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PhD Thesis Emmanuel Obeng Bekoe - Cranfield University

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Weekkly Flows (mm)<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

04/01/1968<br />

27/06/1968<br />

19/12/1968<br />

12/06/1969<br />

04/12/1969<br />

138<br />

Calibration period Validation period<br />

28/05/1970<br />

<strong>Emmanuel</strong> <strong>Obeng</strong> <strong>Bekoe</strong> Phd <strong>Thesis</strong> Chapter 5 Hydrological modelling of Densu<br />

19/11/1970<br />

Period (Weeks)<br />

13/05/1971<br />

Rainfall Simulated Observed<br />

Figure 5.14 Comparison of observed and simulated weekly flows for the<br />

calibration and validation periods of the semi distributed model at<br />

Nsawam.<br />

Table 5.5. Daily performance statistics for semi distributed modelling at<br />

Nsawam<br />

Daily Calibration Daily Validation<br />

Period (1/03/68-28/02/1970) Period (1/03/1970-31/12/1972)<br />

All Dry All Period Period Dry Dry<br />

Months months Months<br />

Months Months<br />

01/11-<br />

01/03/1971- 01/03/1972-<br />

01/031971-<br />

Period 28/02 Period 31/12/72 31/12/72 1970-1972 31/12/72<br />

RMS (mm) 0.99 0.44 0.44 0.42 0.31 0.39 0.16<br />

PBIAS (%) -6.38 44.89 -14.1 10.44 14.67 -121.11 -59.36<br />

NSE 0.47 0.16 -0.30 0.07 0.35 -7.65 -10.26<br />

PME -ve -ve -ve -ve -ve -ve -ve<br />

From the appraisal statistics, the daily NSE for the calibration was 0.47, with an<br />

overestimation of 6.38% given by the PBAIS. The performance model<br />

efficiency fell below zero. In the validation period, the daily NSE deteriorated to<br />

-0.30 but improved when the year 1970 water year was not included. The NSE<br />

for only 1972 was further improved to 0.35.<br />

04/11/1971<br />

27/04/1972<br />

19/10/1972<br />

0<br />

50<br />

100<br />

150<br />

200<br />

250<br />

300<br />

350<br />

Weekly Rainfall (mm)

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