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The changing role of emergingmarket<br />
banks<br />
Neeltje van Horen<br />
De Nederlandsche Bank<br />
The global financial crisis has hurt banks in both advanced and emerging economies,<br />
but this chapter says the turmoil has favored the emerging-market entities in relative<br />
terms. It predicts a growing role for emerging-market banks in the global financial<br />
system, particularly in their own regions.<br />
The global financial crisis has had a major impact on banks worldwide. While some<br />
banks are faced with major restructurings (either voluntary or imposed <strong>by</strong> governments),<br />
(almost) all banks will have to make adjustments in order to comply with Basel III<br />
and other, country-specific regulatory measures. The changes induced <strong>by</strong> the crisis,<br />
however, will have a very different impact on advanced country banks compared to<br />
emerging-market banks. How will this shift in balance impact the global financial<br />
system?<br />
Crouching tiger, hidden dragon<br />
Although many in the West are not familiar with emerging-market banks, they are <strong>by</strong><br />
no means small. In fact, the world’s biggest bank in market value is China’s ICBC. The<br />
global top 25 includes eight emerging-market banks. Among these, three other Chinese<br />
banks (China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Bank of China),<br />
three Brazilian banks (Itaú Unibanco, Banco do Brasil, and Banco Bradesco) and one<br />
Russian bank (Sberbank). While excess optimism might have inflated these market<br />
values, these banks are large with respect to other measures as well. In terms of assets<br />
all these banks are in the top 75 worldwide, with all four Chinese banks in the top 20.<br />
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