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Paysages virtuels et analyse de scénarios pour évaluer les impacts ...

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Abstract and key words<br />

The environmental assessment of agrosystems is a critical issue for the <strong>de</strong>sign of sustainable agricultural<br />

practices and for the preservation or recovery of the ecological functions of agrosystems. However, this<br />

assessment is difficult to achieve through expert opinion and experimentation alone, due to the diversity of<br />

transformation and transfer processes of organic matter within agricultural landscapes, their interactions, and<br />

their dynamics. This project aimed at proposing a spatialized and dynamic environmental assessment m<strong>et</strong>hod<br />

to integrate the effects of the physical environment, climate, and agricultural practices.<br />

Our approach was structured by the <strong>de</strong>velopment of a landscape mo<strong>de</strong>ling platform (Qualscape), which<br />

provi<strong>de</strong>d the conceptual framework for the different steps of this study:<br />

– analysis of observed field crop sequences to i<strong>de</strong>ntify the spatial and temporal drivers of crop<br />

transitions, because landcover plays a major role in the location of agricultural practices;<br />

– the construction of a s<strong>et</strong> of virtual agricultural landscapes based on the intensively farmed Naizin<br />

catchment (12 km 2 , Morbihan <strong>de</strong>partment, France) that differed in terms of climate, soil-type<br />

patterns, and crop management;<br />

– the multi-targ<strong>et</strong> and multi-criteria assessment of these agrosystems by coupling and integrating the<br />

outputs of the nitrogen (N) fate mo<strong>de</strong>l TNT2 and a soil phosphorus (P) budg<strong>et</strong> mo<strong>de</strong>l.<br />

In addition, Stochastree, a crop-transition mo<strong>de</strong>l based on stochastic <strong>de</strong>cision trees, was <strong>de</strong>veloped. It<br />

maintained the spatial distribution of crops around the farmsteads while accounting for other constraints such<br />

as soil waterlogging and farm-production objectives. Environmental assessments of the virtual landscapes<br />

showed the relative influence of climate, soil-type patterns, and cropping systems on a s<strong>et</strong> of agricultural,<br />

soil, and hydrological indicators. Although a mo<strong>de</strong>rate, <strong>les</strong>s-intensive cropping system reduced soil P<br />

surpluses and improved N- and P-use efficiencies, climate series and soil-type patterns influenced the stream<br />

N concentration more heavily than cropping systems. Moreover, the magnitu<strong>de</strong> of soil-climate interactions<br />

on stream N concentrations was equivalent un<strong>de</strong>r certain scenarios to a 15% reduction in the amount of total<br />

N applied. This shows that remediation practices aimed at achieving a specific environmental goal (such as<br />

not exceeding the 50 mg NO3.l -1 threshold in streams) must take local landscape characteristics into account,<br />

and that transplanting them to another landscape may not attain the expected goal.<br />

Key words: virtual landscape, environmental assessment, agrosystem, soil, climate, agricultural practice,<br />

fertilization, nutrient, nitrogen, nitrate, phosphorus, hydrology, TNT2, Qualscape, Stochastree, Rotomatrix<br />

Abstract – p. 5

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