predictions<br />

because<br />

they create a<br />

universe where<br />

the customer<br />

has one goal<br />

– to use the<br />

company’s<br />

product<br />

To look for clues about how customers may<br />

behave in the future, it’s vital to understand<br />

their present reality.<br />

That means looking beyond basic<br />

demographics or job titles to knowing how<br />

they get their information, the needs their<br />

community has, and other brands to which<br />

they are loyal.<br />

What about their stage of life? Are they<br />

dealing with school schedules or planning<br />

for retirement?<br />

Keep in mind the life they’ve led most<br />

recently; the pandemic created a different<br />

daily routine for most people.<br />

Observe broader trends<br />

Almost without exception, most business<br />

owners and leaders tell me their industry is<br />

unique, but there are absolutely trends that<br />

apply across almost every industry.<br />

For example, a very significant customer<br />

experience trend for the future, across the<br />

market, is a focus on health and safety.<br />

Business owners must look for the trends<br />

and then plan around them.<br />

74 | <strong>September</strong> <strong>2021</strong>

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