sakvebwarmoeba da cxovelTa kveba
sakvebwarmoeba da cxovelTa kveba
sakvebwarmoeba da cxovelTa kveba
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
47<br />
sa<strong>da</strong>c Kn aris mcenaris bioklimaturi produqtiulobis koeficienti,<br />
Σt>10 0 –10 0 -ze meti temperaturis jami, 1000 0 – 10 0 -ze meti temperaturebis jami<br />
saqarTveloSi.<br />
III.4. sakvebi kulturebis mosavlis maTematikur-statistikuri modelebi<br />
mosavlis prognozirebisa <strong>da</strong> programirebis meTodebis <strong>da</strong>muSavebis<br />
paralelurad, romelic emyareba agroklimaturi <strong>da</strong> nia<strong>da</strong>guri monacemis<br />
ganzogadebas, mimarTaven maTematikur modelirebas. pirvel etapze<br />
<strong>sakvebwarmoeba</strong>Si farTod gavrcel<strong>da</strong> maTematikur-statistikuri modelebi,<br />
romelTa ZiriTad klass warmoadgens sawarmoo funqciebi. es funqciebi<br />
warmoadgens regresul models, romelic gamoxatavs mosavlianobis kavSirs<br />
warmoebis faqtorebTan, romlebsac ekuTvnis materialur-teqnikuri <strong>da</strong><br />
ekonomikuri resursebi, aseve agroklimaturi <strong>da</strong> nia<strong>da</strong>guri monacemebi.<br />
gamokvlevebSi mosavlianobis <strong>da</strong>sakavSireblad agroklimatur, nia<strong>da</strong>gur<br />
<strong>da</strong> agroteqnikur faqtorebTan gamoiyeneba funqciaTa sxva<strong>da</strong>sxva saxeebi.<br />
garkveuli teqnikuri potencialis mqone kulturis mosavlianobis<br />
<strong>da</strong>mokidebulebas garemo faqtorebze: sinaTleze, siTboze, tenianobaze, sakveb<br />
elementebze <strong>da</strong> a.S. (x 1, x 2, x 3 ................xn) - aqvs araxazobrivi, eqsperimentuli<br />
xasiaTi (nax. 1) <strong>da</strong> saerTo saxiT Rebulobs gantolebis Semdeg formas:<br />
y<br />
m = mn[1-e - F(X 1 , X 2 , X 3 , ..................., X n ) ]<br />
x 1, x 2, x 3 ........xn<br />
nax. 1. mosavlianobis <strong>da</strong>mokidebuleba garemo pirobebze<br />
naxazi<strong>da</strong>n <strong>da</strong> mocemuli gantolebi<strong>da</strong>n Cans, rom aRniSnuli faqtorebis<br />
dozebis gadidebasTan erTad matulobs mosavalianobac, magram garkveul<br />
zRvaramde, ris Semdeg maTi zr<strong>da</strong> ver uzrunvelyofs mosavlianobis zr<strong>da</strong>s <strong>da</strong><br />
zogjer SeiZleba mosavali kidevac Semcirdes (wyvetili mrudi). biologiuri<br />
procesebis aRwerisaTvis, romelTa sidide droSi garemo pirobebze<br />
<strong>da</strong>mokidebulebiT Rebulobs S-isebr magvar mrudis formas, ufro<br />
xelsayrelia logistikuri funqcia<br />
α<br />
m = 1+be-cx<br />
mosavalze sasuqebis moqmedebis Seswavlisas faqtiur monacemebTan karg<br />
miaxloebas iZlevian kvadratuli (m=b+bx+cx 2) <strong>da</strong> kuburi (m=α+bx+cx 2 +dx 3)<br />
funqciebi, sa<strong>da</strong>c α, b, c, d koeficientebia, x – garemos faqtori, agreTve