Tabela 7 (kont<strong>in</strong>uasaun) PROJEKSAUN BA POPULASAUN TUIR GRUPU SEXU NO TINAN Numeru SENARIU KI’IK Numeru Esperansa moris Mortalidade bebe/<strong>in</strong>fantil Numeru T<strong>in</strong>an Populasaun Numeru kresimentu Moris moris baziku Mate mate baziku Sexu rua hotu Mane Feto Sexu rua hotu Mane Feto total fertilidade 2004 952,002 41,285 43.4 10,223 10.7 59.0 58.2 59.8 91.4 93.4 89.4 6.8 2005 983,125 3.22 41,819 42.5 10,635 10.8 59.4 58.6 60.3 88.6 90.6 86.6 6.7 2006 1,014,439 3.14 41,984 41.4 10,540 10.4 59.9 59.0 60.8 85.7 87.9 83.5 6.6 2007 1,046,030 3.07 42,172 40.3 10,434 10.0 60.3 59.4 61.3 82.9 85.2 80.5 6.4 2008 1,077,911 3.00 42,375 39.3 10,351 9.6 60.8 59.8 61.8 80.2 82.6 77.7 6.2 2009 1,110,071 2.94 42,582 38.4 10,284 9.3 61.2 60.1 62.3 77.5 80.0 74.9 6.0 2010 1,142,502 2.88 42,794 37.5 10,232 9.0 61.6 60.5 62.8 75.0 77.6 72.3 5.9 2011 1,175,089 2.81 42,783 36.4 10,171 8.7 62.1 60.9 63.3 72.4 75.0 69.6 5.6 2012 1,207,714 2.74 42,751 35.4 10,114 8.4 62.5 61.3 63.8 69.8 72.6 67.0 5.4 2013 1,240,347 2.67 42,691 34.4 10,062 8.1 62.9 61.7 64.3 67.4 70.2 64.5 5.2 2014 1,272,955 2.60 42,600 33.5 10,015 7.9 63.4 62.0 64.7 65.1 67.8 62.1 5.0 2015 1,305,498 2.52 42,471 32.5 9,971 7.6 63.8 62.4 65.2 62.8 65.6 59.8 4.8 2016 1,338,023 2.46 42,467 31.7 9,915 7.4 64.2 62.8 65.7 60.3 63.1 57.4 4.6 2017 1,370,561 2.40 42,399 30.9 9,875 7.2 64.7 63.2 66.2 58.0 60.7 55.1 4.5 2018 1,403,032 2.34 42,262 30.1 9,844 7.0 65.1 63.6 66.7 55.7 58.4 52.9 4.3 2019 1,435,343 2.28 42,023 29.3 9,820 6.8 65.5 64.0 67.1 53.6 56.2 50.8 4.1 2020 1,467,465 2.21 41,852 28.5 9,810 6.7 66.0 64.4 67.6 51.5 54.1 48.8 3.9 2021 1,499,716 2.17 42,276 28.2 9,818 6.6 66.4 64.8 68.1 49.4 52.0 46.7 3.8 2022 1,532,340 2.15 42,637 27.8 9,845 6.4 66.8 65.2 68.6 47.4 49.9 44.7 3.6 2023 1,565,213 2.12 42,827 27.4 9,871 6.3 67.3 65.6 69.1 45.4 48.0 42.7 3.5 2024 1,598,046 2.08 42,592 26.7 9,882 6.2 67.7 65.9 69.5 43.6 46.1 40.9 3.4 2025 1,630,791 2.03 42,676 26.2 9,895 6.1 68.1 66.3 70.0 41.8 44.3 39.1 3.3 2026 1,663,863 2.01 43,272 26.0 9,910 6.0 68.6 66.7 70.5 39.9 42.3 37.3 3.2 2027 1,697,465 2.00 43,784 25.8 9,942 5.9 69.0 67.1 71.0 38.1 40.4 35.6 3.1 2028 1,731,474 1.98 44,161 25.5 9,984 5.8 69.4 67.5 71.5 36.4 38.6 34.0 3.0 2029 1,765,694 1.96 44,293 25.1 10,030 5.7 69.9 67.9 71.9 34.7 36.9 32.5 3.0 2030 1,800,002 1.92 44,440 24.7 10,086 5.6 70.3 68.3 72.4 33.2 35.3 31.0 2.9 2031 1,834,592 1.90 44,975 24.5 10,149 5.5 70.7 68.7 72.9 31.6 33.7 29.5 2.8 2032 1,869,601 1.89 45,413 24.3 10,223 5.5 71.2 69.1 73.4 30.2 32.2 28.1 2.8 2033 1,904,941 1.87 45,785 24.0 10,295 5.4 71.6 69.5 73.9 28.8 30.7 26.8 2.8 2034 1,940,600 1.86 46,194 23.8 10,365 5.3 72.0 69.8 74.3 27.5 29.3 25.5 2.7 2035 1,976,448 1.83 46,300 23.4 10,434 5.3 72.4 70.2 74.8 26.2 28.0 24.3 2.7 2036 2,012,425 1.80 46,581 23.2 10,494 5.2 72.9 70.6 75.3 24.9 26.6 23.1 2.7 2037 2,048,583 1.78 46,791 22.8 10,563 5.2 73.3 71.0 75.8 23.7 25.4 22.0 2.7 2038 2,084,867 1.76 46,976 22.5 10,637 5.1 73.7 71.4 76.2 22.6 24.2 20.9 2.6 2039 2,121,310 1.73 47,263 22.3 10,717 5.1 74.2 71.7 76.7 21.5 23.0 19.9 2.6 2040 2,157,806 1.71 47,253 21.9 10,807 5.0 74.6 72.1 77.2 20.5 21.9 19.0 2.6 2041 2,194,268 1.68 47,369 21.6 10,890 5.0 75.0 72.5 77.7 19.4 20.8 18.1 2.6 2042 2,230,755 1.65 47,477 21.3 10,981 4.9 75.5 72.9 78.2 18.5 19.7 17.2 2.6 2043 2,267,264 1.62 47,595 21.0 11,074 4.9 75.9 73.3 78.6 17.5 18.7 16.4 2.6 2044 2,303,827 1.60 47,773 20.7 11,168 4.9 76.3 73.7 79.1 16.6 17.7 15.6 2.6 2045 2,340,401 1.58 47,811 20.4 11,269 4.8 76.8 74.1 79.6 15.8 16.7 14.8 2.5 2046 2,376,963 1.55 47,967 20.2 11,386 4.8 77.2 74.5 80.1 15.0 15.9 14.1 2.5 2047 2,413,577 1.53 48,155 20.0 11,508 4.8 77.6 74.9 80.6 14.3 15.1 13.5 2.5 2048 2,450,270 1.51 48,376 19.7 11,636 4.8 78.1 75.2 81.0 13.6 14.3 12.8 2.5 2049 2,487,073 1.49 48,631 19.6 11,766 4.7 78.5 75.6 81.5 12.9 13.6 12.2 2.5 2050 2,523,984 1.47 48,869 19.4 11,910 4.7 Tabela 7 mós hatutu numeru annual husi kresimentu populasaun durante periodu projeksaun. Tuir senariu mediu, kresimentu populasaun sei liu 3.% to’o loron ikus husi dekade oras-ne’e. Nia sei to’o 2.7% to’o <strong>in</strong>isiu t<strong>in</strong>an 2020 no sei iha 2.% rua nia okos to’o loron ikus husi periodu projeksaun. Nu’udár espera ona katak numeru ne’ebé maka projeita iha variasaun boo no ki’ik maka sei boot no ki’ik liu, respektivamente. 30
PROJEKSAUN BA POPULASAUN TUIR GRUPU SEXU NO TINAN Figura 4a, 4b no 4c hatudu evolusaun futuru husi numeru baziku moris no mate hirak tuir senariu tolu. Nota katak distansia entre kurva rua koresponde ba kresimentu populasaun. Hatutan liútan, Figura 5 hatudu evolusaun husi sasukat populasaun. Nivel Nivel 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 50.0 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Figura 4a: Timor-Leste, Numeru Baziku Moris nian (CBR) no Numeru Baziku Mate nian (CDR), t<strong>in</strong>an 2000 ba t<strong>in</strong>an 2050, senariu mediu 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049 T<strong>in</strong>an hirak CBR CDR Figura 4b: Timor-Leste, Numeru Moris Baziku (CBR) no Numeru Mate Baziku (CDR), 2000 ba 2050, senariu boot 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 2044 2049 T<strong>in</strong>an hirak CBR CDR 31