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Stave River Water Use Plan - BC Hydro

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<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

arose through constraints linked to <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> fish benefits. The uncertainty in the fish<br />

biomass - productivity relationship lead to the following management questions:<br />

a) Is the relationship between fish production and littoral production such that the<br />

expected increase in littoral productivity as a result of the Combo 6 operating<br />

strategy leads to a measurable increase in fish biomass?<br />

b) By what extent does littoral productivity have to change in order to elicit a fish<br />

biomass response?<br />

The management questions above assume that pelagic production does not<br />

change with the implementation of Combo 6 operations and therefore does not<br />

contribute to increases in fish biomass. As indicated in the pelagic monitor, there is<br />

uncertainty as to whether this is the case. Evaluation of the management question<br />

should also include tests with indicators of pelagic productivity. This is reflected in the<br />

statement of impact hypotheses, as well as in the description of methods.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

There are two null hypothesis that are being tested with this monitor:<br />

H01: Overall fish biomass in <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir does not change over time following<br />

implementation of Combo 6 WUP operations.<br />

If the Combo 6 operation does indeed increase littoral productivity in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake<br />

reservoir as expected by the CC, the corresponding fish biomass response will<br />

be gradual if it exists and may take several years to fully manifest. This is in<br />

response to the time it takes for this increased littoral productivity to work its way<br />

through the various trophic levels of the food web, as well as through all the<br />

different age classes of all fish species. If the increase in littoral productivity is<br />

persistent every year, and fish mortality remains the same, a new plateau in<br />

annual fish biomass will be reached.<br />

H02: Between-year differences in species and cohort-specific fish biomass estimates<br />

are not correlated to indicators of littoral and pelagic primary productivity<br />

following the implementation of Combo 6 WUP operations.<br />

Test of this hypothesis will assess the likelihood that a direct link exists between<br />

fish biomass and indicators of pelagic and littoral productivity. This is a key<br />

assumption adopted by the CC to evaluate the reservoir benefits of various<br />

operating strategies of during the WUP process. The species and cohorts of<br />

interest will be those that are detectable by the hydro acoustic equipment during<br />

the initial survey period. Choice of productivity indicators will depend on the<br />

outcome of the pelagic and littoral monitors.<br />

Given the inter annual variability in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake reservoir hydrology, it is unlikely<br />

the degree of reservoir stability will be the same each year, and therefore neither would<br />

the extent of littoral and pelagic production. These inter-annual differences in<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 42

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