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PROBLEMS OF GEOCOSMOS

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Proceedings of the 7th International Conference "Problems of Geocosmos" (St. Petersburg, Russia, 26-30 May 2008)<br />

The term ”scale-free” has been coined in statistical mechanics of turbulent and/or critical phenomena to<br />

describe correlated perturbations with no characteristic scales other than the scales dictated by the finite size<br />

of the system, as opposed to scale-dependent perturbations reflecting physical conditions that vary across<br />

different scales [29]. Considered in the context of other geophysical processes, the nighttime auroral activity<br />

provides one of the most impressive examples of scale-free behavior in Nature. Thus, the energy probability<br />

distribution of electron emission regions as seen by the POLAR satellite exhibits power-law shape over<br />

about 6 orders of magnitude [23]. By combining POLAR data with ground-based TV observations [10], the<br />

power-law scaling range has been extended up to 11 orders of magnitude (Fig. 2). The consistency of the<br />

power-law slopes obtained from high-resolution ground-based auroral observations and those characterizing<br />

POLAR ultra-violet imager (UVI) data reveals an extremely wide range of power-law scaling of energy<br />

dissipation in the nighttime magnetosphere.<br />

(a)<br />

(b)<br />

Fig. 2. (a) A diagram explaining the<br />

idea of spatiotemporal tracking of<br />

auroral emission regions in time<br />

series of POLAR UVI frames<br />

(LBH-long filter). (b) Power-law<br />

probability distributions of electron<br />

emission areas obtained from<br />

ground-based all-sky camera data<br />

(triangles) and the POLAR UVI<br />

observations (squares) [10, 23].<br />

It is worth noting that these scale-free statistics represent long-term ensembles-averaged properties of<br />

nighttime magnetospheric disturbances, and they can mask a more complex dynamics on the level of specific<br />

plasma sheet structures responsible for the generation of various forms of auroral precipitations. Our recent<br />

results [24, 25] confirm the causal relationship between the auroral precipitation statistics and the nonuniform<br />

morphology of the central plasma sheet. They show that the inner and the outer plasma sheet regions<br />

are responsible for distinct scaling modes of the auroral precipitation dynamics which can a manifestation of<br />

two competing substrm scenarios represented by the current disruption and the midtail magnetic<br />

reconnection models [13, 20]. Exploring such second-order scaling effects could help build a more solid<br />

theoretical link between the statistical and dynamical plasma descriptions, evaluate predictability of different<br />

classes of magnetospheric disturbances, and obtain statistical guidelines for designing future space missions<br />

targeted at multiscale plasma phenomena.<br />

Example 3: Human heart rate variability<br />

This section illustrates an intermittent stochastic behavior in a quite different system – the system of<br />

human homeostasis, monitored by the low-frequency component of heart rate variability (HRV) [9,17]. HRV<br />

is the temporal variability of the beat-to-beat RR-interval in human electrocardiogram which exhibits distinct<br />

intermittent properties in the frequency range 10 –5 − 10 –2 Hz [14]. In many cases, this variability is described<br />

by the power-law 1/f β dependence of Fourier power spectral density on the frequency f [9]. Typically, 1/f β<br />

HRV spectra with constant β are observed in healthy people, whereas pathologies and malfunctions are<br />

associated with more complex forms of spectral behavior. The connection between the broken fractality and<br />

the disease [15-18, 22] indicates a possibility of using 1/f β fluctuations for the purposes of clinical<br />

diagnostics, and stimulates further investigation of this phenomenon. In our previous studies, we have<br />

explored fractal and multifractal properties of HRV using a variety of time series analysis tools [15,17,18].<br />

The results have confirmed that the low-frequency HRV is a sensitive marker of homeostatic processes. Here<br />

we present new results showing that intermittency measures of HRV can be used for early identification of<br />

pathological conditions.<br />

In addition to power-law spectral exponent β, we consider two intermittency parameters (a and T)<br />

describing nonstationary behavior of standard deviation in HRV signals as explained in Fig. 3. In medical<br />

applications, extreme abnormal values of σ and β are informative state parameters. The interpretation of σ<br />

is largely empirical and is carried out on the individual basis for different sets of symptoms. Earlier, we have<br />

proposed an interpretative system for σ understanding measurements in the SOC region of HRV regulation<br />

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