16.01.2013 Views

Stave River Water Use Plan - BC Hydro

Stave River Water Use Plan - BC Hydro

Stave River Water Use Plan - BC Hydro

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>:<br />

Monitoring Program Terms of Reference<br />

June 13, 2005<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 1


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Overview<br />

Monitoring Program<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>:<br />

Monitoring Program Terms of Reference<br />

The <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>ning process was completed in the fall of 1999<br />

with the release of a consultative committee report (Failing 1999) and the submission of<br />

draft water use plan (WUP) to the provincial Comptroller of <strong>Water</strong> Rights. The water use<br />

planning process, which involved consultation with a committee of interested<br />

stakeholders to identify water use values and objectives, the completion of several<br />

ecological studies and a gaming procedure to develop balanced operational alternatives,<br />

resulted in substantial knowledge gains about the <strong>Stave</strong> lake watershed. Despite this<br />

considerable effort and the successful development of what the consultative committee<br />

(CC) considered to be a balanced WUP for the <strong>Stave</strong> Lake project (Combo 6 WUP<br />

operating strategy), a number of knowledge gaps and uncertainties remained.<br />

Conditional to the general acceptance the WUP by the CC was the development and<br />

implementation of monitoring program that addresses these shortcomings.<br />

At the conclusion of the WUP consultation process, the consultative committee<br />

(CC) were able identified three general areas of uncertainty. The first was the extent to<br />

which the productivity levels in both <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs would change when<br />

operations specified in the WUP are implemented. The productivity indicators of interest<br />

included seasonal nutrient levels, seasonal levels of photosynthetic carbon (an indicator<br />

of general lake productivity), seasonal levels of littoral periphyton production at various<br />

water depths, and a general assessment of fish biomass. The latter indicator was<br />

deemed to be the one of greatest interest, but was also the most difficult and expensive<br />

to obtain. The CC anticipated an increase in all indicators of reservoir productivity as a<br />

result of the WUP. However, the premise with which this expectation was based was<br />

rather tenuous and the CC was uncertain as to whether the productivity benefit would be<br />

realised.<br />

The second area of uncertainty dealt with the potential impacts of flow<br />

fluctuations on the reproductive cycle anadromous salmonids downstream of Ruskin<br />

Dam. These flow fluctuations arise because of peaking operations and can be very<br />

large. In some cases these fluctuations were viewed as a positive impact by limiting the<br />

extent of spawning activity along the river margins where there is a high likelihood of<br />

redd stranding during the incubation period. This may be offset however, by increased<br />

stranding of gravid adults. There is also a potential increased risk to fry stranding when<br />

peaking operation extend into the fry out-migration period. By studying the diel timing of<br />

this out-migration, the CC felt that it might be possible to find ‘windows of time’ during<br />

which changes in discharge could occur with minimal fry stranding.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 2


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

The last area of uncertainty arose because of concerns regarding the quality of<br />

drinking water extracted from Hayward reservoir by local residents, and how it may<br />

change because of more frequent and larger fluctuations in reservoir water levels.<br />

To address these uncertainties, the CC recommended that a number of<br />

monitoring studies be carried out. A total of nine studies were recommended, each with<br />

the aim of either determining whether expected ecological benefits were being realised<br />

or to expand the general knowledge about the system’s ecology for future decision<br />

making processes. Based the CC recommendations, a monitoring program was<br />

developed with the following elements grouped according the general areas of<br />

uncertainty identified above:<br />

Tab/Chapter<br />

Reservoir Productivity (<strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward Reservoirs)<br />

Pelagic Monitor (Nutrient Load/Total Carbon Levels) ................................................ 1<br />

Littoral Productivity Assessment ................................................................................ 2<br />

Fish Biomass Assessment ......................................................................................... 3<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> Program (downstream of Ruskin Dam)<br />

Limited Block Load as Deterrent to Spawning ........................................................... 4<br />

Risk of Adult Standing ................................................................................................ 5<br />

Risk of Fry Stranding .................................................................................................. 6<br />

Diel Pattern of Fry Out-migration ............................................................................... 7<br />

Seasonal Timing and Assemblage of Fish Residence ............................................... 8<br />

<strong>Water</strong> Quality Assessment<br />

Turbidity Levels in Hayward Reservoir ....................................................................... 9<br />

Management Committee<br />

In addition to monitoring studies, the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> WUP CC recommended that a<br />

multi-stakeholder management committee be struck to oversee the general progress of<br />

the overall monitoring program (Failing 1999). The committee is to be comprised of<br />

representatives from the Department of Fisheries and Oceans (DFO), Ministry of<br />

Environment Lands and Parks (MELP) 1 , <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> (<strong>BC</strong>H), Kwantlen First Nations (KFN),<br />

and the District of Mission. As specified in the WUP, the general mandate of the <strong>Stave</strong><br />

Management Committee, as it pertains to the monitoring program, will be to:<br />

a) Make ongoing, management decisions on the monitoring program<br />

b) Liase with Heritage Management Committee (KFN) as needed<br />

c) Liase with the Alouette Management Committee as needed<br />

d) Prepare annual reports<br />

1 Now the Ministry of <strong>Water</strong> Land and Air Protection (WLAP)<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 3


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

e) Conduct a formal review of the monitoring program after 5 years, which will seek<br />

and incorporate feedback from local management/stakeholder groups.<br />

The primary responsibility of the <strong>Stave</strong> Management Committee will be to make<br />

ongoing management decisions that pertain to the monitor, particularly in those monitors<br />

that require a decision whether to continue after a specified time. The committee will<br />

also be responsible for final review and general distribution of all reports that relate to<br />

each monitor, including the preparation of annual summary reports of all monitors.<br />

Program Cost<br />

The overall program cost for the ten-year monitoring program is estimated to be<br />

$1,703,000. This total is $137,000 less than the amount reported in the CC report<br />

(Failing 1999) and represents a 7% reduction over initial estimates when adjusted for<br />

2004 dollars. Another difference with the CC report proposal is the annual distribution of<br />

monitor dollars. Rather than having all monitors start in year 1 and therefore, have a<br />

very high initial cost to the monitor, the start dates were staggered over several years to<br />

spread out sampling effort. As a result, annual costs are more evenly distributed over<br />

the course of the monitor. A summary of the monitoring cost for the entire program,<br />

including a comparison with monitor estimates presented by Failing (1998), is presented<br />

in Table 1.<br />

The monitoring plan budget estimate includes a provision for the development of<br />

a ten-year detailed project plan, which includes the process of seeking final approval of<br />

the plan with the <strong>Stave</strong> Management Committee. The cost given is the same as that<br />

reported in the CC report (Failing 1998), but adjusted to 2004 dollars ($30,000), and is<br />

only available in the first year of the program.<br />

Also included in the budget estimate are the funds necessary for project coordination<br />

and management, liaison with the <strong>Stave</strong> Management Committee, and the<br />

preparation of annual summary reports. The assigned cost is the same as that reported<br />

in the CC report (Failing 1999), but adjusted to 2004 dollars ($27,500). This project<br />

management fund will be the same for every year of the program, though in actuality it is<br />

likely to vary form year to year depending on the number of meetings with the<br />

Management Committee, the number of ongoing studies, and prevailing circumstances.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 4


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 1: Summary of individual monitor costs for the <strong>Stave</strong> WUP monitoring program. All costs are in 2004 dollars except where<br />

indicated.<br />

Monitor<br />

Yr 0 Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3<br />

Annual Cost (2004 dollars)<br />

Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

10 Year<br />

Program Cost<br />

Detailed Program <strong>Plan</strong> & Approval $ 30,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 30,000<br />

Pelagic Productivity $ - $ 32,715 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 23,108 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 22,478 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 22,478 $ 269,888<br />

Littoral Productivity $ - $ 74,795 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 518,788<br />

Fish Biomass $ - $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 254,325<br />

Limited Block Load $ - $ 44,385 $ 21,410 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 87,595<br />

Adult Stranding $ - $ - $ 20,095 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 20,095<br />

Fry Stranding $ - $ - $ 29,630 $ 29,630 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 59,260<br />

Fry Out-Migration $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 39,390 $ 38,865 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 78,255<br />

Resident Fish $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 27,695 $ 6,195 $ - $ - $ - $ 33,890<br />

Turbidity $ - $ 8,060 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 75,875<br />

Program Coordination/Management $ - $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 27,500 $ 275,000<br />

Annual Program Cost $ 30,000 $ 215,670 $ 199,055 $ 177,255 $ 175,390 $ 175,075 $ 169,755 $ 147,130 $ 130,645 $ 147,625 $ 135,370 $ 1,702,970<br />

WUP approved Cost (2004 dollars) $ 30,913 $ 378,588 $ 250,625 $ 190,453 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 141,321 $ 1,839,829<br />

Cost difference (Approved - Actual) $ 913 $ 162,918 $ 51,570 $ 13,198 -$ 34,069 -$ 33,754 -$ 28,434 -$ 5,809 $ 10,676 -$ 6,304 $ 5,951 $ 136,859<br />

% Variance<br />

Expected Program Cost assuming<br />

3% 43% 21% 7% -24% -24% -20% -4% 8% -4% 4% 7%<br />

2% inflation per annum $ 30,912 $ 219,982 207,096 $ 188,103 $ 189,847 $ 193,296 $ 191,171 $ 169,005 $ 153,070 $ 176,425 165,014 $ 1,883,922<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 5


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1. Pelagic Monitor (Nutrient Load/Total Carbon Levels)<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

During the <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>ning (WUP) process, several difficulties were<br />

encountered when trying to assess the impacts of facility operations on the overall<br />

productivity of <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs. These difficulties stemmed from the<br />

paucity of productivity related information specific to these reservoirs and the lack of<br />

resources needed to fill these data gaps. Rather than abandon this component of the<br />

WUP trade off process, an evaluation procedure was developed based on surrogate<br />

performance measures was developed using general models of lake ecosystem<br />

function, general knowledge of ecosystem impacts arising from impoundment practices,<br />

published data from other reservoirs through out North America, and the little reservoirspecific<br />

data that was available. The result was an impact assessment model that<br />

divided the productivity of <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs into pelagic (open water) and<br />

littoral (near shore) components and reported overall productivity in each reservoir in<br />

terms of the rate of total annual carbon assimilation (Failing 1999).<br />

Though the use of this paradigm allowed the WUP to proceed to a successful<br />

conclusion, it was generally acknowledged among CC members that it was rather a<br />

simplistic view of reservoir ecology and hence, fraught with uncertainty. Four key<br />

elements of uncertainty were identified, two of where are the subject of the present<br />

monitor. The first uncertainty is in the assumption that pelagic productivity would remain<br />

unaffected by changes in reservoir operations, at least within the range of operations<br />

being investigated. This assumption arose because of insufficient information to indicate<br />

otherwise and was deemed to be consistent with what is generally known about pelagic<br />

ecosystems. Accepting this assumption simplified the interpretation of the carbon<br />

assimilation estimates in that noted changes could be directly attributed to changes in<br />

littoral productivity. This however, may not be the case if the assumption of ‘pelagic<br />

immunity’ is found to be invalid.<br />

The other key uncertainty is the method by which total carbon assimilation was<br />

calculated and the underlying assumption that it would serve as a reasonable indicator<br />

of fish production potential. Annual carbon assimilation rate was calculated from a<br />

simple, linear regression equation developed from lake data collected throughout <strong>BC</strong> (J<br />

Stockner Pers comm.). The data set did not include storage reservoirs and was<br />

primarily directed towards measures of pelagic productivity. Therefore, its application to<br />

a reservoir setting was considered to be suspect, including its use as an overall indicator<br />

of reservoir productivity. Also contributing to the uncertainty is the large error associated<br />

with the predictions made with this equation (Failing 1999). Finally, it was generally<br />

acknowledged that the assumed link between carbon production and fish production<br />

potential was a rather tenuous one and fraught with uncertainty. Its adoption into the<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 6


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

decision making process was driven primarily by the absence of any other kind of<br />

production-based information.<br />

In recognition of these uncertainties, the CC recommended that they be<br />

addressed by a comprehensive monitoring program design to improve the decision<br />

making process in future WUPs. Consultative committee acceptance of Combo 6 as the<br />

preferred operating alternative for the <strong>Stave</strong> Lake generation facility was conditional on<br />

the design and implementation of such a monitoring program (Failing 1999). The<br />

monitor presented here is focused on the pelagic environment. The other two<br />

uncertainties alluded to above, are the subject of a separate monitor geared towards<br />

studies in the littoral zone. It address uncertainties associated with the use of the<br />

Effective Littoral Zone performance measure to capture changes in littoral productivity<br />

and the examines the importance of littoral productivity relative to that of pelagic waters.<br />

Because the direct measurement of total annual production (i.e., direct measure<br />

of flora and fauna growth) is beyond the budgetary scope of this monitoring program, the<br />

CC accepted the use of primary productivity (the annual production of phytoplankton) as<br />

an alternative index measure. As a result, the monitor described here is focused<br />

primarily on this trophic level of production.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

The consultative committee identified four key management questions pertaining<br />

to the pelagic productivity of <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs:<br />

a) What is the current level of pelagic productivity in each reservoir, and how does it<br />

vary seasonally and annually as a result of climatic, physical and biological<br />

processes, including the effect of reservoir fluctuation?<br />

This information is required to identify the key determinants that currently<br />

govern/constrain the level of productivity in each reservoir. Once these<br />

environmental factors have been identified, an assessment can be carried out to<br />

determine whether they are susceptible to change given alternative reservoir<br />

management strategies. Environmental factors that are susceptible to change<br />

are then monitored through time in conjunction with the productivity indicator<br />

variable (in this case primary productivity). This information sets up the<br />

foundation for the next management question.<br />

b) If changes in pelagic productivity are detected through time, can they be<br />

attributed to changes in reservoir operations as stipulated in the WUP, or are<br />

they the result of change to some other environmental factor?<br />

This information allows one to clearly determine whether a causal link between<br />

reservoir operations and reservoir pelagic productivity exists, and if so, to<br />

describe its nature for use in future WUP processes.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 7


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

c) To what extent would reservoir operations have to change to 1) illicit a pelagic<br />

productivity response; and 2) improve or worsen the current pelagic state of<br />

productivity?<br />

d) Given the answers to the management questions above, to what extent does the<br />

Combo 6 operating alternative improve reservoir productivity in pelagic waters,<br />

and what can be done to make improvements, whether they be operations based<br />

or not.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

This monitor is primarily concerned with whether reservoir management actions<br />

influence the level of pelagic productivity in <strong>Stave</strong> and/or Hayward reservoirs. However,<br />

overall reservoir productivity is very difficult and costly to measure directly. As a result,<br />

the CC recommended the use of a weight-of-evidence approach, which indirectly<br />

examines the issue through a series of testable impact hypotheses. A total of 10<br />

hypotheses were identified for the present monitor. Collectively, they form an impact<br />

hypothesis model that explores the interrelationship of various environmental factors on<br />

productivity, as well as inter-trophic interactions (Figure 1). The impact hypotheses,<br />

expressed here as null hypotheses (i.e., hypotheses of no difference or correlation), are<br />

tested separately for each reservoir and relate primarily to levels of primary productivity.<br />

H01: Average reservoir concentration of Total Phosphorus (TP), an indicator of<br />

general phosphorus availability, does not limit pelagic primary productivity.<br />

H02: Relative to the availability of phosphorus as measured by the level of total<br />

dissolved phosphorus (PO4), the average reservoir concentration of nitrate (NO3)<br />

does not limit pelagic primary productivity. Nitrate is the dominant form of<br />

nitrogen that is directly bio-available to algae and is indicative of the general<br />

availability of nitrogen to pelagic organisms.<br />

H03: <strong>Water</strong> retention time (τw) is not altered by reservoir operations such that it<br />

significantly affects the level of TP as described by Vollenweider’s (1975)<br />

phosphorus loading equations (referred to here as TP(τw)).<br />

H04: <strong>Water</strong> temperature, and hence the thermal profile of the reservoir, is not<br />

significantly altered by reservoir operations.<br />

H05: Changes in TP as a result of inter annual differences in reservoir hydrology (i.e.,<br />

TP(τw)) are not sufficient to create a detectable change in pelagic algae biomass<br />

as measured by levels of chlorophyll a (Chla). [This hypothesis can only be<br />

tested if H03 is rejected]<br />

H06: Independent estimates of algae biomass based on TP(τw) and Secchi disk<br />

transparency (SD) prediction equations are statistically similar, suggesting that<br />

neither non-algal turbidity, nor intensive zooplankton grazing, are significant<br />

factors that influence standing crop of pelagic phytoplankton (Carlson 1980, cited<br />

in Wetzel 2001)<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 8


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

H07: The effect of non-algal turbidity on pelagic algae biomass, as indicated by the<br />

difference in independent predictions of Chla by TP(τw) and SD (Carlson 1980,<br />

cited in Wetzel 2001), does not change as a function of reservoir operation.<br />

H08: The ratio of ultra-phytoplankton (< 20 µm in size) to micro-phytoplankton (20-200<br />

µm in size) abundance is not altered by reservoir operations and hence, does not<br />

change through time with the implementation of the WUP Combo 6 operating<br />

strategy.<br />

H09: The size distribution of the pelagic zooplankton population (an indicator of fish<br />

food bioavailability as larger organisms tend to be preferred over small ones) is<br />

not altered by reservoir operations and hence, does not change through time with<br />

the implementation of the WUP Combo 6 operating strategy.<br />

H010: Primary production, as measured through C14 inoculation, is not altered by<br />

reservoir operations and hence, does not change through time with the<br />

implementation of the WUP Combo 6 operating strategy.<br />

Hypotheses H01 to H07 examine and put into context the most likely pathways by<br />

which reservoir operations may impact primary productivity. Collectively, these<br />

hypotheses define a crude model of reservoir operation effects on pelagic primary<br />

productivity that will lead to a greater understanding of such impacts, and ultimately to a<br />

prediction of possible outcomes when future operational strategies are explored. A<br />

schematic of the model is shown in Figure 1.<br />

Reservoir<br />

Operations<br />

Nutrient<br />

Inflow<br />

<strong>Water</strong><br />

Retention<br />

Temperature<br />

Profile<br />

Turbidity<br />

Nutrient Bioavailability<br />

Primary<br />

Productivity<br />

Secondary<br />

production<br />

Fish<br />

Productivity<br />

Figure 1: Schematic diagram of the pelagic impact hypothesis model illustrating<br />

how H01 to H08 inter-relate to affect primary productivity and ultimately<br />

fish productivity. Littoral productivity also plays a significant role, but<br />

is excluded from this illustration as it is dealt with in a separate<br />

monitor.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 9


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Hypothesis H08 establishes the primary pathway by which carbon and other<br />

nutrients enter the food web, and reflects the general growing conditions of<br />

phytoplankton. A predominance of ultra-phytoplankton tends to indicate poorer growing<br />

conditions, which collectively include the influences nutrient levels, water temperature,<br />

light availability etc. (Wetzel 2001). Conversely, a predominance of micro-phytoplankton<br />

indicates an excellent growing environment.<br />

Hypothesis H09 explores the linkage between primary production and fish<br />

production by examining the size structure of zooplankton (secondary production). Of<br />

importance is the density of larger organisms that tend to constitute the majority of<br />

pelagic fish food production.<br />

Hypothesis H010 is an independent test of the impact hypothesis model as it<br />

pertains to the WUP Combo 6 operating strategy.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decision Affected<br />

In the absence of reliable predictions on the effect of dam operations on <strong>Stave</strong><br />

reservoir productivity, it was assumed that pelagic productivity would remain unchanged<br />

over the spectrum of feasible reservoir operating strategies. However, the CC<br />

recognised that there was considerable uncertainty in this assumption, but had no<br />

information with which to form other, more probable outcomes. This monitor is designed<br />

to:<br />

a) Test the validity of this assumption of no operational impact, and confirm that<br />

pelagic conditions have not worsened with the new Combo 6 operating strategy.<br />

b) Provide the information necessary to promote a better understanding of the<br />

pathways by which operational changes can affect primary productivity (the<br />

chosen indicator variable of fish productivity), and in turn provide better<br />

predictions of operational impacts for future WUP reviews.<br />

In addition, this monitor attempts to develop a better linkage between the effect<br />

of reservoir operations on primary productivity and the potential for fish production.<br />

Collectively, this information will lead to conclusions regarding the expected<br />

benefits of the Combo 6 operating strategy, and whether alternative strategies should be<br />

proposed if these benefits are not realised. Through a better understanding of reservoir<br />

ecosystem dynamics, its may be possible to find improvements to the Combo 6<br />

operating strategy that may increase operational flexibility without compromising<br />

reservoir ecosystem function. Specific actions that may lead to such improvements<br />

cannot be identified at this time because of the complexity of the <strong>Stave</strong> Lake project.<br />

The complex modelling exercises needed to identify such actions is beyond the scope of<br />

this monitor and should be reserved for future WUP processes.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 10


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area will consist on <strong>Stave</strong> Lake and Hayward Lake Reservoirs.<br />

b) Data will be collected at three sites; two on <strong>Stave</strong> Lake reservoir because of<br />

potential spatial gradients in light, wind an nutrient exposure, and only one on<br />

Hayward Lake reservoir which is much smaller and less prone to spatial<br />

heterogeneity.<br />

c) The program is to be carried out in two phases, an initial 2-3 year high intensity<br />

sampling program, and a subsequent base level sampling program.<br />

d) The monitor is to continue for 10 years or until the next WUP review period.<br />

e) The monitor will focus primarily on variables associated with measures of pelagic<br />

primary productivity, a component of reservoir productivity that is assumed to be<br />

a suitable indicator of overall productivity.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The general approach to the pelagic monitor is to identify the primary pathways<br />

by which reservoir operations may affect overall productivity, as indicated by changes in<br />

primary productivity, through impact hypothesis testing. The necessary physical,<br />

chemical and biological data will be collected to test each of the 9 hypotheses listed in<br />

Section 1.3. Depending on the acceptance or rejection of each hypothesis, a conceptual<br />

model will be developed to predict the direction of change in productivity for a given<br />

change in operation. If the conceptual model is proved valid, an attempt will be made to<br />

develop a numerical model to predict the magnitude of change. The success of this<br />

modelling exercise will be depend on the variability of the data collected, the variability of<br />

year to year reservoir operations and the strength of correlation among parameters.<br />

Data collection and analysis will proceed as a two-phased program. The initial<br />

phase will last 2-3 years and will involve an intensive data collection program designed<br />

to test all impact hypotheses listed in Section 1.3. During this phase, light intensity,<br />

Secchi Disk depth, water temperature, oxygen level, daily solar irradiation, total<br />

dissolved phosphorus concentration, total nitrate concentration, chlorophyll a<br />

concentration, phytoplankton community structure, zooplankton community structure,<br />

and 14 C estimates of primary production will be collected at each study site every 6 to 8<br />

weeks. Because of the high cost of lab analysis, the set of 14 C estimates of primary<br />

production will only be done once every 3 years. At the conclusion of this phase, a<br />

report will be prepared that summarises the finding in terms of hypotheses H01 to H010,<br />

and attempts to construct conceptual and if possible, an initial numerical model of<br />

pelagic primary production in each reservoir.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 11


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

The next phase of the monitor will be of much lower sampling intensity, but will<br />

be carried out annually till the next WUP review process. During this phase, only light<br />

intensity daily solar irradiation, total dissolved phosphorus concentration, total nitrate<br />

concentration, chlorophyll a concentration and 14 C estimates of primary production will<br />

be collected. Sampling frequency will be reduced to 4 sampling periods per year (May<br />

to November), the dates of which are to be set according to annual patterns uncovered<br />

in Phase 1 of the monitor. These data are not only going to be useful in testing and<br />

refining models developed in Phase 1, but will be used to track pelagic productivity over<br />

time to determine whether there are changes in response to annual differences in<br />

reservoir operation. As well, these data will be incorporated into the littoral productivity<br />

monitor to track the ratio of littoral to pelagic production and how it may affect overall<br />

reservoir productivity (Wetzel 2001).<br />

It should be noted that the data collection component of Phase 1 has been<br />

completed, and an initial data report has been prepared (Stockner and Beer 2004).<br />

However, QAQC of the data and hypothesis testing have not been done, nor have the<br />

modelling exercises been started.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

The scope of the monitor, the parameters to be measured and the frequency of<br />

sampling have already been discussed in the preceding sections. The sections that<br />

follow will describe the method of data collection for each of the variables listed in<br />

Section 2.2. Because data collection for Phase 1 of the program has been completed,<br />

focus of this section will be on Phase 2 of the monitor, and the methods will be described<br />

in sufficient detail to ensure consistency between phases.<br />

2.3.1 <strong>Water</strong> Quality – Physical Variables<br />

Light intensity (µmole quanta m -2 s -1 ), will be measured at 1 m intervals to a depth<br />

beyond the point at which photosythetically active radiation PAR (light with a wavelength<br />

between 400 to 700 µm) is 1% that of the surface or to the lake bottom, whichever is<br />

reached first. It is essential that the sensor be vertical, and that the boat does not cast a<br />

shadow over the sensor while being lowered. A 0 m reading (a film of water should be<br />

on the surface of the sensor) should be taken prior to and immediately following the<br />

sensor reading at depth. The LiCor Model Li-250 submersible quantum sensor is highly<br />

recommended for this application to maintain consistency with historical measurements.<br />

Vertical profiles of PAR will be natural-log transformed and plotted against depth to<br />

obtain an estimate of the light extinction coefficient (k). Vertical profiles will be collected<br />

every 8 weeks to define the annual cycle of the euphotic zone – the volume of water that<br />

is capable of sustaining photosynthetic activity, as well as the cycles for light<br />

compensation depth and the light extinction coefficient. The latter two variables, in<br />

conjunction with Secchi disk readings taken with a 20 cm weighted disk on the shaded<br />

side of the boat, will be incorporated into the pelagic productivity diagnostic tool<br />

developed by Carlson (1980) (cited in Wetzel 2001) to test hypothesis H06. The latter<br />

two variables will also be used in the littoral monitor.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 12


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

<strong>Water</strong> temperature (°C) and oxygen level (O2, mgL -1 ) will be measure at 1 m<br />

intervals to a depth just beyond the thermocline, and then at 5 m intervals to the lake<br />

bottom (i.e., sediment surface). It is essential that the O2/temp sensor be calibrated and<br />

kept vertical by use of a lead weight for each sampling occasion. The temperature data<br />

will be used to define the epilimnetic zone, a parameter necessary to model nutrient<br />

dynamics during period of thermal stratification. The O2 data will be used to monitor O2<br />

deficits in the hypolimnion and provide an indication of potential nutrient availability at<br />

times of lake-turnover. In Phase 1, vertical profiles of water temperature and O2 will be<br />

carried out every 4 to 6 weeks to capture annual cycles in stratification. Sampling<br />

frequency will then drop to every 8 weeks during the months of May to November for<br />

Phase 2 of the monitor.<br />

In addition to the in situ variables above, data on total daily solar irradiation will<br />

be collected from the Greater Vancouver Regional District who operates a LI-200SA<br />

pyranometer in Port Moody. This data will be used to monitor daily fluctuations in total<br />

solar irradiation, and hence correct for daily/annual fluctuations in potential<br />

photosynthetic productivity when comparing samples.<br />

2.3.2 <strong>Water</strong> Quality – Chemical<br />

<strong>Water</strong> quality samples at each of the sample sites (Figure 2) will be collected by<br />

a vertical, non-metallic Van Dorn sampler at 1, 3 and 5 m depths below the water<br />

surface. The three ~ 500 ml samples will be poured in a large (2 L) dark bottle and then<br />

mixed to get a single representative sample for the site. All samples/site for water<br />

quality analysis will be drawn from this mixed epilimnetic sample.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 13


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

To analyse total phosphorous (TP) content, the TP sample test tubes and caps<br />

(one per site) will first be rinsed with the sampled water, and then filled, capped and<br />

labelled. At no time will the mouth of the bottle or the inside of the cap be touched, as it<br />

can easily become contaminated. Once filled, the sample test tubes should be placed in<br />

a cooler and then refrigerated until analysed. Once per field trip, two sample bottles of<br />

double distilled water (DDW) will be prepared as blanks for comparison purposes.<br />

Figure 2: Map of <strong>Stave</strong> Lake and Hayward Lake reservoirs showing monitor sampling<br />

locations<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 14


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

In preparation for dissolved phosphorus and nitrogen (in the form of N03)<br />

analysis, the mixed epilimnetic water sample will be field filtered using a 47 mm filtering<br />

manifold equipped with an ashed GF/F filter. Prior to filtering, the filter will be rinsed with<br />

180 ml of DDW, and then rinsed again with 180 ml of the sampled epilimnetic water.<br />

Plastic 120 ml sample bottles will be rinsed by filtering 60 ml of the Van Dorn sampled<br />

water into each bottle, which will then be capped and shaken. All filtrate to this point will<br />

be discarded. The rinsed sample bottles will then be filled with filtered epilimnetic water,<br />

capped tightly, and immediately frozen. Once per field trip, two sample bottles of double<br />

distilled water (DDW) will be prepared as blanks for comparison purposes.<br />

During Phase 1, water quality samples will be collected every 4-6 weeks to<br />

determine annual trends. In phase 2, sampling frequency will be reduced to 4 times per<br />

year (every 8 weeks during months of May to November). All samples will be to be sent<br />

immediately to a certified chemistry laboratory for analysis. For consistency purposes it<br />

is recommended that the Department of Fisheries and Oceans chemistry lab in Cultus<br />

Lake should be used. The data obtained from this analysis will be used to test<br />

hypotheses H01, H02, and H05 to H07 in Section 1.3.<br />

2.3.3 <strong>Plan</strong>kton<br />

Phytoplankton<br />

Phytoplankton community structure will be determined by visual assessment of<br />

water samples collected by vertical Van Dorn sampler at depths 1, 3, and 5 m below the<br />

water surface. Each sample will be stored in 250 ml glass bottles to which 2 ml of acidic<br />

Lugol’s iodine solution has been added as a preservative. Samples are to be stored in a<br />

cool dark location until analysed. Sampling at each site (Figure 2) will occur monthly<br />

between March and November each year. Only one sample per site will be taken and<br />

analysed.<br />

Prior to enumeration by the Utermohl (1958) method, the sample will be shaken<br />

for 60 s, poured into 25 ml settling chambers, and then allowed to settle for a minimum<br />

of 8 hr. Counts should be done with an inverted phase-contrast plankton microscope.<br />

Counting will follow a two step process starting with an enumeration of microphytoplankton<br />

(e.g., diatoms, dinoflagellates, and blue-green algae) in the first 5-10<br />

random fields at a microscope magnification of 250X. This will be followed by a random<br />

transect (10-15 mm in length) count where magnification is increased to 1560X to<br />

enumerate ultra-phytoplankton (e.g., pico-cyanobacteria and nano-flagellates). In total,<br />

a minimum of 250 cells will be counted per sample to ensure statistical accuracy. All<br />

enumerated cells will be identified to the nearest species taxon level. Counts will be<br />

reported as an abundance value (cells·ml -1 ) and in terms of biovolume (mm 3 L -1 ).<br />

During phase 1 of the monitor, phytoplankton enumeration will be carried out<br />

every 4 to 6 weeks each year to capture seasonal and annual trends. The level of<br />

phytoplankton sampling effort will be reduced to just one sample per site, per year for<br />

Phase 2 of the monitor. The maximise the utility of the phase 2 samples, it will have to<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 15


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

be collected at the same time of year, preferable during late summer when the when<br />

reservoir levels are consistent between years due to recreational constraints. The data<br />

will be used to test hypothesis H08 of the monitor.<br />

Chlorophyll<br />

In addition to the phytoplankton counts, water samples will be collected to<br />

estimate chlorophyll a concentration, an indicator of phytoplankton standing crop. At<br />

each station, 500 ml water samples will be collected at 1, 3, and 5 m below surface, and<br />

mixed together in a large dark glass bottle to yield a single depth integrated sample.<br />

Starting with 500 ml of the mixed epilimnetic water, field-filter the sub-sample using a<br />

47 mm filtering manifold with a 0.45 µm Millipore HA filter. Should the filter become<br />

plugged, discard the sub-sample and re-start the filtering process with a new 250 ml<br />

sub-sample. At no time should the vacuum pressure of the filtering mechanism exceed<br />

20 cm Hg. When dry, the filter should be folded, placed in small round aluminium<br />

dishes, and kept frozen until analysed.<br />

During phase 1 of the monitor, Chlorophyll samples will be collected every 4 to 6<br />

weeks to capture annual trends in phytoplankton standing crop. In Phase 2, the level of<br />

sampling effort will be reduced to 4 times per year (every 8 weeks between May and<br />

November). All samples will be to be sent immediately to the Department of Fisheries<br />

and Oceans chemistry lab in Cultus Lake for analysis. The data obtained from this<br />

analysis will be used to test hypotheses H05 and H07 in Section 1.3.<br />

Zooplankton<br />

Zooplankton samples will be collected by Wisconsin vertical trawl hauls at each<br />

sample station (Figure 2). The Wisconsin trawl net, which should not have a mesh size<br />

greater than 80 µm and a throat diameter of 50 cm, will be lowered to a depth of 30 m<br />

and hauled up at a speed of 0.5 m·s -1 . Once out of the water, the net should be rinsed<br />

with a wash bottle to ensure that all organisms are in the collecting cup (cod-end). The<br />

contents of the collecting cup are then washed into a plastic storage bottle to which<br />

ethanol has been added as a preservative.<br />

Prior to enumeration, the total volume of the sample will be stirred and split with a<br />

Folsom splitter to a volume that contains at least 100 post nauplii stages of the most<br />

abundant taxa. Enumeration will be done on a gridded petri-dish using a stereo<br />

microscope under suitable magnification. Taxonomic identification will be taken to the<br />

species level. Body length of individuals will be measured to the nearest 0.1mm, and<br />

then using published length weight relationships (McCauley 1984) assign an<br />

approximate dry weight (µg). The resulting data will then be used to determine species<br />

density (No·L -1 ) and biomass (µg·L -1 ), as well as overall length distributions. These data<br />

will then be used to test hypothesis H09.<br />

During phase 1 of the monitor, zooplankton enumeration will be carried out every<br />

4 to 6 weeks each year to capture seasonal and annual trends. In phase 2 of the<br />

monitor, zooplankton sampling effort will be reduced to just one sample per year, and<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 16


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

analysis will be limited to the development of a length frequency distribution (no<br />

identification will occur beyond the family level of taxon). The maximise the utility of the<br />

phase 2 samples, it will have to be collected at the same time of year, preferable during<br />

late summer when the when reservoir levels are consistent between years due to<br />

recreational constraints. The data will be used to test hypothesis H08 of the monitor.<br />

2.3.4 14 C Estimate of Primary Production<br />

Primary production (mgC·m -2 d -1 ) will be estimated by H 14 CO3 inoculation as<br />

described by Strickland (1960). <strong>Water</strong> samples will be collected by Van Dorn sampler at<br />

1, 3, 5, 7, and 10 m depths. Each depth-sample will be transferred equally to three<br />

300 ml BOD (Biological Oxygen Demand) bottles, the first two of which are clear to allow<br />

photosynthetic uptake of C 14 . The third bottle is darkened to exclude light so as to<br />

measure C 14 uptake through respiration alone. Each of the sample bottles will be<br />

inoculated with 1 ml of 3.7 µCIE·ml -1 · 14 C-HC03 using a 1 ml Eppendorf pipette with<br />

disposable tips (the fist aliquot of C 14 from a freshly filled tip should be discarded). After<br />

inoculation, the sample bottles will be to be lowered to their respective collection depths<br />

and incubated for 2-3 hr. Incubation should be initiated as close to 10 am as possible,<br />

but not allowed to continue beyond 1 pm. Following incubation, the inoculated samples<br />

are to be retrieved and placed into a light-tight metal box for storage.<br />

Within 4 hours of collection, the inoculated samples should be filtered through a<br />

0.2 µm, 47 mm diameter, polycarbonate membrane filter. Once filtered, the filters are<br />

transferred to scintillation vials where 4 drops of 6N HCL are added. After addition of the<br />

scintillation fluor, the vials are to be sent to the Radiation Laboratory at the University of<br />

British Columbia where analysis of beta activity (an indicator of 14 C update) will be<br />

carried out on a Beckman© Beta scintillation counter using standard protocols. Raw<br />

primary production estimates will be reported as depth specific mg 14 C·m -2 hr -1 , but be<br />

integrated across all water depths when discussing daily production rates (i.e., mgC·m -<br />

2 d -1 ). The daily primary production values will be used to test hypothesis HO10 in Section<br />

1.3 and will only be collected 4 times per year every three years (starting in year three of<br />

the monitor).<br />

2.3.5 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Of particular concern are the safety protocols<br />

surrounding the transport and use of low level radioactive materials such as 14 C. Only<br />

licensed practitioners can purchase the radioactive 14 C product needed for the<br />

inoculation procedure. As well, investigators that perform the inoculations must also be<br />

appropriately certified to handle and transport the material.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 17


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.6 Data Analysis<br />

Phase 1<br />

All data will be entered into Excel spreadsheets for analysis and presentation.<br />

Physical and chemical attribute data from the pelagic sample sites of each reservoir will<br />

be summarised using descriptive statistics and analysed for annual trends. The data will<br />

also be used to test hypotheses H01 to H07 based on published criterion and trophic<br />

level relationships. Between-site and between-reservoir comparisons will only be<br />

descriptive in nature, as there are no replicates to estimate sample variance for<br />

statistical testing.<br />

<strong>Plan</strong>kton identification and enumeration data will be similarly summarised in<br />

tables for between-site and between-reservoir comparisons. Also of interest would be<br />

tests for annual trends in community structure, as well as analyses of depth distributions<br />

of key classes of phytoplankton. The data will also be used to test hypotheses H08 and<br />

H09.<br />

The 14 C estimates of pelagic primary production will be the first in a series to be<br />

collected over the next 10 years. Because only a single data set will exist, primary<br />

production will only be discussed relative to between-site and between-reservoir<br />

differences, as well as indications of an annual trend. Test of H010 will have to wait for<br />

until sufficient yearly samples are collected.<br />

The modelling exercise will utilise multiple linear regression techniques to relate<br />

various summary descriptors of reservoir hydraulics to summary statistics of nutrient<br />

concentration, chlorophyll level, and when possible primary production. Where<br />

necessary, assumptions of linearity, normality, homoscedasticity, independence and<br />

randomness will be assessed prior to proceeding with analyses to ensure that statistical<br />

tests are being used appropriately. This test of assumptions applies to all statistical<br />

testing used in the monitor.<br />

Phase 2<br />

Data analysis in Phase 2 will consist of two parts. The first set of analyses will be<br />

to compare annual predictions of 14 C based primary production and other limnological<br />

variables made by the pelagic model with those collected in the field. The comparison<br />

will provide an indication of the model’s validity and utility as well as provide a means to<br />

annually refine the model’s predictive power with new data. The analysis and modelling<br />

exercise will employ the same analytical tools as used in Phase 1 of the monitor.<br />

The other component of the analysis will be to track pelagic primary productivity<br />

over time in each reservoir, and hence test hypothesis H010. The test will be carried out<br />

every three years of the monitor. With each compilation of 14 C primary production<br />

estimates, an attempt will be made to develop a predictive model so as to interpolate<br />

primary production between sampling periods. Like Phase 1, the modelling will rely on<br />

multiple linear regression techniques to test for possible relationships.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 18


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

As in Phase 1, assumptions of linearity, normality, homoscedasticity,<br />

independence and randomness will be assessed prior to proceeding with analyses to<br />

ensure that all statistical tests are being used and interpreted appropriately.<br />

2.3.7 Reporting<br />

At the end of each year during the first phase of the monitor, a data summary will<br />

be prepared that document the year’s findings. At the conclusion of Phase 1, two<br />

reports will be prepared, the first of which summarises the data collected to date. The<br />

second report will present and discuss the results of the hypothesis testing exercise, as<br />

well as present conceptual and if possible numerical models of reservoir primary<br />

productivity. Both reports will be submitted to the Management Committee for review<br />

prior to being finalised for general release.<br />

As in Phase 1 of the monitor, annual data reports will be prepared to summarise<br />

annual findings, each including a discussion of the year’s data relative to those collected<br />

in previous years. Part of this discussion will be an assessment of increasing or<br />

decreasing temporal trend. Prior to finalising the annual reports, the Management<br />

Committee will be given an opportunity to review then and provide comments.<br />

At the conclusion of the monitor, a comprehensive report will be prepared from<br />

the Phase 1 reports and all of the annual data reports that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods of data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Like the annual data reports, the Management Committee will review a draft of the final<br />

report prior to its general release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

Monitoring program results will be interpreted in two different ways. The first of<br />

these will be in terms of identifying the pathway(s) by which reservoir operations affect<br />

primary production in both <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs - the focus of Phase I of the<br />

monitor. It is anticipated that the differences in operation between reservoirs, as well as<br />

inter annual variability in operations will provide sufficient contrast to detect trends if<br />

such exist. If trends are inconclusive, then it will be considered safe to assume that<br />

reservoir operations within the range that was experienced during Phase 1 of the<br />

monitor do not affect primary production. Conversely, if measurable trends are found,<br />

analytical techniques will be employed to develop both conceptual and if possible,<br />

numerical models, that will useful in future WUPs for predicting the outcome of<br />

alternative operating strategies<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 19


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

The monitor will also be interpreted in terms of accepting or rejecting the<br />

assumption made during the WUP process that pelagic productivity does not change in<br />

response to reservoir operations. This assumption was adopted largely because of a<br />

lack of information that indicates otherwise. Though CC members were tempted to<br />

assume some sort of causal relationship, there was too little data available to determine<br />

its general nature with any degree of certainty. A direct test of this assumption through<br />

annual comparisons of primary production estimates, in conjunction with the result of<br />

Phase 1 of the monitor, will lead to its rejection or validation.<br />

If deemed valid, the impetus will be to explore the possibility of relaxing reservoir<br />

constraints as an option in future WUPs. However, if deemed invalid, the models and<br />

monitor information can be used to assess the benefits of further constraining reservoir<br />

operations and enhance overall productivity. These constraints however, will be at the<br />

cost of other values in the system. To help resolve such conflicts, the results of the<br />

monitor may be used to develop appropriate non-operational alternatives. It should be<br />

stressed that the discussion of future actions will occur at the next WUP process.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

As indicated in section 2.2, much of Phase 1 has already been completed, but<br />

the final QA/QC of the data, as well as the hypothesis testing and modelling components<br />

of the monitor, have yet to be started. Part of the work in year 1 will be to finish the<br />

tasks of Phase 1, including a final report summarising all of the information and analyses<br />

as they pertain to the WUP.<br />

Because Phase 1 is near completion, Phase 2 of the monitor will also be started<br />

in year 1 of the monitor. Every three years, a 14 C estimate of primary production will be<br />

carried out until the end of the monitor at the next WUP review process - a period of 10<br />

years.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the monitor is estimated to be $269,900. Roughly $10,200 of<br />

this amount is to cover the costs of completing Phase 1 of the monitor while the<br />

remainder is for carrying out Phase 2. The annual cost will cycle between $22,500 and<br />

$33,900 per year depending on whether a 14 C estimate of primary production is done.<br />

Average annual cost of the 10-year monitor is $26,000 per year, a value within $1000<br />

(4%) of the proposed cost listed in the CC report (Failing1998).<br />

The costs given above are based on the cost of services and products in 2004.<br />

When adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total program cost is expected to be closer<br />

to $300,800. A summary breakdown of the labour costs and expenses is provided in<br />

Table 1-1.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 20


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 1-1: Estimated costs for the pelagic productivity monitor. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety planning,<br />

regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 7,000<br />

Field Data Collection Sr. Biologist $ 850 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 $ 11,900<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $ 24,000<br />

Technicien 2 $ 300 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $ 12,000<br />

Data Entry Technicien 1 $ 300 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $ 6,000<br />

Data Analysis Sr. Biologist $ 850 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 9,350<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 9 5 6 6 5 6 5 5 6 5 $ 34,800<br />

Reporting Sr. Biologist $ 850 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 $ 11,900<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 $ 37,800<br />

Technicien 1 $ 500 14 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 43,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ 1,390 $ 903 $ 1,018 $ 933 $ 903 $ 1,018 $ 903 $ 903 $ 1,018 $ 903 $ 9,888<br />

Total Labour $ 29,190 $ 18,953 $ 21,368 $ 19,583 $ 18,953 $ 21,368 $ 18,953 $ 18,953 $ 21,368 $ 18,953 $ 207,638<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000 $ 4,500<br />

Boat Rental $ 250 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $ 10,000<br />

Chlorophyll a $ 25 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 $ 3,000<br />

Nutrients $ 65 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 $ 7,800<br />

Phytoplankton $ 165 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 4,950<br />

Zooplankton $ 50 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 1,500<br />

14<br />

C (per sample) $ 150<br />

60 60 60 $ 27,000<br />

sample vials $ 5 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 $ 1,500<br />

Report reproduction $ 200 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 2,000<br />

Total Expenses $ 3,525 $ 3,525 $ 12,525 $ 3,525 $ 3,525 $ 12,525 $ 3,525 $ 3,525 $ 12,525 $ 3,525 $ 62,250<br />

Program Total $ 32,715 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 23,108 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 22,478 $ 22,478 $ 33,893 $ 22,478 $ 269,888<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ 33,368 $ 23,385 $ 35,966 $ 25,011 $ 24,816 $ 38,167 $ 25,819 $ 26,335 $ 40,504 $ 27,399 $ 300,770<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 21<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.7 References<br />

Carlson, R. E. 1980. More implications in the chlorophyll-Secchi disk relationship.<br />

Limnol. Oceanogr. 25:378-382. (Cited in Wetzel 2001)<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 p + App.<br />

McCauley, E. 1984. The estimation of the abundance and biomass of zooplankton in<br />

samples. In: Downing, J.D. and F. H. Rigler (eds). 1984. A Manual on Methods<br />

for the Assessment of Secondary Productivity in Fresh <strong>Water</strong>s – 2nd ed.,<br />

Blackwell Scientific Publications.<br />

Strickland, J. D. H. 1960. Measuring the Production of marine phytoplankton. Bull. J.<br />

Fish. Res. Baord Can. 122, 172 p.<br />

Stockner, J. G. and J. Beer. 2004. The limnology of <strong>Stave</strong>/Hayward reservoirs: with a<br />

perspective on carbon production. Prepared for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>s by<br />

Eco-logic Ltd. and University of British Columbia, Institute For Resources,<br />

Environment and Sustainability, Vancouver. 33 p. + App.<br />

Utermohl, H. 1958. Zur Vervollkommnung der quantitativen Phytoplankton methodik.<br />

Int. Verein. Limnol. Mitteilungen No. 9. (Cited in Stockner and Beer 2004)<br />

Vollenweider, R, A. 1975. Input-outout models, with special refernce to the phosphorus<br />

loading concept in limnology. Schweiz. Z. <strong>Hydro</strong>l. 37:53-84. (Cited in Wetzel<br />

2001)<br />

Wetzel, R. G. 2001. Limnology: Lake and <strong>River</strong> Ecosystems 3 rd Edition. Academic<br />

Press. New York. 1006 p.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 22


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

2. Littoral Productivity Assessment<br />

During the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> process, the consultative committee (CC)<br />

identified the need to study the effects of water level fluctuation on the littoral zone<br />

productivity of Hayward and <strong>Stave</strong> reservoirs. This requirement arose largely from<br />

concerns raised by fisheries interests that the littoral zone in <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir may have<br />

been seriously damaged by water level fluctuations. It was further hypothesised that the<br />

loss of a fully functional littoral zone could have significantly impacted the overall<br />

biological (carbon) production of the ecosystem. These concerns however, were not<br />

based on actual measures of impact. From site visits and comparisons to unaltered lake<br />

systems, it was clear that the water level fluctuations in <strong>Stave</strong> Reservoir have had a<br />

serious impact on littoral productivity. However, the full extent and nature of the impact<br />

remains to be quantified. Also uncertain was how this loss/gain relates to productivity<br />

levels of the system as a whole (i.e., to what extent does littoral productive contribute to<br />

overall system productivity?).<br />

In an attempt to account for this potential loss in system productivity for trade-off<br />

analysis purposes, a performance measure was developed that estimates the areal<br />

extent of ‘potentially productive’ littoral habitat. The measure, termed the ‘Effective<br />

Littoral Zone’ or ELZ, quantifies the area of aquatic shoreline habitat that receives<br />

adequate light to promote photosynthetic activity and remains wetted for specified<br />

occurrence frequencies. A description of how the measure is calculated can be found in<br />

Appendix 2 of the consultative committee report (Failing 1999). Although the ELZ<br />

performance measure was used during the development of the WUP, its accuracy as a<br />

measure of productive littoral habitat remains untested.<br />

The <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> generation complex provides a unique opportunity to test the<br />

utility of ELZ measure. The complex consists of three reservoirs, two of which have<br />

highly variable water levels, while the other is kept relatively stable. The contrast in<br />

operation between reservoirs allows one to compare ELZ predictions with empirical data<br />

collected under differing degrees of reservoir stability. The loss of the littoral zone was<br />

deemed to be an extremely important issue by the CC. However, decisions made about<br />

reservoir operations in the WUP were based on an untested measure of this loss. As a<br />

result, a comprehensive study of littoral zone impacts, and the ELZ measure used to<br />

quantify it, was deemed an essential component of the WUP. The results of the study<br />

would be used in future <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> WUPs to clarify the issues surrounding this loss of<br />

littoral zone productivity. It may also lead to the development of a littoral zone<br />

productivity performance measure that could be transferable to other <strong>BC</strong>H facility WUPs.<br />

At the conclusion of the WUP process, the CC reached a consensus to adopt the<br />

Combo 6 operating strategy as the preferred alternative for the next ten years (Failing<br />

1999). One of the reasons the alternative was chosen was because of the expected<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 23


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

benefits in littoral habitat. Because relevance of the ELZ measure was untested, the CC<br />

expressed concern whether the perceived littoral benefit would actually be realised. As<br />

a result, the CC also recommended that a monitor be designed and implemented to<br />

measure changes in littoral zone development following implementation of the Combo 6<br />

operating strategy.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

The consultative committee identified four key management questions that must<br />

be addressed pertaining to the littoral productivity of <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward reservoirs.<br />

These are:<br />

a) What is the current level of littoral productivity in each reservoir, and how does it<br />

vary seasonally and annually as a result of climatic, physical and biological<br />

processes, including the effect of reservoir fluctuation?<br />

This information is required to identify the key determinants that currently<br />

govern/constrain the littoral productivity in each reservoir. Once these<br />

environmental factors have been identified, an assessment can be carried out to<br />

determine whether they are susceptible to change given alternative reservoir<br />

management strategies. Environmental factors that are susceptible to change<br />

are then monitored through time in conjunction with the productivity indicator<br />

variable (in this case primary productivity). This information sets up the<br />

foundation for the next management question.<br />

b) If changes in littoral productivity are detected through time, can they be attributed<br />

to changes in reservoir operations as stipulated in the WUP, or are they the<br />

result of change to some other environmental factor?<br />

This information allows one to determine whether there is a significant, causal<br />

link between reservoir operations and reservoir littoral productivity, and if so,<br />

describe its nature for use in future WUP processes, particularly in the context of<br />

the ELZ performance measure. Implicit in this question is that gains or losses in<br />

primary productivity reflect gains or losses in overall fish production.<br />

c) A performance measure was created during the WUP process so as to predict<br />

potential changes in littoral productivity based on a simple conceptual model.<br />

The Effective Littoral Zone (ELZ) performance measure was used extensively in<br />

the WUP decision making process, but its validity is unknown. Is the ELZ<br />

performance measure accurate and precise, and if not, what other environmental<br />

factors should be included (if any) to improve its reliability?<br />

The ELZ performance measure is purely a conceptual construct at this stage.<br />

Because decisions were made based on the values of this performance<br />

measure, it is imperative that it be validated in terms of its accuracy, precision,<br />

and reliability. Because littoral productivity is affected by reservoir operations<br />

elsewhere in the province, the ELZ tool may prove useful in other WUPs. Its<br />

transferability to other reservoirs should also be investigated.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 24


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

d) To what extent would reservoir operations have to change to 1) illicit a littoral<br />

productivity response, and 2) improve/worsen the current littoral and overall<br />

productivity levels?<br />

e) Does the Combo 6 operating alternative improve reservoir littoral productivity as<br />

was expected in the WUP. Is there anything that can be done to improve the<br />

response, whether it be operations-based or not?<br />

This is a compliance component of the monitor and is designed to assess<br />

whether the expected increase in littoral productivity was realised.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

Measures of littoral productivity in lacustrine environments are difficult, and<br />

therefore costly to obtain directly. As a result, the CC recommended that a weight-ofevidence<br />

approach be used to examine the relationship between littoral productivity and<br />

reservoir operations. This approach relies on a series of impact hypothesis tests to<br />

construct a likely model that describes the causal relationship, should one exist. The<br />

impact hypotheses, expressed here as a set of null hypotheses (i.e., hypotheses of no<br />

difference or correlation), are tested separately for each reservoir and relate to levels of<br />

primary productivity as an indicator of potential fish productivity. The impact hypotheses<br />

are such that they can be grouped to deal with a common issue.<br />

The first set is almost identical to the first five hypotheses identified in the pelagic<br />

monitor, except that they rely on irradiance and chlorophyll data collected in the littoral<br />

zone rather than at pelagic sites. These hypotheses collectively try to identify the extent<br />

to which nutrient concentrations limit the potential maximum level of productivity in the<br />

littoral zone. These tests provide context to the overall analysis, but more importantly<br />

they are an attempt to take into account the confounding role of nutrient limitation on the<br />

outcome and interpretation of the monitor. The impact hypotheses are as follows:<br />

H01: Average reservoir concentration of Total Phosphorus (TP), an indicator of<br />

general availability of phosphorus is not limiting to littoral primary productivity.<br />

[Relies on data collected during the pelagic monitor and assumes that nutrient<br />

concentrations are uniform through out each reservoir]<br />

H02: Relative to the availability of phosphorus as indicated by level of total dissolved<br />

phosphorus (PO4), the average reservoir concentration of nitrate (NO3) is not<br />

limiting to littoral primary productivity. Nitrate is the dominant form of nitrogen<br />

that is directly bio-available to algae and higher plants and is indicative of the<br />

general availability of nitrogen to littoral organisms. [Relies on data collected<br />

during the pelagic monitor and assumes that nutrient concentrations are uniform<br />

through out each reservoir]<br />

H03: <strong>Water</strong> retention time (τw) is not altered by reservoir operations such that it<br />

significantly affects the level of TP as described by Vollenweider’s (1975)<br />

phosphorus loading equations (referred to here as TP(τw)). [Relies on data<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 25


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

collected during the pelagic monitor and assumes that nutrient concentrations<br />

are uniform through out each reservoir]<br />

H04: <strong>Water</strong> temperature, and hence the thermal profile of the reservoir, is not<br />

significantly altered by reservoir operations. [Relies on data collected during the<br />

pelagic monitor and assumes that nutrient concentrations are uniform through<br />

out each reservoir]<br />

H05: Changes in TP as a result of reservoir operations (through changes in τw) are not<br />

sufficient to create a detectable change in littoral algae biomass as measured by<br />

littoral levels of chlorophyll a (CHL). [Relies on data collected during the pelagic<br />

monitor and assumes that nutrient concentrations are uniform through out each<br />

reservoir]<br />

The next suite of hypotheses deals with the general premise that littoral<br />

productivity in clear, low nutrient lakes tends to be much greater than pelagic<br />

productivity, and hence defines the productivity of the system as a whole. Underlying<br />

this premise is the theory that in clear, low nutrient systems, incoming nutrients are<br />

quickly assimilated into the littoral zone before getting a chance to work their way to the<br />

pelagic zone via the littoral food web. Conversely, when turbid conditions exist, the low<br />

light levels inhibit littoral growth and thus allow pelagic productivity to prevail. Similarly,<br />

when eutrophic conditions exist, the ability for the littoral system to sequester nutrients is<br />

overwhelmed, also allowing the pelagic system to flourish. As pelagic productivity<br />

increases, the high biomass reduces light penetration and in turn begins to inhibit<br />

productivity in the littoral zone. This feedback mechanism allows the pelagic zone to<br />

eventually dominate overall lake productivity (Wetzel 1983, Dodds 2003, Liboriussen<br />

and Jeppensen, 2003).<br />

Included in this suite of hypotheses is a test of the premise that nutrient cycling<br />

processes in the littoral zone slows the overall loss of phosphorus (either by outflow or to<br />

hypolimnetic sediments), and therefore, increases overall lake productivity compared to<br />

similar systems without a substantial littoral zone (Wetzel 1983).<br />

During the WUP, it was assumed that the two theories above applied to the<br />

<strong>Stave</strong>-Hayward system, and that the importance of the littoral zone to overall system<br />

productivity was deemed to be very high. The <strong>Stave</strong>–Hayward reservoir system<br />

however, is not a shallow water lake system. Also, the two reservoir systems tend to be<br />

very steep sided, so that the aerial extent of the littoral habitat may not be very large,<br />

even under ideal hydraulic conditions. Because of these two reasons, it is possible that<br />

the assumed theoretical importance of littoral zone productivity may be incorrect for<br />

these two reservoirs.<br />

Fortunately, the <strong>Stave</strong>-Hayward reservoir system does provide a unique<br />

opportunity to test this assumption. The <strong>Stave</strong> Lake reservoir, under present conditions,<br />

has limited littoral development because of the extensive drawdown events that it<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 26


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

experiences. Hayward reservoir on the other hand, tends to be quite stable. If the<br />

assumption is indeed correct, then the following two hypotheses would hold true:<br />

H06: Overall primary production (as measured by 14 C inoculation and/or as inferred<br />

from ash free dry weight data) of <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir is less than that of Hayward<br />

Lake<br />

H07: Pelagic primary production dominates in <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir while littoral production<br />

dominates in Hayward reservoir.<br />

With the new WUP regime, the frequency and extent of drawdown in the <strong>Stave</strong><br />

system is expected to decrease, while that of the Hayward system is likely to increase.<br />

Based on the assumptions that lead to the development of the ELZ performance<br />

measure (Appendix 2 of Failing 1999), these changes are expected to alter the quantity<br />

of littoral habitat suitable for primary production, and hence have an impact on overall<br />

system primary production. The extent with which this may occur, if indeed a response<br />

occurs at all, is uncertain. The test of this premise is the subject of the final set of<br />

hypotheses. It is important to note that in testing these hypotheses, one is also testing<br />

the validity of the ELZ measure. The null hypotheses are:<br />

H08: Stable reservoir levels do not lead to maximum littoral development as measured<br />

by 14 C inoculation and/or inferred from ash free dry weight data.<br />

H09: <strong>Water</strong> level fluctuations that raise the euphotic zone (defined here as the depth at<br />

which photosythetically active radiation (PAR) is 1% that of the water surface)<br />

from lower elevations does not lead to a collapse of littoral primary production (as<br />

measured by 14 C inoculation and/or inferred from ash free dry weight data) that<br />

occurred near the prior 1% PAR depth.<br />

H010: Littoral zone productivity, as measured by 14 C inoculation and/or inferred from<br />

ash free dry weight data, remains unchanged as reservoir water level stability<br />

increases.<br />

H011: Changes in littoral productivity (as measured by 14 C inoculation and/or inferred<br />

from ash free dry weight data) are expressed primarily in terms of changes in<br />

areal extent as defined by upper and lower boundary elevations. Within these<br />

boundaries, primary production does not vary in proportion to accumulated PAR<br />

exposure under wetted conditions [this is the premise that has lead to the<br />

development of the ELZ performance measure].<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

During the WUP process, the perceived loss of littoral habitat in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake<br />

reservoir was deemed to be critical with respect to the overall productive capability of the<br />

system. Among the options explored was a reservoir management strategy that<br />

imposed restrictions on the extent of drawdown in the reservoir so as to partially recover<br />

some of the lost littoral habitat. The modelling exercise however, showed that reservoir<br />

stabilisation options would come at a cost to downstream fish habitat values. As a<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 27


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

result, the option was not explored further because the downstream habitat costs were<br />

deemed too high for what was judged to be an uncertain gain in reservoir productivity.<br />

Furthermore, the final reservoir management strategy accepted by the CC had within it<br />

constraints in downstream releases that inherently created a slightly more stable state in<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> reservoir. The CC agreed to study the consequences of the present WUP, and<br />

hence learn more about the littoral productivity response to water level stability, before<br />

exploring further the concept of imposing reservoir constraints in future WUP processes.<br />

Constraints to reservoir operations, should they be deemed necessary, will come<br />

at a high cost to many other values, including power, downstream habitat, and First<br />

Nations heritage issues. Clearly defining the relative importance of the littoral zone to<br />

over all reservoir productivity, as well as identifying the extent of recovery need to<br />

restore full productivity, will help to identify alternative solutions, whether they be<br />

operational or physical in nature, that are more cost effective.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area will consist on <strong>Stave</strong> Lake and Hayward Lake Reservoirs.<br />

b) Data will be collected at four sites; three on <strong>Stave</strong> Lake reservoir because of<br />

potential spatial differences, and one on Hayward Lake reservoir.<br />

c) The program is to be carried out in two phases, an initial 2-3 year high intensity<br />

sampling program, and a subsequent base level sampling program.<br />

d) The monitor is to continue to the next WUP review period.<br />

e) The monitor will focus of variables associated with measures of littoral primary<br />

productivity, a parameter assumed to be a component of overall reservoir<br />

productivity.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The basic study design is to compare periphyton growth at various reservoir<br />

elevations in <strong>Stave</strong> Reservoir (a highly variable system) with the pattern found in<br />

Hayward Reservoir (a relatively stable system). Growth will be measured by repeatedly<br />

sampling periphyton biomass on artificial substrate. The artificial substrata will be<br />

mounted on cinder blocks that are placed along permanently established transect lines<br />

(Figure 2, Monitor 1) where they will be spaced roughly every 2 m in depth beginning at<br />

the ‘full pool’ elevation to a depth equivalent to the light compensation depth at minimum<br />

operating elevation. Periphyton growth will be characterised by several parameters,<br />

including chlorophyll concentrations, ash-free dry weight estimates of biomass accrual,<br />

14 C primary production, and species composition.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 28


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Samples will be collected along three transects in <strong>Stave</strong> Reservoir, and only one<br />

transect in Hayward Reservoir. <strong>Stave</strong> Reservoir is a large system with high glacial (i.e.<br />

turbid) inflows at its upstream end. As a result, the potential exists that there may be<br />

longitudinal differences in light attenuation rates that in turn could affect the depthrelated,<br />

functional response of periphyton growth. Hayward Lake, on the other hand, is<br />

much smaller, is free of such glacial influences, and would likely experience less<br />

variability.<br />

Each transect will be considered as a single sampling unit. As a result, the<br />

comparisons between transects will only be descriptive in nature. Statistical analyses<br />

will be limited given that replicate samples will not be collected to calculate sample<br />

variance.<br />

As in the pelagic monitor, the littoral zone monitor will be carried out as a twophased<br />

program. The first phase will involve intensive data collection geared towards<br />

addressing hypotheses H01 to H011, but with particular focus on H08 to H011. Littoral<br />

sampling during this phase will done every 5 weeks from April to November and will<br />

involve all variables listed above. The 5-week interval is critical in this monitor, as it is<br />

the maximum time that artificial strata can be left in oligotrophic systems without losing<br />

periphyton growth to grazing or sloughing. As a result, the periphyton accrual data<br />

become accurate indicators of production and when calibrated to 14 C estimates of<br />

production, it can be used as a direct measure of production. One of the key outcomes<br />

of Phase 1 of the monitor will be a numerical model of seasonal littoral productivity<br />

potential based on the founding concepts of the ELZ performance measure. The<br />

likelihood of such an outcome will depend on the extent of between-reservoir<br />

differences, inter-annual variability in reservoir operations and littoral development. Also<br />

a key determinant of the outcome will be the strength of association between operations<br />

and the parameters chosen to define littoral development.<br />

The second phase of the littoral monitor will be far less data intensive and will<br />

focus primarily on annual tests of hypotheses H06, H07 and H010, though anecdotal<br />

observations concerning the other hypothesis will be documented. Phase 2 of the<br />

monitor will rely on the ELZ modelling done in Phase 1 to predict littoral area given the<br />

previous 5 weeks of operation for each reservoir, including a prediction of littoral<br />

productivity. These predictions will in turn be related to measured values of littoral<br />

primary production (from the accrual data) as a test of the littoral zone model (a test of<br />

H010). Results of these annual tests of the ELZ model will be used to refine the model if<br />

necessary and test hypotheses H06 and H07. This annual tracking of hypotheses H06<br />

and H07 will provide important insight into the importance of littoral habitat in coastal<br />

reservoirs, as well as it’s general relationship to reservoir operations.<br />

During Phase 2, all four transects will be sampled every 5 weeks as in Phase 1.<br />

At each transect, periphyton samples will be collected at all sample stations, but only 4<br />

samples will be retained for accrual analysis. The spacing of these samples along the<br />

transect will be such that it captures the spatial trend of maximum productivity as<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 29


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

indicated by the ELZ model and in situ estimates of periphyton accrual. The 4 accrual<br />

samples will be used to estimate littoral productivity using the 14 C-calibration curve<br />

developed in Phase 1. Every three years, a subset of transects will be subject to 14 C<br />

inoculation to re-evaluate, and correct if necessary, the accrual – primary productivity<br />

calibration curve.<br />

It should be noted that data collection for Phase 1 has already been done, and<br />

an initial data report has been prepared (Beer and Stockner 2004). However, QAQC of<br />

the data and hypothesis testing relative to WUP objectives have not been done, nor<br />

have the modelling exercises been started. In addition, none of the 14 C-inoculation work<br />

has been done.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field methods<br />

Periphyton Growth Substrata<br />

Because of the difficulty in uniformly sampling a natural substrata (e.g. sediment<br />

surface, macrophytes, rocks, woody debris, etc.) with adequate replication, the method<br />

of choice to collect periphyton samples will be the use of artificial substrata (e.g.<br />

Plexiglas plates, glass slides, Styrofoam sheets, wooden sticks, etc.). In the present<br />

study, Plexiglas plates will be used. These plates will be attached to concrete blocks<br />

(25-30 kg) placed or dug into the sediment along a transect line that extends from the<br />

‘splash’ zone to 1m below the mean compensation depth (1% light level) of the reservoir<br />

at low pool (see Figure 2-1). The blocks will be placed at depth intervals between 1.5<br />

and 2 m.<br />

The Plexiglas plate will be elevated above the anchor block to permit movement<br />

of water on both sides. The surface of each plate will be scored with fine sandpaper to<br />

create a surface suitable for algae attachment. Plates will also be scored with a<br />

diamond pen into ‘quadrants’ to permit accurate quantitative sampling (see inset, Figure<br />

2-1). A 10 x 10 cm quadrant (100 cm 2 ) usually supplies sufficient periphyton to easily<br />

detect temporal changes in biomass and species composition in most oligotrophic lakes<br />

or reservoirs (Shortreed et al. 1984). To monitor accrual rates, quadrant sizes need not<br />

be as large. For the present study, the accrual quadrants were only 2.5 x 10 cm (25<br />

cm 2 ) in size. Thus, each plate was partitioned into three 100 cm 2 quadrants, each to<br />

sample for species composition, Chlorophyll a and ash free dry weight biomass<br />

estimates, and eight 25 cm 2 quadrants to carry out accrual sampling (see below).<br />

During Phase 1 of the monitor, all quadrants will be sampled (scraped) and<br />

placed into separate sample vials for appropriate analysis. During phase 2 of the<br />

monitor, sampling will be reduced to only one 100 m 2 quadrant, which will be used to<br />

estimate accrual through ash free dry weight analysis. When necessary, a second<br />

quadrant may be scraped for 14 C production estimation (see below).<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 30


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Site Selection and Sampling.<br />

Four transects, one in Hayward and three in <strong>Stave</strong>, that provided sufficient<br />

slope/depth to meet light requirements were first surveyed in January 2000, and blocks<br />

were installed by divers at approximate 1.5-2 m depth intervals in late February (see<br />

Figure 1.1). Samples will be obtained every 6 to 8 weeks except in winter (November to<br />

March) when no samples will be collected. This anchor block/plate method requires<br />

sampling by SCUBA divers for retrieval of plates and replacement after sampling.<br />

Sampling consists of removing the Plexiglas plates from 5 blocks, placing each plate into<br />

a receiving tray that holds 5 plates, and then returning to shore or to vessel with the<br />

plate tray. Accumulated periphyton biomass attached to each plate is then scraped from<br />

quadrants into labelled glass jars. After scraping all quadrants the Plexiglas plate is<br />

returned to the tray and after all 5 have been scraped, plates are returned to their blocks.<br />

The process is repeated for the next set of 5 blocks until all blocks were sampled.<br />

For the purpose of consistency between sampling periods, all quadrants will be<br />

scraped clean, irrespective of whether the samples are used, prior to being returned to<br />

their respective blocks. This will ensure that all plates are similarly seeded at the<br />

beginning of the accrual sampling period.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 31


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Depth<br />

(m) Bench Mark<br />

AFDW<br />

Sp.<br />

Comp.<br />

Chl a<br />

C Accrual<br />

Maximum Reservoir<br />

Elevation<br />

Minimum Reservoir<br />

Elevation<br />

Pressure<br />

Transducer<br />

Figure 2-1: Schematic diagram illustrating the distribution of periphyton sampling<br />

blocks along a transect line to measure the pattern of periphyton growth.<br />

Inset shows the layout of quadrants on the Plexiglas plates on top of each<br />

block.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 32


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.2 Laboratory Methods<br />

Chlorophyll<br />

The periphyton scraped from Quadrant 1 will be filtered through a 47 mm<br />

diameter, 0.45um Millipore HA filter and rinsed twice with double distilled water (DDW).<br />

If periphyton growth is found to be exceptionally heavy, i.e., a predominance of<br />

filamentous green or blue-green algae, then a Whatman GF/F filter will be used instead<br />

of the Millipore filter. The algae-ladened filters will be placed in acetone overnight to<br />

extract the chlorophyll. The resulting solution will then be analysed for chlorophyll<br />

content using a spectrophotometer or Turner © fluorimeter. Chlorophyll concentrations<br />

will be reported on a per-unit area basis, i.e., mg/cm 2 or m 2 . Chlorophyll data will only be<br />

collected during Phase 1 of the monitor.<br />

Ash-free dry weight (biomass)<br />

The periphyton scraped from Quadrant 2 will filtered onto a pre-ashed and<br />

weighed 5.5 cm Whatman GF/F glass fibre filter. After filtration at low vacuum (< 20 cm<br />

Hg), the filters will be folded in half, placed in aluminium weighing dishes and frozen.<br />

The Filters will then be dried in an oven at 105 o C to constant weight, weighed, then<br />

ashed at 500 °C for four hours in a muffle furnace, and then weighed again. Periphyton<br />

biomass will be expressed as a dry weight (DW) and ash-free dry weight (AFDW)<br />

organic content per unit area, i.e., mg/cm 2 or m 2 .<br />

Biomass accrual<br />

The rate of accumulation of organic periphyton biomass or accrual will be<br />

calculated by dividing total organic biomass (AFDW) accumulation by days in the interval<br />

between sampling. Values are then expressed as mg of organic matter·m -2 ·day -1 . For<br />

purposes of comparison, the carbon (C) content of periphyton will be calculated as 50 %<br />

of the organic content (AFDW) in the sample (Stockner and Armstrong 1971). The<br />

accrual rate will be a first approximation of periphyton net production because it does not<br />

account for sloughing or grazing losses during the sampling interval (immersion period).<br />

During phase 1 of the monitor, biomass accrual will be estimated using samples<br />

collected from the 25 cm 2 quadrants. During phase 2 of the monitor however, accrual<br />

will be estimated from a single large sample collected at one of the 100 cm 2 quadrants.<br />

Species composition<br />

Species composition data will only be collected during Phase 1 of the monitor<br />

and will consist of two types of analyses; that of the biofilm community and of the<br />

attached algae community.<br />

Biofilm<br />

The ‘Biofilm’ community is mostly microbial (e.g. bacteria, picoplankters,<br />

flagellates, ciliates and fungi) and constitutes the first successional sere of the<br />

periphyton community in both lakes and streams. A homogeneous 10 ml sub-sample of<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 33


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

the periphyton from Quadrant 3 will be taken before any preservative is added to the jar,<br />

and placed in a clean, glass scintillation vial. A drop or two of gluteraldehyde or dilute<br />

(4%) formaldehyde will be added to the vial and then labelled and refrigerated. Analyses<br />

of abundance of the various components of this microbial assemblage will be done first<br />

with standard microscopy at low power (200-400x) and then continued with<br />

epifluorescence microscopy. The epifluorescence microscopy technique will require a<br />

small aliquot of the sub-sample be stained with DAPI or an equivalent fluorochrome stain<br />

(Klut et. al.1989).<br />

Attached algae<br />

A few drops of acidic, Lugol's acetate preservative will be added to the remainder<br />

of the Quadrant 3 sample to preserve the periphyton biomass for microscopic analysis.<br />

The contents of the jar will be gently shaken to loosen any clumps and then allowed to<br />

settle for about 10-15 seconds, allowing some of the heavier sand/silt particles to settle<br />

from the sample. Using a wide-mouth syringe, a 2 ml sub-sample of the periphyton will<br />

be placed on a clean glass slide or depression slide for microscopic examination at low<br />

power (100-400x) magnification. If the periphyton is extremely dense, a 1 ml subsample<br />

will be placed in a 10 cc settling chamber with 9 ml of DDW added, and then<br />

examined using an inverted plankton microscope. The initial microscopic examination<br />

will be either a qualitative scan that provides information on relative abundance of major<br />

algal groups, or, by using a counting grid, a quantitative count of actual abundance of<br />

major groups. Attached siliceous diatoms are often the dominant algal assemblage in<br />

the littoral zone of oligotrophic lakes and reservoirs (also in streams), and their density is<br />

easily quantified by counts made from permanent Hyrax © slide mounts made after acid<br />

treatment of the sample (Stockner and Armstrong 1972).<br />

Primary production<br />

Primary production will be measured directly by the carbon 14 ( 14 C) method,<br />

where 14 C is inoculated into small vials with freshly scraped periphyton samples from a<br />

sample plate and incubated in situ. After a two to four-hour incubation period at the<br />

depth of the sampled plate, the contents of the vial are filtered and treated using the<br />

same protocol as described for pelagic primary production rates (Stockner and<br />

Shortreed 1985, Wetzel and Likens 1991). It should be stressed that only licensed<br />

practitioners can purchase the radioactive 14 C product needed for the inoculation<br />

procedure. As well, samplers that perform the inoculations must be certified to handle<br />

low level radioactive materials.<br />

Primary production will only be done during phase 2 of the monitor where two<br />

randomly selected blocks will be subject to the 14 C-inoculation process. Every year, 16<br />

14<br />

C based production estimates will be collected, the purpose of which is to properly<br />

calibrate the AFDW-based production estimates.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 34


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.3 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Of particular concern is the use of divers, who<br />

should be professionally trained, and must follow WCB requirements for dive safety.<br />

Also of concern are the safety protocols surrounding the transport and use of low level<br />

radioactive materials. Only licensed practitioners can purchase the radioactive 14 C<br />

product needed for the inoculation procedure. As well, samplers that perform the<br />

inoculations must be appropriately certified to handle and transport low level radioactive<br />

materials.<br />

2.3.4 Data Analysis<br />

Phase 1<br />

All data will be entered into Excel spreadsheets for analysis and presentation.<br />

Physical and chemical attribute data from littoral area of each reservoir will be<br />

summarised using descriptive statistics and analysed for annual trends. The data will<br />

also be used to test hypotheses H01 to H05 based on published criterion and trophic<br />

level relationships. Between-transect and between-reservoir comparisons will only be<br />

descriptive in nature, as there are no replicates to estimate sample variance for<br />

statistical testing.<br />

The irradiance and water level data will be used in interative, non-linear, least<br />

squares modelling procedure to develop relationships with periphyton biomass,<br />

chlorophyll a concentration, accrual rates and 14 C estimates of production. The<br />

modelling procedure will be based on the founding concepts of the ELZ performance<br />

measure using in the WUP, though the form of the equations tested will depend on the<br />

nature of the data. The modelling exercise will begin by developing transect-specific<br />

model coefficients, which will then be compared and analysed in preparation for a more<br />

general model. The anticipated result of this exercise is a predictive model of littoral<br />

development that correlates well to measures of littoral primary productivity. Successful<br />

development of such a model will add credence to the ELZ performance measure and<br />

are tests of hypotheses H010 and H011. The development process of the model will lead<br />

to tests of H08, H09, and H011.<br />

Analysis of the species community data will proceed by first, categorising all<br />

species as being either early, mid and late succession species. Where there are<br />

consistent species groupings, they will be categorised as being one of many community<br />

types. These category types will then be related to the age and/or stability (defined by<br />

variance in irradiance and water level) of the sampling plates from which they were<br />

collected. Correlations, if found, will be used to develop an inference model of<br />

community structure that can used as part of the ELZ model to enhance the breadth of<br />

predictive capability.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 35


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Where necessary, assumptions of linearity, normality, homoscedasticity,<br />

independence and randomness will be assessed prior to proceeding with analyses to<br />

ensure that statistical test are being used appropriately.<br />

Phase 2<br />

Data analysis in Phase 2 will consist of two parts. The first set of analyses will be<br />

to compare annual predictions of 14 C based primary production made by the ELZ model<br />

with those collected in the field. The comparison will provide and indication of the<br />

model’s validity and utility as well as provide a means to annually refine the model’s<br />

predictive power with new data. The analysis and modelling exercise will employ the<br />

same analytical tools as used in Phase 1 of the monitor.<br />

Primary productivity estimates based on 14 C inoculation will be analysed for<br />

trends with the accrual information. This analysis will lead to the development of a<br />

calibration curve that will best predict primary production from the AFDW accrual data.<br />

The littoral estimates of primary production (accrual based) will then be combined with<br />

pelagic values to estimate overall productivity of each reservoir as per Wetzel (2001).<br />

The data collected during this phase of the monitor will provide the first indication of how<br />

the tests of H06 and H07 will likely turn out.<br />

The other component of the analysis will be to annually track the ratio of littoral to<br />

pelagic primary productivity in each reservoir, and hence test hypotheses H06 and H07 in<br />

a repeated measure framework. The test will be carried out each year of the monitor so<br />

as to track the likelihood of change over time.<br />

As in Phase 1, assumptions of linearity, normality, homoscedasticity,<br />

independence and randomness will be assessed prior to proceeding with analyses to<br />

ensure that statistical test are being used appropriately.<br />

2.3.5 Reporting<br />

At the end of each year of the first phase of the monitor, a data summary will be<br />

prepared that document the year’s findings. At the conclusion of the Phase 1, two<br />

reports will be prepared, the first of which summarises the data collected to date. The<br />

second report will present and discuss the results of all hypothesis tests, as well as<br />

present conceptual and numerical models of littoral primary productivity. Both reports<br />

will be submitted to the Management Committee for review before being finalised for<br />

general release.<br />

During Phase 2 of the monitor, annual data reports will be prepared that<br />

summarise the year’s findings, including a discussion of the year’s data relative those<br />

collected in previous years and the likelihood of an increasing or decreasing trend.<br />

Unlike Phase 1, the Management Committee will review all annual reports before being<br />

finalised for general release.<br />

At the conclusion of the monitor, a comprehensive report will be prepared from<br />

the Phase 1 reports and all of the annual data reports that:<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 36


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods of data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Like the annual data reports, the Management Committee will review a draft of the final<br />

report prior to its general release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

At the conclusion of the monitor, valuable insight will have been gained regarding<br />

the workings of reservoir limnology and primary ecology. An anticipated result of this<br />

new knowledge is an ELZ model capable of predicting the direction and possibly the<br />

magnitude of change in littoral development in response to changes in reservoir<br />

operations. The development of such a model would validate the use of the ELZ<br />

performance measure during the WUP, and would likely replace it in future WUP<br />

proceedings.<br />

It is unlikely the results of the monitor will lead to changes in reservoir operations<br />

prior to the next WUP review. However, the monitor will likely lead to more informed<br />

decision-making at the next WUP process.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

As was noted in Section 2.2, a significant portion of the data collection for Phase<br />

1 of the monitor was been completed. However, some parts of Phase 1 have yet to be<br />

completed, including final QAQC of the data, WUP based hypothesis testing, modelling,<br />

and final report writing. As well, the 14 C based measures of productivity have not been<br />

done. A significant portion of Year 1 will be dedicated to fulfilling all Phase 1 objectives<br />

and associated tasks of the monitor.<br />

Year 1 of the monitor will also see the beginning of Phase 2 of the monitor,<br />

including the start of the three-year cycle of 14 C data collection. The second phase of<br />

the monitor will continue till the next WUP review process, a period expected to last at<br />

least 10 years.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the 10-year littoral productivity monitor is estimated to be<br />

$518,800 in 2004 dollars. When adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total program cost<br />

is expected to be closer to $577,300. The total program cost includes the cost of<br />

completing Phase 1, estimated to be $22,300 because of the volume of the data (3<br />

years of intensive sampling) collected that is to be subjected to analysis, modelling, and<br />

subsequent reporting. The cost also covers that of highly specialised and licensed<br />

experts needed to administer the 14 C inoculations, as well as to oversee the data<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 37


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

analysis component of the monitor, and to help with model development and the<br />

interpretation of results.<br />

Phase 2 of the monitor cycles in cost between $47,800 and $52,500 every 3<br />

years to include expert review of the 14 C sampling protocol. The average annual cost of<br />

Phase 2 of the monitor is anticipated to be $49,700 in 2004 dollars (excluding the cost of<br />

completing Phase 1 of the monitor). This is in line with the $45,000 cost estimate<br />

reported in the CC report (Failing 1999), particularly if it is adjusted to account for<br />

inflation since 1999. A summary breakdown of the labour costs and expenses involved<br />

is provided in Table 2-1.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 38


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 2-1: Estimated costs for the littoral productivity monitor. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety planning,<br />

regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $ 14,000<br />

(includes dismantle & storage) Project Biologist $ 600 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 6,000<br />

Technicien $ 300 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $ 12,000<br />

Field Data Collection Sr. Biologist $ 850 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 $ 11,900<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 48,000<br />

Technicien 1 / Tender $ 350 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 28,000<br />

Diver 1 $ 600 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 48,000<br />

Diver 2 $ 600 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 48,000<br />

Data Entry Technicien 1 $ 300 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $ 6,900<br />

Data Analysis Sr. Biologist $ 850 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 9,350<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 16 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 5 6 $ 38,400<br />

Reporting Sr. Biologist $ 850 4 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 $ 13,600<br />

Project Biologist $ 600 16 6 6 8 6 6 8 6 6 8 $ 45,600<br />

Technicien 1 $ 500 24 8 8 10 8 8 10 8 8 10 $ 51,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ 2,995 $ 1,708 $ 1,708 $ 1,933 $ 1,708 $ 1,708 $ 1,933 $ 1,708 $ 1,708 $ 1,933 $ 19,038<br />

Total Labour $ 62,895 $ 35,858 $ 35,858 $ 40,583 $ 35,858 $ 35,858 $ 40,583 $ 35,858 $ 35,858 $ 40,583 $ 399,788<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 4000 $ 18,000<br />

Boat Rental $ 250 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 $ 20,000<br />

AFDW (per sample) $ 10 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 350 $ 35,000<br />

14<br />

C (per sample) $ 150 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 $ 24,000<br />

Sample Plates/Vials $ 2,000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 20,000<br />

Report reproduction $ 200 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 2,000<br />

Total Expenses $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 11,900 $ 119,000<br />

Program Total $ 74,795 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 47,758 $ 47,758 $ 52,483 $ 518,788<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ 76,290 $ 49,686 $ 50,680 $ 56,808 $ 52,727 $ 53,782 $ 60,285 $ 55,955 $ 57,074 $ 63,975 $ 577,260<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 39<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.7 References<br />

Dodds, W. K. 2003. The role of periphyton in phosphorus retention in shallow<br />

freshwater aquatic systems. Journal of Phycology. 39:840-849.<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

Klut, M.E., J.G. Stockner, and T. Bisalputra. 1989. Further use of fluorochrome in the<br />

cytochemical characterization of phytoplankton. Histochem. J. 21: 645-50.<br />

Liboriussen, L. and E. Jeppensen. 2003. Temporal dynamics in epipelic, pelagic, and<br />

epiphytic algal production in a clear and turbid shallow lake. J. Freshwater<br />

Biology. 48(3):418-431<br />

Shortreed, K.S., A.C. Costella, and J.G. Stockner. 1984. Periphyton biomass and<br />

species composition in 21 British Columbia lakes: seasonal abundance and<br />

response to whole-lake nutrient additions. Can. J. Bot. 62: 1022-1031.<br />

Stockner, J.G. and F.A.J. Armstrong 1971. Periphyton of the experimental lakes Area,<br />

Northwestern Ontario. J. Fish. Res. Bd. Canada 28: 215-29.<br />

Stockner, J.G., and K.S. Shortreed. 1985. Whole-lake fertilization experiments in coastal<br />

British Columbia: empirical relationships between nutrient inputs and<br />

phytoplankton biomass and production. C. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 42: 649-58.<br />

Stockner, J. G. and J. Beer. 2004. The limnology of <strong>Stave</strong>/Hayward reservoirs: with a<br />

perspective on carbon production. Prepared for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>s by<br />

Eco-logic Ltd. and University of British Columbia, Institute For Resources,<br />

Environment and Sustainability, Vancouver. 33 pp. + App.<br />

Vollenweider, R, A. 1975. Input-outout models, with special refernce to the phosphorus<br />

loading concept in limnology. Schweiz. Z. <strong>Hydro</strong>l. 37:53-84. (Cited in Wetzel<br />

2001)<br />

Wetzel, R. G. and G. E. Likens. 1991. Limnological Analyses. 3 rd Edition. Springer-<br />

Verlag, New York. 391 pp.<br />

Wetzel, R.G. 1983. Limnology 2 nd ed. W.B. Saunders Co. Philadelphia, Pa. 860 pp.<br />

Wetzel, R.G. 2001. Limnology. Lake and <strong>River</strong> Ecosystems, Third Edition. Academic<br />

Press. San Diego. 1006 pp.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 40


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

3. Fish Biomass Assessment<br />

Early in the WUP process, the consultative committee (CC) identified the need to<br />

improve the fish production of <strong>Stave</strong> and Hayward Lake reservoirs as a key objective of<br />

the process. The capability to measure fish production under current conditions, as well<br />

as the ability to forecast productivity changes as a result of changes in reservoir<br />

operations, was beyond the scope of the WUP project. As a result, indicator variables<br />

had to be used instead for decision-making purposes. <strong>Use</strong> of these indicators, in this<br />

case the effective littoral zone (ELZ) and carbon-based productivity performance<br />

measures (PMs), required that they be directly related to measures of fish productivity or<br />

fish biomass. The causal relationship however, could not be verified at the time of the<br />

WUP and therefore, had to be assumed when the PMs. The CC recognised that there<br />

was considerable uncertainty in this assumed relationship. So when the CC reached<br />

consensus to accept Combo 6 as the preferred WUP operating strategy, they<br />

recommended that a monitoring program be implemented to verify the assumed<br />

correlation between the PMs used for decision–making and empirical measures of fish<br />

biomass (Failing 1999).<br />

Based on the PM modelling results, the Combo 6 operating strategy is expected<br />

to increase in fish biomass as a result of increased littoral productivity (as measured by<br />

the ELZ PM) due to greater stability in reservoir water levels (Failing 1999). This monitor<br />

is designed to test the likelihood that this increase in overall fish biomass does indeed<br />

occur.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

An overall increase in fish biomass was one of the key motivations of the CC to<br />

select operational alternatives that tend to add some degree of stability to reservoir<br />

water levels. Fish biomass however, could not be measured at the time of the WUP<br />

process, nor could it be modelled with certainty. To proceed with the WUP, the CC<br />

assumed that there was a causal relationship between littoral and pelagic productivity,<br />

as indicated by performance measures of primary productivity, and fish biomass.<br />

Though such a relationship is theoretically sound the extent with which fish populations<br />

respond to incremental changes in littoral or pelagic development is unknown. Initially,<br />

the CC explored strategies that explicitly constrain the reservoir to minimise fluctuation.<br />

However, because of this uncertainty in fish response to changes in productivity PM, as<br />

well as the high costs of such strategies, the CC decided to abandon pursuit of<br />

strategies that actively constrain the reservoir until further information is gathered.<br />

Nevertheless, the CC continued to use the assumed relationship in their decisionmaking<br />

processes, which in part lead to the consensus decision to adopt Combo 6 as<br />

the preferred operation. The Combo 6 strategy provided the greatest degree of <strong>Stave</strong><br />

reservoir stability without necessarily imposing reservoir constraints (i.e., the stability<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 41


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

arose through constraints linked to <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> fish benefits. The uncertainty in the fish<br />

biomass - productivity relationship lead to the following management questions:<br />

a) Is the relationship between fish production and littoral production such that the<br />

expected increase in littoral productivity as a result of the Combo 6 operating<br />

strategy leads to a measurable increase in fish biomass?<br />

b) By what extent does littoral productivity have to change in order to elicit a fish<br />

biomass response?<br />

The management questions above assume that pelagic production does not<br />

change with the implementation of Combo 6 operations and therefore does not<br />

contribute to increases in fish biomass. As indicated in the pelagic monitor, there is<br />

uncertainty as to whether this is the case. Evaluation of the management question<br />

should also include tests with indicators of pelagic productivity. This is reflected in the<br />

statement of impact hypotheses, as well as in the description of methods.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

There are two null hypothesis that are being tested with this monitor:<br />

H01: Overall fish biomass in <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir does not change over time following<br />

implementation of Combo 6 WUP operations.<br />

If the Combo 6 operation does indeed increase littoral productivity in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake<br />

reservoir as expected by the CC, the corresponding fish biomass response will<br />

be gradual if it exists and may take several years to fully manifest. This is in<br />

response to the time it takes for this increased littoral productivity to work its way<br />

through the various trophic levels of the food web, as well as through all the<br />

different age classes of all fish species. If the increase in littoral productivity is<br />

persistent every year, and fish mortality remains the same, a new plateau in<br />

annual fish biomass will be reached.<br />

H02: Between-year differences in species and cohort-specific fish biomass estimates<br />

are not correlated to indicators of littoral and pelagic primary productivity<br />

following the implementation of Combo 6 WUP operations.<br />

Test of this hypothesis will assess the likelihood that a direct link exists between<br />

fish biomass and indicators of pelagic and littoral productivity. This is a key<br />

assumption adopted by the CC to evaluate the reservoir benefits of various<br />

operating strategies of during the WUP process. The species and cohorts of<br />

interest will be those that are detectable by the hydro acoustic equipment during<br />

the initial survey period. Choice of productivity indicators will depend on the<br />

outcome of the pelagic and littoral monitors.<br />

Given the inter annual variability in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake reservoir hydrology, it is unlikely<br />

the degree of reservoir stability will be the same each year, and therefore neither would<br />

the extent of littoral and pelagic production. These inter-annual differences in<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 42


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

productivity could have a direct consequence on the year’s abundance and/or size data<br />

of specific cohorts. Where as H01 examines the integrated effects of operations on fish<br />

biomass over time, H02 examines the direct impact of operations on the year’s fish<br />

cohorts, particularly during the summer growing season. Together, they provide the<br />

information necessary to address the management questions in the preceding section.<br />

It is important to note that fish biomass (kg·m -2 ) is not a measure of fish<br />

production. Rather it is an instantaneous measure of net fish production (kg·m -2 ·yr -1 ),<br />

which is defined as the gross production of new fish matter minus the losses due to<br />

respiration, excretion, secretion, death and predation (includes fishing and entrainment<br />

losses). In addition, the response of the biomass measure will likely be gradual over<br />

time as the impact of increased productivity works its way through the food web and<br />

through the full multi-year life cycle of different fish species.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

The importance attached to the issue of reservoir stabilisation by the CC was in<br />

part driven by the belief that it would result in increased fish production, and hence<br />

overall fish biomass, because of the increased littoral zone productivity it would bring. If<br />

the linkage between reservoir stabilisation and fish biomass is indeed confirmed, it would<br />

lead to a greater emphasis by the CC on trying to achieve a more stable reservoir<br />

operation, though the extent to which that would occur would be limited due to the high<br />

costs associated with it. Conversely, if the linkage were would to be weak, emphasis on<br />

reservoir stabilisation goals would lessen, and therefore may lead to a relaxation of fishbased<br />

reservoir constraints.<br />

The high cost of reservoir stabilisation would likely spawn innovative, alternative<br />

solutions to the issue. Examples may include the use of artificial reefs to increase the<br />

surface area that attached algae and other plants can bond to within the ELZ, or the<br />

introduction of slow release fertiliser in increase its production potential. Results of the<br />

monitor would help in defining the magnitude and scope of such initiatives.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area will consist only of <strong>Stave</strong> Lake Reservoir<br />

b) Biomass estimates are to be collected annually at a standardised time of year.<br />

c) The monitor is to continue to until the next WUP review period (10 years).<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 43


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

Fish biomass estimation will rely on hydro-acoustic survey data collected<br />

annually at a standardised time of the year. Reservoir elevation should also be similar<br />

so that sampling conditions are consistent between years. Each year, the biomass<br />

estimate and corresponding error values will be plotted with previous year’s data. Trend<br />

analysis will be used to determine the likelihood that fish biomass is increasing,<br />

remaining the same, or decreasing.<br />

To help interpret the hydro-acoustic survey data, a fish survey will be carried out<br />

as well. These surveys will only be done every second year and will consist of day and<br />

night trawls, minnow trapping, and gillnetting techniques. One of the outcomes of the<br />

survey is to associate target strength and location data with particular fish sizes and<br />

species. It is also an opportunity to collect fish morphometric data for between-year<br />

comparisons and to test for correlations with littoral and pelagic primary productivity data<br />

collected in Monitors 1 and 2.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field Methods<br />

Field methods will consist of two parts, a hydro acoustic component that collects<br />

fish size and abundance data and a fish survey component that is needed to group the<br />

size and abundance data in to species and size at age categories. The two parts are<br />

described in the sections that follow.<br />

<strong>Hydro</strong> Acoustic Survey<br />

A hydro acoustic survey of <strong>Stave</strong> Lake will be carried out annually at a<br />

standardised time of year, preferably in late summer. In year one of the monitor, the<br />

optimal configuration of sounding equipment, as well as a standardised pattern of<br />

sounding transects, will be developed to standardise the data collection procedure. This<br />

will allow the survey to be replicated in subsequent years and hence minimise the<br />

potential for inter annual sampling error.<br />

<strong>Hydro</strong> acoustic surveys will be done with specially designed echo-sounding<br />

equipment and supporting software, and will involve to use of split beam transducers<br />

and/or transducer rotators to improve sounding accuracy in <strong>Stave</strong> reservoir’s difficult<br />

shoreline and bottom terrain. Surveys will be carried out both at night and during the<br />

day to track potential diel movements (vertical or offshore migration patterns) which may<br />

affect biomass estimation results. The level of sampling effort should not exceed 2 days<br />

for all sampling needs (this excludes travel costs, which may be extensive, since there<br />

are few qualified operators in <strong>BC</strong>). This specified level of effort should be sufficient to<br />

adequately sample the reservoir (B. Sables pers. comm.).<br />

Fish Survey<br />

Fish morphometric data will be needed to help interpret the hydro-acoustic<br />

survey data. Fish capture will involve a number of techniques, including the use of day<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 44


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

and nigh trawling sets (requires the use of a specially equipped boat), and a variety of<br />

gillnet sets. Both day and night time gillnet sets will be done, and will include floating,<br />

sinking, and drifting sets. All sampling will conform to RIC standards (1998) and the<br />

level sampling effort is not to exceed that which can be reasonably accomplished by a<br />

two-person crew over a three-day period. This level of sampling effort should be<br />

sufficient to meet the needs for interpreting the hydro-acoustic data (B. Sables pers.<br />

comm.)<br />

All fish caught during the survey will be identified to species and measured for<br />

standard length and wet weight. If necessary, fish will be anaesthetised by CO2<br />

saturation prior to measurement. Fish found alive in the traps will be returned to the<br />

reservoir. Dead fish however, will be autopsied in the field for sex, gonadal maturity, and<br />

stomach content information.<br />

2.3.2 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Of particular concern is the night-time operation of<br />

boats in the reservoir, which has few landmarks that are visible at night for navigation.<br />

Also of concern will be boater safety during the fish sampling procedure, as there tends<br />

to be high recreational boat use during the preferred time of sampling. High recreational<br />

use in the reservoir also raises the issue vandalism, which can be prevalent in the area.<br />

2.3.3 Data Analysis<br />

Fish biomass (kg·ha -1 ) will be estimated using standard software designed<br />

specifically for translating hydro-acoustic survey data. The biomass estimate and<br />

corresponding estimate of error will be appended to previous year’s data to be plotted as<br />

a time series. Each year, trend analysis will be carried out determine the likelihood that<br />

biomass is increasing, remaining the same, or decreasing. Results of this analysis will<br />

determine whether hypothesis H01 is to be accepted or rejected. It should be noted that<br />

every second year, interpretation of the hydro-acoustic survey would have to rely on fish<br />

morphometric data collected from the previous year’s survey.<br />

Fish catch and morphometric data will be described using simple descriptive<br />

statistics and summary tables. The primary intent of the analysis will be to support<br />

interpretation of hydro-acoustic survey data. However, because of the nature of the<br />

data, between year comparisons of catch-per-unit-effort and fish morphometry (e.g.,<br />

condition factor) may be possible and should be pursued if the analysis can be done at<br />

little or no additional cost to the overall program.<br />

Correlations between cohort biomass estimates and indicators of pelagic and<br />

littoral productivity will be examined using univariate and multivariate regression<br />

analysis. The possibility of lagged effects (e.g., productivity in year 1 has a consistent<br />

effect in year 3) will be incorporated into the analysis as well. Assumptions of normality,<br />

linearity and homoscedasticity will be verified prior to all statistical testing and if<br />

necessary appropriate data transformations will be carried out.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 45


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.4 Reporting<br />

Each year, a data report will be prepared to summarise the year’s findings,<br />

including the results of between-year trend analyses that determine whether biomass is<br />

increasing, remaining the same, or decreasing over time. Every second year, fish<br />

species composition and morphometric data collected during the year’s fish survey will<br />

also be presented. Prior to general release, a draft of the data report will be submitted to<br />

the Management Committee for review and comment.<br />

At the conclusion of the monitor a comprehensive report will be prepared from all<br />

of the annual data reports to date that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Like the annual data reports, the Management Committee will review and comment on a<br />

draft of the report prior to its general release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

A strong fish biomass response to a slightly more stable reservoir regime will<br />

suggest a strong casual link between the two parameters. Such a response would<br />

support the notion that littoral zone development in <strong>Stave</strong> Lake is an important<br />

component of fish ecology. It will also create the impetus to seek additional reservoir<br />

stability through operational change or if in conflict with other resource values, it will help<br />

define the scope for alternative mitigation options.<br />

Conversely, a negative response would counter our present understanding of the<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> Lake ecology and more importantly, signify that one or more key limiting factors<br />

are being exasperated by the operation change. Such a response would most likely<br />

trigger new studies to uncover these yet unknown limiting factors and may potentially<br />

lead to changes in the reservoir operation strategy during the next WUP.<br />

Finally, A neutral response would be inconclusive regarding the benefits to<br />

overall fish biomass, but would at least signify that fish populations are not negatively<br />

impacted by the change in operation. Such a result would unlikely impact reservoir<br />

operations unless results of the littoral zone monitor suggest otherwise.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

The fish biomass monitor will begin in year 1 following implementation of the<br />

WUP. Also starting in year 1, but only done every second year, is the fish sampling<br />

needed to help interpret the hydro-acoustic survey data. The monitor will be done<br />

annually until the next WUP review process (10 years). An annual report will be<br />

completed at the end of each year for submission to the Management committee for<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 46


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

review. At the conclusion of the monitor, a final report will be prepared that summarises<br />

all of the findings since the program’s inception, and will include a discussion of potential<br />

reservoir impacts if WUP operations are to be changed.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total 10-year cost of the fish biomass monitor is estimated to be $254,300 (in<br />

2004 dollars. When adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total program cost is<br />

expected to be closer to $283,700. The annual cost of the program cycles between<br />

$22,600 and $28,200 very two years, following the bi-annual cycle of fish surveys.<br />

Despite this cycling, the average annual cost of the program is just over $25,000, almost<br />

identical the amount reported in the CC report (Failing 1999) and is below the CC report<br />

projection if adjusted to 2004 dollars. A summary breakdown of the labour costs and<br />

expenses involved is provided in Table 3-1.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 47


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 3-1: Estimated costs for the fish biomass monitor. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety planning,<br />

regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 7,000<br />

<strong>Hydro</strong>acoustic Survey Sr. Biologist $ 700 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 21,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 500 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 15,000<br />

Fish survey Sr. Biologist $ 700 3 3 3 3 3 $ 10,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 500 3 3 3 3 3 $ 7,500<br />

Data Entry Technician 1 $ 500 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $ 10,000<br />

Data Analysis Sr. Biologist $ 700 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 $ 31,500<br />

Reporting Sr. Biologist $ 700 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $ 14,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 500 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $ 20,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ 790 $ 575 $ 790 $ 575 $ 790 $ 575 $ 790 $ 575 $ 790 $ 575 $ 6,825<br />

Total Labour $ 16,590 $ 12,075 $ 16,590 $ 12,075 $ 16,590 $ 12,075 $ 16,590 $ 12,075 $ 16,590 $ 12,075 $ 143,325<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 $ 6,750<br />

Boat Rental $ 350 6 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 $ 15,750<br />

<strong>Hydro</strong> Accoustic rental $ 8,750 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 87,500<br />

Preport reproduction $ 100 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Total Expenses $ 11,625 $ 10,575 $ 11,625 $ 10,575 $ 11,625 $ 10,575 $ 11,625 $ 10,575 $ 11,625 $ 10,575 $ 111,000<br />

Program Total $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 28,215 $ 22,650 $ 254,325<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ 28,778 $ 23,564 $ 29,941 $ 24,516 $ 31,151 $ 25,507 $ 32,409 $ 26,537 $ 33,719 $ 27,609 $ 283,731<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 48<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

4. Limited Block Load as Deterrent to Spawning<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

Since 1980, an number of initiatives have been undertaken to improve the<br />

escapement of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> chum downstream of Ruskin Dam, which in recent years has<br />

experienced a 7-fold increase from it’s 1960-1984 average of just 44,000 individuals.<br />

These initiatives included a hatchery release program to supplement smolt outmigration,<br />

a Fraser <strong>River</strong> exploitation reduction program, and a habitat restoration<br />

program, which more than doubled the area of spawning habitat. In addition to these<br />

activities, a flow regime was implemented <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> that restricted the fluctuation of<br />

downstream water levels during the chum spawning and incubation periods (Bailey<br />

2002). The objective of the regime was to minimise the risk of adult and redd stranding.<br />

These restrictions however, were costly as it removed considerable flexibility in plant<br />

operations to match periods of peak power demand.<br />

During the WUP process, an operating strategy was proposed to take advantage<br />

of the initial test digging behaviour and subsequent egg laying patterns of chum salmon<br />

to minimise the risk of redd stranding, and in turn reintroduce some flexibility in power<br />

generation during the spawning and incubation periods. The underlying premise of the<br />

strategy was to maintain a relatively high base water level during the spawning and<br />

incubation periods such that most of the available spawning habitat was continuously<br />

usable and relatively free from the risk of future stranding during the incubation period.<br />

Hydraulic simulation modelling found that a constant release of 100 m 3 s -1 was sufficient<br />

for this purpose as it allowed most of the spawning habitat to be underwater by at least<br />

10 cm and was sustainable during the spawning and incubation periods in most years.<br />

Above the 100 m 3 s -1 base release, all restrictions to generation were removed, allowing<br />

plant releases to vary as needed to meet power demands and manage the reservoirs.<br />

Because of the contoured banks of the river, the CC accepted the notion that such<br />

variable flows would not severely impact the spawning population. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> hydraulic<br />

modelling showed that the vast majority of the spawning habitat was located below the<br />

100 m 3 s -1 watermark, and field observations indicated that the variability in velocities<br />

would be within tolerance limits of the population. In fact, the CC adopted the view that<br />

variability in flows above 100 m 3 s -1 would in the long run be beneficial to fish production,<br />

the rationale being that pulsed flows would deter chum salmon from spawning in habitats<br />

that are susceptible to dewatering during incubation (Failing 1999). It was believed that<br />

this deterrence effect was achieved by disrupting the spawning process during its initial<br />

test-digging phase. Because chum lay their eggs in ‘batches’ over a period of several<br />

days, even if egg-laying had started, only a fraction of the brood would be impacted.<br />

Studies that support this assertion that peaking flows (in this case flows between<br />

100 m 3 s -1 and 325 m 3 s -1 for periods of 4 or more hours) deter spawning is limited. Only<br />

three publications were found, two of which were carried out on the Columbia <strong>River</strong><br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 49


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

(Bauersfeld 1978, and Chapman et al. 1986), and the other in New Zealand (Hawke<br />

1978). These studies however, were only concerned with Chinook salmon. Whether<br />

these results could be extended to other pacific salmonids was unknown. For WUP<br />

purposes however, it was assumed that this was the case and the concept of ‘partial<br />

peaking’ was adopted as part of the Combo 6 WUP operating strategy recommended by<br />

the CC, provided that a monitor was carried out to verify results.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

The key management question addressed by this monitor is whether the limited<br />

block loading strategy adopted in the WUP is as successful in minimising redd stranding<br />

as was the pre-WUP ‘full’ block loading strategy. Given that the escapement of chum to<br />

the <strong>Stave</strong> system appears to have reached full capacity (Baily 2002), an increase in<br />

average escapement is not expected, largely because of the limiting effects of redd<br />

super-imposition. As a result, a more likely indicator of success would be that average<br />

escapement does not drop over time.<br />

If successful, the question then arises as to whether the range of partial peaking<br />

can be extended by lowering the base flow from the 100 m 3 s -1 without impacting<br />

reproductive success (measured here in terms of escapement). Increasing the range of<br />

daily flow fluctuation would increase operational flexibility and thus potentially increase<br />

power revenue. Conversely, if the trial is found to negatively impact escapement<br />

numbers, the question would be whether the concept of limited block loading should be<br />

continued, or whether some modification should be made to lessen the impact, such as<br />

impose an upper boundary to the daily fluctuations. Though the present monitor is not<br />

necessarily designed to answer these questions, data should be collected in such a<br />

manner that it would give insight during the next WUP process.<br />

Success should not be solely defined by changes in escapement numbers.<br />

There are risks associated with daily fluctuations in water level, and one of the most<br />

important is the loss or persistent relocation of quality spawning habitat. With changes<br />

in flow come changes in local water depth and velocity. Though chum salmon are<br />

capable of spawning over a wide range of depths and velocities (particularly in crowded<br />

conditions), there are limits to what they can tolerate and they will avoid unsuitable<br />

hydraulic conditions if they persist. In considering the limited block load strategy, the CC<br />

assumed that within the range of daily fluctuation, hydraulic conditions in mid-channel<br />

spawning grounds and key gravel bars would remain within tolerance limits. This<br />

however, must be verified, as it was based primarily on anecdotal information. If found<br />

not to be the case, the expected benefits for spawning chum salmon may not be fully<br />

realised. In fact, if the impact is severe, it may affect the spawning capacity of the reach.<br />

Conversely, if the quality and quantity of spawning habitat is found to be stable over the<br />

range of flows, it may be beneficial for future WUPs to explore spawning habitat quality<br />

and quantity at lower flows. As alluded to above, this will provide the information needed<br />

to explore opportunities to expand the range of daily flow fluctuation.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 50


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

It should be noted that there are two other risks associated with daily flow<br />

fluctuations. The first of these is that the limited daily flow fluctuations could potentially<br />

strand adult fish that have yet to spawn and the other is that partial block loading could<br />

strand early emergent fry during the latter part of the incubation period. Both of these<br />

issues are beyond the scope of the present study and are dealt separately in monitors 5<br />

and 6.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

The management questions above lead to the following set of null hypotheses<br />

that can be grouped into two categories; those that deal with aspects associated with a<br />

successful deterrence response in areas with stranding risk, and those that pertain to the<br />

availability and persistence of spawning habitat in non-stranding areas. Collectively,<br />

these hypotheses form a means of testing the success of the limited block loading<br />

strategy through a weight of evidence approach. In the first group, the null hypotheses<br />

are;<br />

H01: Redd density above the 100 m 3 s -1 watermark is the same or greater than below<br />

the 100 m 3 s -1 watermark.<br />

This is a one-tailed test of the redd density hypothesis that requires several years<br />

of data and will take into account annual variability in escapement.<br />

H02: Over several years of testing, there is no correlation between the average<br />

discharge during the spawning period and redd density above the 100 m 3 s -1<br />

watermark.<br />

The ability to cycle water flows during the spawning period will depend on the<br />

hydrology of the system, which can vary considerably form year to year. During<br />

low water years, the ability to cycle flows, or even maintain a 100 m 3 s -1 base, flow<br />

may be limited. The ability to cycle flows may also be limited during high water<br />

years. In moderate water years, the duration of daily high flow periods may vary<br />

considerably from day to day. All of the hydrological condition will be reflected in<br />

the measures of average discharge during the spawning period. This variability<br />

in the duration of daily high flows will have an impact on the ability of the limited<br />

block load strategy to deter spawning activity and provides a unique opportunity<br />

to test its effectiveness from year to year.<br />

H03: The average size of each redd above the 100 m 3 s -1 watermark is the same or<br />

greater than below the 100 m 3 s -1 watermark.<br />

This a one-tailed test of the redd size hypothesis which takes into account that<br />

redds excavated because of test digging would be smaller than those where egg<br />

pockets have been deposited.<br />

H04: Redds located above the 100 m 3 s -1 watermark increase in size over successive<br />

daily cycles in water level.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 51


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Because redd size tends to increase with the number of egg pockets, evidence of<br />

increased redd size over time would suggest that it is being revisited during<br />

successive periods of high flow. The issue of whether it is the same female that<br />

revisits the redd will not be studied in this monitor, though anecdotal observations<br />

will be noted as they arise.<br />

H05: The likelihood that a given redd contains eggs does not increase with redd size<br />

In order to successfully test H03 and H04, a relationship between the likelihood<br />

that a redd contains eggs and its size must be demonstrated. If such a<br />

relationship cannot be shown, then H03 and H04 will have to be restated in terms<br />

of actual egg observations and the inference based on redd size will have to be<br />

abandoned. Each redd will have to be sampled for the presence of egg pockets,<br />

which will increase the cost of the program as well as worsen the chances for<br />

incubation success.<br />

It should be noted that H01 and H02 are alternative tests of the ‘redd density’<br />

hypothesis to account for the possibility that between year variability in hydrology, and<br />

hence variability in the ability for the limited block loading strategy to deter spawning,<br />

may be large. If between year variability is low, then H01 will be a more robust test of the<br />

hypothesis. If variability is high, then H02 will be the better test.<br />

The second group of hypotheses pertains to the availability and persistence of<br />

spawning habitat in non-stranding areas over the 100 to 325 m 3 s -1 range of fluctuating<br />

flows:<br />

H06: Spawning pairs that have begun to excavate redds remain at that location for the<br />

duration of their reproductive cycle, which may last for several water level cycles.<br />

This test will be carried out on data collected throughout the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong><br />

spawning ground and will not be restricted to a specific site.<br />

H07: Local water depth and velocity measurements over spawning substrate remain<br />

within the range of spawning chum salmon tolerances as flows fluctuate between<br />

100 m 3 s -1 and 325 m 3 s -1 .<br />

The final two hypotheses are a general test of the partial block loading strategy in<br />

terms of its success on sustaining or possibly improving annual escapements of chum<br />

salmon. The null hypotheses can be stated as follows:<br />

H08: Chum escapement does not change following introduction of the partial block<br />

loading strategy during the spawning period.<br />

This is a direct test of the limited block load strategy’s impact on escapement.<br />

Escapement data however, tends to be highly variable from year to year (Bailey<br />

2003) and as a result, test of this hypothesis is likely to have very low power. It<br />

will only respond to dramatic changes in escapement, and cannot be relied upon<br />

on its own as an assessment of the operating strategy’s value<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 52


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

H09: Chum escapement is not correlated with corresponding redd stranding risk<br />

performance measure values.<br />

The redd stranding risk performance measure (PM) was developed during the<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> WUP process as a means of tracking the risk of redd stranding for each<br />

year of operation and hence, tracks the downstream effects of limited block<br />

loading. Linking the PM to escapement provides a means of assessing the<br />

importance redd stranding relative to other factors that affect escapement. As<br />

discussed in Section 1.1, many of these factors have been the subject of several<br />

enhancement initiatives, the results of which are likely to remain unchanged for<br />

the near future. Having controlled for these confounding factors, test of this<br />

hypothesis is likely to be reasonably robust (though not necessarily powerful),<br />

and hence provides another direct test of the limited block loading strategy.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

The key water use decision linked to this monitor is whether to continue with the<br />

limited block loading strategy, modify it, or to abandon it if found to be detrimental to<br />

spawning success. The limited block loading strategy has never been applied in <strong>BC</strong>,<br />

and only in a few circumstances throughout the Pacific Northwest. Its success has yet<br />

to be tested. If found successful, the operation can continue on the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> system,<br />

and perhaps be expanded if found not to impact the availability of stable, high quality<br />

spawning habitat. Conversely, if the monitor finds that the reproductive success of chum<br />

salmon has been negatively impacted, then the strategy will have to be modified if<br />

possible or abandoned all together if the impact is deemed too great.<br />

The concept of limited block loading has been considered for use at other<br />

facilities as a means of improving both power revenue and habitat capacity for spawning<br />

salmonids. However, because the strategy remains untested, few of the WUPs<br />

completed to date have adopted it to its fullest potential. If found successful, the concept<br />

of limited block loading could be exported to other WUPs in the future to the benefit of all<br />

stakeholders.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area is restricted to the 1.5 km section of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> located<br />

immediately downstream of Ruskin Dam.<br />

b) Data collection is to occur during the chum-spawning period, which is likely to be<br />

from October 15 to November 30.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 53


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

c) Depending on the component of the monitor, data is to be collected throughout<br />

the study area, or within a clearly defined study site (one of the braided channels)<br />

that is accessible at all flows and has a 200 m minimum channel length.<br />

d) The limited block loading monitor is to be completed in a single chum-spawning<br />

season, though escapement will be monitored for the next ten years.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The fall limited block loading monitor will be carried out in three parts, each<br />

corresponding to the data needs of each suite of hypotheses listed in section 1.3, and<br />

are to be run concurrently during the October 15 to November 30 chum spawning<br />

period. The first part of the monitor is concerned with the distribution of redds and their<br />

state of construction as they pertain to hypotheses H01 to H05. It will consist of weekly<br />

redd counts above and below the 100 m 3 s -1 waterline mark of the study site and a daily<br />

monitor of redd construction above the 100 m 3 s -1 waterline mark. The second part of the<br />

monitor will consist of a hydraulic modelling exercise to quantify the area of unsuitable<br />

depths and velocities as flow ranges from 100 m 3 s -1 to maximum turbine discharge.<br />

Data from this part of the monitor will be used to test hypotheses H06 and H07 and will<br />

pertain to the entire study area. The last part of the monitor will collate the annual<br />

escapement data collected by DFO and test hypotheses H08 and H09. As stated above,<br />

all data collection is to be completed within one spawning season, though escapement<br />

monitoring is continue 10 years till the next WUP review period.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field methods<br />

Redd Counts<br />

Weekly redd counts will be carried out by a three person crew during periods of<br />

low flow. The counts will be done within a designated study site by direct observation,<br />

which may involve snorkel surveys. A redd will be defined as a disturbed area in the<br />

gravel where dark-coloured algae has been removed by digging activity and may also be<br />

distinguished by the presence of a mound and a downstream tailspill area. Counting will<br />

be easiest during the early part of the monitor, but will become increasingly difficult as<br />

redd superimposition becomes more frequent. This is a highly likely occurrence in the<br />

<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> as escapement has exceeded theoretical spawning capability in recent<br />

years (Baily 2003). It may be necessary to abandon the redd counts when the ability to<br />

distinguish individual redds becomes too difficult.<br />

For analytical purposes, redd counts will be classified as either being above or<br />

below the 100 m 3 s -1 waterline mark.<br />

Redd Construction<br />

During each day of the spawning period that experiences a drop in discharge to<br />

the base level of 100 m 3 s -1 , a three-person crew will carry out a shoreline survey of pre-<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 54


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

designated study sites to document the presence of new redds. Each new redd will be<br />

marked by a numbered rock or metal stake at the downstream end of the tailspill. A<br />

plywood protractor (a 50 cm diameter half disk calibrated in 5 degree increments) will<br />

then placed at the marker and used to measure the areal extent of the redd by<br />

measuring the distance and angle at a minimum of 8 points around its circumference.<br />

Measurements of redd size will be repeated daily for a minimum of two weeks as per<br />

Chapman et al. (1986). Redds increasing in size will be assumed to have been<br />

revisited between periods of low flow. However, it will be impossible to determine<br />

whether it was the same pair.<br />

During the early part of the monitor, all redds encountered would be subject to<br />

daily measurements. As the number of redds increase however, only a subset of redds<br />

will be tracked on a daily basis. The number of redds sampled per day will be limited to<br />

the capability of the crew.<br />

Once per week, redds will be sampled for the presence of eggs. Sampling will<br />

be done by small shovel as per Bauersfeld (1978). Redds will be dug until eggs are<br />

encountered, or a sufficient portion of the redd has been excavated to convince the<br />

observer that there are no eggs present. Redds that have been sampled for the<br />

presence of eggs will no longer be subject to daily measurement.<br />

Hydraulic Modelling<br />

A 2 dimensional, finite element hydraulic model of the study area will be<br />

developed from existing topographical data and calibrated using in situ survey data.<br />

Additional survey data will be collected as needed by a two-person crew for a maximum<br />

of 5 days and will consist of depth, velocity and substrate measurements, as well as<br />

UTM co-ordinates for each survey point. Each day of survey will be dedicated to a<br />

different turbine discharge from Ruskin Dam. The distribution of survey points will be at<br />

the discretion of the model developer and will be focused on model calibration and the<br />

resolution of modelling errors. Most of this data can be collected while wadding in the<br />

mainstem during periods of low turbine release and low tide. UTM co-ordinates will be<br />

gathered using standard survey techniques and local survey monuments.<br />

Escapement Counts<br />

Escapement counts will be collated from the data collected by Department of<br />

Fisheries and Oceans crews during their annual escapement surveys of the lower <strong>Stave</strong><br />

<strong>River</strong>.<br />

2.3.2 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Because some sampling is likely occur at night<br />

during winter, a temporary heated shelter/hut will have to be installed within easy reach<br />

of the study site to prevent hypothermia and crew fatigue, both of which are safety<br />

concerns and may potentially impact the quality of data collected. A permanent<br />

presence at the site will also be needed to prevent vandalism during the study. Because<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 55


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

the shelter will be located downstream of the dam, a formal communication protocol will<br />

have to be established with facility operators to warn of operational changes or if<br />

necessary, arrange for evacuation. Finally, an evacuation route will have to be<br />

developed and maintained to ensure that crews are not trapped at the site regardless of<br />

flow conditions.<br />

Depending on the level of crew fatigue, it may be necessary to rotate crews on a<br />

regular basis, particularly if the intensity and duration of survey if very high. This will<br />

ensure crew safety as well as a quality data collection.<br />

2.3.3 Data Analysis<br />

All data will be entered into a common database for storage and subsequent<br />

analysis. With respect to the redd count and redd construction data, hypothesis testing<br />

will rely primarily on parametric statistics such as t-tests, analysis of variance, and Chi<br />

Square analyses as the data type and number of factors dictate. Assumptions of<br />

independence, randomness and normality will be assessed prior to all analyses and<br />

appropriate data transformations will be carried out as necessary to ensure compliance.<br />

The hydraulic simulation model will be developed using the <strong>River</strong> 2D software<br />

package and will adopt standard calibration techniques (Stefler and Blackburn 2002),<br />

including a provision to account for tidal influences on the Fraser <strong>River</strong>. All survey data<br />

will be collected as per <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> standards for this application (see Leake 2004).<br />

Comparison of simulation results for model runs at different turbine releases will be<br />

deterministic in nature, and will include comparisons of those habitats that are lost due to<br />

excessive velocities. Depth and velocity avoidance criterion will be obtained form the<br />

published literature, as well as from data and observations collected during the WUP<br />

process through out <strong>BC</strong>. Final determination of these velocity criteria will be vetted by<br />

the Management Committee in consultation with knowledgeable experts.<br />

Escapement data will be analysed using trend analysis in order to assess the<br />

likelihood that escapement has increased, remained the same, or has declined since<br />

inception of WUP operations. The type of analysis used will depend on the nature of the<br />

data.<br />

2.3.4 Reporting<br />

At the conclusion of the limited block loading monitor, a draft report will be<br />

prepared for submission to the Management Committee that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Once reviewed by Management Committee, a final report will be prepared for general<br />

release.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 56


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

Results of this monitor will have significant impact on the direction of future<br />

WUPs in the watershed. The operational flexibility needed to meet peak power<br />

demands is generally at odds with the need for stable flows during salmonid spawning<br />

and incubation periods to maximise smolt output. The limited block load strategy was<br />

proposed during the WUP as a means of allowing both values to be met simultaneously<br />

at relatively low cost to either value. If results of the hypothesis test validate this<br />

approach, it may be adopted at other facilities where similar conflicts in value occur. A<br />

successful result could also lead to questions of whether the strategy could be better<br />

optimised by exploring various alternative flow treatment strategies. The information<br />

collected in this monitor would allow such explorations to be done by simulation models<br />

at the time of the next WUP process.<br />

If the pattern of hypothesis test results do not support continuation of the limited<br />

block loading strategy, sufficient data will have been collected during the monitor to<br />

explore and model alternative strategies to correct for perceived deficiencies. If these<br />

simulation exercises prove fruitless, the strategy can then be abandoned and the pre-<br />

WUP block loading strategy can be reinstated. This decision however will be subject of<br />

the next WUP.<br />

The hydraulic modelling exercise will provide important insight in terms of the<br />

potential loss of spawning habitat dues to the daily changes in flow. The model will be<br />

able to highlight the extent to which such changes occur, but more importantly, it will<br />

identify their location. This will provide resource managers with the information needed<br />

to re-sculpt channel shape and improve the velocity/depth response. The opportunity for<br />

such mitigative actions has been highlighted in the WUP and its implementation would<br />

likely preserve the value of the strategy at the least long-term cost. The decision to<br />

implement such physical changes to the channel lie with the management committee<br />

and can be started at any time prior to the next WUP process.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

Project logistics and data collection is to begin in the fall (October) of year 1 after<br />

implementation of the WUP. The data analysis, hypothesis testing, modelling and<br />

project reporting are to be completed by the end of year 2. Escapement analysis will<br />

continue annually till the next WUP review period in approximately 10 years<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total 10-year cost of the limited block load monitor is estimated to be<br />

$87,500 (in 2004 dollars). When adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total program<br />

cost is expected to be closer to $92,250. The majority of the work will be done in the<br />

first two years of the program. The first year will be dedicated to collecting data in the<br />

field at a 2004 cost of $44,400 while the second year will be spent completing the data<br />

analysis, modelling and reporting tasks at a cost of $21,400. Both of these costs include<br />

those associated with escapement analysis component, which is to continue until the<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 57


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

end of the monitoring period at an annual cost of $2,750. A summary breakdown of the<br />

labour costs and expenses involved is provided in Table 4-1.<br />

It should be noted that the total cost estimate first two years of the monitor<br />

exceeds that presented in the CC report (Failing 1999) by almost 50%, much more than<br />

that which can be accounted for by adjusting costs to 2004 dollars. This difference in<br />

cost is the result of several changes to the program, mainly:<br />

a) the addition of another crew member for safety reasons,<br />

b) the use of an onsite temporary shelter – again for safety reasons, and<br />

c) an increase in the cost of developing a hydraulic model of the system which<br />

assumed the existence of adequate digital topographical data and turned out not<br />

to be the case.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Bailey, D.D. 2002. Rebuilding the salmon runs to the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong>: A co-operative effort<br />

of harvest reduction, enhancement, habitat restoration and flow control.<br />

American Fisheries Society: International Congress on the Biology of Fish,<br />

Vancouver Can. 2002. p 43 - 51.<br />

Bauersfeld, K. 1978. The effect of daily flow fluctuations on spawning chinook in the<br />

Columbia <strong>River</strong>. Washington Department of Fisheries Technical Report 38.<br />

Chapman, , D.W., D.E. Weitkamp, T.L. Welsh, M.B. Dell, and T.H. Schadt. 1986.<br />

Effects of river flow on the distribution of chinook salmon redds. Transactions of<br />

the American Fisheries Society. 115(4) 537-547.<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

Hawke, S.P. 1978. Stranded redds and quinnat salmon in the Mathias <strong>River</strong>, South<br />

Island, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research<br />

12:167-171.<br />

Leake, A. 2004. Campbell <strong>River</strong> Flow-habitat Modelling with <strong>River</strong> 2D. <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong><br />

<strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> Technical Note WUP-JHT-TN-F03. 15 pp.<br />

Stefler, P. and J. Blackburn. 2002. Introduction to depth averaged modelling and user’s<br />

manual. University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 58


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 4-1: Estimated costs for the Limited block loading monitor. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety planning,<br />

regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700 2 $ 1,400<br />

Sampling Design Senior Biologist $ 700 2 $ 1,400<br />

Redd Counts Project Biologist $ 500 10 $ 5,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300 10 $ 3,000<br />

Technician 2 $ 300 10 $ 3,000<br />

Redd Construction Project Biologist $ 500 14 $ 7,000<br />

(10d overlap with redd counts)Technician 1 $ 300 14 $ 4,200<br />

Technician 2 $ 300 14 $ 4,200<br />

Channel survey Surveyor $ 500 5 $ 2,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300 5 $ 1,500<br />

Escapement<br />

Technician 1 $ 500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 5,000<br />

Data D Entry Project Biologist $ 500<br />

1 $ 500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

2 $ 600<br />

Model Development Analyst $ 700<br />

5 $ 3,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

7 $ 2,100<br />

Data Analysis Analyst $ 700<br />

2 $ 1,400<br />

Project Biologist $ 500<br />

5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 6,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

4 $ 1,200<br />

Reporting Senior Biologist $ 700<br />

2 $ 1,400<br />

Project Biologist $ 500<br />

7 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 15,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

10 $ 3,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ 1,685 $ 1,010 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 125 $ 3,695<br />

Total Labor $ 35,385 $ 21,210 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 2,625 $ 77,595<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Drysuit/Snorkel Gear $ 45 48 $ 2,160<br />

Meals $ 45 72 $ 3,240<br />

Temporary shelter $ 75 24 $ 1,800<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45 4000 $ 1,800<br />

Report reproduction $ 100<br />

2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Total Expenses $ 9,000 $ 200 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 100 $ 10,000<br />

Program Total $ 44,385 $ 21,410 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 2,725 $ 87,595<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ 45,272 $ 22,274 $ 2,891 $ 2,949 $ 3,008 $ 3,068 $ 3,129 $ 3,192 $ 3,256 $ 3,321 $ 92,358<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 59<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

5. Risk of Adult Standing<br />

The limited block loading operating strategy adopted in the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong><br />

<strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> is implemented in two separate seasons, the first of which is the October 15 to<br />

November 30 period defined as the fall limited block loading period (Failing 1999). The<br />

objective behind using this operating strategy in the fall was to limit the stranding of<br />

chum salmon redds by deterring spawning activity in shoreline areas that lie above the<br />

100 m 3 s -1 water level. The underlying premise of this strategy is that daily flow variations<br />

between 100 m 3 s -1 and 325 m 3 s -1 (maximum turbine release), done to match peaking<br />

power demands, disrupt redd excavation such that it forces most spawners into midchannel<br />

areas to complete their spawning activity. <strong>Use</strong> of this strategy however,<br />

assumes that gravid spawners do not remain at their initial redd locations and therefore<br />

put themselves at risk of stranding when water levels recede from 325 m 3 s -1 to 100 m 3 s -<br />

1 . The validity of this assumption however, was not certain and prompted the CC to<br />

recommend a monitor to assess the risk of adult stranding during periods of limited block<br />

loading.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

The success of the limited block loading strategy as a means of improving<br />

operational flexibly without negatively impacting spawning success hinges on a number<br />

of factors, one of which is that it does not result in the stranding of unspawned females.<br />

Significant stranding of gravid spawners could result in considerable egg loss and offset<br />

the potential reproductive gains of the strategy. Low stranding rates of gravid or partially<br />

spawned out females would validate a key assumption of the limited block loading<br />

strategy and thus allow its continued use. If significant stranding of these fish occurs,<br />

the strategy may have to be modified if possible or be abandoned if the impact is<br />

deemed too great. The level of stranding that distinguishes biologically significant<br />

versus non-significant impact is to be determined by Management Committee in<br />

consultation with knowledgeable experts. The management questions are:<br />

a) What is the rate of gravid chum salmon spawning during the limited block loading<br />

operations?<br />

b) Is the level of stranding biologically important?<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

This monitor is designed to test only one null hypothesis:<br />

H01: The proportion of all stranded chum salmon that are gravid or only partially<br />

spawned out is less than a threshold value deemed to indicate significant egg<br />

loss.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 60


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

To successfully test this hypothesis, the Management Committee, in consultation<br />

with knowledgeable experts, will have to define the threshold level of stranding<br />

that distinguishes biologically significant versus non-significant egg loss. The<br />

management committee will also have to define the gonadal egg densities in<br />

stranded females that distinguishes gravid, partially spawned out, and spawn out<br />

individuals.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

Continuation of the limited block loading strategy during the October 15 to<br />

November 30 fall spawning period will depend on the outcome of this monitor as is tests<br />

one of the key assumptions of its effect on chum reproductive success. If the strategy is<br />

found to cause significant egg loss through stranding of gravid or partially spawned out<br />

females, it will either have to be abandoned or modified at the cost of lost operational<br />

flexibility.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area is restricted to the 500m section of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> located<br />

immediately downstream of Ruskin Dam.<br />

b) Data collection should occur during the chum spawning period, which is likely to<br />

be within the October 15 to November 30 timeframe.<br />

c) Stranding assessments are to be once weekly at low tide and if possible, during<br />

periods of low flow to maximise carcass recovery.<br />

d) The adult stranding monitor is to span only one chum-spawning season, unless<br />

hydrological conditions are such that the hypothesis cannot be tested (e.g., too<br />

few peaking events occurred during the spawning period). Un such cases, the<br />

study may have to be suspended till the next year.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

Adult stranding monitor will follow the methods of Chapman et al. (1986) where<br />

weekly carcass counts are done over the course of the spawning period. Implicit with<br />

this methodology is the assumption that all chum stranding is the result of peaking<br />

operations. Female carcasses that are found to be unspawned or partially spawned are<br />

assumed to have been stranded because of their persistence to remain on their redd<br />

despite dropping water levels. Spent female carcasses found on shore are assumed to<br />

have passively washed up there because of water currents while river flows are high.<br />

On most days, this assumption is likely valid as the variability in flows within the study<br />

area is governed primarily by turbine releases. However, ther are exceptions which i<br />

include periods of spill to manage reservoir elevations or when there is a backwater<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 61


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

effect due to high Fraser <strong>River</strong> water levels. The cause of stranding will have to be<br />

carefully tracked in order to ensure that the stranding test is the consequence of peaking<br />

operations.<br />

The general approach to the monitor will be to compare the number of<br />

unspawned and partially spawn female carcasses to the total number of female<br />

carcasses over time and to assess whether it is above a threshold level deemed to be<br />

‘harmful to the population. Definition of this threshold level will have to be set by the<br />

Management Committee in consultation with knowledgeable experts.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field methods<br />

A two-person crew will carry out the weekly chum carcass counts. The counts<br />

will be done at pre-assigned locations throughout the study area, sampling both shallow<br />

and steep shoreline habitats for a total shoreline length that is not to exceed 0.5 km. All<br />

carcasses will be counted and sexed. Female fish will be classified as being spawnedout<br />

(containing less than 300 eggs) or partially spawned out (containing more than 300<br />

eggs). Female carcasses that retain the majority of eggs will be classified as being<br />

unspawned. An estimate of remaining eggs will be noted for all partially spawned out<br />

fish. All carcasses will be chopped in two to prevent recounting in future surveys.<br />

2.3.2 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines.<br />

2.3.3 Data Analysis<br />

Incidence of female adult stranding will be reported as the number of unspawned<br />

and partially spawned out carcasses relative to the total female carcass count. It is<br />

assumed that unspawned and partially spawned-out females are equally likely to<br />

become stranded. Weekly estimates of unspawned or partially spawned female<br />

stranding rate will be correlated to the previous week’s hydrology to determine whether<br />

stranding is directly linked to operations. If found to be linked to peaking operations, the<br />

ratio of unspawned and partially spawned carcasses will then be compared to the<br />

threshold level ratio to determine whether it biologically significant. Where possible,<br />

appropriate statistical tests will be carried out, provided that estimates of sampling error<br />

are possible given the nature of the data.<br />

The criterion that defines biologically significant versus non-significant female<br />

adult stranding is to be set by the Management Committee in consultation with<br />

knowledgeable experts.<br />

2.3.4 Reporting<br />

At the conclusion of the adult standing monitor, a draft report will be prepared for<br />

submission to the Management Committee that:<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 62


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Once reviewed by Management Committee, a final report will be prepared for general<br />

release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

The intent of this monitor is to verify the assumption made by the CC that adult<br />

stranding has not increased by implementing the fall limited block loading operation. Of<br />

principle concern is the stranding of gravid females, which if significant can result in<br />

considerable egg loss. However, because there is no pre-WUP data available, a pre-<br />

WUP comparison is not possible. Whether the observed rate of adult stranding is<br />

significant will have to be determined by the Management Committee in consultation<br />

with knowledgeable experts.<br />

If deemed significant, the fall limited block loading strategy may have to be<br />

modified to minimise the impact or abandoned if no other alternative is possible.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

This monitor will be started in year 2 after implementation of the WUP and is to<br />

be completed within 1 year after all data has been collected. If hydrological conditions<br />

are such that peaking operations are rare, then the study will be postponed and<br />

restarted in the following year.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the adult stranding monitor is estimated at $20,100. The cost<br />

estimate is based on 2004 dollars. When adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total<br />

program cost is expected to be closer to $20,900. A summary of the labour costs and<br />

expenses is provided in Table 5-1. It should be noted that this estimate is almost half of<br />

that presented in the CC report (Failing 1998). The cost difference is the result of a<br />

change in sampling methodology to one that is less intensive, but found to be effective in<br />

other similar studies (Bauersfeld 1978, and Chapman et al. 1986).<br />

2.7 References<br />

Bailey, D.D. 2002. Rebuilding the salmon runs to the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong>: A co-operative effort<br />

of harvest reduction, enhancement, habitat restoration and flow control.<br />

American Fisheries Society: International Congress on the Biology of Fish,<br />

Vancouver Can. 2002. p 43 - 51.<br />

Bauersfeld, K. 1978. The effect of daily flow fluctuations on spawning chinook in the<br />

Columbia <strong>River</strong>. Washington Department of Fisheries Technical Report 38.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 63


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Chapman, , D.W., D.E. Weitkamp, T.L. Welsh, M.B. Dell, and T.H. Schadt. 1986.<br />

Effects of river flow on the distribution of chinook salmon redds. Transactions of<br />

the American Fisheries Society. 115(4) 537-547.<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 64


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 5-1: Estimated costs for the adult stranding monitoring program. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety<br />

planning, regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700<br />

2 $ 1,400<br />

Sampling Design Project Biologist $ 500<br />

1 $ 500<br />

Field Data Collection Project Biologist $ 500<br />

12 $ 6,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 200<br />

12 $ 2,400<br />

Data Entry Technician 1 $ 300<br />

1 $ 300<br />

Data Analysis Project Biologist $ 500<br />

2 $ 1,000<br />

Reporting Project Biologist $ 500<br />

3 $ 1,500<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

6 $ 1,800<br />

Contingency 5% $ - $ 745 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 745<br />

Total Labor $ - $ 15,645 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 15,645<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45<br />

3000 $ 1,350<br />

Boat Rental $ 250<br />

12 $ 3,000<br />

Report reproduction $ 100<br />

1 $ 100<br />

Total Expenses $ - $ 4,450 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 4,450<br />

Program Total $ - $ 20,095 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 20,095<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ - $ 20,906 -$ 1 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 20,905<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 65<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

6. Risk of Fry Stranding<br />

The limited block loading operating strategy adopted in the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong><br />

<strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> is used on two separate occasions, one of which is during the February 15 to<br />

May 15 period defined as the spring limited block loading period. The objective behind<br />

using this operating strategy was to limit the stranding of emerging fry by providing a<br />

100 m 3 s -1 base flow to ensure that all eggs are watered during the post eyed stages of<br />

development, yet provide some operational flexibility to meet peak power demands.<br />

Each day, flows are allowed to cycle up to 325 m 3 s -1 , the maximum turbine discharge<br />

and then back down to the 100 m 3 s -1 base level. This drop back to base flows, however,<br />

can create conditions that lead to the stranding of newly emergent chum fry where the<br />

rate of stranding tends is proportional to the rate of emergence.<br />

The fact that some stranding would occur during the spring block loading period<br />

was deemed to be an acceptable consequence of the strategy by the consultative<br />

committee (CC), provided that it not exceed 1.5% of the total emergent fry population.<br />

This threshold for what has been defined as an acceptable level of stranding was<br />

derived from stranding assessments carried out in 1997 and 1998 (Leake and MacLean<br />

1998). These estimates of stranding mortality were based on operations prior to the<br />

implementation of the WUP. Stranding mortality under WUP conditions could not be<br />

predicted at the time of its development, but for purposes of proceeding with the WUP<br />

process, was assumed to be less than the accepted threshold level. This assumption<br />

was based on the general perception that post WUP flow conditions during emergence<br />

would generally be better than the pre-WUP state. There was however, some<br />

uncertainty as to whether this was indeed the case. As a result, the CC recommended<br />

that the 1997 and 1998 assessments be repeated as a monitor to ensure that stranding<br />

mortality had not increased beyond the accepted 1.5% of total fry emergence.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

The success of the limited block loading strategy as a means of improving<br />

operational flexibly without negatively impacting salmonid reproductive success hinges<br />

on a number of factors, one of which is that it does not result in the stranding of<br />

emergent fry. Significant fry stranding, here defined as stranding mortality that exceeds<br />

1.5% of the total chum fry population as calculated by Leake and MacLean (1998), was<br />

judged by the CC to have an unacceptable impact on chum escapement (Failing 1999).<br />

The acceptance of a spring, limited block loading period in the WUP by the CC was<br />

contingent on a condition that stranding mortality is less than 1.5% of the total chum fry<br />

population. During the WUP process, this was assumed to be the case. The<br />

management question being addressed here is whether this assumption was valid. If<br />

not, then the spring limited block loading period may have to be modified to minimise the<br />

impact, or abandoned if modifications are not possible.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 66


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

This monitor is designed to test only one null hypothesis:<br />

H01: The proportion of stranded chum fry relative to the total population of fry, as<br />

calculated by Leake and MacLean (1998), has not changed from the pre-WUP<br />

level of 1.5%.<br />

This is a one tailed test of the hypothesis. To test this hypothesis on a<br />

comparable footing, the methodology used by Leake and MacLean (1998) will<br />

have to be repeated as it was used to collect the data that formed the basis for<br />

the stranding mortality threshold.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

Continuation of the limited block loading strategy during the February 15 to May<br />

15 (spring) fry emergence period will depend on the outcome of this monitor as is tests<br />

one of the key assumptions of it’s effect on chum reproductive success. If the strategy is<br />

found to cause significant stranding mortality, it will either have to be abandoned or<br />

modified at the cost of lost operational flexibility.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area is restricted to the 1.5 km section of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> located<br />

immediately downstream of Ruskin Dam.<br />

b) Data collection should occur during the fry emergence period, which is likely to<br />

be within the February 15 to May 15 timeframe.<br />

c) Stranding assessments are to be schedule to coincide with low tide<br />

d) The fry-stranding monitor is to be carried out annually for 2 years unless<br />

otherwise directed by the Management Committee.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The general approach to this monitor will be to repeat those parts of the Leake<br />

and MacLean (1998) stranding survey so as to obtain comparable estimates of total fry<br />

strandiing. In their study, fry stranding rates were estimated using a quadrant sampling<br />

procedure on a subset of rampdown events where turbine releases were dropped from<br />

their daily high values to some prescribed base flow. Both day and night time surveys<br />

were carried out to account for possible diel trends. Results of these surveys were then<br />

used in a series of calculations to estimate the number of stranded fry based on<br />

estimates of total dewatered area and the prevailing daily fry population size. The total<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 67


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

number of stranded fry was then compared to the year’s estimate of total fry population<br />

size based on the year’s escapement.<br />

The stranding survey is to be repeated annually, the results of which are to be<br />

compared to the level of acceptable fry stranding set by the CC (1.5%). These annual<br />

assessments will over time lead to a probability distribution of relative annual stranding<br />

rates such that exceedence probabilities can be investigated (i.e., the likelihood that total<br />

fry stranding exceeds a certain value).<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field Methods<br />

As per the Leake and MacLean (1998) study, the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> system will be<br />

divided into four sections, each of which is assigned a set of sampling quadrant<br />

locations. Prior to each survey, a four-person crew will be assigned to each section and<br />

given three, randomly chosen quadrants to sample. The selection of quadrants will be<br />

was such that none are sampled more than once.<br />

Prior to each rampdown event, the crews will be sent out to mark the prevailing<br />

water level at each of the pre-assigned quadrants. At the conclusion of the rampdown<br />

event the crews wait for a minimum of 2 hours before commencing the survey to make<br />

sure that hydraulic conditions downstream of the dam stabilise.<br />

The survey begins at the end of the 2 hr wait period with a clear demarcation of<br />

the sampling quadrant. Given the distance of travelled by the receded water margin, a<br />

quadrant width is chosen to ensure that the quadrant is 50 m 2 in area. Shoreline slope<br />

of the quadrant will also be recorded. Crews then search the quadrant by hand to a<br />

minimum depth of 20 cm for stranded fry. All fry found stranded in the quadrant will be<br />

classified as either alive or dead, and if dead, whether mortality occurred during the<br />

present rampdown event (determined by extent of decay and/or degree of rigour<br />

mortise). Live fry will be immediately returned to watered habitat.<br />

<strong>Water</strong> surface elevation is to be recorded prior to, and following each rampdown<br />

event so as to estimate the total dewatered area (m 2 ) using a 2 dimension hydraulic<br />

model (See Monitor 4). These will be compared to the quadrant-based estimates of<br />

dewatered area so as to verify model accuracy.<br />

As per the Leake and MacLean (1998) study, a total of four assessments will be<br />

carried out; two done at night and the other two during the day. The tidal surveys done<br />

in the Leake and MacLean (1998) study will not be repeated in this monitor.<br />

2.3.2 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Particular attention will have to be made regarding<br />

the night-time operation of boats to ferry crew to and from their respective designated<br />

study sections.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 68


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.3 Data analysis<br />

Data analysis will proceed in two steps. The first will involve calculation of the<br />

stranding mortality, and the other will constitute a test of hypothesis H01.<br />

Stranding mortality<br />

Stranding mortality will be calculated as per the methodology of Leake and<br />

MacLean (1998). Quadrant samples, assumed to be accurate to within 5% of the true<br />

value based on Leake and MacLean (1998) results, will be pooled to calculate a<br />

weighted average fry stranding density (fry·m -2 ) given the different sizes of each study<br />

section. The pooled estimates will also provide a means of estimating between-site<br />

sampling variance<br />

The pooled stranding density value will then be multiplied by an estimate of total<br />

dewatered area (m 2 ), obtained by hydraulic simulation modelling that is calibrated by<br />

site-specific observations. The resulting value will be an estimate of the total number of<br />

stranded fry during the rampdown event. This estimate will then be compared with that<br />

of the total fry population during the event, which is calculated as laid out by Leake and<br />

MacLean (1998). The resulting ratio will then be used to estimate total fry stranding for<br />

each rampdown event during the emergence period. This value will then be reported as<br />

a proportion of the total fry population, along with an estimate of error (based on the<br />

variance of quadrant estimates)<br />

The hypothesis test<br />

Each year, the estimate of overall stranding will be compared to the 1.5 % total<br />

fry population criterion. The comparison will be carried out as a z-test, which will report<br />

the likelihood that the threshold value has been exceeded. This will be done for each<br />

year of the monitor until otherwise stated by the Management Committee. This will<br />

result in a pass/fail sequence that can be used by the Management Committee for<br />

decision making, or by future WUP committees, to assess whether the frequency of<br />

significant annual standing warrant a change to the WUP.<br />

2.3.4 Reporting<br />

Each year, a data report will be prepared that summarises the year’s findings,<br />

including the results of the z-test that determines the likelihood that stranding rate was<br />

beyond the 1.5 % threshold. The year’s data will be appended to the sequence of data<br />

collected in previous years. A draft of the annual report will be will be reviewed by the<br />

Management Committee prior to general release. As part of the review process, the<br />

Management committee will render judgement as to whether the monitor should be<br />

concluded, or allowed to proceed for another year.<br />

At the conclusion of the monitor a comprehensive report will be prepared from all<br />

of the annual data reports that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 69


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Like the annual reports, the Management Committee will review a draft of the report prior<br />

to its general release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

Each year, the management committee will be kept informed of the monitor’s<br />

progress through annual reports. From these reports, a pattern of annual stranding rate<br />

will become evident such that the management committee will have to decide whether<br />

the observed annual rate of stranding is within tolerable limits, or too great and therefore<br />

suggest the abandonment or modification of the spring block load strategy. Two<br />

aspects will be considered when rendering that decision: the extent of stranding each<br />

year, and the consistency of stranding rates between years. Data on the corresponding<br />

escapement of chum will also be considered in that decision as will the data on fry<br />

behaviour collected in the diel migration behaviour monitor.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

This monitor will be carried out in years 2 and 3 following implementation of the<br />

WUP and if deemed justifiable by the management committee, will be continued into<br />

subsequent years. For planning purposes, it will be assumed that the only two years of<br />

the monitor will be carried out. Data analysis and report writing is to be completed within<br />

a year after the data has been collected for each survey year.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the fry stranding monitor is estimated at $29,600 for each of the<br />

two years of the monitor. This cost estimate is based on 2004 dollars and when adjusted<br />

for annual inflation (2%), the total program cost is expected to be closer to $30,800 and<br />

$31,400 for years 1 and 2 respectively. A summary of the labour costs and expenses is<br />

provided in Table 6-1. The cost of additional years of data will be the same as that<br />

presented here, but will have to be adjusted for the additional years of inflation.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

Leake, A. C. and L. G. MacLean. 1998. Assessment of chum fry stranding downstream<br />

of Ruskin Generating Station. <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Environmental Services Technical<br />

Report. 22 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 70


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 6-1: Estimated costs for the fry stranding monitoring program. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety<br />

planning, regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700<br />

2 2 $ 2,800<br />

Sampling Design Project Biologist $ 500<br />

1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Field Data Collection Project Biologist $ 500<br />

10 10 $ 10,000<br />

(total of 16 per survey)<br />

1<br />

Technicians<br />

$ 200<br />

64 64 $ 25,600<br />

Data Entry 1Project<br />

Biologist $ 500<br />

1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

2 2 $ 1,200<br />

Data Analysis Project Biologist $ 500<br />

3 3 $ 3,000<br />

Reporting Project Biologist $ 500<br />

4 4 $ 4,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

6 6 $ 3,600<br />

Contingency 5% $ - $ 1,305 $ 1,305 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 2,610<br />

Total Labour $ - $ 27,405 $ 27,405 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 54,810<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45<br />

2500 2500 $ 2,250<br />

Boat Rental $ 250<br />

4 4 $ 2,000<br />

Report reproduction $ 100<br />

1 1 $ 200<br />

Total Expenses $ - $ 2,225 $ 2,225 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 4,450<br />

Program Total $ - $ 29,630 $ 29,630 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 59,260<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ - $ 30,826 $ 31,443 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 62,269<br />

1 Technicians will be hired locally as per Leake and MacLean (1998)<br />

Units per year<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 71<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

7. Diel Pattern of Fry Out-migration<br />

The <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> WUP consultative Committee (CC) considered chum fry<br />

stranding mortality to be an important determinant of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> chum escapement.<br />

Even so, the CC was willing to accept limited stranding mortality (less than 1.5% of the<br />

total fry population) in order to adopt a spring limited block loading strategy as part of the<br />

WUP. However, the CC expressed some uncertainty about the population level effect of<br />

the accepted rate of stranding mortality, particularly during low escapement years. As a<br />

result, the CC recommended that studies be carried out to better understand the daily<br />

pattern of fry migration, as well as their behavioural response to rapid flow changes.<br />

The data can in turn be used to further minimise stranding mortality by developing<br />

strategies that better co-ordinate facility operations and migration behaviour.<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

Two management questions were raised by the CC, both of which pertain to<br />

better understanding of fry migration behaviour so that they may be exploited, if<br />

possible, to further minimise stranding risk. The first question was whether out-migrating<br />

fry express a daily pattern of migration, and if so, is it primarily at night, crepuscular, or<br />

during the day. The second question is more exploratory in nature and deals with<br />

whether the behaviour of emerging fry under rising, steady and falling water levels, and<br />

whether these change with the time of day and/or transverse location in the channel?<br />

Answers to the two questions above then lead to another pair of management<br />

questions that this time deal with the operational aspects of the issue; can operations be<br />

modified to further minimise stranding from the 1.5% threshold, and if so, can they lead<br />

to additional opportunities for increased operational flexibility? The latter two questions<br />

are to be addressed in next WUP process, and that this monitor is designed only to<br />

collect the information necessary for discussion of the issue, as well as final decision<br />

making.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

The fry migration monitor will be carried out as a test of a set of null hypotheses<br />

that must be tested in the sequence below:<br />

H01: The rate of movement of out-migrating fry, expressed as the number of fry<br />

caught in a stationary trap over a period of one hour, tends to be the same<br />

across diurnal, crepuscular, and nocturnal periods of the day.<br />

Test of this hypothesis will determine whether there are diel patterns in outmigration<br />

and if so, at what times fry tend to be stationary (and presumably at<br />

greater risk of stranding) versus the times at which they are on the move (and<br />

hence presumably at lesser risk of stranding).<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 72


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

H02: During periods of no movement, fry tend to be found at rest above the substrate.<br />

The antithesis of this hypothesis is that fish are absent from the area, and may<br />

be found either burrowed in the substrate, or have moved offshore to mid<br />

channel areas. Fish burrowed in the substrate are presumably at higher risk of<br />

stranding those that may have moved to the mid-channel.<br />

H03: Fry are evenly dispersed between near-shore shallow habitats and deeper off<br />

shore areas.<br />

This hypothesis is to be tested separately during periods of movement, as well as<br />

during periods of rest (if fry are found to be above the substrate). Dispersion is to<br />

be expressed as a visual estimate of local density and/or absolute number. Fish<br />

found near shore are presumably at greater risk of stranding than if found<br />

offshore.<br />

H04: During periods of movement, fry migration behaviour, expressed as a rate of<br />

capture using a stationary trap, tends to be the same between periods of rising,<br />

steady, and falling water levels.<br />

Test of this hypothesis is a general query as to whether the spring block loading<br />

operation affects the rate of fry migration.<br />

H05: During periods of no movement, fry behaviour tends to be the same between<br />

periods of rising, steady, and falling water levels.<br />

Test of this hypothesis will be far more qualitative than the previous null<br />

hypotheses since ‘changes in behaviour’ are not as easily quantified. Some of<br />

the changes in behaviour to look out for include movements to or from offshore<br />

areas, increased or decrease rates of emergence from gravel/cobble substrates,<br />

or increased recruitment to the migrating fry population.<br />

It should be noted that tests of hypotheses H01 to H05 should be carried out at<br />

two separate locations, one area where the backwater effects of the Fraser <strong>River</strong> are<br />

minimal, and another where such effects are extensive. Testing these hypotheses under<br />

differing backwater conditions will tease out the effects of tidal waters on the behaviour<br />

of emerging and migrating fry, if such exists.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

Results of this monitor are likely to provide the information necessary to<br />

determine whether subtle changes in the spring limited block loading operation that lead<br />

to reductions in fry stranding mortality, without significantly compromising operational<br />

flexibility, are possible. Such information may also lead to alternative strategies that<br />

better co-ordinate facility operation with fry behaviour so that increases in operational<br />

flexibility are possible without causing significant fry mortality. It is unlikely that results of<br />

the monitor will lead to operational changes prior to the next WUP review period.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 73


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area is restricted to the 1.5 km section of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> located<br />

immediately downstream of Ruskin Dam.<br />

b) Data should be collected at no more than two sites, each differing in the extent to<br />

which tidal backwater effects attenuate operational changes to water level.<br />

c) Data collection should occur during the fry emergence period, which is likely to<br />

be within the February 15 to May 15 timeframe. Given that data are to be<br />

collected at weekly intervals, a maximum of 12 weekly data sets are possible.<br />

The weekly data sets should correspond to the migration timing of chum. As a<br />

result, sampling will not be necessary for all weeks during the study timeframe.<br />

d) Variability in the periodicity and duration of high flow events during the spring<br />

block load period (considered here to be the study treatment) will be sought out<br />

opportunistically, though some events may be scheduled if deemed justifiable by<br />

the WUP Management Committee.<br />

e) The study should be completed within 1 year, though the study timeline can be<br />

extended for another year if deemed justifiable by the WUP Management<br />

Committee.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The general approach to this monitor is to collect quantitative and qualitative data<br />

using stationary trapping techniques as well as direct diver observation. These data are<br />

to be collected once per week for the duration of the fry emergence period to account for<br />

density dependent effects. Data will be collected at two study sites; one located close to<br />

Ruskin Dam where diel water level fluctuations are greatest, and at another location<br />

downstream where tidal effects would attenuate water level changes. Observations,<br />

whether by trap or visual assessment, are to be collected over a 24 hour period for each<br />

weekly sampling event. Sampling interval will depend on the nature of the data being<br />

collected, as well as the density of fry at the time of observation.<br />

Crew fatigue will be a concern in this study, which could affect crew safety as<br />

well as the quality of the data collected. To maximise crew safety, they will be operating<br />

out of a temporary, heated shelter placed near the study area. Having crew on site<br />

during the full duration of each weekly sampling event will also minimise vandalism – a<br />

high-risk occurrence in this populated area.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 74


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1. Field Methods<br />

Data on fry migration behaviour is to be collected in one of three ways depending<br />

on the hypothesis being tested. For H01 and H04, quantitative data will be collected by<br />

stationary trap such as an incline plane trap or fyke nets. Data needed to test H03 will be<br />

collected by direct observation while that needed to test H05 will be collected primarily by<br />

underwater video camera. Data collected by both direct observation and video camera<br />

will be used to test H02. The data collection methodologies are discussed separately<br />

below.<br />

Stationary Traps<br />

Stationary traps, such as incline plane traps or fyke nets, will be used to track the<br />

diel movements of fry through one or two day sampling periods. These traps will be<br />

installed at each study site in a location that can be safely accessed under high-flow,<br />

and at night. The traps are to be sampled at a minimum 4 hr interval, though a 1-2 hour<br />

sampling interval would be preferable. The traps are to be deployed once per week and<br />

are to be fished for no more than 48 hr. For safety reasons, all sampling is to be done<br />

by a crew of no less than two people.<br />

For each sampling interval, fry captured in the trap will be counted and the time<br />

interval since the last sampling period will be noted. As fish are removed form the trap,<br />

they are to be immediately released downstream of the trap. Morphometric data such as<br />

fork length and wet weight are not to be collected as part of this monitor.<br />

Give the timeframe of the study, a maximum of 12 weekly data sets of hourly trap<br />

counts are possible. Actual sampling effort will likely be less than this maximum, since it<br />

will depend on the length of the fry migration period, the duration of each weekly<br />

sampling period, and the choice of sampling interval. It should be noted that these traps<br />

are to be fished only to collect data on migration timing and are not intended as a means<br />

to quantify the year’s fry population.<br />

Direct Observation<br />

Direct observations are to be carried out by a swift water rescue trained crew of<br />

2-3 people each equipped with dry suit, rescue life vest, mask, snorkel, and throw bags.<br />

If possible, a high-resolution camera will be used to take photographs of near shore and<br />

offshore areas. These photographs will be taken from the same set of vantage points<br />

each time so that they are directly comparable. These photographs will then be used to<br />

estimate relative densities of fry at each location and sampling period. Because fry<br />

counts by photograph may not be reliable, divers will attempt to make similar estimates<br />

under water, i.e., estimate fry density within their field of vision from consistent vantage<br />

points. These vantage points will be marked underwater by flagging. Photographs and<br />

diver counts will be made from left and right banks at several transect locations along<br />

the length of each study site. Observations should be made from a minimum of three<br />

transect locations at each site.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 75


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Transect location will be chosen to ensure diver safety when conducting the<br />

survey. Transect fry counts are to be done on at least three occasions for each<br />

combination of steady high flow, steady low flow, period of movement and period of rest.<br />

Fry density estimates are to be expressed as an areal density (fry·m -2 ) within the field of<br />

vision (of either the diver or camera). Because fry density estimates are relative and two<br />

divers will be making the observations, the pattern of observations made by each diver<br />

will have to be repeated for each sampling period so that observer bias is consistent<br />

between samples. Preferably, all observations should be made by one diver so as to<br />

eliminate observer bias altogether. Given the prescribed minimum sampling frequency 2 ,<br />

a total of 72 density estimates are expected per site, though a greater sampling<br />

frequency would be preferred.<br />

Underwater Video<br />

An underwater video camera will be installed at several locations within each<br />

study site to monitor the behaviour of emergent chum fry during rising, steady and falling<br />

water levels. Videography will be directed primarily towards near shore areas so as to<br />

focus effort on conditions that may result in high stranding risk. A minimum of 3 video<br />

sequences will be shot for each period of rest and movement during periods of rising,<br />

steady and falling flow conditions. This prescription of sampling effort will result in 18<br />

video sequences for each study site. The data collected from each video will depend on<br />

the type of behavioural response observed.<br />

2.3.2. Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines. Because some underwater sampling is to occur at<br />

night during winter, a temporary heated shelter will have to be installed within the study<br />

area to prevent hypothermia and crew fatigue, both of which are safety concerns and<br />

may impact the quality of collected data. A permanent presence at the site will also be<br />

needed to prevent vandalism during the study. Because the shelter will be located<br />

downstream of the dam, a formal communication protocol will have to be established<br />

with facility operators to warn of operational changes or if necessary, arrange for<br />

evacuation. Finally, an evacuation route will have to be developed and maintained to<br />

ensure that crews are not trapped at the site regardless of flow conditions.<br />

2.3.3 Data Analysis<br />

All data, photographs, and video clips will be entered into a common database<br />

for storage and subsequent analysis. Hypothesis testing will rely on parametric and nonparametric<br />

statistics such as t-tests, analysis of variance, and Chi Square tests as the<br />

data type and number of factors dictate. Assumptions of independence, randomness<br />

2<br />

At each site, there will be a minimum of 3 transects x right and lift sides x high and low steady flow states x rest and<br />

active fry states.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 76


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

and normality will be assessed prior to all analyses and appropriate data transformations<br />

will be carried out if necessary to ensure compliance.<br />

2.3.4. Reporting<br />

At the conclusion of field activities and the data analysis phase, a comprehensive<br />

report will be prepared that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

c) Describes the data and the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discuses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future changes.<br />

A draft of the report will be reviewed by Management Committee prior to general<br />

release. If the data set is deemed inadequate, the Management committee may consent<br />

to the collection of additional data and subsequent analysis before the report is finalised.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

Results of the monitor will provide considerable insight into the behaviour of<br />

emergent fry under the variable flow conditions commonly experienced at peaking<br />

plants. Although the results will be most pertinent to the <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> chum salmon<br />

population, it may also provide insight that is transferable to other systems in <strong>BC</strong>.<br />

The knowledge gained through this monitor will be most useful in designing<br />

operating strategies that that minimise stranding mortality, yet allow peaking operations<br />

to continue albeit to a more limited extent. With the present WUP, CC members were<br />

willing to accept a limited amount of fry stranding mortality, yet many still felt that every<br />

effort should be made to minimise such mortality. Results of this monitor will provide the<br />

information necessary to uncover those key behavioural actions that could be exploited<br />

to better co-ordinate flow change events so as to minimise the risk of stranding.<br />

Results of the monitor are unlikely to lead to immediate changes in the WUP,<br />

unless proposed by the Management Committee because there is a clear benefit to all<br />

stakeholders to do so. This information would likely have greater value during the next<br />

WUP review process when discussions on the value of the present spring block loading<br />

strategy are to take place. Depending the result of other <strong>Stave</strong> WUP monitors, it may be<br />

necessary to alter the spring block loading strategy to resolve newly developed or<br />

unforeseen conflicts in values. It is at this time that the information will have its greatest<br />

value.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

This monitor will be carried out in year 4 following implementation of the WUP<br />

and if deemed justifiable by the management committee, will be continued into year 5 for<br />

another sampling season. For planning purposes, it will be assumed that the second<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 77


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

year of on the monitor will be carried out. Data analysis and report writing is to be<br />

completed within a year after data collection has been completed.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the resident fish monitor is estimated at $39,400 for the first year<br />

of the monitor and $38,900 for the second year if deemed necessary by the WUP<br />

Management Committee. This cost estimate is based on 2004 dollars and when<br />

adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total program cost is expected to be closer to<br />

$42,600 and $42,900 for years 1 and 2 respectively. A summary of the labour costs and<br />

expenses is provided in Table 7-1. It should be noted that this cost estimate differs<br />

considerably from $25,000 stated in the CC report (Failing 1999). This difference stems<br />

largely from an increase in scope to ensure crew safety, namely an increase in crew size<br />

from 2 to 3 people, and the addition of a temporary onsite shelter. Also important to<br />

note is that 2 days were budgeted to complete each survey so as to cover the cost of<br />

equipment set-up and dismantling times.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 78


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 7-1: Estimated costs for the fry out-migration monitoring program. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers safety<br />

planning, regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700<br />

1 1 $ 1,400<br />

Sampling Design Project Biologist $ 500<br />

2 1 $ 1,500<br />

Field Data Collection Project Biologist $ 500<br />

20 20 $ 20,000<br />

(total of 10 surveys) Technician 1 $ 300<br />

20 20 $ 12,000<br />

Technician 2 $ 300<br />

20 20 $ 12,000<br />

Data Entry Project Biologist $ 500<br />

1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

4 4 $ 2,400<br />

Data Analysis Project Biologist $ 500<br />

3 3 $ 3,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

3 3 $ 1,800<br />

Reporting Project Biologist $ 500<br />

5 5 $ 5,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

10 10 $ 6,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ - $ - $ - $ 1,665 $ 1,640 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 3,305<br />

Total Labour $ - $ - $ - $ 34,965 $ 34,440 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 69,405<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Incline plane or fyke net $ 125 20 20 $ 5,000<br />

Underwater Camera $ 5 20 20 $ 200<br />

Underwater Video $ 10 20 20 $ 400<br />

Drysuit/Snorkel Gear $ 45<br />

20 20 $ 1,800<br />

Meals $ 45<br />

30 30 $ 2,700<br />

Temporary shelter $ 50<br />

15 15 $ 1,500<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45<br />

2500 2500 $ 2,250<br />

Report reproduction $ 100<br />

1 1 $ 200<br />

Total Expenses $ - $ - $ - $ 4,425 $ 4,425 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 8,850<br />

Program Total $ - $ - $ - $ 39,390 $ 38,865 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 78,255<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 $ 42,636 $ 42,909 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 $ 85,537<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 79<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

8. Seasonal Timing and Assemblage of Resident Fish<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

One of the difficulties encountered during the issue-scoping phase of the WUP<br />

process was the paucity of information dealing the seasonal use of resident species<br />

downstream of Ruskin Dam, if indeed there is an extensive population. This data gap<br />

was identified early on during the WUP process, and a quick, reconnaissance-level<br />

survey of the area was carried out. Results of this single, summertime survey only<br />

confirmed the presence of those species already known to reside in the system, and<br />

revealed little about their seasonal patterns of use. Gaining such an understanding of<br />

resident species natural history however, was subsequently judged to be a lower priority<br />

than other more pressing information gaps, and as a result additional surveys were<br />

abandoned in order to re-allocate funding elsewhere. Resolution of this issue was still<br />

deemed important, and was therefore delegated to a monitoring program. Resident<br />

species include rainbow trout, cutthroat trout, mountain whitefish and brassy minnow<br />

(<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> 2004).<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

To proceed with the WUP process in the absence of resident fish seasonal use<br />

data downstream of Ruskin Dam, several assumptions were made:<br />

a) <strong>Water</strong> releases from Ruskin dam found to impact or benefit spawning and<br />

incubation activities similarly affect rearing conditions for resident fish species.<br />

For example, the 100 m 3 s -1 base flow during the anadromous spawning and<br />

incubation periods (as per the Combo 6 strategy) would benefit resident species<br />

as well.<br />

b) During the summer, operations that minimise within-day and between-day<br />

variability in flows improve rearing conditions for juvenile salmonids and resident<br />

fish species. This includes access to and availability of side channel habitats.<br />

The key management question is whether these assumptions are valid, i.e., do<br />

WUP operations based on anadromous salmonid rearing and spawning criteria conflict<br />

with the seasonal habitat use patterns of other resident fish species?<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

There is only one impact hypothesis:<br />

H01: Releases downstream of Ruskin dam do not impact the seasonal habitat-use<br />

patterns of resident fish species, particularly none salmonid species. [A major<br />

component of this hypothesis test is an investigation into the importance of sidechannel<br />

access and availability.]<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 80


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

Because of information gaps, the seasonal habitat requirements of resident fish<br />

species could not be directly incorporated into the development of the WUP. Rather<br />

assumptions of ‘mutual benefit’ were made whereby it was believed that benefits<br />

realised by salmonid species would also likely be realised by other species, particularly<br />

with the range of feasible operational changes. If this were found not to be the case, the<br />

extent of impact would have to be evaluated relative to that of other values, and an<br />

alternative operation would have to be sought if deemed to be high. This would have to<br />

be determined during the next WUP process.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of this monitor is to collect the data necessary to test the impact<br />

hypotheses outlined in Section 1.3 and hence, address the management questions<br />

presented in Section 1.2. The following aspects define the scope of the study:<br />

a) The study area is restricted to the 1.5 km section of <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> located<br />

immediately downstream of Ruskin Dam.<br />

b) Data collection will occur though out the year at 6-8 week intervals.<br />

c) Data collection is to be completed within 1 year.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

Data collection will consist of reconnaissance-level fish surveys carried out every<br />

6 to 8 weeks and rely on non-lethal fish capture methods. Multiple sites will be sampled<br />

through out the study area to gain an understanding of relative habitat use of each<br />

species. The data will be collated into periodicity tables, as well as in a database and on<br />

air photo-mosaics to summarise seasonal habitat use.<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1 Field Methods<br />

Site Selection<br />

Reconnaissance levels fish survey will be carried throughout the study area.<br />

Sample locations will be pre-selected and re-sampled during each survey period. A total<br />

of 20 sites will be sampled during each survey. The distribution of sites will be such that<br />

most major sections of the river, including side channels will be sampled. It is<br />

anticipated that a two-person crew can complete each survey in a two-day period. A site<br />

description will be completed prior to sampling for each survey period so as to track<br />

seasonal changes if any and will follow RIC (1998) standards.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 81


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Fish Capture<br />

Fish capture will be by non-lethal methods, including minnow trap, beach seine,<br />

backpack electroshocker (single pass), and snorkel observations. The choice of capture<br />

method will depend of the characteristics of the site and if possible, will be repeated<br />

during each survey.<br />

Fish Enumeration<br />

All captured fish will be identified to the nearest species taxon and approximate<br />

life cycle stage. A sub-sample will be lightly anaesthetised by CO2 generating tablets<br />

(e.g. Eno), measured for fork length and wet weight, and replaced into a recovery<br />

bucket. After processing, all fish will be released back to the river.<br />

2.3.2 Safety Concerns<br />

A safety plan will have to be developed for all aspects of the study in accordance<br />

to <strong>BC</strong>H procedures and guidelines.<br />

2.3.3 Data Analysis<br />

All data will be entered into a common database. Analysis will consist of simple<br />

descriptive statistics and summary tables. Also important will be the creation of a<br />

periodicity chart of non-salmonid resident species, as well as descriptions and/or maps<br />

of their preferred habitats/river locations.<br />

An assessment as to whether seasonal habitat use is affected by operations will<br />

be based on the data collected during the monitor, as well as published information on<br />

species-specific habitat requirements and general habitat use periodicities. The result<br />

will be a set of impact hypotheses for consideration at the next WUP process<br />

2.3.4 Reporting<br />

At the conclusion of the resident fish use monitor, a draft report will be prepared<br />

for submission to the Management Committee that:<br />

a) Re-iterates the objective and scope of the monitor,<br />

b) Presents the methods used for data collection,<br />

c) Describes the compiled data set and presents the results of all analyses, and<br />

d) Discusses the consequences of these results as they pertain to the current WUP<br />

operation, and the necessity and/or possibility for future change.<br />

Once reviewed by Management Committee, a final report will be prepared for general<br />

release. The reporting process is to be completed within 1 year after the data collection<br />

phase<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

The data collected during the monitor will be used to construct a species<br />

periodicity chart of all resident fishes along with a description of their preferred sitespecific<br />

habitats. This information will have its greatest value during the next WUP<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 82


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

process where the general assumption of ‘mutual benefit’ can be abandoned for more<br />

species-specific impact hypotheses. It is unlikely that this information will lead to<br />

immediate changes to the WUP.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

This monitor will be carried out in years 6 and 7 following implementation of the<br />

WUP. Data collection will be started in January of year 6 and be completed by the end<br />

of the year. Data analysis and report writing is to be completed in the following year.<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The total cost of the resident fish monitor is estimated at $33,900. This cost<br />

estimate is based on 2004 dollars and when adjusted for annual inflation (2%), the total<br />

program cost is expected to be closer to $38,300. A summary of the labour costs and<br />

expenses is provided in Table 8-1.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. 2004. <strong>Stave</strong>/Ruskin/Alouette Field Facility Guide.<br />

Available online at: http://w3/g/power_facilities/field_guides/sra/sra-05.htm<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 83


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 8-1: Estimated costs for the ‘Seasonal Timing and Assemblage of Resident Fish’ monitoring program. Contingency is calculated<br />

on field labour, and covers safety planning, regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700<br />

3 $ 2,100<br />

Sampling Design Project Biologist $ 500<br />

2 $ 1,000<br />

Field Data Collection Project Biologist $ 500<br />

16 $ 8,000<br />

(total of 8 surveys) Technician 1 $ 300<br />

16 $ 4,800<br />

Data Entry Technician 1 $ 300<br />

4 $ 1,200<br />

Data Analysis Project Biologist $ 500<br />

2 3 $ 2,500<br />

Reporting Project Biologist $ 500<br />

2 4 $ 3,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300<br />

8 $ 2,400<br />

Contingency 5% $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 955 $ 295 $ - $ - $ - $ 1,250<br />

Total Labour $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 20,055 $ 6,195 $ - $ - $ - $ 26,250<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Electroshocker $ 75 16 $ 1,200<br />

Seine net $ 20 16 $ 320<br />

Minnow Traps (set of 10) $ 25 16 $ 400<br />

Drysuit/Snorkel Gear $ 45<br />

16 $ 720<br />

Meals $ 45<br />

16 $ 720<br />

Accommodatio $ 100<br />

8 $ 800<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45<br />

2000 $ 900<br />

Boat rental (per day) $ 250<br />

16 $ 4,000<br />

Report reproduction $ 100<br />

1 $ 100<br />

Total Expenses $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 7,640 $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 7,640<br />

Program Total $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ 27,695 $ 6,195 $ - $ - $ - $ 33,890<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 $ 31,188 $ 7,115 -$ 1 -$ 1 -$ 1 $ 38,295<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 84<br />

10-year<br />

Total


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

9. Turbidity Levels in Hayward Reservoir<br />

1.0 Program Rationale<br />

1.1 Background<br />

A small number of local residents use Hayward Lake reservoir as a source of<br />

drinking water. Historically, Hayward reservoir water levels have generally been kept<br />

fairly constant. The normal minimum water level for Hayward Lake reservoir is 4 m, but<br />

will lower to 39.5 m during block loading periods under the WUP. Some concern was<br />

raised that the lowered minimum water level could cause shoreline erosion in some<br />

areas and therefore, increase turbidity levels beyond provincial drinking water quality<br />

standards. Though this was deemed unlikely by the CC, a monitor was still<br />

recommended to ensure that this was indeed the case (Failing 1999).<br />

1.2 Management Questions<br />

Although changes in drinking water quality are not anticipated with the changes<br />

in Hayward Lake reservoir operations, the importance of the issue requires that it be<br />

verified. High turbidity levels are commonly linked with other health related water quality<br />

concerns. If an increase in turbidity is detected, the change in Hayward Lake reservoir’s<br />

minimum operating level will have to be re-evaluated, or alternatively mitigative actions<br />

may have to be taken.<br />

1.3 Summary of Impact Hypotheses<br />

There is only one impact hypothesis being considered here:<br />

H01: The quality of drinking water drawn from Hayward Lake reservoir remains within<br />

provincial standards following the change in it’s minimum operating level, as<br />

indicated by water turbidity levels.<br />

1.4 Key <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> Decisions Affected<br />

If an increase in turbidity is detected, the drop in Hayward Lake reservoir’s<br />

minimum operating level will have to be re-evaluated. Depending on the severity of the<br />

impact, the re-evaluation process may have to take place prior to the scheduled WUP<br />

review period. Alternatively, mitigative options may be sought. Again, depending on the<br />

severity of the impact, implementation of such options may have to take place prior to<br />

the scheduled WUP review period.<br />

2.0 Monitoring Program Proposal<br />

2.1 Objective and Scope<br />

The objective of the monitor will be to collect the turbidity data necessary to<br />

adequately test impact hypothesis H01 as stated in Section 1.3 and hence, address the<br />

management question in Section 1.2. The scope of the monitor will be restricted to<br />

Hayward Lake. Turbidity observations will be collected bi-monthly and continue for the<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 85


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

duration of the 10 year monitoring period, along with the annual shoreline surveys,<br />

unless otherwise directed by the Management Committee.<br />

2.2 Approach<br />

The monitoring program will consist of two parts; a routine monitor that collects<br />

turbidity data at specified locations on a bi-monthly basis, and an annual shoreline<br />

survey to look for areas of obvious erosion. Where possible, sampling is to be done at<br />

the same time each year to minimise temporal confounding factors. The duration of the<br />

monitor will be determined by the Management Committee and will depend on the<br />

nature of the data and resulting conclusions. For planning purposes, the bi-monthly<br />

turbidity measurements will be continued for the duration of the 10-year monitoring<br />

period.<br />

The <strong>Stave</strong> WUP CC has recommended that a 5-year monitoring review period be<br />

carried out with the Management committee to discuss monitoring results to date,<br />

reassess funding requirements, and make recommendations to the <strong>Water</strong> Comptroller<br />

as required (Failing 1999).<br />

2.3 Methods<br />

2.3.1. Field Methods<br />

Turbidity Observations<br />

Turbidity will be measured in situ by a turbidity meter using appropriate sample<br />

vials. <strong>Water</strong> samples will be collected 5 to 10 cm below the water surface at arm’s<br />

length from shore. At no time is the sampler to wade into the site as this may raise<br />

sediments and contaminate the area. Prior to each measurement, the meter will be<br />

calibrated using a sample vial of distilled water. The outside of each sample vial vials<br />

should be free of all traces of water before being place into the meter. All data will be<br />

reported in NTU units.<br />

Turbidity levels will be collected from several sights throughout the reservoir. At<br />

a minimum, this will include a site immediately downstream of the <strong>Stave</strong> Lake Dam<br />

plunge pool, at the Hayward Lake Recreation site, midway down the reservoir, and just<br />

upstream of the Ruskin Dam forebay. Samples will also be taken adjacent to the pump<br />

house intakes for the Ruskin <strong>Water</strong> System, as well as saw water from the pump house<br />

itself.<br />

Annual Shoreline Survey<br />

Once a year during periods of low water level, the full extent of the shoreline will<br />

be surveyed by boat in search of obvious signs of erosion. Evidence of erosion will be<br />

photographed and plotted on an air-photo or map of the area. Once an area has been<br />

identified, it will be photographed from the same vantage each year to monitor progress<br />

of the erosion event. Date, GPS co-ordinates, type of camera, and zoom magnification<br />

will be reported for each photograph taken. If necessary, markers of known size may be<br />

installed in order to record the scale of the photograph.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 86


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

2.3.2. Data Analysis<br />

All data, including photographs, will be entered into a common database that will<br />

be continuously updated. Turbidity observations will be compared to provincial drinking<br />

water quality standards to assess the extent of impact, if any. Between-site<br />

comparisons will be used as an aid to identify possible sediment sources should<br />

excessive turbidity levels be found. Correlation with temporal patterns in reservoir water<br />

level will also be explored using time lag analysis. If evidence of shoreline erosion were<br />

found, its extent will be evaluated by comparing between-year photographs taken from<br />

the same vantage.<br />

2.3.3. Reporting<br />

Each year, a data report will be prepared that summarises the year’s data in<br />

terms of how well they meet provincial drinking water guidelines. Where evident,<br />

seasonal or annual patterns of turbidity will be presented, along with an analysis of<br />

potential correlation with patterns of reservoir water level. Evidence of shoreline erosion<br />

will also be discussed. A draft of each annual report will be submitted to the<br />

Management Committee for review prior to general release.<br />

2.4 Interpretation of Monitoring Program Results<br />

This monitor was design to provide assurance to local residents that turbidity<br />

levels will not rise beyond drinking water quality standards in Hayward Lake during the<br />

expanded range of operation. If turbidity levels do rise above the guidelines, and there<br />

is evidence of shoreline erosion, then the operational change will be abandoned unless<br />

an alternative is found that is acceptable to both local residents and the Management<br />

Committee.<br />

In the case that turbidity does not rise, as expected, then the monitor will be<br />

abandoned at the request of the Management Committee, and no change to the WUP<br />

will occur.<br />

2.5 Schedule<br />

This monitoring program will be carried out annually until otherwise directed by<br />

the management Committee. The monitor is to be started the same year that the WUP<br />

is implemented. Maximum duration of the program will be 10 years, the duration of the<br />

WUP review period. The <strong>Stave</strong> WUP CC has recommended that a 5-year monitoring<br />

review period be carried out with the Management committee to discuss monitoring<br />

results to date, reassess funding requirements, and make recommendations to the<br />

<strong>Water</strong> Comptroller as required (Failing 1999).<br />

2.6 Budget<br />

The annual cost of the program is anticipated to be $8,000 for the first year of the<br />

survey, and $7,500 for all subsequent years. This cost estimate is based on 2004<br />

dollars and should be adjusted 2% annually to account for inflation. The total cost for<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 87


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

the 10-year program in 2004 dollars is $75,875. When adjusted for annual inflation, the<br />

total program cost is expected to be closer to $84,700. A summary of the labour costs<br />

and expenses is provided in Table 9-1.<br />

2.7 References<br />

Failing, L. 1999. <strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>: Report of the consultative committee.<br />

Prepared by Compass Resource Management Ltd for <strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong>. October 1999.<br />

44 pp. + App.<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 88


<strong>Stave</strong> <strong>River</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Use</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Monitoring Terms of Reference June 13, 2005<br />

Table 9-1: Estimated costs for the Hayward Lake turbidity monitoring program. Contingency is calculated on field labour, and covers<br />

safety planning, regulatory approvals (permits), field logistics, and unforeseen weather delays.<br />

Task Labour<br />

Daily<br />

Rate<br />

Units per year<br />

Yr 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr 5 Yr 6 Yr 7 Yr 8 Yr 9 Yr 10<br />

Project Management Project Manager $ 700 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 7,000<br />

Study Area/Site Preparation Project Biologist $ 500 1 $ 500<br />

Bi-monthly Turbidity Samples Project Biologist $ 500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 5,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 $ 18,000<br />

Annual shoreline survey Project Biologist $ 500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 5,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 3,000<br />

Data Entry Technician 1 $ 300 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 3,000<br />

Data Analysis Project Biologist $ 500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 5,000<br />

Reporting Project Biologist $ 500 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 5,000<br />

Technician 1 $ 300 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $ 9,000<br />

Contingency 5% $ 325 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 300 $ 3,025<br />

Total Labour $ 6,825 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 6,300 $ 63,525<br />

Expenses<br />

Unit<br />

Cost<br />

Turbidity meter (per day) $ 25 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 $ 1,500<br />

Sample Vials $ 3 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 $ 600<br />

Vehicle (per km) $ 0.45 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 1500 $ 6,750<br />

Boat rental (per day) $ 250 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 2,500<br />

Report reproduction $ 100 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $ 1,000<br />

Total Expenses $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 1,235 $ 12,350<br />

Program Total $ 8,060 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 7,535 $ 75,875<br />

Inflation Adjustment 2% $ 8,220 $ 7,838 $ 7,995 $ 8,155 $ 8,318 $ 8,485 $ 8,654 $ 8,827 $ 9,004 $ 9,184 $ 84,682<br />

<strong>BC</strong> <strong>Hydro</strong> Page 89<br />

10-year<br />

Total

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!