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92<br />

DECEMBER 13, 2012 | WWW.PRODUCER.COM | THE WESTERN PRODUCER<br />

AGFINANCE<br />

CDN. BOND RATE:<br />

1.2854%<br />

1.10%<br />

11/5 11/9 11/19 11/26 12/3 12/10<br />

AGFINANCE EDITOR: D’ARCE MCMILLAN | Ph: 306-665-3519 F: 306-934-2401 | E-MAIL: DARCE.MCMILLAN@PRODUCER.COM | TWITTER: @DARCEMCMILLAN<br />

A think-tank report claims Canada’s food industry is hampered by outdated federal food policies and suggests phasing out supply management and<br />

farm income programs. | FILE PHOTO<br />

FOOD POLICY | BUSINESS ORIENTED<br />

Food industry growth hampered<br />

New food policy needed | Conference Board of Canada says changes needed for increased trade<br />

BY BARRY WILSON<br />

OTTAWA BUREAU<br />

<strong>The</strong> Conference Board of Canada<br />

says “the sky is the limit” for Canada’s<br />

food industry because of growing<br />

world demand, but only if major<br />

policy reforms are made.<br />

Reforms include a move away from<br />

government support in the farm and<br />

food sectors and toward a more market<br />

driven sector, including phasing<br />

out supply management.<br />

“<strong>The</strong>re is a potential to move business<br />

risk management away from<br />

government interventions and<br />

toward companies, where it currently<br />

resides in the processing and<br />

retailing subsectors,” said the business-oriented<br />

think-tank’s report<br />

on the viability of Canada’s food<br />

economy, which was published last<br />

week.<br />

“A new business and innovation<br />

model … will be needed to capture<br />

additional value and capitalization.<br />

Enhanced viability resides in investments.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> report from the research organization,<br />

done under the auspices of<br />

its recently created Centre for Food in<br />

Canada, joins a growing body of<br />

business-oriented arguments that<br />

agriculture and food policy is stuck in<br />

a past when the role of government<br />

A new business and innovation<br />

model … will be needed to<br />

capture additional value and<br />

capitalization.<br />

CONFERENCE BOARD REPORT<br />

was to insulate the sector from market<br />

forces and to compensate when<br />

market returns fall.<br />

Its external reviewers were from the<br />

free enterprise Winnipeg-based<br />

Frontier Centre for Public Policy and<br />

Guelph’s George Morris Centre.<br />

<strong>The</strong> report said the new model<br />

would include phasing out supply<br />

management production control<br />

and tariff protection and shifting<br />

away from AgriStability farm income<br />

support.<br />

A board report on how to move<br />

dairy, poultry and egg sectors beyond<br />

supply management will be<br />

issued soon, possibly this winter.<br />

“<strong>The</strong> process of change would likely<br />

involve transitional payments and<br />

budgetary support to supply-managed<br />

farms and away from consumer<br />

transfers,” the report said.<br />

“It would likely entail a shift away<br />

from Growing Forward’s current<br />

(business risk management) support,<br />

notably AgriStability, to a new<br />

business model.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> report didn’t analyze the effect<br />

of sharp cuts in government contributions<br />

to AgriStability and Agri-<br />

Invest that federal and provincial<br />

ministers agreed to in September<br />

and are slated to take effect April 1.<br />

However, it said a credible study on<br />

“the economic costs of the termination<br />

of supply management” is<br />

needed.<br />

It said the agriculture sector should<br />

be subjected to the “creative destruction”<br />

that faces most business sectors<br />

that either adapt to market forces or<br />

go out of business.<br />

“<strong>The</strong> scale of public support programs<br />

is such that they have a powerful<br />

influence on the organization<br />

of agricultural firms,” said report<br />

authors Michael Burt, Michael<br />

Grant, Jean-Charles Le Vallée and<br />

Erin Butler.<br />

“Current state supports are sufficient<br />

to make non-viable operators<br />

viable. Large parts of the primary<br />

sector are, in effect, insured against<br />

the vagaries of the creative destruction<br />

processes that are very much<br />

alive in the processing and retailing<br />

sectors of the industry.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> report included a favourable<br />

1.50%<br />

1.40%<br />

1.30%<br />

1.20%<br />

snapshot of the end of the Crow rate<br />

prairie grain transportation subsidy<br />

in 1995, which ended more than half<br />

a billion dollars in annual transportation<br />

help to land-locked wheat<br />

farmers.<br />

It argued that the move encouraged<br />

diversification of the farm<br />

economy at the expense of a decline<br />

in wheat.<br />

<strong>The</strong> report was also scathing in its<br />

review of Quebec’s farm income support<br />

programs that it says limit diversification,<br />

growth and risk-taking.<br />

“A transition period is needed along<br />

with financial support so farmers can<br />

adapt to changes,” the board said.<br />

“It will be difficult and painful and<br />

will require an entrepreneurial attitude<br />

(among Quebec farmers).”<br />

<strong>The</strong> report supported its claim that<br />

agriculture is protected by arguing<br />

consumers and taxpayers contributed<br />

$82 billion to agriculture between<br />

2003 and 2010 through higher prices<br />

and government support.<br />

It said these support levels and protections<br />

are under threat as Canada<br />

increasingly looks for a role in broader<br />

free trade agreements.<br />

Domestic policy and subsidy<br />

reform is needed if Canada is to succeed<br />

in more trade and businessoriented<br />

international environments,<br />

the report added.<br />

1.030<br />

1.020<br />

1.010<br />

1.000<br />

Bank of Canada 5-yr rate Dec. 10<br />

AG STOCKS FOR DEC. 3-7<br />

Canadian and U.S. November job creation<br />

topped expectations. <strong>The</strong> U.S. unemployment<br />

rate fell to 7.7 percent and Canada’s fell to 7.2<br />

percent from 7.4. For the week, the TSX dipped<br />

0.65 percent, the Dow rose one percent, the<br />

S&P 500 was up 0.1 percent and the Nasdaq<br />

fell 1.1 percent.<br />

Cdn. exchanges in $Cdn. U.S. exchanges in $U.S.<br />

GRAIN TRADERS<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

ADM NY 27.18 26.70<br />

Alliance Grain TSX 11.26 11.35<br />

Bunge Ltd. NY 72.89 73.16<br />

ConAgra Foods NY 29.75 29.86<br />

Legumex Walker TSX 5.78 5.93<br />

Viterra Inc. TSX 16.20 15.55<br />

W.I.T. OTC 13.15 13.25<br />

PRAIRIE PORTFOLIO<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

Assiniboia FLP OTC 50.545 50.545<br />

Ceapro Inc. TSXV 0.050 0.050<br />

Cervus Equip. TSX 18.28 18.36<br />

Ridley Canada TSX 9.14 9.59<br />

Rocky Mtn D’ship TSX 11.60 11.13<br />

FOOD PROCESSORS<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

BioExx TSX 0.080 0.085<br />

Hormel Foods NY 31.03 31.01<br />

Maple Leaf TSX 11.14 11.00<br />

Premium Brands TSX 17.50 17.60<br />

Smithfield NY 22.93 22.37<br />

Sun-Rype TSX 6.00 5.76<br />

Tyson Foods NY 19.63 19.17<br />

FARM EQUIPMENT MFG.<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

AGCO Corp. NY 46.60 46.15<br />

Buhler Ind. TSX 5.57 5.55<br />

Caterpillar Inc. NY 86.99 85.24<br />

CNH Global NY 48.00 47.61<br />

Deere and Co. NY 85.43 84.05<br />

Vicwest Fund TSX 12.53 12.00<br />

FARM INPUT SUPPLIERS<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

Agrium TSX 98.74 101.44<br />

BASF OTC 90.60 89.89<br />

Bayer Ag OTC 92.77 90.60<br />

Dow Chemical NY 30.30 30.19<br />

Dupont NY 43.18 43.14<br />

BioSyent Inc. TSXV 0.91 0.93<br />

Monsanto NY 90.69 91.59<br />

Mosaic NY 53.60 54.06<br />

PotashCorp TSX 39.04 38.43<br />

Syngenta ADR 80.23 79.97<br />

TRANSPORTATION<br />

CDN. DOLLAR:<br />

$1.0119<br />

0.990<br />

11/5 11/9 11/19 11/26 12/3 12/10<br />

NAME EXCH CLOSE LAST WK<br />

CN Rail TSX 90.67 89.34<br />

CPR TSX 97.70 92.70<br />

Toronto Stock Exchange is TSX. Canadian Venture Exchange<br />

is TSX Venture or TSXV. NAS: Nasdaq Stock Exchange. NY:<br />

New York Stock Exchange. ADR: New York/American Depository<br />

Receipt. OTC: Over the counter.<br />

List courtesy of Ian Morrison, financial advisor with<br />

Raymond James Ltd. in Calgary. Member of CIPF. Equity<br />

prices are from Thomson Reuters and OTC prices from<br />

Union Securities Ltd, Assiniboia Farmland LP. Sources<br />

are believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed.<br />

Within the last year, Raymond James provided<br />

paid advice regarding securities of Cervus Equip. Contact<br />

Morrison at 877-264-0333.<br />

U.S. farm bill may<br />

see cut in budget<br />

U.S. lawmakers are battling out disputes<br />

over a new farm bill.<br />

Cuts in crop subsidies and reductions<br />

in food stamps are major stumbling<br />

points. Farm spending cuts of<br />

$23 billion to $35 billion have been<br />

floated.<br />

A new farm bill would now likely be<br />

absorbed into an overall budgetcutting<br />

designed to avert the looming<br />

“fiscal cliff.”

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